P Monfort
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 130 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.88). New recruits from other yards win at 9% first time out (285 runs).
In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 3% (n=33, Fair A/E 0.48). The market has consistently overbet debutants: 4.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.30 and −124.70 to a £1 stake over 184 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Maxime Guyon rides 9% of the entries and edges the yard's average (10% vs 7.2%, A/E 0.80). 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Predicateur at Auteuil (FR) (Mar 2006, £29,483).
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 2,437 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 2,437 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 March 2005 to 5 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is P Monfort's strike rate?
- P Monfort has won 170 of 2,375 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does P Monfort do best at?
- Cagnes-Sur-Mer by strike rate: 4 wins from 41 runners (9.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for P Monfort?
- Maxime Guyon, with 221 runners since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (10%).
- Is P Monfort in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is P Monfort's Fair A/E?
- 0.88, from 2,256 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.