What is Richard Hughes's strike rate?

Richard Hughes has won 621 of 4,743 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.1% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Richard Hughes do best at?

Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 34 wins from 152 runners (22.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Richard Hughes?

Shane Kelly, with 1,346 runners since 2008 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 166 (12.3%).

Is Richard Hughes in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 12 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Richard Hughes's Fair A/E?

0.98, from 4,715 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Richard Hughes

4,743 runners in the lifetime window · 564 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 7.6% of 577 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 12 Nov 2026.

Last runner 5 days ago 99% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

621–4,743

Wins / Runs

13.1%

Strike rate

n=4,743

1,648 (35%)

Placed

0.98

Fair A/E

n=4,715 · 0.84 incl. margin

−1,130.96

£1 level stake

n=4,743 at SP · −23.8%

£8.06m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

12.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 250 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 13% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.98).

Deterministic profile computed from 4,743 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Apr Fresh horses: 13.7% 34.2% when favourite Shane Kelly: 12.3% from 1,346 New recruits: 13.3% Sends off the favourite in 14% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Southwell (AW) (22.4%, n=152) and Chelmsford (AW) (19.6%, n=408) — all clear of the yard's 13.1% baseline. It is weakest at Ascot (3.1% over 131 runners) — the widest gap in the record. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 5.7% (n=194, Fair A/E 0.70). The market has consistently overbet a horse in first-time headgear: 8.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.80 and −134.61 to a £1 stake over 265 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Shane Kelly rides 28% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (12.3%, A/E 0.97) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (21%, n=157). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 5.6% over 195 runners, 7.5pts below the baseline. 11 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai July Cup Stakes at Newmarket (Jul 2025, £372,585). The stable star of the record: Knebworth (GB) — 9 wins from 44 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

13.7%+0.6

n=621 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −134.72

New recruits · first run for the yard

13.3%+0.2

n=90 · A/E 1.31 · £1 +27.91

Debutants · first career start

9.5%−3.6

n=476 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −27.40

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8.7%−4.4

n=265 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −134.61

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

11.6%−1.5

n=121 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −11.17

When favourite

34.2%

n=644 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −87.42

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

12.4%−0.7

n=955 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −213.67

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5.7%−7.4

n=194 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −44.45

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Ascot 3.1% vs 13.1% · n=131

At Southwell (AW) 22.4% vs 13.1% · n=152

With horses switching code 0% vs 13.1% · n=35

Off a 0-7-day break 21% vs 13.1% · n=157

In Class 1 5.6% vs 13.1% · n=195

At Chelmsford (AW) 19.6% vs 13.1% · n=408

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 4,712 621 13.2% −1,099.96

Hurdle 28 0 0% −28.00

NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 2,336 371 15.9% −333.05

Good to Firm 888 106 11.9% −244.25

Good 745 75 10.1% −253.87

Good to Soft 347 30 8.6% −178.15

Soft 298 25 8.4% −68.21

Heavy 70 6 8.6% −37.25

Firm 59 8 13.6% −16.18

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 667 87 13% −109.65

Lingfield (AW) 560 76 13.6% −178.83

Wolverhampton (AW) 522 86 16.5% −114.46

Chelmsford (AW) 408 80 19.6% +42.56

Windsor 294 30 10.2% −90.51

Newbury 235 16 6.8% −109.25

Goodwood 216 18 8.3% −92.17

Bath 166 21 12.7% −3.20

Southwell (AW) 152 34 22.4% +13.58

Brighton 141 26 18.4% −27.66

Ascot 131 4 3.1% −76.88

Salisbury 131 11 8.4% −61.34

Newmarket 124 14 11.3% −8.37

Chepstow 103 13 12.6% −39.69

Lingfield 102 13 12.7% −48.02

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 1,660 235 14.2% −441.61

Class 4 1,141 134 11.7% −342.47

Class 6 821 135 16.4% −72.07

Class 3 464 65 14% −24.28

Class 2 436 36 8.3% −202.38

Class 1 195 11 5.6% −45.45

Class 7 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 733 239 32.6% 1.03 −109.71

2nd–3rd fav 1,314 222 16.9% 0.97 −252.55

4th–6th fav 1,542 127 8.2% 0.98 −335.70

7th+ in betting 1,154 33 2.9% 0.83 −433.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

The Thames Boatman (GB) 55 8 25 3 Nov 26

Nogo's Dream (GB) 49 4 26 29 Oct 26

Kath's Lustre (GB)from Ben De Haan 49 6 16 18 Dec 21

Knebworth (GB) 44 9 17 7 Nov 26

Bint Havana Gold (GB) 37 6 17 6 May 26

Brunel Charm (GB)then Lee Carter 37 3 17 16 Aug 23

Twice As Likely (GB) 33 4 11 30 Sep 21

Top Breeze (IRE) 32 5 12 3 Feb 22

Jashma (IRE) 32 5 13 25 Jun 19

Believe It (IRE)from Richard Hannon 31 8 13 15 May 18

Spirit Lead Me (IRE) 29 6 6 29 Oct 26

Cinnodin (GB)then Jamie Snowden 28 6 11 22 Jun 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 564 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 16 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Richard Hannon (2); 51 had their first archived run for this yard.

23 have since run for another yard, most often for Thomas Gallagher (2); 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 12

Only 12 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

141619151112131212131218

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderShane Kelly

28% of all rides
12.3% SR · A/E 0.97

RiderRWSR£1

Shane Kelly 1,346 166 12.3% −452.21

Finley Marsh 1,041 164 15.8% −94.26

George Rooke 384 52 13.5% −78.33

David Egan 128 16 12.5% −38.29

Pat Cosgrave 124 18 14.5% −6.99

Pat Dobbs 123 13 10.6% +6.26

William Buick 107 19 17.8% +0.60

Ryan Moore 101 16 15.8% −21.37

Nicola Currie 93 11 11.8% −18.62

Billy Loughnane 89 15 16.9% −17.48

Ethan Jones 81 7 8.6% −25.25

Oisin Murphy 68 15 22.1% −28.41

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→

621

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£8.06m

Prize money

2024

Best season · 66 wins

No Half Measures (GB) — Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai July Cup Stakes (Group 1) Newmarket · Jul 2025 · Group 1

£372,585

Calling The Wind (IRE) — JenningsBet Northumberland Plate Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Newcastle (AW) · Jul 2023 · Class 2

£81,000

Rose Ghaiyyath (IRE) — Arqana Series des Pouliches (Conditions) (Unraced 2yo Fillies) (Straight Course) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2025

£66,116

Notable horses

Knebworth (GB) The Thames Boatman (GB) Believe It (IRE) Zero Carbon (FR) No Half Measures (GB) Fair Angellica (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kodiac (GB) 15.6% · 26–167

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,604 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Mehmas (IRE) 15.6% · 26–167

Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,242 runs since 2020 (755 horses).

Dark Angel (IRE) 15.7% · 19–121

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,957 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Havana Grey (GB) 15.3% · 17–111

Progeny have won 13.2% of 4,612 runs since 2022 (420 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.2% from 105. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 9.9% from 424.

Oasis Dream (GB) 8.1% · 8–99

Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,051 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 485. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 792.

Havana Gold (IRE) 17.6% · 16–91

Progeny have won 9.5% of 5,064 runs since 2017 (402 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.2% from 118. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 523. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.2% from 177.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,743 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,743 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 September 2015 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Doncaster Knebworth (GB)J: Finley Marsh Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Handicap StakesClass 2 · 6f · Good To Soft · 22 ran 14th 66/1

07 Nov 26 Doncaster Duraji (IRE)J: Donagh Murphy Virgin Bet November Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 12f · Good To Soft · 23 ran 17th 66/1

07 Nov 26 Doncaster Circus Of Rome (GB)J: Finley Marsh Virgin Bet November Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 12f · Good To Soft · 23 ran 6th 33/1

07 Nov 26 Doncaster Nobody Knows (IRE)J: Ryan Moore Virgin Bet November Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 12f · Good To Soft · 23 ran 5th 3/1J

05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Roosike (IRE)J: Billy Loughnane AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 4/1

05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Sea Founder (GB)J: Finley Marsh AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7.5f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 11/1

05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Best Yet (GB)J: Finley Marsh All-Weather Championship Is Back Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 14/1

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) The Thames Boatman (GB)J: Finley Marsh Midnite Aint Your Grandads Bookie Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 28/1

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Yellow Mission (IRE)J: Finley Marsh AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 8/1

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Bibury Star (IRE)J: Billy Loughnane AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 9/2

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Mo Rocko (GB)J: Finley Marsh AWC Season 14 Has Begun EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 22/1

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Bearly Blue (IRE)J: Finley Marsh AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 25/1

29 Oct 26 Bath Nogo's Dream (GB)J: Finley Marsh Oakenson Ltd Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5.5f · Soft · 12 ran 5th 22/1

29 Oct 26 Bath Spirit Lead Me (IRE)J: Finley Marsh Disability Inc Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Soft · 14 ran 11th 5/2J

28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Thames Waterman (GB)J: Finley Marsh Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Nursery Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 7 ran 5th 9/1

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Renascent (IRE)J: Finley Marsh AWC Season 14 Has Begun Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 25/1

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Boy Basilica (FR)J: Billy Loughnane AWC Season 14 Has Begun Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 13/8F

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Lahan Kingman (IRE)J: Finley Marsh Try Unibet's Improved Acca Boosts Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 7th 14/1

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Duraji (IRE)J: Finley Marsh Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap Stakes (London Stayers' Series Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 16f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 12th 22/1

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Sakowin (IRE)J: Finley Marsh Try Unibet's Improved Acca Boosts Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 3rd 4/1F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 10 runs (won 2) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 6 runs (won 2) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 1) · to 5 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Richard Hughes's strike rate?: Richard Hughes has won 621 of 4,743 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.1% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Richard Hughes do best at?: Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 34 wins from 152 runners (22.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Richard Hughes?: Shane Kelly, with 1,346 runners since 2008 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 166 (12.3%).
Is Richard Hughes in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 12 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Richard Hughes's Fair A/E?: 0.98, from 4,715 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.