What is Roger Curtis's strike rate?

Roger Curtis has won 66 of 801 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.2% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Roger Curtis do best at?

Huntingdon by strike rate: 5 wins from 39 runners (12.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Roger Curtis?

Hadden Frost, with 137 runners since 2008 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (9.5%).

What is Roger Curtis's Fair A/E?

1.07, from 798 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Roger Curtis

801 runners in the lifetime window · 112 individual horses

As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Aug 2014

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

66–801

Wins / Runs

8.2%

Strike rate

n=801

177 (22%)

Placed

1.07

Fair A/E

n=798 · 0.92 incl. margin

−233.80

£1 level stake

n=800 at SP · −29.2%

£378k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 110 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.07). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 19% (31 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 801 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 3 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Nov–Jan 41.9% when favourite Hadden Frost: 9.5% from 137 New recruits: 11% Headgear returns: 19.4% Sent off the favourite in 4% of races

The read

A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 19.4% (n=31, Fair A/E 2.43), but debutants struggle at 0% (n=33, Fair A/E 0.00). Hadden Frost rode 17% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.5%, A/E 1.23) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well at trips under 6f (18.9%, n=37) and on Soft going (15.2%, n=112). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Perth at Saint-Cloud (FR) (Nov 2009, £38,835). The stable star of the record was Romney Marsh (GB) — 5 wins from 73 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Nov–Jan.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6.4%−1.8

n=173 · A/E 1.26 · £1 −28.75

New recruits · first run for the yard

11%+2.8

n=73 · A/E 2.02 · £1 +59.25

Debutants · first career start

0%−8.2

n=33 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −33.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

13.6%+5.4

n=22 · A/E 1.76 · £1 +5.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

19.4%+11.2

n=31 · A/E 2.43 · £1 +6.13

When favourite

41.9%

n=31 · A/E 1.40 · £1 +7.62

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.4%−0.8

n=258 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −127.88

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.7%−0.5

n=13 · A/E 1.58 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 17.6% vs 8.2% · n=68

At trips under 6f 18.9% vs 8.2% · n=37

With headgear back on 19.4% vs 8.2% · n=31

With C&D winners 16% vs 8.2% · n=81

On Soft going 15.2% vs 8.2% · n=112

With debutants 0% vs 8.2% · n=33

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 352 34 9.7% −25.38

Hurdle 259 18 6.9% −103.67

Chase 137 13 9.5% −60.25

NH Flat 53 1 1.9% −44.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 241 20 8.3% −44.01

Good 186 6 3.2% −127.75

Soft 112 17 15.2% +25.25

Good to Firm 103 10 9.7% −48.12

Good to Soft 96 4 4.2% −65.17

Heavy 51 6 11.8% +0.50

Firm 12 3 25% +25.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 79 4 5.1% −62.25

Southwell (AW) 71 9 12.7% −2.75

Plumpton 55 4 7.3% −24.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 52 4 7.7% +47.62

Fontwell 43 3 7% −23.50

Folkestone 40 3 7.5% −26.25

Huntingdon 39 5 12.8% +7.33

Towcester 38 1 2.6% −32.50

Lingfield 37 3 8.1% −24.63

Uttoxeter 36 3 8.3% −9.50

Worcester 24 3 12.5% −3.00

Bath 17 4 23.5% +16.75

Newton Abbot 16 1 6.3% −7.00

Taunton 16 0 0% −16.00

Hereford 15 1 6.7% −10.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 298 31 10.4% −32.67

Class 4 236 19 8.1% −98.50

Class 6 198 13 6.6% −54.13

Class 3 32 1 3.1% −29.00

Class 2 15 1 6.7% −9.50

Class 1 13 1 7.7% −1.00

Class 7 9 0 0% −9.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 47 14 29.8% 1.13 −4.38

2nd–3rd fav 122 22 18% 1.11 −3.42

4th–6th fav 242 23 9.5% 1.27 −8.00

7th+ in betting 389 7 1.8% 0.63 −218.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Romney Marsh (GB) 55 4 19 29 Mar 14

Elegant Olive (GB)then Henry Tett 40 4 14 1 Apr 14

Maccabees (GB)from Rod Millman · then Linda Jewell 24 2 2 8 May 14

Rince Donn (IRE)from Edgar Byrne · then Frank Barton 23 2 5 30 Mar 11

Alderbrook Girl (IRE) 21 1 4 14 Mar 10

Kaycee (IRE)from R M Carson 20 0 1 14 Jul 13

Bally Gunner (GB)then Henry Tett 19 1 2 5 May 14

Kilcommon Pride (IRE)then Paul W Flynn 19 3 5 15 May 13

Happy Fleet (GB)from John E Kiely · then Natalie Lloyd-Beavis 18 1 3 3 Jun 11

Lesley's Choice (GB)from P A Blockley · then Barry Brennan 18 4 7 1 Jan 10

Rainbow Riches (IRE) 16 0 1 21 Feb 13

Brave Enough (USA)from Mikael Magnusson 16 0 0 4 Apr 12

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 112 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 39 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from P A Blockley (13) and Edgar Byrne (3); 21 had their first archived run for this yard.

31 have since run for another yard, most often for Barry Brennan (12) and Henry Tett (4); 29 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

119503111631061510

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderHadden Frost

17% of all rides
9.5% SR · A/E 1.23

RiderRWSR£1

Hadden Frost 137 13 9.5% −41.00

Mark Grant 66 4 6.1% −46.25

Ned Curtis 61 8 13.1% +0.37

Mr Frederick Tett 38 2 5.3% −18.00

Graham Gibbons 34 4 11.8% +56.00

Tony Culhane 32 3 9.4% +16.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£421k

Prize money

2009

Best season · 29 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Zafisio (IRE) — Prix Perth Saint-Cloud (FR) · Nov 2009 · Group 3

£38,835

Callisto Moon (GB) — melkshammotorspares.co.uk Handicap Bath · Sep 2009 · Class 2

£17,447

Lesley's Choice (GB) — Bet On Live Sport At Totesport.com Handicap Southwell (AW) · Dec 2009 · Class 3

£7,771

Notable horses

Romney Marsh (GB) Callisto Moon (GB) Elegant Olive (GB) Lesley's Choice (GB) Clean Bowled (IRE) Alderbrook Girl (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Glacial Storm (USA) 7.3% · 4–55

Progeny have won 7.3% of 959 runs since 2008 (112 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 10.6% from 151.

Alflora (IRE) 9.3% · 4–43

Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,312 runs since 2008 (535 horses).

Imperial Ballet (IRE) 8% · 2–25

Progeny have won 7.2% of 1,342 runs since 2008 (99 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 10.2% from 245. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 150.

Lucky Story (USA) 16% · 4–25

Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,554 runs since 2008 (162 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14% from 351. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.5% from 451.

Motivator (GB) 8.3% · 2–24

Progeny have won 12.1% of 5,592 runs since 2009 (515 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 16% from 1,089. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.8% from 1,281. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 15.2% from 593. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.7% from 574.

Beat All (USA) 4.5% · 1–22

Progeny have won 7% of 2,513 runs since 2008 (254 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.6% from 320. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.6% from 192. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 12.5% from 120.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,019 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,019 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 13 August 2014.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

13 Aug 14 Salisbury Victory Rich (IRE)J: Ned Curtis Champagne Joseph Perrier HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 9th 50/1

16 Jun 14 Newton Abbot Ovthenight (IRE)J: Alice Mills Attheraces.com Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good · 16 ran PU 33/1

03 Jun 14 Brighton Gypsy Rider (GB)J: Jim Crowley Saga Holidays HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 9th 11/1

23 May 14 Towcester Ovthenight (IRE)J: Mr Frederick Tett Residence 9 By Glazerite Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran UR 40/1

08 May 14 Newton Abbot Maccabees (GB)J: Tom Cheesman Newtonabbotracing.com Selling Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 6th 16/1

05 May 14 Ffos Las Bally Gunner (GB)J: Hadden Frost Burns Healthy Pet Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 21f · Good · 6 ran 5th 10/1

05 May 14 Ffos Las Ovthenight (IRE)J: Mr Frederick Tett Disability Sport Wales Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 6 ran 5th 8/1

21 Apr 14 Chepstow Ovthenight (IRE)J: Hadden Frost Bath Ales Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 14 ran 5th 50/1

20 Apr 14 Plumpton Maccabees (GB)J: Tom Cheesman Follow totepool On Twitter Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 6th 20/1

20 Apr 14 Towcester Badb Catha (IRE)J: Mr Frederick Tett Bet toteexacta Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 25/1

10 Apr 14 Towcester Bally Gunner (GB)J: Hadden Frost Try gg.com On Your Mobile Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 20f · Good · 12 ran 8th 22/1

10 Apr 14 Ludlow Moveable Asset (IRE)J: Mr Frederick Tett Efg Harris Allday Stockbrokers Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 11th 50/1

01 Apr 14 Newton Abbot Elegant Olive (GB)J: Hadden Frost Independent Racecourses Limited Irl Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 26.5f · Soft · 8 ran PU 14/1

29 Mar 14 Stratford Ovthenight (IRE)J: Mr Frederick Tett Bu Grand Cru Classes Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 22f · Good To Soft · 16 ran PU 100/1

29 Mar 14 Stratford Romney Marsh (GB)J: Hadden Frost Bu Grand Cru Classes Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 22f · Good To Soft · 16 ran PU 50/1

25 Mar 14 Fontwell Elegant Olive (GB)J: Mr Frederick Tett Premier Roulette At 32Red.com 'Hands And Heels' Handicap Hurdle (Conditional/Amateur)Class 4 · 25.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran UR 20/1

22 Mar 14 Stratford Maccabees (GB)J: Mr Frederick Tett Bet With Rails Bookmakers Selling Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran 8th 10/1

19 Mar 14 Haydock Moveable Asset (IRE)J: Hadden Frost 32Red Burning Desire Slot Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 19f · Good · 10 ran 6th 33/1

19 Mar 14 Lingfield (AW) Claude Greenwood (GB)J: Ned Curtis Coral Mobile 'Just Three Clicks To Bet' HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 66/1

10 Mar 14 Plumpton Maccabees (GB)J: Mr Frederick Tett Aspen Insurance Supports The Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 12 ran 9th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Roger Curtis's strike rate?: Roger Curtis has won 66 of 801 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.2% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Roger Curtis do best at?: Huntingdon by strike rate: 5 wins from 39 runners (12.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Roger Curtis?: Hadden Frost, with 137 runners since 2008 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (9.5%).
What is Roger Curtis's Fair A/E?: 1.07, from 798 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.