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Trainer profile

Samuel Drinkwater

758 runners in the lifetime window · 91 individual horses
As at 11 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner yesterday 95% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2014→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
76–758
Wins / Runs
10%
Strike rate
n=758
209 (28%)
Placed
0.91
Fair A/E
n=756 · 0.79 incl. margin
−155.41
£1 level stake
n=758 at SP · −20.5%
£761k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.4%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.91). With a claiming rider up the record reads 13% (258 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 758 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 11 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Jan Fresh horses: 10.1% 29.5% when favourite Robert Dunne: 8.7% from 208 New recruits: 12.2% Claiming riders: 12.8% Sends off the favourite in 8% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Newbury (18.2%, n=33) and Wetherby (17.6%, n=34) — all clear of the yard's 10% baseline. Debutants struggle at 4.7% (n=43, Fair A/E 0.63). Robert Dunne rides 27% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.7%, A/E 0.85). The yard also reads well beyond 3m (21.1%, n=38) and in Chase races (16.9%, n=148). The record reads poorly in Flat races — 2.7% over 37 runners, 7.3pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Gallic Geordie (GB) — 7 wins from 30 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Nov–Jan.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
10.1%+0.1
n=227 · A/E 1.13 · £1 +44.03
New recruits · first run for the yard
12.2%+2.2
n=49 · A/E 1.46 · £1 +62.25
Debutants · first career start
4.7%−5.3
n=43 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −22.75
First-time headgear · true-first definition
10.9%+0.9
n=46 · A/E 1.61 · £1 +44.38
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
7%−3.0
n=57 · A/E 0.51 · £1 −28.50
When favourite
29.5%
n=61 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −6.40
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
12.8%+2.8
n=258 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −46.51
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−10.0
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Beyond 3m 21.1% vs 10% · n=38
With C&D winners 20% vs 10% · n=55
In Chase races 16.9% vs 10% · n=148
At Newbury 18.2% vs 10% · n=33
At Wetherby 17.6% vs 10% · n=34
In Flat races 2.7% vs 10% · n=37
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 509 46 9% −177.66
Chase 148 25 16.9% +87.19
NH Flat 64 4 6.3% −32.14
Flat 37 1 2.7% −32.80

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 240 25 10.4% −58.60
Soft 210 20 9.5% −32.67
Good to Soft 164 17 10.4% −37.84
Heavy 98 12 12.2% −1.50
Standard (AW) 36 2 5.6% −14.80
Good to Firm 10 0 0% −10.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Uttoxeter 44 3 6.8% −13.00
Ffos Las 41 4 9.8% −20.75
Worcester 36 1 2.8% −28.50
Chepstow 36 4 11.1% −23.84
Wetherby 34 6 17.6% +8.83
Newbury 33 6 18.2% +1.58
Hereford 30 3 10% −15.25
Warwick 29 4 13.8% +7.50
Cheltenham 29 1 3.4% +22.00
Lingfield 28 8 28.6% +50.58
Southwell 25 1 4% −19.50
Taunton 24 4 16.7% +4.50
Ludlow 22 2 9.1% −9.00
Exeter 22 0 0% −22.00
Doncaster 22 2 9.1% −10.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 297 30 10.1% −42.68
Class 4 276 28 10.1% −103.67
Class 3 92 13 14.1% −22.26
Class 2 44 4 9.1% +58.00
Class 6 35 1 2.9% −30.80
Class 1 12 0 0% −12.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 72 20 27.8% 0.96 −7.65
2nd–3rd fav 203 31 15.3% 0.90 −42.76
4th–6th fav 259 19 7.3% 0.89 −57.00
7th+ in betting 224 6 2.7% 0.87 −48.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
86.6% completed · 657 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 148 80.4% 6 5 17 0 1
Hurdle 509 88.4% 10 8 38 2 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Sawpit Sienna (GB)from Richard J Bandey 38 4 11 1 Apr 26
Gallic Geordie (GB) 30 7 12 1 Mar 25
Spike Jones (GB) 26 5 11 10 Nov 26
Russian Service (GB)from Tom Lacey 26 3 8 27 Oct 22
Belle Montrose (IRE) 22 3 6 21 Oct 26
Top Decision (IRE) 21 2 4 11 Oct 23
Pray For A Rainbow (GB)from Evan Williams 21 2 11 1 Mar 20
Ballybreeze (GB) 20 3 8 7 Nov 26
Some Can Dance (IRE) 20 3 7 11 Mar 21
Twp Stori (GB)from Nikki Evans 19 2 6 2 Jul 26
Howling Milan (IRE) 18 1 4 2 Oct 23
Sergeant Brody (GB) 18 0 4 13 Mar 21
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 91 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 29 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Tom Lacey (5) and Richard J Bandey (3); 31 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard, most often for James Evans (3); 52 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 5
Only 5 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
12617395081071116
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderRobert Dunne
27% of all rides
8.7% SR · A/E 0.85
RiderRWSR£1
Robert Dunne 208 18 8.7% −10.17
Danny Burton 51 8 15.7% +1.36
Sam Twiston-Davies 36 6 16.7% +1.91
Jack Tudor 35 6 17.1% −9.00
Benjamin Macey 34 4 11.8% −4.50
Harrison Beswick 30 3 10% −17.62
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→
76
Archived wins
£761k
Prize money
2021
Best season · 14 wins
Belle Montrose (IRE) — Gamble Plant (Norfolk) Ltd Queen Boudicca Series Final Mares' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Fakenham · Jan 2026 · Class 2
£26,015
Tour Des Champs (FR) — Watch Live Racing On Betbright.com Handicap Chase Cheltenham · Jan 2017 · Class 2
£12,512
Rath Gaul Hill (IRE) — Howden Supporting West Berkshire Mencap Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Newbury · Feb 2025 · Class 3
£11,618
Notable horses
Gallic Geordie (GB) Spike Jones (GB) Rath Gaul Hill (IRE) Sawpit Sienna (GB) Russian Service (GB) Belle Montrose (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Milan (GB) 10% · 4–40
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,887 runs since 2008 (1,464 horses).
Geordieland (FR) 17.9% · 7–39
Progeny have won 11.9% of 717 runs since 2016 (71 horses).
Dylan Thomas (IRE) 10.5% · 4–38
Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,496 runs since 2011 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.
Blue Bresil (FR) 0% · 0–32
Progeny have won 12.1% of 3,561 runs since 2013 (469 horses).
Walk In The Park (IRE) 20% · 6–30
Progeny have won 13.4% of 7,084 runs since 2011 (711 horses).
Robin Des Champs (FR) 14.3% · 4–28
Progeny have won 13.3% of 4,007 runs since 2008 (425 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 11 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 758 · newest first

The latest 50 of 758 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 29 May 2014 to 10 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
10 Nov 26 Lingfield Spike Jones (GB)J: Benjamin Macey Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 23f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 11/4
08 Nov 26 Ffos Las Not Without Danger (IRE)J: Robert Dunne Blackmores Build Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 11 ran 1st 17/2
07 Nov 26 Uttoxeter Valentine Wren (IRE)J: Ned Fox Download The Matchbook App Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 10th 80/1
07 Nov 26 Aintree Ballybreeze (GB)J: Benjamin Macey William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 3rd 9/1
05 Nov 26 Newbury Delilah's Boy (GB)J: Ciaran Gethings Check Out The BetVictor Betbuilder Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 3 · 19f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 9th 250/1
21 Oct 26 Fontwell Carrigmoorna Rowan (IRE)J: Jonathan Burke tigerbet.co.uk Download Our App Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 3/1
21 Oct 26 Fontwell Belle Montrose (IRE)J: Benjamin Macey BETTING.BET New Betting Sites Handicap Steeple Chase (Fontwell Chase Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 18f · Soft · 5 ran 2nd 11/1
17 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Delilah's Boy (GB)J: Ciaran Gethings Sky Sports Racing Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 7 ran 5th 10/1
10 Oct 26 Chepstow Farm Assured (GB)J: Benjamin Macey Lsl Racing Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 28/1
08 Oct 26 Market Rasen Parikarma (IRE)J: Miss Imogen Mathias Market Rasen Racecourse Caravan Park Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23f · Good · 8 ran 8th 9/2
06 Oct 26 Huntingdon Carrigmoorna Rowan (IRE)J: Ciaran Gethings Christmas Parties 2026 At Huntingdon Racecourse Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 3/1
14 Sep 26 Sedgefield Parikarma (IRE)J: Miss Imogen Mathias Roxyfet Sports Lounge For Private Hire Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 27f · Good · 3 ran 3rd 9/4
10 Sep 26 Worcester Jessie Jump Jet (GB)J: Ben Poste CopyBet BOG Now For Doncaster Tomorrow Handicap Hurdle Race (Div I)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 4th 11/1
05 Sep 26 Stratford Parikarma (IRE)J: Miss Imogen Mathias Andy Townsend Memorial Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 22f · Good · 9 ran 1st 3/1F
15 Aug 26 Market Rasen Parikarma (IRE)J: Miss Imogen Mathias Oddschecker Free Bets Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 23f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 11/2
19 Jul 26 Stratford Parikarma (IRE)J: Miss Imogen Mathias Patrick's 60th Celebration Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 22f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 2nd 17/2
15 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Jessie Jump Jet (GB)J: Ben Poste QuinnBet Daily Free Bet Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 6th 4/1
12 Jul 26 Perth Parikarma (IRE)J: Miss Imogen Mathias Saints In The Community Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 7th 11/1
02 Jul 26 Perth Twp Stori (GB)J: Benjamin Macey Horizon Parking UK's Leading Parking Company Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 11/1
13 Jun 26 Uttoxeter Parikarma (IRE)J: Miss Imogen Mathias Noble Minds Counselling Services Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 5/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 6 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 0) · to 21 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Samuel Drinkwater's strike rate?
Samuel Drinkwater has won 76 of 758 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Samuel Drinkwater do best at?
Newbury by strike rate: 6 wins from 33 runners (18.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Samuel Drinkwater?
Robert Dunne, with 208 runners since 2008 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (8.7%).
Is Samuel Drinkwater in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Samuel Drinkwater's Fair A/E?
0.91, from 756 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 11 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).