What is Sylvester Kirk's strike rate?

Sylvester Kirk has won 405 of 4,658 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Sylvester Kirk do best at?

Lingfield by strike rate: 15 wins from 111 runners (13.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Sylvester Kirk?

Liam Keniry, with 798 runners since 2008 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 58 (7.3%).

What is Sylvester Kirk's Fair A/E?

0.96, from 4,638 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Sylvester Kirk

4,658 runners in the lifetime window · 448 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jan 2025 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

405–4,658

Wins / Runs

8.7%

Strike rate

n=4,658

1,170 (25%)

Placed

0.96

Fair A/E

n=4,638 · 0.83 incl. margin

−1,218.36

£1 level stake

n=4,658 at SP · −26.2%

£3.70m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 250 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.96). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 11% (119 runs, true-first definition).

Deterministic profile computed from 4,658 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 30.7% when favourite Liam Keniry: 7.3% from 798 Sends off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Southwell (AW) (17.9%, n=84), clear of the yard's 8.7% baseline. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 3.2% (n=63, Fair A/E 0.31). A horse in first-time headgear are the standout value angle: 10.9% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.25 and +38.61 to a £1 stake over 119 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet in Group and Graded company the record: 4.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.74 and −70.83 to a £1 stake over 128 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Liam Keniry rides 17% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.3%, A/E 0.91). 12 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Tattersalls 250,000 October Auction Stakes at Newmarket (Sep 2006, £123,125). The stable star of the record: See And Be Seen (GB) — 9 wins from 65 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6.1%−2.6

n=478 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −63.83

New recruits · first run for the yard

5.7%−3.0

n=53 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −27.00

Debutants · first career start

3.8%−4.9

n=370 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −67.25

First-time headgear · true-first definition

10.9%+2.2

n=119 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +38.61

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

3.2%−5.5

n=63 · A/E 0.31 · £1 −55.00

When favourite

30.7%

n=300 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −23.88

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.4%−0.3

n=1,009 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −389.47

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

4.7%−4.0

n=128 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −70.83

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Ryan Moore 25.5% vs 8.7% · n=55

At Southwell (AW) 17.9% vs 8.7% · n=84

With Edward Greatrex 18.6% vs 8.7% · n=59

With Shariq Mohd 0% vs 8.7% · n=70

With Richard Hughes 15.2% vs 8.7% · n=158

With Tom Marquand 15.8% vs 8.7% · n=101

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 4,637 405 8.7% −1,197.36

Hurdle 17 0 0% −17.00

NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 2,291 207 9% −634.27

Good to Firm 840 67 8% −231.34

Good 704 54 7.7% −147.73

Good to Soft 395 44 11.1% −28.56

Soft 293 16 5.5% −185.58

Firm 90 13 14.4% +16.12

Heavy 45 4 8.9% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 765 78 10.2% −209.59

Kempton (AW) 757 61 8.1% −263.66

Lingfield 467 37 7.9% −169.25

Newbury 315 14 4.4% −104.21

Windsor 228 14 6.1% −82.06

Salisbury 215 16 7.4% −53.40

Chelmsford (AW) 200 14 7% −24.37

Bath 190 19 10% −36.01

Brighton 172 23 13.4% −19.67

Goodwood 162 14 8.6% −97.12

Ascot 119 10 8.4% −22.83

Chepstow 116 6 5.2% −77.25

Leicester 114 7 6.1% −71.25

Lingfield 111 15 13.5% +44.73

Sandown 87 6 6.9% −23.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 1,676 154 9.2% −382.78

Class 6 1,583 145 9.2% −533.00

Class 4 789 68 8.6% −108.41

Class 2 269 14 5.2% −108.00

Class 3 172 15 8.7% −14.34

Class 1 128 6 4.7% −70.83

Class 7 32 3 9.4% +8.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 379 99 26.1% 0.97 −76.38

2nd–3rd fav 884 150 17% 1.06 −93.48

4th–6th fav 1,438 110 7.6% 0.97 −146.50

7th+ in betting 1,957 46 2.4% 0.72 −902.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 1,880 159 8.5% −631.72

1m – 1m1f 1,182 88 7.4% −430.86

1m2f – 1m4f 933 88 9.4% −156.24

Under 6f 368 41 11.1% −30.62

1m5f – 2m 271 25 9.2% −12.92

2m1f – 2m4f 24 4 16.7% +44.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 421 50 11.9% −43.73

2009 374 30 8% −141.61

2010 388 39 10.1% −42.57

2011 330 25 7.6% −136.17

2012 341 29 8.5% −44.56

2013 256 13 5.1% −169.02

2014 333 33 9.9% −6.83

2015 323 38 11.8% −18.00

2016 371 41 11.1% −73.41

2017 323 29 9% −82.30

2018 292 24 8.2% −124.00

2019 238 23 9.7% −107.98

2020 181 10 5.5% −18.92

2021 164 10 6.1% −31.42

2022 114 3 2.6% −83.00

2023 135 6 4.4% −26.50

2024 69 2 2.9% −63.34

2025 5 0 0% −5.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 3,086 282 9.1% −848.09

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 1,603 122 7.6% −684.08

11-13 runners 1,593 117 7.3% −463.63

5-7 runners 761 120 15.8% +40.28

14-16 runners 524 30 5.7% −92.49

17+ runners 127 5 3.9% −30.50

2-4 runners 50 11 22% +12.06

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

See And Be Seen (GB) 65 9 16 4 Oct 17

Delagoa Bay (IRE) 59 5 17 22 Feb 17

Cricklewood Green (USA)from Richard Hannon · then Brian Ellison 46 5 14 13 Nov 18

Pink Ribbon (IRE)then J J Lambe 46 6 14 30 Dec 17

Celestial Bay (GB) 42 6 14 31 Jan 17

Silly Billy (IRE)then Pat Phelan 42 4 8 31 Oct 12

Fleur de Lion (IRE) 39 2 5 10 Jan 11

Three Little Birds (GB) 38 5 16 18 Jul 20

Perfect Friend (GB) 35 4 15 21 Oct 10

Hellbender (IRE)then George Foster 34 5 16 21 Oct 10

Percy Veer (GB)then E McNamara 33 4 14 23 Sep 17

Gawdawpalin (IRE) 32 3 10 11 Dec 19

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 448 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 20 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from S Donohoe (2); 54 had their first archived run for this yard.

26 have since run for another yard, most often for Ian McInnes (2); 34 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

912881089109788

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderLiam Keniry

17% of all rides
7.3% SR · A/E 0.91

RiderRWSR£1

Liam Keniry 798 58 7.3% −247.57

James Doyle 374 34 9.1% −119.82

Mitch Godwin 223 22 9.9% −52.26

Luke Morris 160 11 6.9% −78.95

Richard Hughes 158 24 15.2% −22.62

Pat Dobbs 130 8 6.2% −89.22

Martin Dwyer 121 10 8.3% +0.12

David Probert 118 9 7.6% −44.25

Gary Mahon 114 10 8.8% −32.50

Tom Marquand 101 16 15.8% +90.18

George Baker 89 13 14.6% −20.14

David Egan 78 8 10.3% −23.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

493

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.78m

Prize money

2008

Best season · 50 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Caldra (IRE) — Tattersalls 250,000 October Auction Stakes Newmarket · Sep 2006 · Class 2

£123,125

Elhamri (GB) — Weatherbys Super Sprint Newbury · Jul 2006 · Class 2

£76,725

Sri Diamond (GB) — Betdirect.co.uk Winter Derby (Group 3) Lingfield (AW) · Mar 2006 · Group 3

£56,780

Notable horses

See And Be Seen (GB) Our Faye (GB) Sri Diamond (GB) Pink Ribbon (IRE) Celestial Bay (GB) Elhamri (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Mastercraftsman (IRE) 10.6% · 15–142

Progeny have won 10.6% of 11,639 runs since 2013 (842 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.8% from 327.

Norse Dancer (IRE) 8.1% · 9–111

Progeny have won 9.4% of 1,800 runs since 2010 (157 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 14.7% from 278. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.3% from 207.

Dark Angel (IRE) 12.1% · 13–107

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,941 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Sakhee's Secret (GB) 11.3% · 12–106

Progeny have won 8.8% of 3,866 runs since 2012 (253 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.3% from 772.

Noverre (USA) 10.6% · 10–94

Progeny have won 10.7% of 3,831 runs since 2008 (235 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.7% from 803. Weakest on Soft going: 6.9% from 407.

Piccolo (GB) 7.6% · 7–92

Progeny have won 7.8% of 6,904 runs since 2008 (393 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.6% from 164. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.5% from 258.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 5,637 · newest first

The latest 50 of 5,637 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 28 January 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

28 Jan 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Jane Garfield (IRE)J: Liam Keniry Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 125/1

25 Jan 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Juan Solo (IRE)J: Rob Hornby Free Bets With BetUK Bet Club HandicapClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 40/1

20 Jan 25 Kempton (AW) Jane Garfield (IRE)J: Robert Havlin Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap (London Sprint Series Qual) (Div 2)Class 5 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 8 ran 8th 12/1

03 Jan 25 Lingfield (AW) Juan Solo (IRE)J: Liam Keniry Win 1M With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 8 ran 8th 100/1

03 Jan 25 Lingfield (AW) Jane Garfield (IRE)J: Liam Keniry Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 8th 9/1

02 Dec 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Jane Garfield (IRE)J: Liam Keniry Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Nursery (Rider Restricted Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 13/2

11 Oct 24 Kempton (AW) Dressed In Blue (IRE)J: Liam Keniry Unibet Zero% Mission Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 4 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 3rd 66/1

10 Oct 24 Southwell (AW) The Pug (IRE)J: Joey Haynes Download The Raceday Ready App HandicapClass 6 · 11f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 16/5

04 Oct 24 Ascot Willy Campbell (IRE)J: Mr Ned Sangster Molton Brown Amateur Jockeys' Handicap (Male Amateur Riders)Class 4 · 7f · Soft · 13 ran 6th 20/1

28 Sep 24 Chelmsford City (AW) City Captain (GB)J: Shariq Mohd Betfair Safer Gambling Tools NurseryClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 11/1

22 Sep 24 Plumpton Escobedo (GB)J: Lily Jones Strong Flavours Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 4th 28/1

21 Sep 24 Newbury Brian (IRE)J: Liam Keniry Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes (Group 2)Class 1 · 6f · Heavy · 6 ran 5th 15/8F

20 Sep 24 Newbury Willy Campbell (IRE)J: Liam Keniry Fitzdares HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Soft · 10 ran 9th 16/1

16 Sep 24 Kempton (AW) Willy Campbell (IRE)J: Liam Keniry Unibet More Boosts In More Races HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 2nd 10/1

14 Sep 24 Bath Chaotic (GB)J: Shariq Mohd On Course Values Online DragonBet HandicapClass 6 · 5.5f · Good · 15 ran 13th 28/1

14 Sep 24 Bath City Captain (GB)J: Liam Keniry DragonBet- Born From The Betting Ring EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2)Class 4 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 9th 80/1

11 Sep 24 Lingfield (AW) The Pug (IRE)J: Rob Hornby Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 'Confined' HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 6/1

07 Sep 24 Kempton (AW) Brian (IRE)J: Liam Keniry Unibet Sirenia Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 3rd 16/5

05 Sep 24 Newbury In The City (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Download The BetVictor App EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Soft · 9 ran 9th 100/1

04 Sep 24 Southwell (AW) The Pug (IRE)J: P J McDonald Tips For Everyday At raceday-ready.com HandicapClass 6 · 11f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Sylvester Kirk's strike rate?: Sylvester Kirk has won 405 of 4,658 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Sylvester Kirk do best at?: Lingfield by strike rate: 15 wins from 111 runners (13.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Sylvester Kirk?: Liam Keniry, with 798 runners since 2008 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 58 (7.3%).
What is Sylvester Kirk's Fair A/E?: 0.96, from 4,638 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.