Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sends out around 10 runners a season, winning with 16% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.30). Debutants are a strength: 21% on first career starts (39 runs).
Deterministic profile computed from 157 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 24 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceFresh horses: 17.1%
The read
Debutants strike at 20.5% (n=39, Fair A/E 1.96). The yard also reads well over 1m5f – 2m (20%, n=95). The market has also underrated the yard in NH Flat races: Fair A/E 1.46 across 64 runners (18.8% strike, +17.53 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 11.9% over 42 runners, 4pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Tattersalls Ireland George Mernagh Memorial Sales Bumper at Fairyhouse (Apr 2013, £59,000).
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 15.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
17.1%+1.2
n=35 · A/E 1.66 · £1 +4.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
22.2%+6.3
n=9 · A/E 2.21 · £1 +9.50
Debutants · first career start
20.5%+4.6
n=39 · A/E 1.96 · £1 +26.08
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−15.9
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−15.9
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
46.7%
n=15 · A/E 1.52 · £1 +4.94
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
13.5%−2.4
n=96 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −23.39
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
12.5%−3.4
n=8 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −1.50
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 15.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
Over 1m5f – 2m20% vs 15.9% · n=95
With debutants20.5% vs 15.9% · n=39
Over 2m1f – 2m4f12% vs 15.9% · n=50
On Soft going11.9% vs 15.9% · n=42
Off a 15-30-day break12.5% vs 15.9% · n=40
In NH Flat races18.8% vs 15.9% · n=64
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
NH Flat641218.8%+17.53
Hurdle581017.2%−3.72
Chase1815.6%−15.12
Flat17211.8%−2.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Heavy46817.4%−3.63
Soft42511.9%−7.00
Good35514.3%+3.33
Good to Soft20525%+13.71
Good to Firm1200%−12.00
Firm22100%+2.28
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Limerick17741.2%+34.62
Punchestown15213.3%−7.92
Cork13323.1%+17.00
Down Royal1200%−12.00
Fairyhouse11327.3%+8.50
Thurles9111.1%−1.00
Tipperary9222.2%−4.22
Naas8225%+1.50
Listowel7228.6%−1.12
Gowran Park6116.7%+7.00
Wexford500%−5.00
Ballinrobe500%−5.00
Tramore500%−5.00
Galway400%−4.00
Bellewstown4125%−1.50
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 18112.5%−1.50
Class 2100%−1.00
Class 511100%+0.83
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite18738.9%1.35+1.94
2nd–3rd fav451022.2%1.21+0.25
4th–6th fav64710.9%1.45+11.50
7th+ in betting3013.3%1.03−17.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m5f – 2m951920%+16.98
2m1f – 2m4f50612%−8.29
2m5f – 3m1200%−12.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
200816425%−0.89
20097114.3%−4.50
2010200%−2.00
2011200%−2.00
20123266.7%+10.75
201315426.7%+23.00
201411218.2%−1.50
2015400%−4.00
2016400%−4.00
20179111.1%−1.00
201830413.3%+7.33
2019800%−8.00
202011327.3%+2.62
202119210.5%−9.50
20229222.2%−2.62
2023200%−2.00
2024200%−2.00
2026300%−3.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps18211.1%−1.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners38615.8%−12.49
11-13 runners3339.1%−5.00
14-16 runners30413.3%−6.00
17+ runners30620%+6.23
5-7 runners24625%+15.95
2-4 runners200%−2.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 48 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 48 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Henry De Bromhead (3) and Edward U Hales (2); 40 had their first archived run for this yard.
35 have since run for another yard, most often for C F Swan (5) and Dan Skelton (2); 13 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
18132912101311132538179
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
On Blueberry Hill (GB) — Tattersalls Ireland George Mernagh Memorial Sales Bumper Fairyhouse · Apr 2013
£59,000
On Eagles Wings (IRE) — Bar One Racing 'Download Our App' Kingsfurze Novice Hurdle (Grade 3) Naas · Mar 2021 · Grade 3
£16,225
On Raglan Road (IRE) — Peggy Barry-Walsh Memorial (Pro-Am) Flat Race Punchestown · Apr 2008
Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,276 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).
King's Theatre (IRE)0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.
Robin Des Champs (FR)18.2% · 2–11
Progeny have won 13.3% of 4,006 runs since 2008 (425 horses).
Oscar (IRE)20% · 2–10
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,542 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Kayf Tara (GB)25% · 2–8
Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,741 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.
Shantou (USA)0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,821 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 24 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 182 · newest first
The latest 50 of 182 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 February 2005 to 4 May 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is T E Hyde's strike rate?
T E Hyde has won 25 of 157 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 15.9% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is T E Hyde's Fair A/E?
1.30, from 157 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
T E Hyde·SR 15.9%·A/E 1.30
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