T J O'Mara
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 80 runners a season, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.72).
The record is strongest at Fairyhouse (10.5%, n=38) and Leopardstown (8.2%, n=73) — all clear of the yard's 4.2% baseline. It is weakest at Listowel (0% over 66 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 0% (n=41, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 3.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.64 and −273.87 to a £1 stake over 395 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. W. M. Lordan rides 36% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (4%, A/E 0.66). The yard also reads well in Chase races (12.2%, n=49). The stable star of the record: Eagle's Pass (IRE) — 10 wins from 100 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 2,113 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 2,113 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 January 2005 to 1 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 7 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0) · to 1 Nov 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is T J O'Mara's strike rate?
- T J O'Mara has won 62 of 1,483 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.2% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does T J O'Mara do best at?
- Leopardstown by strike rate: 6 wins from 73 runners (8.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for T J O'Mara?
- W. M. Lordan, with 530 runners since 2008 — 36% of the total. That pairing has won 21 (4%).
- Is T J O'Mara in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is T J O'Mara's Fair A/E?
- 0.72, from 1,482 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.