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Trainer profile

Tom Weston

393 runners in the lifetime window · 114 individual horses
As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 3 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
40–393
Wins / Runs
10.2%
Strike rate
n=393
78 (20%)
Placed
1.29
n=391 · 1.10 incl. margin
−154.42
£1 level stake
n=393 at SP · −39.3%
£245k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
9.1%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.29).

Deterministic profile computed from 393 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Dec–Feb Sean Bowen: 23% from 61
The read

It is weakest at Ludlow (2.9% over 34 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 4.2% (n=119, Fair A/E 0.69). Sean Bowen rides 16% of the entries and beats the yard's average (23% vs 10.2%, A/E 1.76) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Chase races (18.7%, n=107). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 4.5% over 179 runners, 5.7pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: The Late Legend (GB) — 6 wins from 33 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
9.1%−1.1
n=66 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −32.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
5.6%−4.6
n=18 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −13.00
Debutants · first career start
6.2%−4.0
n=97 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −51.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
12.5%+2.3
n=16 · A/E 2.24 · £1 +5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−10.2
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
57.7%
n=26 · A/E 1.98 · £1 +22.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.2%−6.0
n=119 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −94.17
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−10.2
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 38.7% vs 10.2% · n=31
With Sean Bowen 23% vs 10.2% · n=61
In Chase races 18.7% vs 10.2% · n=107
Over 1m5f – 2m 4.5% vs 10.2% · n=179
With claiming riders up 4.2% vs 10.2% · n=119
At Ludlow 2.9% vs 10.2% · n=34
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 165 12 7.3% −97.00
NH Flat 121 8 6.6% −58.50
Chase 107 20 18.7% +1.08

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 177 22 12.4% −52.42
Good to Soft 90 7 7.8% −33.75
Soft 89 6 6.7% −59.25
Heavy 29 4 13.8% −3.25
Good to Firm 7 1 14.3% −4.75
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Worcester 39 4 10.3% −26.67
Hereford 39 2 5.1% −28.50
Uttoxeter 36 5 13.9% +3.75
Warwick 34 3 8.8% −18.25
Ludlow 34 1 2.9% −25.00
Huntingdon 32 5 15.6% −5.00
Chepstow 23 1 4.3% −13.00
Doncaster 20 2 10% −8.00
Stratford 18 2 11.1% −9.00
Southwell 11 2 18.2% +5.50
Bangor-on-Dee 11 0 0% −11.00
Leicester 10 1 10% −4.00
Wincanton 9 0 0% −9.00
Exeter 9 3 33.3% +21.00
Taunton 9 0 0% −9.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 193 23 11.9% −47.42
Class 4 158 14 8.9% −85.50
Class 3 31 3 9.7% −10.50
Class 2 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 31 15 48.4% 1.76 +17.50
2nd–3rd fav 66 15 22.7% 1.48 +15.58
4th–6th fav 116 8 6.9% 1.00 −43.50
7th+ in betting 180 2 1.1% 0.47 −144.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
76.5% completed · 272 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 107 72.9% 1 3 25 0 0
Hurdle 165 78.8% 0 1 34 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
The Late Legend (GB) 33 6 11 11 May 24
Coopers Square (IRE) 20 5 7 12 Mar 20
Stumps Or Slips (IRE)then Olly Murphy 19 2 7 4 Nov 24
Western Climate (IRE)then Henry Oliver 19 3 4 21 Mar 19
Silent Man (IRE)then Tom Lacey 19 3 3 4 Jul 18
Thoonavolla (IRE)from Eoin Doyle 18 3 7 9 Jul 18
Sunday Central (GB)from Liam Lennon 13 1 2 27 Nov 19
Taken By Force (IRE) 10 0 0 23 Aug 18
Free Return (IRE) 10 0 0 18 Jul 18
Cold Knight (GB)from Alan King 9 1 2 16 Jul 17
Notnownotnever (IRE) 8 0 0 15 Jul 21
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 114 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 10 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Gordon Elliott (2); 50 had their first archived run for this yard.

24 have since run for another yard, most often for Sarah-Jayne Davies (5) and Dan Skelton (2); 36 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
131477161000013814
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderSean Bowen
16% of all rides
23% SR · A/E 1.76
RiderRWSR£1
Sean Bowen 61 14 23% +11.00
Luke Scott 38 2 5.3% −25.50
Adam Wedge 35 2 5.7% −25.50
Charlie Poste 34 1 2.9% −25.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→
40
Archived wins
£245k
Prize money
2017
Best season · 7 wins
Western Climate (IRE) — Hartnoll Hotel Handicap Chase Exeter · Jan 2018 · Class 3
£11,499
Western Climate (IRE) — Rowles Fine Art Novices' Chase Ludlow · Dec 2017 · Class 3
£10,077
Tullow Tonic (IRE) — mezzanine7.com Mares' Handicap Hurdle (Qualifier For The Mares' Hurdle Series Final) Sandown · Dec 2016 · Class 3
£9,384

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Midnight Legend (GB) 18.2% · 6–33
Progeny have won 14.2% of 8,311 runs since 2008 (494 horses).
Beneficial (GB) 22.6% · 7–31
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,045 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Getaway (GER) 7.7% · 2–26
Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,979 runs since 2016 (1,029 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.
Morozov (USA) 19.2% · 5–26
Progeny have won 10.8% of 2,315 runs since 2009 (155 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 434.
Westerner (GB) 19.2% · 5–26
Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,853 runs since 2009 (943 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.
Mahler (GB) 22.7% · 5–22
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,871 runs since 2014 (786 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 393 · newest first

The latest 50 of 393 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 12 May 2015 to 1 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
28 Mar 26 Uttoxeter Seven Airs (IRE)J: Robert Dunne QuinnBet Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 4th 28/1
13 Mar 26 Doncaster Locksman (GB)J: Sean Quinlan Virgin Bet 'Junior' NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 6th 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tom Weston's strike rate?
Tom Weston has won 40 of 393 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tom Weston do best at?
Huntingdon by strike rate: 5 wins from 32 runners (15.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Tom Weston?
Sean Bowen, with 61 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (23%).
Is Tom Weston in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Tom Weston's Fair A/E?
1.29, from 391 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 4 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).