Tom Weston
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.29).
It is weakest at Ludlow (2.9% over 34 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 4.2% (n=119, Fair A/E 0.69). Sean Bowen rides 16% of the entries and beats the yard's average (23% vs 10.2%, A/E 1.76) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Chase races (18.7%, n=107). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 4.5% over 179 runners, 5.7pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: The Late Legend (GB) — 6 wins from 33 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Feb.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2015→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 393 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 393 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 12 May 2015 to 1 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Tom Weston's strike rate?
- Tom Weston has won 40 of 393 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Tom Weston do best at?
- Huntingdon by strike rate: 5 wins from 32 runners (15.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Tom Weston?
- Sean Bowen, with 61 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (23%).
- Is Tom Weston in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Tom Weston's Fair A/E?
- 1.29, from 391 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.