What is W. P. Mullins's strike rate?

W. P. Mullins has won 3,916 of 15,818 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 24.8% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does W. P. Mullins do best at?

Clonmel by strike rate: 156 wins from 414 runners (37.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for W. P. Mullins?

Paul Townend, with 3,918 runners since 2008 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 1222 (31.2%).

Is W. P. Mullins in form?

In the last 14 days: 22 runners, 6 winners, a strike rate of 27.3%. That is in line with the baseline of 24.8% since 2008.

What is W. P. Mullins's Fair A/E?

1.13, from 15,802 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

W. P. Mullins

15,818 runners in the lifetime window · 1,796 individual horses

As at 9 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 4.5% of 1,218 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 9 Nov 2026.

Won yesterday Last runner yesterday

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

3,916–15,818

Wins / Runs

24.8%

Strike rate

n=15,818

7,428 (47%)

Placed

1.13

Fair A/E

n=15,802 · 0.92 incl. margin

−2,034.97

£1 level stake

n=15,818 at SP · −12.9%

£123.3m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

20.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 830 runners a season, winning with 25% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.13). New recruits from other yards win at 39% first time out (617 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 15,818 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 9 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Feb Fresh horses: 27.5% 47.5% when favourite Paul Townend: 31.2% from 3,918 New recruits: 39.2% Sends off the favourite in 35% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Clonmel (37.7%, n=414), clear of the yard's 24.8% baseline. It is weakest at Cheltenham (11.9% over 1,021 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 39.2% (n=617, Fair A/E 1.35), but a horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 16.3% (n=289, Fair A/E 1.10). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 18.4% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.27 and +42.00 to a £1 stake over 1,177 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Paul Townend rides 25% of the entries and beats the yard's average (31.2% vs 24.8%, A/E 1.15) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 1,148 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Randox Grand National Handicap Chase at Aintree (Apr 2026, £500,000). The stable star of the record: Hurricane Fly (IRE) — 24 wins from 32 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Nov–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 24.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

27.5%+2.7

n=4,012 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −344.30

New recruits · first run for the yard

39.2%+14.4

n=617 · A/E 1.35 · £1 +167.01

Debutants · first career start

34.5%+9.7

n=1,094 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −88.77

First-time headgear · true-first definition

16.5%−8.3

n=575 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −225.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

16.3%−8.5

n=289 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −23.87

When favourite

47.5%

n=5,531 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −229.79

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

18.4%−6.4

n=1,177 · A/E 1.27 · £1 +42.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

18.7%−6.1

n=5,976 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −981.87

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 24.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With new recruits 39.2% vs 24.8% · n=617

At Cheltenham 11.9% vs 24.8% · n=1,021

With Brian Hayes 11.5% vs 24.8% · n=600

At Clonmel 37.7% vs 24.8% · n=414

With Sean O'Keeffe 11.7% vs 24.8% · n=343

With Rachael Blackmore 9.7% vs 24.8% · n=134

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 68.1% of the archive so far (as at 9 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 7,683 1930 25.1% −959.78

Chase 4,500 1071 23.8% −723.01

NH Flat 1,912 596 31.2% −188.22

Flat 1,723 319 18.5% −163.96

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 6,574 1535 23.3% −1,020.61

Heavy 3,480 1066 30.6% −321.44

Good 3,015 742 24.6% −438.97

Good to Soft 2,207 472 21.4% −189.87

Good to Firm 420 86 20.5% −7.81

Standard (AW) 102 12 11.8% −47.17

Firm 20 3 15% −9.10

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Punchestown 2,322 550 23.7% −147.32

Leopardstown 1,535 294 19.2% −375.79

Fairyhouse 1,518 361 23.8% −301.98

Cheltenham 1,021 121 11.9% −112.64

Galway 854 169 19.8% −72.12

Thurles 636 200 31.4% −45.58

Gowran Park 630 190 30.2% −22.43

Naas 622 182 29.3% −69.87

Navan 598 157 26.3% −124.59

Cork 572 183 32% −60.09

Limerick 551 187 33.9% −26.15

Listowel 478 122 25.5% −89.92

Tramore 454 155 34.1% −43.84

Clonmel 414 156 37.7% +25.31

Killarney 407 110 27% −15.66

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 6,246 1143 18.3% −1,008.63

Class 2 285 37 13% −11.51

Class 4 28 17 60.7% −2.25

Class 3 15 5 33.3% +10.40

Class 5 5 2 40% −1.74

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 5,937 2744 46.2% 1.17 −222.96

2nd–3rd fav 4,589 845 18.4% 1.04 −706.81

4th–6th fav 2,919 245 8.4% 1.08 −476.20

7th+ in betting 2,373 82 3.5% 0.99 −629.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m5f – 2m 5,916 1663 28.1% −642.16

2m1f – 2m4f 5,400 1418 26.3% −646.25

2m5f – 3m 3,165 629 19.9% −608.01

Over 3m 758 110 14.5% −97.97

1m2f – 1m4f 400 73 18.3% +10.47

1m – 1m1f 111 16 14.4% −22.75

6f – 7f 65 7 10.8% −25.30

Under 6f 3 0 0% −3.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 648 137 21.1% −30.58

2009 694 177 25.5% −81.15

2010 499 112 22.4% −46.66

2011 626 146 23.3% −138.04

2012 712 201 28.2% −87.10

2013 782 216 27.6% −119.50

2014 709 201 28.3% −136.45

2015 768 228 29.7% +29.95

2016 714 222 31.1% −5.74

2017 832 219 26.3% −63.14

2018 1,134 261 23% −74.00

2019 961 201 20.9% −189.40

2020 666 170 25.5% −89.60

2021 891 207 23.2% −88.57

2022 1,017 250 24.6% −236.98

2023 1,032 275 26.6% −213.62

2024 1,086 254 23.4% −181.97

2025 1,091 245 22.5% −88.83

2026 956 194 20.3% −193.59

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 3,829 413 10.8% −776.67

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

17+ runners 3,807 592 15.6% −418.46

5-7 runners 3,173 1030 32.5% −241.50

8-10 runners 3,072 840 27.3% −333.94

14-16 runners 2,621 581 22.2% −595.87

11-13 runners 2,544 612 24.1% −418.94

2-4 runners 601 261 43.4% −26.26

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

86.7% completed · 12,183 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 4,500 80% 323 111 438 16 10

Hurdle 7,683 90.6% 218 42 419 22 18

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Wicklow Brave (GB) 54 17 27 8 Sep 19

Thousand Stars (FR)from L Byrne 47 10 23 9 Jul 16

Deutschland (USA)from Michael Jarvis 47 6 15 11 Jan 13

Stratum (GB)from John Gosden 43 10 16 21 Oct 23

Ballycasey (IRE) 43 11 16 4 May 19

Easy Game (FR)from G Taupin 42 19 26 4 Aug 24

Sharjah (FR)from H-F Devin 42 12 21 30 Apr 24

Uncle Junior (IRE) 41 7 16 28 Apr 16

Scotsirish (IRE) 39 7 14 13 Mar 12

Zaidpour (FR)from A De Royer-Dupre 36 9 18 30 Apr 15

Kemboy (FR)from F Matzinger 35 10 19 25 Feb 23

Bacardys (FR) 35 7 15 4 Oct 22

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,796 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 25 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 30 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from G Cherel (3) and G Macaire (2); 30 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for John C McConnell (3); 51 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

6 from 22 27.3% · +2.5pts vs baseline

Last 14 days27.3%

Lifetime base24.8%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

322720202326262522242926

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderPaul Townend

25% of all rides
31.2% SR · A/E 1.15

RiderRWSR£1

Paul Townend 3,918 1222 31.2% −335.10

R Walsh 2,367 789 33.3% −213.88

Mr P W Mullins 2,353 785 33.4% −161.94

Danny Mullins 1,220 188 15.4% −167.84

Brian Hayes 600 69 11.5% −252.95

Mark Walsh 387 100 25.8% −79.37

David Mullins 357 55 15.4% −108.78

Sean O'Keeffe 343 40 11.7% −108.79

D J Casey 281 35 12.5% −104.24

Miss J Townend 254 65 25.6% −3.13

B J Cooper 235 57 24.3% −46.93

Emmet Mullins 223 43 19.3% −4.18

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

4,173

Archived wins

1,148

Pattern / graded wins

£129.3m

Prize money

2023

Best season · 275 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

I Am Maximus (FR) — Randox Grand National Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Aintree · Apr 2026 · Class 1

£500,000

I Am Maximus (FR) — Randox Grand National Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Aintree · Apr 2024 · Class 1

£500,000

Nick Rockett (IRE) — Randox Grand National Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Aintree · Apr 2025 · Class 1

£500,000

Notable horses

Hurricane Fly (IRE) Un De Sceaux (FR) Easy Game (FR) Wicklow Brave (GB) Faugheen (IRE) Bachasson (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Presenting (GB) 22.7% · 115–506

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Flemensfirth (USA) 26.2% · 116–443

Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,292 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

King's Theatre (IRE) 29.7% · 115–387

Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.

Walk In The Park (IRE) 31.6% · 113–358

Progeny have won 13.4% of 7,063 runs since 2011 (709 horses).

Saint Des Saints (FR) 23.8% · 75–315

Progeny have won 15% of 5,361 runs since 2008 (643 horses).

Authorized (IRE) 25.2% · 66–262

Progeny have won 13.5% of 7,036 runs since 2011 (543 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.3% from 1,044. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 19.8% from 126. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 267.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 9 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 17,409 · newest first

The latest 50 of 17,409 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 8 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

08 Nov 26 Naas (IRE) Bertutea (FR)J: Danny Mullins Into Kildare Beginners Steeplechase16f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran F 22/1

08 Nov 26 Naas (IRE) Arcadian Emperor (FR)J: Mark Walsh Into Kildare Beginners Steeplechase16f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 3rd 12/1

08 Nov 26 Naas (IRE) Anzadam (FR)J: Paul Townend Into Kildare Beginners Steeplechase16f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 1st 8/13F

08 Nov 26 Naas (IRE) Westport Cove (FR)J: Sean O'Keeffe Barberstown Castle Steeplechase (Grade 3)Class 1 · 16f · Good To Yielding · 4 ran 3rd 14/1

08 Nov 26 Naas (IRE) Kopek Des Bordes (FR)J: Paul Townend Barberstown Castle Steeplechase (Grade 3)Class 1 · 16f · Good To Yielding · 4 ran 2nd 1/4F

08 Nov 26 Naas (IRE) Love Me Tender (GER)J: Paul Townend Overlander Fishery Lane Novice Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 4 ran 1st 1/2F

05 Nov 26 Clonmel (IRE) Kappa Jy Pyke (FR)J: Danny Mullins Clonmel Oil Steeplechase (Grade 2)Class 1 · 21f · Good To Yielding · 3 ran 1st 2/9F

05 Nov 26 Clonmel (IRE) Boo Radley (IRE)J: Charlie O'Dwyer Clonmel Oil Service Station Handicap Hurdle24f · Good · 7 ran 4th 11/2

04 Nov 26 Wexford (IRE) Zara's Dream (IRE)J: Danny Mullins Racing Tv Free Trial For A Month Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 2nd 100/30

03 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Caher Roes Den (IRE)J: Paul Townend Irish Stallion Farms EBF Beginners Steeplechase24.5f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 7th 9/2

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Thread Of Gold (IRE)J: W. J. Lee QuinnBet Finale Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 12f · Yielding · 12 ran 1st 2/1F

01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) You Oughta Know (IRE)J: Josh Williamson Paddy Power Cork Grand National Handicap Steeplechase28f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 4th 18/1

01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Fou De Toi (FR)J: Paul Townend Paddy Power Cork Grand National Handicap Steeplechase28f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 3rd 5/4F

01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Vicar Street (IRE)J: Mark Walsh Paddy Power Betting Shops Irish EBF Novice Steeplechase (Grade 3)Class 1 · 20f · Good To Yielding · 6 ran 3rd 5/1

01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Love Me Tender (FR)J: Harry Cobden Paddy Power Betting Shops Irish EBF Novice Steeplechase (Grade 3)Class 1 · 20f · Good To Yielding · 6 ran 1st 1/1F

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Absurde (FR)J: W. J. Lee QuinnBet Loughbrown Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 16.5f · Yielding · 11 ran 11th 22/1

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Endless Victory (GB)J: G. F. Carroll QuinnBet Loughbrown Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 16.5f · Yielding · 11 ran 10th 22/1

01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Roc Dino (FR)J: Paul Townend Paddy Power 'How Many Days 'Til Christmas?' Irish EBF Novice Hurdle (Listed)Class 1 · 24.5f · Good To Yielding · 6 ran 1st 5/4F

01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Cosmic Front (GB)J: Paul Townend Paddy Power 'Did You Watch The Breeders Cup At All?' Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 19 ran 9th 25/1

01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Mailloche (FR)J: Brian Hayes Paddy Power From The Horse's Mouth Podcast Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 4th 7/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 6 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 14 runs (won 3, 2 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 13 runs (won 4, 2 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 7 runs (won 1, 1 did not run) · to 8 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is W. P. Mullins's strike rate?: W. P. Mullins has won 3,916 of 15,818 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 24.8% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does W. P. Mullins do best at?: Clonmel by strike rate: 156 wins from 414 runners (37.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for W. P. Mullins?: Paul Townend, with 3,918 runners since 2008 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 1222 (31.2%).
Is W. P. Mullins in form?: In the last 14 days: 22 runners, 6 winners, a strike rate of 27.3%. That is in line with the baseline of 24.8% since 2008.
What is W. P. Mullins's Fair A/E?: 1.13, from 15,802 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.