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Racecourse statistics

Market Rasen racecourse statistics

Every runner at Market Rasen in our archive in the last 5 years (since 1 October 2021): who wins here, how favourites fare, the biggest-priced winners, the draw and the angles that have paid at SP.

Figures as at 19 Oct 2026, 16:58 · last meeting in our archive 17 Oct 2026

Covers 1 October 2021 – 20 October 2026

680races · 100 meetings
5,132runners · 3,279 horses
36.2%favourites won · 264 of 729Last 12 months: 33.1% (50 of 151)
40/1biggest-priced winner · Little Lady Rock (IRE)

In brief

as at 19 Oct 2026

Market Rasen has staged 680 races over 100 meetings in our archive in the last 5 years (since 1 October 2021), with 5,132 runners.

Favourites have won 36.2% of their runs here (264 from 729), a level-stakes P/L of −46.50 points to a £1 stake at SP.

Olly Murphy has the most winners here (48 from 189 runners, 25.4%). Among yards with 30 or more runners, Kim Bailey has the best win rate: 30.0% (9 from 30).

Sean Bowen has the most winners here (60 from 220 rides, 27.3%). Among riders with 30 or more rides, Harry Cobden has the best win rate: 29.7% (11 from 37).

2 angles here made a level-stakes profit at SP in both periods we test, on 100 or more runs.

Favourites and the market

by starting-price rank

Favourites have won 36.2% of their runs here (264 from 729), a level-stakes P/L of −46.50 points to a £1 stake at SP.

Position in the bettingRunsWonWin %£1 P/LFair A/E
FavouriteRuns 729Won 264Win 36.2%£1 −46.50A/E 1.05
2nd–3rd in the bettingRuns 1,380Won 265Win 19.2%£1 −138.37A/E 1.06
4th–6th in the bettingRuns 1,798Won 122Win 6.8%£1 −588.00A/E 0.87
7th or biggerRuns 1,225Won 31Win 2.5%£1 −611.00A/E 0.81

Favourites by race type

RacesRunsWonWin %£1 P/LFair A/E
HurdleRuns 418Won 160Win 38.3%£1 −36.30A/E 1.06
ChaseRuns 256Won 81Win 31.6%£1 −10.69A/E 1.04
NH FlatRuns 54Won 22Win 40.7%£1 −0.61A/E 1.05
FlatRuns 1Won 1Win 100.0%£1 +1.10A/E 2.29

Favourites by going

GoingRunsWonWin %£1 P/LFair A/E
GoodRuns 398Won 142Win 35.7%£1 −20.99A/E 1.03
Good to SoftRuns 227Won 82Win 36.1%£1 −21.21A/E 1.07
SoftRuns 100Won 38Win 38.0%£1 −3.88A/E 1.11
HeavyRuns 4Won 2Win 50.0%£1 −0.42A/E 1.24

Favourites include joint favourites. Dimmed rows have fewer than 30 runs. Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation at SP. Favourite-heavy samples naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". £1 P/L is level stakes at SP.

Trainers

last 5 years

Olly Murphy has the most winners here (48 from 189 runners, 25.4%). Among yards with 30 or more runners, Kim Bailey has the best win rate: 30.0% (9 from 30).

Most winners

TrainerRunsWonWin %£1 P/LFair A/E
Olly MurphyRuns 189Won 48Win 25.4%£1 −7.56A/E 1.12
Dan SkeltonRuns 174Won 36Win 20.7%£1 −55.95A/E 0.89
Fergal O'BrienRuns 192Won 33Win 17.2%£1 −28.84A/E 1.00
Micky HammondRuns 134Won 18Win 13.4%£1 −0.66A/E 1.23
James OwenRuns 56Won 15Win 26.8%£1 −0.13A/E 1.47
Nigel Twiston-DaviesRuns 54Won 13Win 24.1%£1 −5.54A/E 1.27
L J MorganRuns 107Won 12Win 11.2%£1 −39.47A/E 0.99
Nicky RichardsRuns 41Won 11Win 26.8%£1 +15.70A/E 1.95
Adrian KeatleyRuns 47Won 11Win 23.4%£1 +12.88A/E 1.58
Ben PaulingRuns 63Won 11Win 17.5%£1 −22.94A/E 0.98

Ordered by winners here; a tie goes to the fewer runners.

Best win %

TrainerRunsWonWin %£1 P/LFair A/E
Kim BaileyRuns 30Won 9Win 30.0%£1 +17.46A/E 1.63
Tom LaceyRuns 37Won 10Win 27.0%£1 +1.38A/E 1.29
Nicky RichardsRuns 41Won 11Win 26.8%£1 +15.70A/E 1.95
James OwenRuns 56Won 15Win 26.8%£1 −0.13A/E 1.47
Olly MurphyRuns 189Won 48Win 25.4%£1 −7.56A/E 1.12
Nigel Twiston-DaviesRuns 54Won 13Win 24.1%£1 −5.54A/E 1.27
Adrian KeatleyRuns 47Won 11Win 23.4%£1 +12.88A/E 1.58
Jamie SnowdenRuns 36Won 8Win 22.2%£1 +12.58A/E 1.25
Mickey BowenRuns 43Won 9Win 20.9%£1 −11.14A/E 1.04
Dan SkeltonRuns 174Won 36Win 20.7%£1 −55.95A/E 0.89

Ordered by win rate, among those with 30 or more runners here; a tie goes to the bigger sample.

Beat the market

TrainerRunsWonWin %£1 P/LFair A/E
James OwenRuns 56Won 15Win 26.8%£1 −0.13A/E 1.47
Nigel Twiston-DaviesRuns 54Won 13Win 24.1%£1 −5.54A/E 1.27
Rebecca MenziesRuns 63Won 10Win 15.9%£1 −3.68A/E 1.25
Micky HammondRuns 134Won 18Win 13.4%£1 −0.66A/E 1.23
Ryan PotterRuns 50Won 8Win 16.0%£1 −1.43A/E 1.23
Philip KirbyRuns 57Won 8Win 14.0%£1 −0.88A/E 1.21
Jonjo O'NeillRuns 59Won 9Win 15.3%£1 −4.72A/E 1.21
Olly MurphyRuns 189Won 48Win 25.4%£1 −7.56A/E 1.12
Oliver Greenall & Josh GuerrieroRuns 55Won 10Win 18.2%£1 −17.54A/E 1.08
Mike SowersbyRuns 117Won 6Win 5.1%£1 −41.00A/E 1.06

Ordered by fair A/E, among those with 50 or more runners at a fair price here: above 1.00, their winners came at bigger prices than the margin-free market expected.

£1 P/L is level stakes at SP. Dimmed rows have fewer than 30 runners.

Jockeys

last 5 years

Sean Bowen has the most winners here (60 from 220 rides, 27.3%). Among riders with 30 or more rides, Harry Cobden has the best win rate: 29.7% (11 from 37).

Most winners

JockeyRunsWonWin %£1 P/LFair A/E
Sean BowenRuns 220Won 60Win 27.3%£1 −22.06A/E 1.22
Brian HughesRuns 184Won 33Win 17.9%£1 −0.03A/E 1.13
Harry SkeltonRuns 111Won 27Win 24.3%£1 −21.53A/E 0.88
Sam Twiston-DaviesRuns 103Won 26Win 25.2%£1 −13.48A/E 1.29
James BowenRuns 84Won 19Win 22.6%£1 +8.60A/E 1.38
Jonathan BurkeRuns 88Won 19Win 21.6%£1 +4.23A/E 1.17
Danny McMenaminRuns 87Won 16Win 18.4%£1 −24.43A/E 1.16
Henry BrookeRuns 61Won 14Win 23.0%£1 +5.58A/E 1.57
Gavin SheehanRuns 90Won 13Win 14.4%£1 −20.67A/E 0.90
Harry CobdenRuns 37Won 11Win 29.7%£1 +14.63A/E 1.67

Ordered by winners here; a tie goes to the fewer rides.

Best win %

JockeyRunsWonWin %£1 P/LFair A/E
Harry CobdenRuns 37Won 11Win 29.7%£1 +14.63A/E 1.67
Sean BowenRuns 220Won 60Win 27.3%£1 −22.06A/E 1.22
Sam Twiston-DaviesRuns 103Won 26Win 25.2%£1 −13.48A/E 1.29
Harry SkeltonRuns 111Won 27Win 24.3%£1 −21.53A/E 0.88
Henry BrookeRuns 61Won 14Win 23.0%£1 +5.58A/E 1.57
James BowenRuns 84Won 19Win 22.6%£1 +8.60A/E 1.38
Paddy BrennanRuns 31Won 7Win 22.6%£1 −9.38A/E 1.02
Jonathan BurkeRuns 88Won 19Win 21.6%£1 +4.23A/E 1.17
Jack AndrewsRuns 42Won 9Win 21.4%£1 +1.35A/E 1.43
Paul O'BrienRuns 51Won 10Win 19.6%£1 −12.12A/E 1.06

Ordered by win rate, among those with 30 or more rides here; a tie goes to the bigger sample.

Beat the market

JockeyRunsWonWin %£1 P/LFair A/E
Henry BrookeRuns 61Won 14Win 23.0%£1 +5.58A/E 1.57
Joe WilliamsonRuns 59Won 9Win 15.3%£1 +7.12A/E 1.44
Richie McLernonRuns 53Won 7Win 13.2%£1 +7.75A/E 1.42
Lee EdwardsRuns 68Won 10Win 14.7%£1 +37.08A/E 1.41
James BowenRuns 84Won 19Win 22.6%£1 +8.60A/E 1.38
Charlie ToddRuns 59Won 9Win 15.3%£1 +35.31A/E 1.36
William MaggsRuns 64Won 10Win 15.6%£1 +3.24A/E 1.30
Sam Twiston-DaviesRuns 103Won 26Win 25.2%£1 −13.48A/E 1.29
Sean BowenRuns 220Won 60Win 27.3%£1 −22.06A/E 1.22
Jack HoganRuns 52Won 6Win 11.5%£1 −15.50A/E 1.17

Ordered by fair A/E, among those with 50 or more rides at a fair price here: above 1.00, their winners came at bigger prices than the margin-free market expected.

£1 P/L is level stakes at SP. Dimmed rows have fewer than 30 rides.

Course specialists

3+ wins here

Giovanni Change (FR) has won here 5 times from 22 runs, more than any other horse in the last 5 years (since 1 October 2021).

Biggest-priced winners

at starting price

The biggest-priced winner here in the last 5 years (since 1 October 2021) was Little Lady Rock (IRE) at 40/1 on 5 July 2026.

Angles that have paid

at SP, two periods

Past results at starting price, not a forecast. Each angle made a £1 level-stakes profit in both periods (Jan 2005 – Sep 2021, and since Oct 2021), with at least 100 SP-priced runs and 10 winners in all, and is still in profit with its single biggest winner taken out. The same on every view of this page.

  • Rides by Lee Edwards+38.7% ROI · +49.58 pts from 128 runs · 17 winners (13.3%)Jan 2005 – Sep 2021: +20.8% on 60 · Since Oct 2021: +54.5% on 68 · without the biggest winner (40/1): +8.58 pts
  • Runners by Flemensfirth (USA) (sire)+24.2% ROI · +63.83 pts from 264 runs · 54 winners (20.5%)Jan 2005 – Sep 2021: +28.9% on 206 · Since Oct 2021: +7.4% on 58 · without the biggest winner (33/1): +29.83 pts

Quick answers

How do favourites do at Market Rasen?

Favourites (joint favourites included) have won 264 of 729 runs at Market Rasen in the last 5 years (since 1 October 2021) — 36.2%, a £1 level-stakes P/L of −46.50 points at SP (as at 19 Oct 2026).

Which trainer has the most winners at Market Rasen?

Olly Murphy, with 48 winners from 189 runners (25.4%) in the last 5 years (since 1 October 2021).

Which jockey has ridden the most winners at Market Rasen?

Sean Bowen, with 60 winners from 220 rides (27.3%) in the last 5 years (since 1 October 2021).

Which trainer has the best strike rate at Market Rasen?

Among yards with 30 or more runners here in the last 5 years (since 1 October 2021), Kim Bailey has the best win rate: 30.0% (9 from 30).

Which jockey has the best strike rate at Market Rasen?

Among riders with 30 or more rides here in the last 5 years (since 1 October 2021), Harry Cobden has the best win rate: 29.7% (11 from 37).

Which horses have won most at Market Rasen?

The leading course winners in the last 5 years (since 1 October 2021): Giovanni Change (FR) (5 from 22), Belvedere Blast (IRE) (4 from 17), Ask Paddington (IRE) (3 from 3).

What is the biggest-priced winner at Market Rasen?

Little Lady Rock (IRE) at 40/1 on 5 July 2026 in the Malton Marquees Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) — the biggest starting price among Market Rasen winners in the last 5 years (since 1 October 2021).

Is there a draw bias at Market Rasen?

No trip at Market Rasen shows the lowest and highest thirds of the stalls more than 3 points apart on samples of 100 or more runs each, in Flat races of 8 or more runners in the last 5 years (since 1 October 2021).

About Market Rasen

checked October 2026

Layout and key facts

  • Where: Market Rasen, Lincolnshire, on the A631 — jumps only, turf.
  • Shape: Right-handed and fairly sharp, about 1m2f round, with a short run-in from the last.
  • Season: Racing all year round, with a full summer programme.

Going and the seasons

  • Summer: Good or good to firm is usual from May to September, with watering.
  • Winter: The November to February fixtures race on softer ground, though Lincolnshire is drier than the western tracks.

Signature races and fixtures

  • July: The Summer Plate (about 2m5f handicap chase) and the Summer Hurdle (2m).

Practical notes

  • Getting there: By road from Lincoln and the A46 or A15 with parking on site; by rail to Market Rasen and a short walk.
  • Viewing: Good sightlines from the stands and the paddock on a compact course.

These notes are written and checked by KTB (last checked October 2026); the statistics above are computed from our results archive. Check the course's own site for fixtures, going and travel before you go.