Christine Dunnett
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 120 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.79). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 7% (89 runs).
The record is strongest at Wolverhampton (AW) (7.5%, n=228), clear of the yard's 4% baseline. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=100, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 2.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.58 and −437.92 to a £1 stake over 645 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Kieran O'Neill rides 9% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (3.8%, A/E 0.67). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 0% over 116 runners, 4pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Danzoe (IRE) — 12 wins from 97 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Oct–Nov.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 3,191 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 3,191 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 29 January 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Christine Dunnett's strike rate?
- Christine Dunnett has won 94 of 2,326 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Christine Dunnett do best at?
- Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 17 wins from 228 runners (7.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Christine Dunnett?
- Kieran O'Neill, with 213 runners since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (3.8%).
- What is Christine Dunnett's Fair A/E?
- 0.79, from 2,313 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.