What is E McNamara's strike rate?

E McNamara has won 201 of 2,803 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does E McNamara do best at?

Roscommon by strike rate: 8 wins from 77 runners (10.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for E McNamara?

Conor McNamara, with 499 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 43 (8.6%).

Is E McNamara in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is E McNamara's Fair A/E?

1.03, from 2,802 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

E McNamara

2,803 runners in the lifetime window · 339 individual horses

As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 7.5% of 239 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 7 Nov 2026.

Last runner 6 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

201–2,803

Wins / Runs

7.2%

Strike rate

n=2,803

583 (21%)

Placed

1.03

Fair A/E

n=2,802 · 0.80 incl. margin

−797.36

£1 level stake

n=2,803 at SP · −28.4%

£3.24m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

4.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 150 runners a season, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,803 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 7 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Dec–Jan 28.9% when favourite Conor McNamara: 8.6% from 499 Sends off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 1.7% (n=119, Fair A/E 0.31). In Group and Graded company the record are the standout value angle: 8.5% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.24 and +5.75 to a £1 stake over 176 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet debutants: 2.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.76 and −54.50 to a £1 stake over 156 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Conor McNamara rides 18% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.6%, A/E 1.35) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly in NH Flat races — 0% over 58 runners, 7.2pts below the baseline. 21 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Paddy Power Chase at Leopardstown (Dec 2022, £110,000). The stable star of the record: Millstream Lady (IRE) — 7 wins from 26 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Jan.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.8%−2.4

n=685 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −294.53

New recruits · first run for the yard

4.2%−3.0

n=143 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −78.38

Debutants · first career start

2.6%−4.6

n=156 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −54.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

1.7%−5.5

n=119 · A/E 0.31 · £1 −114.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

6.9%−0.3

n=145 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −61.50

When favourite

28.9%

n=180 · A/E 1.24 · £1 −1.48

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.9%−0.3

n=1,287 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −376.89

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8.5%+1.3

n=176 · A/E 1.24 · £1 +5.75

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With R Walsh 22.6% vs 7.2% · n=31

With Mark Walsh 15.7% vs 7.2% · n=70

With Patrick M O'Brien 15.8% vs 7.2% · n=38

In NH Flat races 0% vs 7.2% · n=58

With Barry Geraghty 14.3% vs 7.2% · n=49

With C&D winners 12.4% vs 7.2% · n=185

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,818 137 7.5% −498.48

Chase 617 43 7% −219.88

Flat 310 21 6.8% −21.00

NH Flat 58 0 0% −58.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 1,023 80 7.8% −202.48

Good 694 44 6.3% −244.45

Heavy 614 51 8.3% −163.30

Good to Soft 310 16 5.2% −98.50

Good to Firm 102 6 5.9% −60.88

Standard (AW) 51 4 7.8% −18.75

Firm 9 0 0% −9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Limerick 629 64 10.2% −117.32

Listowel 350 20 5.7% −153.43

Killarney 253 15 5.9% −105.27

Cork 185 15 8.1% −2.38

Punchestown 133 6 4.5% −90.00

Thurles 122 7 5.7% −57.10

Clonmel 107 6 5.6% −54.25

Ballinrobe 101 9 8.9% −38.67

Galway 99 6 6.1% −18.97

Tipperary 92 7 7.6% −35.75

Fairyhouse 90 4 4.4% +5.50

Roscommon 77 8 10.4% +17.60

Kilbeggan 73 1 1.4% −66.00

Leopardstown 62 3 4.8% −0.67

Tramore 57 3 5.3% +30.75

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 148 12 8.1% +17.75

Class 2 13 0 0% −13.00

Class 3 9 0 0% −9.00

Class 6 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 5 1 1 100% +16.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 220 64 29.1% 1.33 +23.52

2nd–3rd fav 393 43 10.9% 0.82 −145.38

4th–6th fav 650 49 7.5% 1.05 −132.00

7th+ in betting 1,540 45 2.9% 0.95 −543.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 982 75 7.6% −303.19

1m5f – 2m 784 48 6.1% −324.18

2m5f – 3m 778 62 8% −166.49

1m2f – 1m4f 130 6 4.6% −2.00

Over 3m 55 6 10.9% +2.75

1m – 1m1f 45 2 4.4% −1.50

6f – 7f 29 2 6.9% −2.75

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 289 21 7.3% −116.32

2009 230 14 6.1% −143.63

2010 168 8 4.8% −104.75

2011 138 5 3.6% −96.50

2012 112 6 5.4% −27.00

2013 121 8 6.6% −68.75

2014 83 6 7.2% −48.12

2015 82 1 1.2% −76.00

2016 67 9 13.4% +23.50

2017 73 2 2.7% −41.00

2018 108 10 9.3% −3.00

2019 143 10 7% −17.75

2020 127 6 4.7% −87.65

2021 133 9 6.8% +53.00

2022 144 7 4.9% +3.75

2023 189 17 9% +19.33

2024 200 31 15.5% +87.00

2025 212 23 10.8% −35.52

2026 184 8 4.3% −117.95

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,749 145 8.3% −267.46

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 939 63 6.7% −249.67

17+ runners 785 45 5.7% −252.90

11-13 runners 613 58 9.5% −71.47

8-10 runners 346 27 7.8% −149.50

5-7 runners 116 7 6% −72.02

2-4 runners 4 1 25% −1.80

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

84.3% completed · 2,435 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 617 75.7% 30 27 87 4 2

Hurdle 1,818 87.2% 40 23 157 9 3

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Cahirdown Boy (IRE) 48 3 10 17 Oct 26

Sir Harry Cash (GB)from Michael Mullineaux 45 3 14 29 Jan 17

Ponmeoath (IRE) 45 2 4 15 Sep 13

My Friend The Wind (IRE) 43 3 16 12 Mar 26

Silver Planeur (FR) 41 3 9 12 Mar 23

Meehall (IRE) 40 4 16 28 Dec 25

Irish Bulletin (IRE)from J S Bolger 40 6 13 6 Jun 18

Tristram Shandy (IRE) 36 4 10 27 Dec 17

Donkey Years (IRE) 34 4 11 25 Oct 25

Questions Answered (IRE) 32 6 12 3 Nov 17

Celtic Dancer (IRE)then Katie Scott 31 3 5 17 Oct 21

Hees Dynamite (IRE) 29 5 10 6 Oct 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 339 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 14 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 25 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Harry Dunlop (2); 35 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for Dr Richard Newland (2); 49 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 6

Only 6 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

956749686988

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderConor McNamara

18% of all rides
8.6% SR · A/E 1.35

RiderRWSR£1

Conor McNamara 499 43 8.6% +97.93

Robert Jones 261 14 5.4% −170.25

Emmet McNamara 240 9 3.8% −135.50

Ryan Treacy 138 4 2.9% −92.00

Calum Hogan 127 11 8.7% −39.22

Robbie Power 104 5 4.8% −67.00

P W Flood 91 9 9.9% −35.23

Sean Flanagan 84 9 10.7% −42.17

Joseph Holly 78 3 3.8% −49.50

Mark Walsh 70 11 15.7% +6.33

Mark McDonagh 51 5 9.8% −2.88

G B Noonan 49 5 10.2% +1.60

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

271

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.47m

Prize money

2024

Best season · 31 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Real Steel (FR) — Paddy Power Chase (Extended Handicap Chase) (0-150) (Grade B) Leopardstown · Dec 2022 · Grade B

£110,000

Faltering Fullback (GB) — Guinness Kerry National Handicap Chase (grade A) Listowel · Sep 2012 · Grade A

£96,400

Ponmeoath (IRE) — Guinness Kerry National Handicap Chase Listowel · Sep 2008 · Grade B

£96,400

Notable horses

Millstream Lady (IRE) Ponmeoath (IRE) Irish Bulletin (IRE) Questions Answered (IRE) Faltering Fullback (GB) Larkwing (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Flemensfirth (USA) 8% · 13–163

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,288 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Mahler (GB) 10.5% · 8–76

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,880 runs since 2014 (789 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Wizard King (GB) 5.3% · 4–75

Progeny have won 4.8% of 750 runs since 2008 (80 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 9.5% from 147. Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.3% from 120.

Oscar (IRE) 2.7% · 2–73

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Old Vic (GB) 12.5% · 8–64

Progeny have won 11.7% of 6,916 runs since 2008 (630 horses).

Malinas (GER) 7.4% · 4–54

Progeny have won 14.1% of 3,959 runs since 2010 (419 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,615 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,615 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 1 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Starting Fifteen (GB)J: W. J. Lee Velo Coffee At The Curragh Maiden12f · Yielding · 19 ran 3rd 3/1

01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Weveallbeencaught (IRE)J: Patrick M O'Brien Paddy Power Cork Grand National Handicap Steeplechase28f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 6th 12/1

01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Buddy Holly (IRE)J: Patrick M O'Brien Paddy Power 'I Still Call It Twitter' Handicap Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran PU 20/1

26 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) West Of Bally (IRE)J: Gearoid Brouder W.b. Gavin & Co. Handicap Hurdle22f · Heavy · 12 ran 10th 13/2

26 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) County Final (IRE)J: Harry Cobden SANSERV Rated Novice Chase18f · Heavy · 7 ran 5th 10/1

25 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Illtakehimmyself (IRE)J: Patrick M O'Brien COLM QUINN BMW Handicap Steeplechase22.5f · Soft To Heavy · 9 ran 1st 7/2

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Gentle Soda (IRE)J: Conor Cusack 1xBet.ie Supports The Curragh Handicap10f · Yielding · 24 ran 18th 33/1

18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Gaelic Des Chastys (FR)J: Daniel King STL Logistics Handicap Steeplechase19.5f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 6th 5/1

18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Look To The West (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan BOYLE Sports JT McNamara Munster National Handicap Steeplechase (Grade 3)Class 1 · 24f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran PU 12/1

18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Weveallbeencaught (IRE)J: Danny Mullins BOYLE Sports JT McNamara Munster National Handicap Steeplechase (Grade 3)Class 1 · 24f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 9th 5/1

18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Hermino (FR)J: Tom Kelly BOYLE Sports JT McNamara Munster National Handicap Steeplechase (Grade 3)Class 1 · 24f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 6th 14/1

18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) French Dynamite (FR)J: Mr J Dunne BOYLE Sports JT McNamara Munster National Handicap Steeplechase (Grade 3)Class 1 · 24f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 5th 11/1

18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Haveanothertry (IRE)J: Mr J Dunne John Thomas McNamara Series (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle24f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran PU 5/2

18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Hello Jack (IRE)J: Danny Mullins Limerick Show Handicap Hurdle19.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran PU 14/1

18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Jaadil (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Limerick Show Handicap Hurdle19.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 3rd 7/1

18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Approval (GB)J: Tom Kelly Irish Wire Products (C & G) Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran UR 3/1

18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Dreams Delight (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Irish Wire Products (C & G) Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 4th 8/1

18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Aboras Mahler (IRE)J: Mark Walsh PwC Mares Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 3rd 11/1

17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Calzaghi (IRE)J: Tom Kelly Greenpark Limerick Handicap Hurdle (Div II)21.5f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 9th 22/1

17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Cahirdown Boy (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Greenpark Limerick Handicap Hurdle (Div II)21.5f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 5th 18/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 6 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 4 runs (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 4 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 10 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · to 1 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is E McNamara's strike rate?: E McNamara has won 201 of 2,803 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does E McNamara do best at?: Roscommon by strike rate: 8 wins from 77 runners (10.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for E McNamara?: Conor McNamara, with 499 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 43 (8.6%).
Is E McNamara in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is E McNamara's Fair A/E?: 1.03, from 2,802 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.