What is Ivan Furtado's strike rate?

Ivan Furtado has won 336 of 3,654 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.2% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ivan Furtado do best at?

Pontefract by strike rate: 11 wins from 80 runners (13.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Ivan Furtado?

Elle-May Croot, with 430 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 32 (7.4%).

Is Ivan Furtado in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Ivan Furtado's Fair A/E?

0.98, from 3,630 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Ivan Furtado

3,654 runners in the lifetime window · 450 individual horses

As at 9 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 6.5% of 585 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 9 Nov 2026.

Last runner 3 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

336–3,654

Wins / Runs

9.2%

Strike rate

n=3,654

902 (25%)

Placed

0.98

Fair A/E

n=3,630 · 0.84 incl. margin

−1,067.94

£1 level stake

n=3,654 at SP · −29.2%

£2.92m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 190 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.98). New recruits from other yards win at 13% first time out (227 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 3,654 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 9 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar Fresh horses: 9.6% 28.9% when favourite Elle-May Croot: 7.4% from 430 New recruits: 12.8% Sends off the favourite in 9% of races

The read

New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 12.8% (n=227, Fair A/E 1.53), but debutants struggle at 3.5% (n=231, Fair A/E 1.00). A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run are the standout value angle: 10.4% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.17 and +1.50 to a £1 stake over 125 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Elle-May Croot rides 12% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.4%, A/E 1.00) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (15.7%, n=172). The record reads poorly in Class 2 — 0% over 83 runners, 9.2pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Japan Racing Association Sceptre Fillies' Stakes at Doncaster (Sep 2021, £45,368). The stable star of the record: Lednikov (GB) — 7 wins from 54 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9.6%+0.4

n=585 · A/E 1.24 · £1 −116.82

New recruits · first run for the yard

12.8%+3.6

n=227 · A/E 1.53 · £1 +4.97

Debutants · first career start

3.5%−5.7

n=231 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −112.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8.3%−0.9

n=180 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −103.92

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

10.4%+1.2

n=125 · A/E 1.17 · £1 +1.50

When favourite

28.9%

n=325 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −50.93

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.1%−1.1

n=842 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −263.37

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

16.7%+7.5

n=12 · A/E 1.33 · £1 +0.75

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 17.6% vs 9.2% · n=329

In Class 2 0% vs 9.2% · n=83

Off a 0-7-day break 15.7% vs 9.2% · n=172

With debutants 3.5% vs 9.2% · n=231

With Silvestre De Sousa 15.2% vs 9.2% · n=158

With C&D winners 13.4% vs 9.2% · n=599

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 97.7% of the archive so far (as at 9 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 3,641 335 9.2% −1,083.94

NH Flat 11 1 9.1% +18.00

Hurdle 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 2,271 219 9.6% −660.39

Good 481 35 7.3% −224.48

Good to Firm 478 46 9.6% −60.90

Good to Soft 206 19 9.2% −47.25

Soft 170 13 7.6% −41.75

Heavy 45 4 8.9% −30.17

Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Southwell (AW) 693 64 9.2% −218.14

Wolverhampton (AW) 574 57 9.9% −196.56

Newcastle (AW) 372 38 10.2% −56.51

Chelmsford (AW) 308 29 9.4% −26.71

Doncaster 204 15 7.4% −66.00

Kempton (AW) 184 14 7.6% −106.82

Lingfield (AW) 126 14 11.1% −63.05

Nottingham 111 7 6.3% −69.29

Redcar 104 11 10.6% +5.00

Beverley 103 8 7.8% −53.00

Leicester 100 9 9% +57.03

Pontefract 80 11 13.8% +0.25

Thirsk 71 3 4.2% −46.00

Catterick 59 7 11.9% +1.08

York 58 3 5.2% −35.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 1,452 158 10.9% −285.22

Class 5 1,268 113 8.9% −342.26

Class 4 659 49 7.4% −291.96

Class 3 137 7 5.1% −76.75

Class 2 83 0 0% −83.00

Class 7 18 2 11.1% −1.00

Class 1 12 2 16.7% +0.75

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 381 105 27.6% 0.98 −59.93

2nd–3rd fav 668 104 15.6% 0.98 −107.84

4th–6th fav 1,132 80 7.1% 0.94 −378.17

7th+ in betting 1,473 47 3.2% 1.09 −522.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Lednikov (GB) 54 7 13 24 Oct 26

Crazy Spin (GB) 51 7 18 31 Aug 23

May Remain (GB)from George Baker 43 3 12 2 May 25

Boasty (IRE)from Fergal Birrane 40 4 18 2 Sep 25

Rock N Roll Pinkie (GB) 39 6 11 28 Oct 26

Hector's Here (GB) 38 7 11 16 Jan 23

Zaeem (GB)from Dean Ivory 37 6 10 27 Mar 19

Last Date (GB) 34 3 10 4 Dec 23

Bowood (GB)from Katie Scott · then Lawrence Mullaney 32 5 9 10 Oct 26

Wilde And Dandy (GB)from Michael Bell 31 4 14 1 Aug 26

Healing Power (GB) 30 4 12 11 Feb 23

Sword Exceed (GER)from Charlie Appleby · then Robyn Brisland 30 5 6 21 Jan 21

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 450 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 15 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 36 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Craig Lidster (3) and Andrea Marcialis (2); 24 had their first archived run for this yard.

17 have since run for another yard, most often for Alice Haynes (2); 43 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 9

Only 9 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1012101071091177910

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderElle-May Croot

12% of all rides
7.4% SR · A/E 1.00

RiderRWSR£1

Elle-May Croot 430 32 7.4% −170.82

Jason Hart 383 42 11% −134.11

Joey Haynes 229 16 7% −145.93

Tom Eaves 215 9 4.2% −104.62

David Nolan 171 20 11.7% +8.83

Kieran O'Neill 160 21 13.1% −33.13

Gabriele Malune 159 14 8.8% −12.00

Silvestre De Sousa 158 24 15.2% −33.77

Marco Ghiani 130 16 12.3% −39.49

Trevor Whelan 105 9 8.6% +24.00

Lewis Edmunds 71 10 14.1% −6.39

Luke Morris 60 6 10% −33.17

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→

336

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.92m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 41 wins

Just Beautiful (GB) — Japan Racing Association Sceptre Fillies' Stakes (Fillies' And Mares' Group 3) Doncaster · Sep 2021 · Group 3

£45,368

Just Beautiful (GB) — Every Race Live On RacingTV Maggie Dickson Stakes (Fillies' And Mares' Listed) Musselburgh · Jun 2021 · Listed

£20,983

Rock N Roll Pinkie (GB) — Skybet Proud To Support RoR Stayers Handicap (GBBPlus Race) York · Sep 2025 · Class 3

£15,462

Notable horses

Lednikov (GB) Crazy Spin (GB) Hector's Here (GB) Rock N Roll Pinkie (GB) Zaeem (GB) Bowood (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kodiac (GB) 12.7% · 16–126

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,604 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Mayson (GB) 6.4% · 7–110

Progeny have won 10.7% of 7,394 runs since 2016 (442 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.7% from 1,731. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 106.

Dandy Man (IRE) 8.4% · 8–95

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,989 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.

Footstepsinthesand (GB) 10.5% · 8–76

Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,813 runs since 2009 (938 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.

Dark Angel (IRE) 7.2% · 5–69

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,953 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Epaulette (AUS) 11.9% · 8–67

Progeny have won 9.1% of 3,067 runs since 2017 (221 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4% from 173. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 222.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 9 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,654 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,654 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 22 May 2015 to 6 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Haltonwood (IRE)J: Tom Eaves All-Weather Championship Season 14 Has Begun Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 28/1

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Texting (GB)J: Jason Hart AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 4/1

05 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Black Gin (GB)J: Luke Morris Midnite It's Actually Pretty Good Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 50/1

05 Nov 26 Newcastle Albatross The Ace (GB)J: William Shanahan attheraces.com/marketmovers "Junior" National Hunt Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 9 ran 5th 5/1

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Selection (IRE)J: David Nolan Conference And Events At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes (Div I) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Soft · 9 ran 4th 10/1

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Talora (IRE)J: Tom Eaves British Stallion Studs EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 7f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 150/1

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh True Heart (GB)J: Oisin Orr British Stallion Studs EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 7f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 3rd 2/1F

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Alfa Kellenic (GB)J: David Nolan AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Handicap StakesClass 3 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 33/1

28 Oct 26 Nottingham Rock N Roll Pinkie (GB)J: Hector Crouch Racing TV Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 14f · Soft · 13 ran 8th 16/1

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Finn Ironside (GB)J: Elle-May Croot All-weather Championship Is Back Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 11/1

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Lednikov (GB)J: Elle-May Croot Join The Midnite Movement Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 14/1

24 Oct 26 Doncaster Itsatenfromlen (GB)J: Jason Hart Rfj And Bee Jays Electrical Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 7f · Heavy · 12 ran 11th 28/1

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Blake's Monarch (IRE)J: Jack Callan Awc Season 14 Has Begun Nursery Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 4 ran 3rd 2/1

23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Time And Effort (GB)J: Tom Eaves Awc Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 22/1

23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Talora (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill All Weather Championship Is Back Ebf Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8.5f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 250/1

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) True Heart (GB)J: Jason Hart AWC Season 14 Has Begun EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 2nd 40/1

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Gilleangirl (USA)J: Kieran O'Neill All-Weather Championship Is Back Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 100/1

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Filly Eilish (IRE)J: Luke Morris All-Weather Championship Is Back Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 100/30

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Texting (GB)J: David Nolan AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 3/1

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Chesneys Charm (GB)J: Jason Hart Awc Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 4/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 5 runs (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 8 runs (won 2) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 1) · to 4 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Ivan Furtado's strike rate?: Ivan Furtado has won 336 of 3,654 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.2% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ivan Furtado do best at?: Pontefract by strike rate: 11 wins from 80 runners (13.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Ivan Furtado?: Elle-May Croot, with 430 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 32 (7.4%).
Is Ivan Furtado in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Ivan Furtado's Fair A/E?: 0.98, from 3,630 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.