What is K J Condon's strike rate?

K J Condon has won 237 of 2,641 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does K J Condon do best at?

Navan by strike rate: 22 wins from 178 runners (12.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for K J Condon?

Shane Foley, with 686 runners since 2008 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 81 (11.8%).

Is K J Condon in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is K J Condon's Fair A/E?

0.98, from 2,638 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

K J Condon

2,641 runners in the lifetime window · 349 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 8 days ago 96% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

237–2,641

Wins / Runs

Strike rate

n=2,641

748 (28%)

Placed

0.98

Fair A/E

n=2,638 · 0.80 incl. margin

−704.49

£1 level stake

n=2,641 at SP · −26.7%

£6.41m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.4%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 140 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.98). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 13% (76 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,641 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 26.5% when favourite Shane Foley: 11.8% from 686 Headgear returns: 13.2% Sends off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Bellewstown (20%, n=40) and Ballinrobe (16.3%, n=43) — all clear of the yard's 9% baseline. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 13.2% (n=76, Fair A/E 1.27), but debutants struggle at 3.4% (n=268, Fair A/E 0.72). Shane Foley rides 26% of the entries and edges the yard's average (11.8% vs 9%, A/E 1.15) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well at trips under 6f (15%, n=399). 27 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix du Haras de Fresnay-le-Buffard Jacques le Marois at Deauville (FR) (Aug 2019, £514,775). The stable star of the record: Strait Of Zanzibar (USA) — 10 wins from 87 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8.7%−0.3

n=332 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −90.70

New recruits · first run for the yard

8%−1.0

n=75 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −10.40

Debutants · first career start

3.4%−5.6

n=268 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −181.67

First-time headgear · true-first definition

7.7%−1.3

n=195 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −73.62

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

13.2%+4.2

n=76 · A/E 1.27 · £1 −4.13

When favourite

26.5%

n=162 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −24.08

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.5%−1.5

n=504 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −207.85

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.8%−1.2

n=321 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −40.43

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Bellewstown 20% vs 9% · n=40

At trips under 6f 15% vs 9% · n=399

With Ronan Whelan 1.3% vs 9% · n=75

With Conor Hoban 0% vs 9% · n=37

With debutants 3.4% vs 9% · n=268

At Ballinrobe 16.3% vs 9% · n=43

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 2,536 226 8.9% −709.99

Hurdle 83 9 10.8% +18.00

Chase 16 2 12.5% −6.50

NH Flat 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 739 66 8.9% −187.60

Soft 673 66 9.8% −121.30

Good to Firm 389 32 8.2% −147.34

Standard (AW) 340 23 6.8% −131.72

Heavy 269 28 10.4% −101.93

Good to Soft 203 21 10.3% +2.40

Firm 28 1 3.6% −17.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Curragh 359 30 8.4% +1.63

Dundalk (AW) 319 19 6% −130.30

Naas 209 20 9.6% −63.92

Cork 190 18 9.5% −60.84

Leopardstown 180 13 7.2% −76.30

Navan 178 22 12.4% +1.60

Gowran Park 156 9 5.8% −67.37

Tipperary 155 15 9.7% −67.15

Fairyhouse 104 9 8.7% −24.50

Killarney 94 10 10.6% −19.75

Limerick 91 10 11% −36.30

Down Royal 80 6 7.5% −22.75

Roscommon 57 6 10.5% −21.75

Listowel 49 5 10.2% −7.80

Galway 49 2 4.1% −41.75

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 321 25 7.8% −40.43

Class 2 5 1 20% +0.50

Class 5 5 0 0% −5.00

Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 204 52 25.5% 0.99 −29.33

2nd–3rd fav 571 79 13.8% 0.90 −174.16

4th–6th fav 884 69 7.8% 1.02 −188.00

7th+ in betting 982 37 3.8% 1.07 −313.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 1,056 91 8.6% −220.43

1m – 1m1f 599 44 7.3% −250.23

1m2f – 1m4f 423 30 7.1% −237.15

Under 6f 399 60 15% +52.82

1m5f – 2m 122 5 4.1% −88.50

2m1f – 2m4f 30 4 13.3% +34.00

2m5f – 3m 11 3 27.3% +6.00

Over 3m 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 84 1 1.2% −71.00

2009 74 2 2.7% −35.00

2010 146 14 9.6% −40.75

2011 202 25 12.4% −28.25

2012 192 22 11.5% −14.76

2013 163 15 9.2% −26.51

2014 182 15 8.2% −23.92

2015 141 18 12.8% −4.60

2016 171 15 8.8% −60.84

2017 111 7 6.3% −61.25

2018 112 7 6.3% −37.67

2019 134 16 11.9% −41.75

2020 151 19 12.6% +57.15

2021 206 17 8.3% −48.67

2022 172 17 9.9% −102.92

2023 138 10 7.2% −37.80

2024 66 3 4.5% −35.90

2025 81 2 2.5% −75.50

2026 115 12 10.4% −14.55

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,056 100 9.5% −146.98

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 666 68 10.2% −201.74

11-13 runners 647 50 7.7% −146.97

14-16 runners 615 40 6.5% −244.72

5-7 runners 394 58 14.7% −2.73

17+ runners 289 16 5.5% −102.75

2-4 runners 30 5 16.7% −5.58

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Strait Of Zanzibar (USA) 87 10 26 23 May 17

Bold Thady Quill (IRE)from W McCreery 83 7 26 9 Apr 17

Little Arrows (IRE)from W McCreery 80 6 24 10 Jun 15

Ice Cold In Alex (IRE) 72 6 27 20 Sep 24

In Salutem (GB) 63 7 31 9 Oct 16

Moss Tucker (IRE) 40 9 19 12 Jun 26

Harmony Rose (GB) 28 2 13 3 Nov 23

Success Days (IRE) 28 6 11 8 Sep 19

Roja Dove (IRE)then Neil King 28 4 9 1 Nov 13

Table Forty Six (IRE)from W McCreery · then Jarlath P Fahey 28 4 8 11 Nov 11

Affable (GB)from Ralph Beckett 27 3 7 23 Oct 22

Gerdago (IRE) 27 1 8 8 Dec 16

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 349 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 11 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from W McCreery (6); 45 had their first archived run for this yard.

19 have since run for another yard, most often for Tim Vaughan (2); 41 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 1

Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

6410871191091083

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderShane Foley

26% of all rides
11.8% SR · A/E 1.15

RiderRWSR£1

Shane Foley 686 81 11.8% −86.35

W J Lee 570 63 11.1% −127.98

N G McCullagh 203 17 8.4% −66.84

Declan McDonogh 140 11 7.9% −50.75

J M Sheridan 96 6 6.3% −43.50

Ross Coakley 95 8 8.4% −18.50

Ronan Whelan 75 1 1.3% −62.00

Colm O'Donoghue 69 3 4.3% −25.67

E J O'Connell 50 8 16% +35.00

Chris Hayes 39 5 12.8% +67.75

Conor Hoban 37 0 0% −37.00

Andrew Breslin 36 2 5.6% −23.67

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

272

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£7.06m

Prize money

2011

Best season · 25 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Romanised (IRE) — Prix du Haras de Fresnay-le-Buffard Jacques le Marois (3yo+ Colts Horses F & M) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2019 · Group 1

£514,775

Moss Tucker (IRE) — Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai Flying Five Stakes (Group 1) Curragh · Sep 2023 · Group 1

£236,000

Romanised (IRE) — Tattersalls Irish 2,000 Guineas (Group 1) Curragh · May 2018 · Group 1

£233,000

Notable horses

Strait Of Zanzibar (USA) Moss Tucker (IRE) Bold Thady Quill (IRE) In Salutem (GB) Little Arrows (IRE) Ice Cold In Alex (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Danehill Dancer (IRE) 7.4% · 7–95

Progeny have won 11.2% of 10,094 runs since 2008 (783 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 130.

Tale Of The Cat (USA) 9.6% · 9–94

Progeny have won 10.5% of 774 runs since 2008 (55 horses).

Arch (USA) 11.2% · 10–89

Progeny have won 12.9% of 1,676 runs since 2008 (171 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 9.4% from 180.

Jeremy (USA) 17.3% · 14–81

Progeny have won 11.2% of 6,725 runs since 2011 (425 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.5% from 664. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 16.3% from 147. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.8% from 743.

Olden Times (GB) 8.3% · 6–72

Progeny have won 9.2% of 736 runs since 2008 (67 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 17.6% from 108. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 13.7% from 117.

Acclamation (GB) 4.7% · 3–64

Progeny have won 10% of 19,719 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,073 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,073 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 January 2005 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Sron Na Caise (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden7f · Standard · 8 ran 8th 17/2

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Hazy Sky (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden6f · Yielding · 14 ran 7th 80/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Colfer Hill (IRE)J: Shane Foley Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden8.5f · Soft · 14 ran 14th 125/1

16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Heart Of You (IRE)J: W. J. Lee James Crowe 1 Year Memorial Nursery Handicap7f · Standard · 13 ran 1st 16/1

07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Hazy Sky (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse Navan Racing Festival 14th & 15th November Median Auction Maiden6f · Yielding · 21 ran 10th 66/1

05 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Blue Nasturtium (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Spin Southwest Maiden11f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 9/2

05 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Holy Lettuce (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Carry Out Off-Licence Handicap8f · Soft · 10 ran 7th 12/1

05 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Sron Na Caise (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Gleneagle Killarney Median Auction Maiden8f · Soft · 9 ran 9th 8/1

05 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Heart Of You (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden8f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 7th 4/1

04 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Do For Love (IRE)J: Donagh O'Connor Hailey Equine Irish EBF Brigid's Pastures Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 6f · Soft · 16 ran 16th 150/1

19 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Guinelot (FR)J: Max Popan Support The Irish Injured Jockeys Fund Apprentice Handicap9.5f · Yielding To Soft · 14 ran 12th 20/1

19 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Express Choise (IRE)J: W. J. Lee SIS Maiden9.5f · Yielding To Soft · 10 ran 10th 14/1

17 Sep 26 Naas (IRE) Hazy Sky (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Irish Stallion Farms EBF Claiming Maiden8f · Yielding · 10 ran 7th 20/1

17 Sep 26 Naas (IRE) Summer Sent You (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Colm White Bookmakers Nursery Handicap5f · Yielding · 14 ran 12th 4/1

16 Sep 26 Clonmel (IRE) Mare Crisium (IRE)J: Shane Foley Suir Blueway Handicap10f · Yielding · 14 ran 1st 9/2C

16 Sep 26 Clonmel (IRE) Blue Nasturtium (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Slievenamon Maiden10f · Yielding · 7 ran 3rd 9/1

12 Sep 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Marmeladova (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan World Pool Bet With Tote Autumn Fillies Handicap8f · Good · 18 ran 13th 33/1

10 Sep 26 Laytown (IRE) Sron Na Caise (IRE)J: W J Lee Pride Of Place Maiden7f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 7/1

09 Sep 26 Cork (IRE) Holy Lettuce (IRE)J: W J Lee Racing Again September 29th Handicap8f · Good · 18 ran 7th 18/1

09 Sep 26 Cork (IRE) Abalone (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden7f · Good · 17 ran 16th 125/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 4 Nov 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 4 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is K J Condon's strike rate?: K J Condon has won 237 of 2,641 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does K J Condon do best at?: Navan by strike rate: 22 wins from 178 runners (12.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for K J Condon?: Shane Foley, with 686 runners since 2008 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 81 (11.8%).
Is K J Condon in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is K J Condon's Fair A/E?: 0.98, from 2,638 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.