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Trainer profile

Lemos De Souza

310 runners in the lifetime window · 58 individual horses
As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Runners today 96% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2025→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
34–310
Wins / Runs
11%
Strike rate
n=310
74 (24%)
Placed
1.28
Fair A/E
n=309 · 1.08 incl. margin
+16.66
£1 level stake
n=310 at SP · +5.4%
£340k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
12.5%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.28). With a claiming rider up the record reads 20% (46 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 310 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Sep Claiming riders: 19.6%
The read

It is weakest at Southwell (AW) (6.1% over 33 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 19.6% (n=46, Fair A/E 2.07), but debutants struggle at 3.1% (n=32, Fair A/E 0.77). The yard also reads well at trips under 6f (15.3%, n=72). The record reads poorly over 6f – 7f — 7.1% over 126 runners, 3.9pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
8.8%−2.2
n=34 · A/E 1.15 · £1 +3.38
New recruits · first run for the yard
7.4%−3.6
n=27 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −14.75
Debutants · first career start
3.1%−7.9
n=32 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −25.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
8.3%−2.7
n=24 · A/E 1.14 · £1 +34.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−11.0
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
When favourite
29.4%
n=17 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −5.55
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
19.6%+8.6
n=46 · A/E 2.07 · £1 +73.90
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−11.0
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With claiming riders up 19.6% vs 11% · n=46
With debutants 3.1% vs 11% · n=32
Over 6f – 7f 7.1% vs 11% · n=126
At trips under 6f 15.3% vs 11% · n=72
On last-time-out winners 5.9% vs 11% · n=34
At Southwell (AW) 6.1% vs 11% · n=33
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 298 31 10.4% +6.33
Chase 6 1 16.7% +3.00
Hurdle 6 2 33.3% +7.33

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 143 12 8.4% −58.07
Good to Firm 63 8 12.7% +20.25
Good 54 6 11.1% +37.83
Good to Soft 33 3 9.1% −3.50
Soft 15 5 33.3% +22.15
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Southwell (AW) 33 2 6.1% −17.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 29 2 6.9% −6.00
Kempton (AW) 26 6 23.1% +15.63
Chelmsford (AW) 25 0 0% −25.00
Lingfield (AW) 22 1 4.5% −20.20
Yarmouth 20 3 15% +2.00
Leicester 13 0 0% −13.00
Newmarket 10 1 10% −1.00
Doncaster 10 1 10% −6.50
Lingfield 9 1 11.1% −3.00
Bath 8 1 12.5% +4.00
Newcastle (AW) 8 1 12.5% −5.50
Beverley 7 4 57.1% +75.25
Windsor 7 1 14.3% −1.00
Newmarket 6 1 16.7% +9.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 132 15 11.4% −1.24
Class 6 79 9 11.4% +30.15
Class 4 59 7 11.9% +8.50
Class 2 20 1 5% −16.25
Class 3 12 2 16.7% +3.50
Class 1 8 0 0% −8.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 21 5 23.8% 0.75 −9.55
2nd–3rd fav 47 10 21.3% 1.25 +8.21
4th–6th fav 110 13 11.8% 1.59 +21.00
7th+ in betting 132 6 4.5% 1.58 −3.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
U S S Charleston (GB) 22 2 7 28 Sep 26
Ribston Pippin (IRE) 16 2 5 16 Aug 26
Fillyfudge (GB)from Amy Murphy 13 1 3 9 May 26
Hungarian (IRE) 11 2 3 13 Oct 26
Appleblossomwhite (IRE)from Amy Murphy · then Amy Murphy 11 2 4 27 Dec 25
Coolree (IRE)from Amy Murphy · then Sam England 11 1 2 26 Nov 25
Fiorella Princess (IRE)from Amy Murphy · then Charlie Wallis 10 1 3 23 Oct 25
Invincible Isaac (GB) 9 1 3 2 Nov 26
Rumble Ruby (GB) 9 2 3 26 Oct 26
Calabrian Soldato (IRE) 9 0 1 28 Apr 26
Spiritualism (IRE)from Amy Murphy 9 1 1 28 Oct 25
Star Suepreme (GB) 8 1 2 31 Oct 26
All 58 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 58 horses listed, 26 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Amy Murphy (17) and Alice Haynes (3); 32 had their first archived run for this yard.

15 have since run for another yard, most often for Amy Murphy (3) and Henry Dwyer (2); 43 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 9
Only 9 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1513041681315166716
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Lewis Edmunds 28 2 7.1% −13.00
George Wood 27 2 7.4% −19.20
Darragh Keenan 26 2 7.7% +2.00
Frederick Larson 18 1 5.6% −11.00
Kieran O'Neill 17 3 17.6% +2.25
Silvestre De Sousa 13 1 7.7% −5.50
Luke Morris 12 1 8.3% +1.00
Finley Marsh 11 0 0% −11.00
Warren Fentiman 8 2 25% +60.00
Luke Catton 8 2 25% +14.00
Marco Ghiani 7 0 0% −7.00
Callum Shepherd 7 1 14.3% −3.25
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2025→
34
Archived wins
£340k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 17 wins
Naana's Sparkle (GB) — Virgin Bet Supports Safe Gambling Handicap Stakes Goodwood · Aug 2026 · Class 2
£13,085
Naana's Sparkle (GB) — Bodhi Solutions Handicap Yarmouth · May 2026 · Class 3
£13,085
Golden Long (AUS) — BetWright Safer Gambling Handicap Windsor · May 2026 · Class 4
£8,113
Notable horses
Alpine Stroll (GB) Golden Long (AUS) Naana's Sparkle (GB) U S S Charleston (GB) Ribston Pippin (IRE) Hungarian (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
U S Navy Flag (USA) 9.1% · 2–22
Progeny have won 8.6% of 1,410 runs since 2022 (147 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.1% from 182.
Soldier's Call (GB) 10% · 2–20
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,126 runs since 2023 (217 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.6% from 199. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4% from 247.
Ribchester (IRE) 12.5% · 2–16
Progeny have won 9% of 2,773 runs since 2021 (261 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.1% from 119. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14% from 215.
Charming Thought (GB) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 9.4% of 1,003 runs since 2020 (75 horses).
Lucky Vega (IRE) 15.4% · 2–13
Progeny have won 16.1% of 533 runs since 2025 (104 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 21.6% from 102.
Starspangledbanner (AUS) 15.4% · 2–13
Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,216 runs since 2014 (664 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.5% from 1,197.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 310 · newest first

The latest 50 of 310 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 12 February 2025 to 5 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
05 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Candy Is Dandy (IRE)J: Dylan Hogan Make The Move To Midnite Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 150/1
05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Omega Fernandez (GB)J: Darragh Keenan Juddmonte EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 7.5f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 250/1
05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) One Nine Seven (GB)J: Cieren Fallon Juddmonte EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 7.5f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 125/1
02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Angel Breeze (IRE)J: Laura Coughlan Midnite It's Actually Pretty Good Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 80/1
02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Invincible Isaac (GB)J: Warren Fentiman AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 8/1
02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Denver Sluice (GB)J: Warren Fentiman All-Weather Championship Is Back EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 25/1
31 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Star Suepreme (GB)J: Kevin Stott Arc All Weather Bonus Is Back Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 40/1
29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Kochella (IRE)J: Clifford Lee ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 20/1
26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Rumble Ruby (GB)J: George Wood Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 20/1
22 Oct 26 Newmarket One Nine Seven (GB)J: Rowan Scott CopyBet For Europa League Profit Boosts EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (Div II) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8f · Soft · 9 ran 9th 18/1
22 Oct 26 Newmarket Omega Fernandez (GB)J: Marco Ghiani CopyBet For Europa League Profit Boosts EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (Div I) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8f · Soft · 7 ran 7th 25/1
21 Oct 26 Newmarket Candy Is Dandy (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Copybet Back Again At Newmarket Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 50/1
13 Oct 26 Leicester Hungarian (IRE)J: Benoit de la Sayette Happy 80th Reg Ling Handicap StakesClass 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 13th 20/1
12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Star Suepreme (GB)J: Marco Ghiani Moulton Racing Club Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 3rd 7/1
09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Invincible Isaac (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 4th 18/1
08 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Denver Sluice (GB)J: Finley Marsh Free Bets On Attheraces.com Ebf Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 80/1
05 Oct 26 Yarmouth Roberts Legacy (GB)J: Harry Davies Origin Amenity Solutions Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 3rd 14/1
01 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Kentucky Rain (IRE)J: Rowan Scott Free Race Replays On Attheraces.com Nursery Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 6 ran 5th 9/2
30 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) True Charm (IRE)J: Lewis Edmunds Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 10th 40/1
29 Sep 26 Bath Rumble Ruby (GB)J: Silvestre De Sousa Clyde And Co Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 5.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 9th 17/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 9 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 4 runs (won 0) · to 22 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Lemos De Souza's strike rate?
Lemos De Souza has won 34 of 310 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Lemos De Souza do best at?
Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 2 wins from 33 runners (6.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Lemos De Souza in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Lemos De Souza's Fair A/E?
1.28, from 309 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 5 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).