M Halford & T Collins
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.01).
New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 0% (n=37, Fair A/E 0.00). Ronan Whelan rides 55% of the entries and edges the yard's average (13% vs 10.2%, A/E 1.13) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 31-60-day break (13.9%, n=108). The record reads poorly on Heavy going — 5.3% over 38 runners, 4.9pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Paddy Power 'From The Horse's Mouth Podcast' Handicap at Curragh (Jun 2024, £59,000). Seasonally, the yard fires Jun–Aug.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2023→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 472 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 472 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 March 2023 to 31 January 2025.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is M Halford & T Collins's strike rate?
- M Halford & T Collins has won 48 of 472 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does M Halford & T Collins do best at?
- Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 18 wins from 168 runners (10.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for M Halford & T Collins?
- Ronan Whelan, with 261 runners since 2008 — 55% of the total. That pairing has won 34 (13%).
- What is M Halford & T Collins's Fair A/E?
- 1.01, from 472 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.