What is Matt Sheppard's strike rate?

Matt Sheppard has won 163 of 1,703 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.6% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Matt Sheppard do best at?

Leicester by strike rate: 12 wins from 58 runners (20.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Matt Sheppard?

Stan Sheppard, with 695 runners since 2008 — 41% of the total. That pairing has won 81 (11.7%).

Is Matt Sheppard in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Matt Sheppard's Fair A/E?

1.05, from 1,700 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Matt Sheppard

1,703 runners in the lifetime window · 211 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 6 days ago 98% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

163–1,703

Wins / Runs

9.6%

Strike rate

n=1,703

447 (26%)

Placed

1.05

Fair A/E

n=1,700 · 0.91 incl. margin

−383.58

£1 level stake

n=1,703 at SP · −22.5%

£1.44m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

3.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.05). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 11% (54 runs, true-first definition).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,703 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–May 32.3% when favourite Stan Sheppard: 11.7% from 695 Sends off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Leicester (20.7%, n=58), clear of the yard's 9.6% baseline. It is weakest at Worcester (3.2% over 187 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 3.4% (n=146, Fair A/E 0.51). Stan Sheppard rides 41% of the entries and edges the yard's average (11.7% vs 9.6%, A/E 1.13) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Class 2 (18.9%, n=53). The record reads poorly in Flat races — 0% over 34 runners, 9.6pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Modeligo (IRE) — 9 wins from 50 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.4%−2.2

n=271 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −89.17

New recruits · first run for the yard

3.4%−6.2

n=146 · A/E 0.51 · £1 −46.17

Debutants · first career start

3.6%−6.0

n=56 · A/E 1.25 · £1 −24.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

11.1%+1.5

n=54 · A/E 1.88 · £1 +20.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

8.5%−1.1

n=59 · A/E 1.28 · £1 −1.00

When favourite

32.3%

n=96 · A/E 1.18 · £1 +3.02

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.8%−0.8

n=684 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −162.20

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−9.6

n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 22.3% vs 9.6% · n=157

At Leicester 20.7% vs 9.6% · n=58

In Class 2 18.9% vs 9.6% · n=53

With David Dennis 0% vs 9.6% · n=38

In Flat races 0% vs 9.6% · n=34

At Worcester 3.2% vs 9.6% · n=187

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 907 64 7.1% −327.67

Chase 711 98 13.8% +12.09

NH Flat 51 1 2% −34.00

Flat 34 0 0% −34.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 715 61 8.5% −158.93

Soft 350 37 10.6% −9.13

Good to Soft 342 32 9.4% −145.26

Heavy 148 23 15.5% +16.53

Good to Firm 133 10 7.5% −71.79

Standard (AW) 10 0 0% −10.00

Firm 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Worcester 187 6 3.2% −153.12

Chepstow 184 18 9.8% −43.92

Ludlow 170 21 12.4% −30.14

Hereford 166 17 10.2% +18.25

Stratford 156 16 10.3% −12.00

Uttoxeter 128 15 11.7% −9.79

Warwick 99 11 11.1% −16.75

Bangor-on-Dee 60 4 6.7% −41.77

Exeter 59 4 6.8% −35.00

Leicester 58 12 20.7% +0.87

Ffos Las 48 3 6.3% −4.00

Taunton 41 6 14.6% +21.38

Wincanton 38 5 13.2% −11.25

Newbury 34 3 8.8% −6.50

Newton Abbot 31 2 6.5% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 695 62 8.9% −198.08

Class 5 690 70 10.1% −155.41

Class 3 203 20 9.9% −30.29

Class 2 53 10 18.9% +45.20

Class 6 40 1 2.5% −23.00

Class 1 21 0 0% −21.00

Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 121 34 28.1% 1.09 −7.98

2nd–3rd fav 352 63 17.9% 1.09 −31.60

4th–6th fav 544 52 9.6% 1.18 +42.00

7th+ in betting 686 14 2% 0.62 −386.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m5f – 2m 678 63 9.3% −247.65

2m1f – 2m4f 517 49 9.5% −25.25

2m5f – 3m 348 29 8.3% −96.69

Over 3m 136 22 16.2% +10.01

1m2f – 1m4f 13 0 0% −13.00

6f – 7f 5 0 0% −5.00

Under 6f 4 0 0% −4.00

1m – 1m1f 2 0 0% −2.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 143 12 8.4% −40.17

2009 95 3 3.2% −70.50

2010 67 1 1.5% −38.00

2011 62 5 8.1% +11.50

2012 67 5 7.5% −44.00

2013 64 5 7.8% −29.00

2014 70 7 10% −14.50

2015 100 17 17% +52.25

2016 127 11 8.7% −40.75

2017 138 13 9.4% −20.12

2018 116 10 8.6% −68.71

2019 80 5 6.3% −28.50

2020 42 4 9.5% −4.00

2021 123 17 13.8% +64.58

2022 68 6 8.8% −10.75

2023 71 14 19.7% −12.74

2024 101 17 16.8% −7.55

2025 115 9 7.8% −49.62

2026 54 2 3.7% −33.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,405 153 10.9% −215.96

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 546 47 8.6% −144.54

11-13 runners 465 29 6.2% −170.17

5-7 runners 348 65 18.7% +99.28

14-16 runners 246 9 3.7% −158.00

17+ runners 65 3 4.6% −18.50

2-4 runners 33 10 30.3% +8.35

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

82.8% completed · 1,618 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 711 78.5% 32 12 108 1 0

Hurdle 907 86.1% 21 9 93 2 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Rock On Rocky (GB) 59 7 20 18 Dec 19

Modeligo (IRE) 50 9 13 23 Feb 19

Pottlerath (IRE)from Louise G Lyons 42 7 19 6 May 25

Cool Bob (IRE)from Timothy Doyle 40 1 9 22 Oct 15

Loughalder (IRE) 39 8 13 8 Apr 17

Famoso (IRE)from G Hiscock 34 6 15 20 Dec 25

Kestrel Valley (GB)then Kerry Lee 34 3 11 4 Jan 23

The Bay Birch (IRE)from Francis J Flood 33 9 17 15 Apr 21

Munlochy Bay (GB)from Stuart Kittow 28 3 7 15 Oct 13

Not Available (IRE)from Henry De Bromhead 24 5 9 21 Mar 24

All Good Things (IRE)from J A Nash 24 2 7 19 Feb 21

Phangio (USA)from Colin Bowe 24 3 9 5 Nov 18

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 211 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 9 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 48 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from A L T Moore (2) and J A Nash (2); 12 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for Graeme McPherson (2); 48 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 3

Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

91212171284546118

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderStan Sheppard

41% of all rides
11.7% SR · A/E 1.13

RiderRWSR£1

Stan Sheppard 695 81 11.7% −157.24

Charlie Poste 207 23 11.1% −8.38

Richard Patrick 70 8 11.4% +1.75

Aidan Coleman 49 5 10.2% −10.25

David England 44 4 9.1% −12.75

Mr L R Payter 42 3 7.1% +14.00

Mr James Ridley 40 4 10% +18.50

David Dennis 38 0 0% −38.00

Mr Ed Bailey 36 3 8.3% +19.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

195

Archived wins

£1.67m

Prize money

2024

Best season · 17 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

The Bay Birch (IRE) — Betway Challenger Series Mares' Chase Final Handicap Chase Haydock · Apr 2019 · Class 2

£31,455

Ikorodu Road (GB) — Ultima Business Solutions Handicap Chase Newbury · Mar 2012 · Class 2

£31,280

Ikorodu Road (GB) — Download William Hill From The App-Store Grimthorpe Chase (Handicap) Doncaster · Mar 2012 · Class 2

£29,241

Notable horses

Modeligo (IRE) The Bay Birch (IRE) Loughalder (IRE) Rock On Rocky (GB) Pottlerath (IRE) Famoso (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Overbury (IRE) 10.1% · 7–69

Progeny have won 10.7% of 4,657 runs since 2008 (423 horses).

Yorgunnabelucky (USA) 8.5% · 5–59

Progeny have won 11.2% of 1,083 runs since 2016 (97 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.4% from 257.

Yeats (IRE) 14.3% · 8–56

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,839 runs since 2013 (707 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.

Indian Danehill (IRE) 17.6% · 9–51

Progeny have won 8.6% of 2,742 runs since 2008 (216 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 11.9% from 143.

Beneficial (GB) 21.7% · 10–46

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,045 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Getaway (GER) 8.7% · 4–46

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,985 runs since 2016 (1,030 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,116 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,116 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 January 2005 to 30 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Midnight View (GB)J: Stan Sheppard Ted Anderson Dixon Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 11 ran 7th 10/1

30 Oct 26 Uttoxeter No Hard Feelings (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard Abode Estate Agents Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20f · Good · 15 ran 15th 66/1

29 Oct 26 Stratford Jersey Tex (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard EBF And Charlie Longsdon Racing 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 7th 300/1

17 Oct 26 Stratford Blackijo Dagrostis (FR)J: Gavin Sheehan Invades Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 17f · Good · 4 ran PU 7/4J

09 Oct 26 Chepstow No Hard Feelings (IRE)J: Gavin Sheehan Wasdell Group Novices' Hurdle Race (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 66/1

06 Oct 26 Huntingdon Midnight View (GB)J: Stan Sheppard Christmas Parties 2026 At Huntingdon Racecourse Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 14/1

25 Sep 26 Worcester Connemara Joe (IRE)J: Cameron Iles Fbc Manby Bowdler Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran PU 33/1

25 Sep 26 Worcester Blackijo Dagrostis (FR)J: Stan Sheppard CopyBet Support Safer Gambling Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran 6th 25/1

22 Sep 26 Warwick Lady Bee Great (IRE)J: Mr James King Zulus Gonna Get Ya Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 6th 80/1

05 Sep 26 Stratford Lady Bee Great (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard Andy Townsend Memorial Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 22f · Good · 9 ran 9th 66/1

05 Sep 26 Stratford Keep Me Posted (IRE)J: Harry Bannister Envesca Safety Champions Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Good · 10 ran 8th 28/1

05 Sep 26 Stratford Connemara Joe (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard Allan Atkinson Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran 8th 25/1

23 Aug 26 Worcester Connemara Joe (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard You Spindle Me Rightround Baby Rightround Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 8th 50/1

19 Aug 26 Worcester Lady Bee Great (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard CopyBet Support Safer Gambling Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (ARC Summer Novices' Brush Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 8th 40/1

19 Aug 26 Worcester Keep Me Posted (IRE)J: Harry Bannister CopyBet Pay First Past The Post Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good · 10 ran 8th 40/1

16 Jul 26 Worcester Connemara Joe (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard CopyBet Daily Profit Boost Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 5th 100/1

16 Jul 26 Worcester Keep Me Posted (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard CopyBet BOG Today For Tomorrow's Racing Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 5th 14/1

30 Jun 26 Stratford Connemara Joe (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard Racehorse Ownership From 25 Pound At racingclub.com Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 18.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 6th 80/1

03 Jun 26 Warwick Midnight View (GB)J: Ned Fox Virtus Property Services Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19f · Good · 5 ran 5th 9/2

03 Jun 26 Warwick Connemara Joe (IRE)J: Ned Fox EHB Residential Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 4th 150/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 6 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0) · to 30 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Matt Sheppard's strike rate?: Matt Sheppard has won 163 of 1,703 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.6% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Matt Sheppard do best at?: Leicester by strike rate: 12 wins from 58 runners (20.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Matt Sheppard?: Stan Sheppard, with 695 runners since 2008 — 41% of the total. That pairing has won 81 (11.7%).
Is Matt Sheppard in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Matt Sheppard's Fair A/E?: 1.05, from 1,700 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.