Michael Madgwick
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 80 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.87).
The record is strongest at Plumpton (13.5%, n=89), clear of the yard's 5.8% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 0% (n=52, Fair A/E 0.00). Marc Goldstein rides 19% of the entries and edges the yard's average (8% vs 5.8%, A/E 1.44) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Chase races (11.8%, n=85). The stable star of the record: Where's Susie (GB) — 9 wins from 67 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.8% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,749 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,749 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 15 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 15 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · to 15 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Michael Madgwick's strike rate?
- Michael Madgwick has won 88 of 1,526 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.8% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Michael Madgwick do best at?
- Plumpton by strike rate: 12 wins from 89 runners (13.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Michael Madgwick?
- Marc Goldstein, with 289 runners since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 23 (8%).
- What is Michael Madgwick's Fair A/E?
- 0.87, from 1,520 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.