What is Michael Mullineaux's strike rate?

Michael Mullineaux has won 150 of 2,952 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.1% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Michael Mullineaux do best at?

Chepstow by strike rate: 16 wins from 125 runners (12.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Michael Mullineaux?

Phil Dennis, with 261 runners since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 21 (8%).

Is Michael Mullineaux in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Michael Mullineaux's Fair A/E?

0.92, from 2,938 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Michael Mullineaux

2,952 runners in the lifetime window · 207 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 2 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

150–2,952

Wins / Runs

5.1%

Strike rate

n=2,952

522 (18%)

Placed

0.92

Fair A/E

n=2,938 · 0.78 incl. margin

−529.68

£1 level stake

n=2,952 at SP · −17.9%

£919k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

2.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 160 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.92).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,952 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 18% when favourite Phil Dennis: 8% from 261 Sends off the favourite in 2% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Chepstow (12.8%, n=125), clear of the yard's 5.1% baseline. It is weakest at Chester (0% over 109 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=93, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 1.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.58 and −206.00 to a £1 stake over 442 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Phil Dennis rides 9% of the entries and edges the yard's average (8% vs 5.1%, A/E 1.22) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (12%, n=333) and at trips under 6f (8.6%, n=555). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 0.9% over 544 runners, 4.2pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Methaaly (IRE) — 15 wins from 163 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

1.8%−3.3

n=442 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −206.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

4.1%−1.0

n=97 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −56.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−5.1

n=93 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −93.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

3.8%−1.3

n=80 · A/E 1.34 · £1 −11.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

4.2%−0.9

n=165 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −33.00

When favourite

18%

n=50 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −19.76

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

4.5%−0.6

n=1,368 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −301.84

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−5.1

n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 12% vs 5.1% · n=333

At Chepstow 12.8% vs 5.1% · n=125

Over 1m5f – 2m 0.9% vs 5.1% · n=544

At Chester 0% vs 5.1% · n=109

With debutants 0% vs 5.1% · n=93

At trips under 6f 8.6% vs 5.1% · n=555

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 2,151 128 6% −139.18

Hurdle 577 15 2.6% −241.50

NH Flat 125 1 0.8% −110.00

Chase 99 6 6.1% −39.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,009 55 5.5% −187.34

Good 726 34 4.7% −181.75

Good to Firm 477 26 5.5% +161.50

Good to Soft 352 19 5.4% −68.92

Soft 303 13 4.3% −200.17

Heavy 72 2 2.8% −61.00

Firm 13 1 7.7% +8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 720 36 5% −225.34

Uttoxeter 160 3 1.9% −59.00

Haydock 132 10 7.6% −13.00

Chepstow 125 16 12.8% +100.08

Leicester 124 6 4.8% −26.25

Southwell (AW) 116 5 4.3% −21.00

Chester 109 0 0% −109.00

Hamilton 95 8 8.4% +22.83

Market Rasen 94 4 4.3% −46.00

Bangor-on-Dee 91 2 2.2% −14.00

Kempton (AW) 84 8 9.5% +6.00

Doncaster 79 6 7.6% +59.50

Nottingham 68 3 4.4% −28.00

Carlisle 64 4 6.3% +110.00

Hereford 61 2 3.3% −39.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 1,232 73 5.9% −3.43

Class 5 993 51 5.1% −214.00

Class 4 551 21 3.8% −213.25

Class 3 86 3 3.5% −31.00

Class 7 63 2 3.2% −41.00

Class 2 22 0 0% −22.00

Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 67 10 14.9% 0.66 −30.76

2nd–3rd fav 286 39 13.6% 0.96 −65.92

4th–6th fav 795 48 6% 0.83 −246.00

7th+ in betting 1,804 53 2.9% 1.08 −187.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 971 54 5.6% −105.34

Under 6f 555 48 8.6% +130.83

1m5f – 2m 544 5 0.9% −493.00

1m2f – 1m4f 283 14 4.9% −120.50

1m – 1m1f 254 12 4.7% +43.83

2m1f – 2m4f 231 13 5.6% +92.50

2m5f – 3m 103 4 3.9% −67.00

Over 3m 11 0 0% −11.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 250 11 4.4% −82.00

2009 197 4 2% −140.00

2010 213 7 3.3% −44.17

2011 231 16 6.9% −36.00

2012 204 7 3.4% −103.50

2013 214 21 9.8% +123.75

2014 173 9 5.2% −72.50

2015 181 9 5% −9.00

2016 161 7 4.3% −7.00

2017 182 10 5.5% −63.75

2018 180 5 2.8% −90.50

2019 161 10 6.2% +51.00

2020 129 11 8.5% +17.41

2021 138 6 4.3% −85.67

2022 94 6 6.4% −63.25

2023 68 5 7.4% +89.00

2024 67 2 3% −53.50

2025 65 3 4.6% +69.00

2026 44 1 2.3% −29.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 2,305 138 6% −185.51

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

11-13 runners 1,082 52 4.8% −146.51

8-10 runners 1,018 54 5.3% −117.25

5-7 runners 391 30 7.7% −96.92

14-16 runners 363 13 3.6% −83.00

17+ runners 73 1 1.4% −61.00

2-4 runners 25 0 0% −25.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Peachey Carnehan (GB)from Michael Attwater 152 15 43 17 Jul 25

Methaaly (IRE)from Jane Chapple-Hyam 151 14 36 21 Nov 14

Dodgy Bob (GB)from Kevin Ryan 109 7 21 11 Mar 25

Two Turtle Doves (IRE) 107 9 29 16 Jul 16

Minty Jones (GB) 78 2 13 30 Sep 19

Very First Blade (GB)from Mark Brisbourne 74 5 21 11 Sep 18

Phoenix Eye (GB) 66 3 14 10 Nov 13

Anton Dolin (IRE)from Dr Richard Newland 60 1 20 11 Jan 19

Sacco D'oro (GB) 59 2 9 20 Apr 13

Sir Boss (IRE)from Don Cantillon 54 8 19 4 Dec 13

Poor Duke (IRE)from Jamie Osborne 53 4 8 2 Aug 19

Somewhere Secret (GB)from Robert Cowell · then Rebecca Menzies 52 6 17 16 Jul 21

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 207 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 13 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 38 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Dr Richard Newland (4) and Brian Baugh (3); 22 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for Rebecca Menzies (2) and Steph Hollinshead (2); 49 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 3

Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

545555576525

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderPhil Dennis

9% of all rides
8% SR · A/E 1.22

RiderRWSR£1

Phil Dennis 261 21 8% +47.33

Miss Michelle Mullineaux 182 7 3.8% −103.50

Tom Eaves 133 11 8.3% +8.75

Lewis Stones 124 5 4% −54.50

Joseph Young 110 6 5.5% +59.00

Sean Quinlan 104 3 2.9% −53.00

Robert Tart 87 7 8% +8.00

Brian Toomey 71 2 2.8% −8.00

Liam Jones 65 0 0% −65.00

Kielan Woods 62 5 8.1% +38.50

Ben Poste 59 3 5.1% +42.00

Robert Havlin 57 4 7% +32.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

177

Archived wins

£1.08m

Prize money

2013

Best season · 21 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Secretinthepark (GB) — Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Handicap York · Jul 2019 · Class 4

£9,962

Wizard of Us (GB) — totescoop6 Handicap Hurdle Uttoxeter · Feb 2007 · Class 2

£9,507

Wizard of Us (GB) — totescoop6 Novices' Handicap Hurdle Uttoxeter · Mar 2007 · Class 2

£9,507

Notable horses

Methaaly (IRE) Peachey Carnehan (GB) Two Turtle Doves (IRE) Sir Boss (IRE) Dodgy Bob (GB) Lord Of The Dance (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Foxwedge (AUS) 9.9% · 15–152

Progeny have won 10.1% of 2,349 runs since 2016 (131 horses).

Red Ransom (USA) 9.3% · 14–151

Progeny have won 9.7% of 3,290 runs since 2008 (303 horses). Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 13% from 687.

Royal Applause (GB) 6.4% · 7–109

Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.

Night Shift (USA) 8.4% · 9–107

Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,176 runs since 2008 (140 horses).

Sakhee's Secret (GB) 12.4% · 11–89

Progeny have won 8.8% of 3,866 runs since 2012 (253 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.3% from 772.

Primo Valentino (IRE) 2.3% · 2–88

Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,160 runs since 2008 (78 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.6% from 132. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 12.2% from 181. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 3.3% from 183.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,555 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,555 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Bear Rock (IRE)J: Faye McManoman Ladies Day 8th May On Sale Now Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 10 ran 6th 50/1

02 Nov 26 Southwell Granny B (IRE)J: Charlie Price Christmas Jumper Day Sunday 13th December Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 11 ran UR 28/1

30 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Christine's Star (GB)J: Paddy Hanlon Bob Derry 50 Years At Uttoxeter National Hunt Flat Race (conditional And Amateur Jockeys' Race) (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 8th 300/1

17 Oct 26 Stratford Granny B (IRE)J: William Maggs Value With Oncourse Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 7 ran 5th 14/1

14 Oct 26 Nottingham Spruces Due (GB)J: Jude Maher Racedays For £9 At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 9th 150/1

07 Oct 26 Nottingham Captain Bentley (GB)J: Jude Maher Construction Day 14th October Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 14th 125/1

05 Oct 26 Stratford Christine's Star (GB)J: Kevin Brogan Join Racing TV Now Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8th 500/1

05 Oct 26 Stratford Granny B (IRE)J: William Maggs Thanks To Our Raceday Team Past And Present Novices' Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 18.5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 3rd 50/1

25 Sep 26 Worcester Granny B (IRE)J: William Maggs Fbc Manby Bowdler Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 6th 40/1

21 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Spruces Due (GB)J: Robert Havlin Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 150/1

17 Aug 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Mister Mcgregor (IRE)J: Silvestre De Sousa Book Hotel And Conferencing At Wolverhampton Classified StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 9/2

01 Aug 26 Doncaster Mister Mcgregor (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Harrison College Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 8th 22/1

01 Aug 26 Doncaster Spruces Due (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Aalberts Ips Pegler Valves Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 4th 150/1

29 Jul 26 Redcar Captain Bentley (GB)J: Poppy Scott Happy Big Birthday Rachel Blizzard Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 8th 125/1

26 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Granny B (IRE)J: Kevin Brogan Roys Ices Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 7th 25/1

15 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Christine's Star (GB)J: Kevin Brogan QuinnBet Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 11th 500/1

15 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Granny B (IRE)J: Kevin Brogan Jack Frost Chiller & Freezer Hire Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 7th 18/1

12 Jul 26 Stratford Pink Walls (GB)J: Kevin Brogan Next Sunday Is Ladies Day Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 22f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 4th 100/1

10 Jul 26 Chester Mister Mcgregor (IRE)J: Faye McManoman Fired Up Tess Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 7f · Good · 10 ran 9th 40/1

27 Jun 26 Chepstow Captain Bentley (GB)J: Tyler Heard DragonBet Welsh Racing Festival 9th-11th October HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 6th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael Mullineaux's strike rate?: Michael Mullineaux has won 150 of 2,952 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.1% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Michael Mullineaux do best at?: Chepstow by strike rate: 16 wins from 125 runners (12.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Michael Mullineaux?: Phil Dennis, with 261 runners since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 21 (8%).
Is Michael Mullineaux in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Michael Mullineaux's Fair A/E?: 0.92, from 2,938 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.