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Trainer profile

Mrs Prunella Dobbs

918 runners in the lifetime window · 126 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Dec 2024
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
61–918
Wins / Runs
6.6%
Strike rate
n=918
196 (21%)
Placed
0.96
Fair A/E
n=918 · 0.74 incl. margin
−440.24
£1 level stake
n=918 at SP · −48.0%
£717k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
2.8%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.96).

Deterministic profile computed from 918 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr 27.7% when favourite Shane Foley: 6.6% from 76 Sends off the favourite in 7% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Ballinrobe (16.7%, n=30), clear of the yard's 6.6% baseline. It is weakest at Naas (0% over 34 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=96, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 3.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.55 and −220.87 to a £1 stake over 324 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Shane Foley rides 8% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (6.6%, A/E 1.00) — the market has that partnership priced right. The record reads poorly in Chase races — 1.4% over 69 runners, 5.2pts below the baseline. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the I.t.b.a Fillies Scheme E.B.F. Mares Hurdle at Leopardstown (Dec 2011, £27,625). The stable star of the record: Arbourfield (IRE) — 7 wins from 50 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4%−2.6
n=173 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −121.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.6
n=29 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −29.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.6
n=96 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −96.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
4.1%−2.5
n=49 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −22.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.6
n=24 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −24.00
When favourite
27.7%
n=65 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −6.99
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.1%−3.5
n=324 · A/E 0.55 · £1 −220.87
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
20%+13.4
n=15 · A/E 1.40 · £1 −5.85

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 15% vs 6.6% · n=60
At Ballinrobe 16.7% vs 6.6% · n=30
With debutants 0% vs 6.6% · n=96
At Naas 0% vs 6.6% · n=34
In Chase races 1.4% vs 6.6% · n=69
At Gowran Park 1.5% vs 6.6% · n=66
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 431 27 6.3% −203.00
Hurdle 316 25 7.9% −103.97
NH Flat 102 8 7.8% −68.02
Chase 69 1 1.4% −65.25

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 254 11 4.3% −137.25
Soft 214 15 7% −64.77
Heavy 139 15 10.8% −71.35
Standard (AW) 138 11 8% −68.75
Good to Firm 94 7 7.4% −28.87
Good to Soft 76 2 2.6% −66.25
Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk 137 11 8% −67.75
Gowran Park 66 1 1.5% −58.00
Punchestown 61 5 8.2% +13.62
Fairyhouse 59 4 6.8% −46.60
Leopardstown 52 5 9.6% −16.75
Limerick 51 6 11.8% −30.14
Cork 49 5 10.2% +7.50
Roscommon 42 3 7.1% −28.25
Navan 36 2 5.6% −26.00
Naas 34 0 0% −34.00
Ballinrobe 30 5 16.7% −0.50
Thurles 28 0 0% −28.00
Tramore 25 2 8% −11.00
Curragh 25 3 12% +33.00
Down Royal 23 0 0% −23.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 16 3 18.8% −6.85
Class 4 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 5 4 1 25% +9.00
Class 3 2 1 50% +1.75
Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 78 21 26.9% 1.17 −8.49
2nd–3rd fav 126 24 19% 1.34 +13.25
4th–6th fav 204 10 4.9% 0.73 −93.00
7th+ in betting 510 6 1.2% 0.42 −352.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Carried (IRE)then R K Watson 67 4 25 5 Jul 19
Arbourfield (IRE) 50 7 17 25 Oct 19
Airgead (IRE) 37 3 6 4 Jul 24
Shantou Warrior (IRE) 26 2 6 8 Aug 22
Gagnant (IRE)then J R Hagan 26 2 8 30 Sep 11
Our Girl Salley (IRE) 24 7 14 2 Apr 13
Well Joey (IRE)from S R B Crawford · then Paul Stafford 22 0 4 31 Dec 18
Ourbeautifuldream (IRE) 21 2 7 14 Jun 15
Farringdon (GB)from Marcus Tregoning 21 4 13 31 Oct 10
Premier Queen (IRE) 20 2 3 4 Apr 24
Face Facts (IRE)from J J Lennon 20 3 6 22 Aug 13
Sian (IRE) 15 1 5 13 Sep 13
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 126 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from J J Lennon (2); 48 had their first archived run for this yard.

22 have since run for another yard, most often for Paul Stafford (3) and A J McNamara (2); 38 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
471184367641014
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderShane Foley
8% of all rides
6.6% SR · A/E 1.00
RiderRWSR£1
Shane Foley 76 5 6.6% −28.75
Leigh Roche 40 2 5% −21.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
63
Archived wins
3
Pattern / graded wins
£748k
Prize money
2010
Best season · 10 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Our Girl Salley (IRE) — I.t.b.a Fillies Scheme E.B.F. Mares Hurdle (grade 3) Leopardstown · Dec 2011 · Grade 3
£27,625
Our Girl Salley (IRE) — I.T.B.A Fillies Scheme European Breeders Fund Mares Hurdle (Listed) Leopardstown · Dec 2010 · Listed
£26,000
Our Girl Salley (IRE) — Tote Pick Six Mares Novice Hurdle (listed) Fairyhouse · Jan 2011 · Listed
£16,250
Notable horses
Arbourfield (IRE) Our Girl Salley (IRE) Carried (IRE) Farringdon (GB) Airgead (IRE) Face Facts (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Footstepsinthesand (GB) 6% · 4–67
Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,816 runs since 2009 (938 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.
Moss Vale (IRE) 14% · 7–50
Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,012 runs since 2011 (145 horses).
Most Improved (IRE) 6.3% · 3–48
Progeny have won 6.7% of 1,101 runs since 2017 (71 horses).
Milan (GB) 8.1% · 3–37
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,890 runs since 2008 (1,465 horses).
King's Theatre (IRE) 11.4% · 4–35
Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.
Presenting (GB) 6.7% · 2–30
Progeny have won 11% of 20,053 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,005 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,005 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 19 February 2005 to 16 December 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
16 Dec 24 Naas Tenfour (IRE)J: Mr J P Murray Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com Maiden Hurdle19.5f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 17th 200/1
19 Nov 24 Limerick Rutland Rose (IRE)J: Miss Georgie Benson Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Yielding · 11 ran 6th 20/1
03 Nov 24 Curragh Engines On (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan businessplus.ie Handicap7f · Yielding To Soft · 26 ran 1st 33/1
27 Oct 24 Wexford Riveria (IRE)J: Tom Harney Remembering Bridget Hillis Maiden Hurdle20f · Yielding · 10 ran PU 250/1
21 Oct 24 Gowran Park Engines On (IRE)J: Darragh O'Sullivan Racing Club Membership Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)8.5f · Soft To Heavy · 15 ran 3rd 11/2
20 Oct 24 Limerick Massabielle (IRE)J: Carl Millar Crown Paints Handicap Hurdle (80-109)19.5f · Good · 13 ran 4th 14/1
15 Oct 24 Punchestown Riveria (IRE)J: Carl Millar William Hill Keep Your Raceday Positive Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 8 ran 8th 20/1
07 Oct 24 Fairyhouse Massabielle (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Buy Now & Save With The Winter Festival Real Deal Bundle Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Good · 14 ran 5th 40/1
05 Oct 24 Gowran Park Farmer Kavanagh (IRE)J: Conor Stone-Walsh Joe Bollard Memorial Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 12 ran 10th 100/1
01 Oct 24 Cork Engines On (IRE)J: James Ryan Follow Us On Twitter Handicap (47-65)8f · Yielding · 16 ran 12th 16/1
02 Sep 24 Roscommon Play It Again Zaam (IRE)J: Robert Whearty Elphin Handicap (47-65)7.5f · Soft · 15 ran 13th 12/1
30 Aug 24 Down Royal Massabielle (IRE)J: Carl Millar Linden Foods Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 13 ran 5th 150/1
11 Aug 24 Downpatrick Pasquetta (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Shortcross Irish Whiskey Handicap Hurdle (80-95)22f · Good · 15 ran 10th 100/1
10 Aug 24 Kilbeggan Massabielle (IRE)J: Phillip Enright BetXS Staffless Betting Shops Maiden Hurdle19f · Good · 14 ran 11th 100/1
26 Jul 24 Kilbeggan Trishknowsbest (IRE)J: Conor Stone-Walsh Massey Ferguson Johnston Farm Equipment Longford Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 1)19f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 7th 10/1
25 Jul 24 Wexford Pasquetta (IRE)J: Patrick M O'Brien Fleadh Cheoil Wexford Handicap Hurdle (80-102) (Div 1)24f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 8th 80/1
13 Jul 24 Wexford Trishknowsbest (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue Tote Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)17f · Good · 14 ran 10th 7/1
13 Jul 24 Wexford Premier Gale (IRE)J: Danny Gilligan Shamrock Enterprises Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Good · 14 ran 8th 50/1
11 Jul 24 Leopardstown Engines On (IRE)J: W J Lee BoyleSports Extra Places Everyday Handicap (47-65)9f · Good · 21 ran 16th 5/1F
08 Jul 24 Roscommon Pasquetta (IRE)J: Patrick M O'Brien Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Good · 13 ran 10th 150/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mrs Prunella Dobbs's strike rate?
Mrs Prunella Dobbs has won 61 of 918 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.6% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mrs Prunella Dobbs do best at?
Ballinrobe by strike rate: 5 wins from 30 runners (16.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Mrs Prunella Dobbs?
Shane Foley, with 76 runners since 2008 — 8% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (6.6%).
What is Mrs Prunella Dobbs's Fair A/E?
0.96, from 918 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).