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Trainer profile

Richenda Ford

489 runners in the lifetime window · 52 individual horses
As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 17 days ago
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
21–489
Wins / Runs
4.3%
Strike rate
n=489
83 (17%)
Placed
0.68
n=487 · 0.59 incl. margin
−289.92
£1 level stake
n=489 at SP · −59.3%
£206k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
12.5%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.68). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 7% off breaks of two months or more (108 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 489 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar Fresh horses: 6.5% Richie McLernon: 3.7% from 163
The read

The record is strongest at Newton Abbot (8.9%, n=45), clear of the yard's 4.3% baseline. Richie McLernon rides 33% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (3.7%, A/E 0.68). The yard also reads well over 2m5f – 3m (8.3%, n=121) and on Heavy going (8.1%, n=62). The record reads poorly in Flat races — 0% over 63 runners, 4.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Class 6: Fair A/E 0.00 across 55 runners (0% strike, −55.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
6.5%+2.2
n=108 · A/E 1.25 · £1 −41.75
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.3
n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.3
n=26 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −26.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.3
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.3
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
When favourite
10%
n=10 · A/E 0.44 · £1 −6.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.9%−0.4
n=76 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −39.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 2m5f – 3m 8.3% vs 4.3% · n=121
In Flat races 0% vs 4.3% · n=63
At Newton Abbot 8.9% vs 4.3% · n=45
In Class 6 0% vs 4.3% · n=55
On Heavy going 8.1% vs 4.3% · n=62
Off a 61-180-day break 8% vs 4.3% · n=50
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 248 16 6.5% −104.42
Hurdle 162 5 3.1% −106.50
Flat 63 0 0% −63.00
NH Flat 16 0 0% −16.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 161 6 3.7% −107.00
Good to Soft 101 5 5% −35.50
Soft 92 4 4.3% −40.92
Heavy 62 5 8.1% −38.00
Good to Firm 41 1 2.4% −36.50
Standard (AW) 23 0 0% −23.00
Firm 9 0 0% −9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wincanton 55 2 3.6% −24.50
Fontwell 47 1 2.1% −35.00
Newton Abbot 45 4 8.9% +1.50
Taunton 38 2 5.3% −16.67
Chepstow 37 2 5.4% −25.25
Exeter 36 1 2.8% −30.50
Plumpton 26 4 15.4% +19.50
Lingfield 23 3 13% −10.00
Ffos Las 18 0 0% −18.00
Worcester 15 0 0% −15.00
Stratford 14 0 0% −14.00
Bath 14 0 0% −14.00
Hereford 12 0 0% −12.00
Salisbury 11 0 0% −11.00
Uttoxeter 11 0 0% −11.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 265 17 6.4% −113.42
Class 4 153 4 2.6% −105.50
Class 6 55 0 0% −55.00
Class 3 15 0 0% −15.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 13 1 7.7% 0.34 −9.50
2nd–3rd fav 61 8 13.1% 0.81 −19.92
4th–6th fav 157 8 5.1% 0.68 −85.50
7th+ in betting 258 4 1.6% 0.63 −175.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
76.3% completed · 410 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 248 75.8% 4 6 50 0 0
Hurdle 162 77.2% 4 4 29 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Dont Be Robin (IRE) 48 3 11 11 Apr 24
Noah's Light (IRE)from Declan Queally 31 2 4 10 Dec 25
Katar (IRE)from Craig Lidster 30 0 9 14 May 25
Shanroe Smooch (IRE) 23 0 1 1 Dec 22
Theatre Mill (IRE)from Paul Nolan 23 1 3 26 Jun 18
Somerby (IRE)from J W Hills 23 3 10 7 Mar 16
Ball Hopper (IRE) 20 2 6 1 Mar 16
Master Mikey Dee (IRE) 19 1 4 9 Sep 25
Leave My Alone (IRE) 16 1 4 17 Jan 22
Sustainable Star (IRE) 16 0 1 13 Jan 21
Breaking Ground (IRE) 16 2 2 7 May 18
Flamenco De Kerser (FR) 15 0 3 26 Nov 23
All 52 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 52 horses listed, 26 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Paul Nolan (2); 26 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 48 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
2964203014732
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderRichie McLernon
33% of all rides
3.7% SR · A/E 0.68
RiderRWSR£1
Richie McLernon 163 6 3.7% −110.50
Adam Wedge 36 2 5.6% −27.25
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→
21
Archived wins
£206k
Prize money
2021
Best season · 5 wins
Noah's Light (IRE) — Book Our Winning Post Restaurant Handicap Chase Newton Abbot · Jul 2024 · Class 5
£5,888
Noah's Light (IRE) — SIS Chase Handicap Chase Plumpton · Oct 2025 · Class 5
£5,557
Leave My Alone (IRE) — Brancaster Mares' Handicap Chase Fakenham · Jan 2021 · Class 5
£5,049

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Robin Des Pres (FR) 6.3% · 3–48
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,800 runs since 2008 (229 horses).
Ask (GB) 2.6% · 1–38
Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,218 runs since 2014 (283 horses).
Leading Light (IRE) 6.5% · 2–31
Progeny have won 8.2% of 2,210 runs since 2018 (225 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.6% from 241.
Kessaar (IRE) 0% · 0–30
Progeny have won 7.6% of 1,099 runs since 2022 (97 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14% from 107.
Sadler's Wells (USA) 12% · 3–25
Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,636 runs since 2008 (370 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.7% from 107.
King's Theatre (IRE) 4.3% · 1–23
Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 489 · newest first

The latest 50 of 489 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 May 2011 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
10 Dec 25 Hereford Noah's Light (IRE)J: Harry Kimber Green Dragon Hotel Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good To Soft · 13 ran PU 16/1
23 Oct 25 Fontwell Ask Her Out (IRE)J: Harry Kimber BetGoodwin Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 3rd 5/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Richenda Ford's strike rate?
Richenda Ford has won 21 of 489 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.3% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Richenda Ford do best at?
Newton Abbot by strike rate: 4 wins from 45 runners (8.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Richenda Ford?
Richie McLernon, with 163 runners since 2008 — 33% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (3.7%).
What is Richenda Ford's Fair A/E?
0.68, from 487 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 5 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).