Richenda Ford
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 30 runners a season, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.68). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 7% off breaks of two months or more (108 runs).
The record is strongest at Newton Abbot (8.9%, n=45), clear of the yard's 4.3% baseline. Richie McLernon rides 33% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (3.7%, A/E 0.68). The yard also reads well over 2m5f – 3m (8.3%, n=121) and on Heavy going (8.1%, n=62). The record reads poorly in Flat races — 0% over 63 runners, 4.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Class 6: Fair A/E 0.00 across 55 runners (0% strike, −55.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.3% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2011→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 489 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 489 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 May 2011 to 19 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Richenda Ford's strike rate?
- Richenda Ford has won 21 of 489 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.3% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Richenda Ford do best at?
- Newton Abbot by strike rate: 4 wins from 45 runners (8.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Richenda Ford?
- Richie McLernon, with 163 runners since 2008 — 33% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (3.7%).
- What is Richenda Ford's Fair A/E?
- 0.68, from 487 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.