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Trainer profile

Steph Hollinshead

1,353 runners in the lifetime window · 141 individual horses
As at 9 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 2 days ago 96% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
83–1,353
Wins / Runs
6.1%
Strike rate
n=1,353
257 (19%)
Placed
0.95
Fair A/E
n=1,343 · 0.82 incl. margin
−576.47
£1 level stake
n=1,353 at SP · −42.6%
£868k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.4%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 70 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.95). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 8% (61 runs, true-first definition).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,353 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 9 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance 25.5% when favourite Dougie Costello: 9.3% from 204 Sends off the favourite in 3% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Newmarket (22.6%, n=31) and Carlisle (19.4%, n=36) — all clear of the yard's 6.1% baseline. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 0% (n=34, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 1.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.34 and −223.67 to a £1 stake over 259 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Dougie Costello rides 15% of the entries and edges the yard's average (9.3% vs 6.1%, A/E 1.10) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Class 3 (18.9%, n=37). The record reads poorly over 1m2f – 1m4f — 0% over 123 runners, 6.1pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Angel Shared (GB) — 7 wins from 30 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.1%−2.0
n=246 · A/E 1.03 · £1 +2.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
2.3%−3.8
n=43 · A/E 0.77 · £1 +83.00
Debutants · first career start
1%−5.1
n=99 · A/E 0.54 · £1 −70.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
8.2%+2.1
n=61 · A/E 2.48 · £1 +31.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.1
n=34 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −34.00
When favourite
25.5%
n=47 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −5.96
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1.5%−4.6
n=259 · A/E 0.34 · £1 −223.67
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.1
n=24 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −24.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 23.8% vs 6.1% · n=84
At Newmarket 22.6% vs 6.1% · n=31
At Carlisle 19.4% vs 6.1% · n=36
In Class 3 18.9% vs 6.1% · n=37
With Clifford Lee 17.2% vs 6.1% · n=64
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 0% vs 6.1% · n=123
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 72.6% of the archive so far (as at 9 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 1,302 81 6.2% −666.47
Hurdle 36 2 5.6% +105.00
NH Flat 15 0 0% −15.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 449 19 4.2% −306.47
Good 289 20 6.9% −42.63
Good to Firm 250 18 7.2% −119.05
Good to Soft 160 8 5% −63.57
Soft 147 16 10.9% +1.25
Heavy 40 1 2.5% −35.00
Firm 18 1 5.6% −11.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 244 6 2.5% −201.30
Bath 95 10 10.5% −11.88
Leicester 93 5 5.4% −29.13
Southwell (AW) 90 6 6.7% −36.67
Nottingham 80 4 5% −53.75
Doncaster 78 4 5.1% −30.50
Haydock 72 7 9.7% −13.00
Redcar 59 3 5.1% −23.00
Chester 38 1 2.6% −31.50
Beverley 38 0 0% −38.00
Carlisle 36 7 19.4% +13.25
Newmarket 31 7 22.6% +12.50
Lingfield (AW) 31 2 6.5% −17.50
Newcastle (AW) 31 3 9.7% −13.00
Chepstow 31 0 0% −31.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 618 32 5.2% −328.12
Class 5 431 29 6.7% −199.18
Class 4 203 13 6.4% +3.75
Class 3 37 7 18.9% +0.58
Class 2 28 2 7.1% −17.50
Class 1 24 0 0% −24.00
Class 7 12 0 0% −12.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 68 18 26.5% 1.19 −2.38
2nd–3rd fav 164 29 17.7% 1.11 −9.59
4th–6th fav 373 23 6.2% 0.87 −170.50
7th+ in betting 748 13 1.7% 0.67 −394.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Frank The Barber (IRE) 62 3 22 4 Oct 18
The Golden Cue (GB) 46 5 10 8 Sep 22
Cahar Fad (IRE) 45 2 13 19 Mar 18
Belledesert (GB) 36 4 8 4 Dec 18
Royal Musketeer (GB)from Charles Hills 35 3 10 2 Jan 26
Albeseeingyer (GB) 31 6 10 6 Oct 26
Angel Shared (GB) 30 7 10 18 Sep 26
Pepsi Cat (IRE) 30 7 17 3 May 25
Stoneyford Lane (IRE) 29 3 5 1 Oct 19
Spirit Of Rosanna (GB) 29 6 11 19 Oct 17
Malham Tarn Cove (GB) 26 1 7 30 Oct 25
Al Simmo (GB) 26 7 14 19 Jul 24
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 141 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive; 48 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard, most often for Kevin Frost (2); 55 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 9
Only 9 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
7231166594747
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderDougie Costello
15% of all rides
9.3% SR · A/E 1.10
RiderRWSR£1
Dougie Costello 204 19 9.3% −91.85
Royston Ffrench 110 6 5.5% −38.50
Adam Beschizza 105 11 10.5% −37.75
Toby Eley 92 2 2.2% −66.00
Clifford Lee 64 11 17.2% +12.75
David Allan 60 6 10% −16.90
Josephine Gordon 46 4 8.7% −3.17
Kieran O'Neill 39 1 2.6% −31.00
Jack Duern 35 0 0% −35.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
83
Archived wins
£868k
Prize money
2024
Best season · 11 wins
Myal (GB) — Ladbrokes Handicap Chester · May 2025 · Class 2
£25,770
Myal (GB) — Try Unibet's New Same Race Multis Handicap Haydock · Apr 2025 · Class 2
£23,193
Pepsi Cat (IRE) — Sky Bet Request A Bet Handicap Newmarket · May 2024 · Class 3
£15,462
Notable horses
Angel Shared (GB) Pepsi Cat (IRE) Al Simmo (GB) Myal (GB) Albeseeingyer (GB) Spirit Of Rosanna (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Al Kazeem (GB) 19.2% · 25–130
Progeny have won 10.7% of 1,266 runs since 2017 (88 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14% from 129. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7% from 416.
Zebedee (GB) 7.4% · 8–108
Progeny have won 9% of 7,139 runs since 2014 (435 horses).
Bushranger (IRE) 6.8% · 5–74
Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,449 runs since 2013 (300 horses).
Pastoral Pursuits (GB) 6.2% · 4–65
Progeny have won 9.5% of 7,219 runs since 2009 (437 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.4% from 109. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1.5% from 133.
Hellvelyn (GB) 14% · 6–43
Progeny have won 7.1% of 1,952 runs since 2014 (162 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 11.7% from 256.
Tamayuz (GB) 18.4% · 7–38
Progeny have won 10.4% of 5,189 runs since 2012 (401 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 9 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,353 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,353 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 December 2013 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
07 Nov 26 Doncaster Myal (GB)J: David Allan Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Wentworth Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 6f · Good To Soft · 20 ran 11th 20/1
06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Dragon Spin (GB)J: David Allan Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 25/1
05 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Spirit Of Jenny (IRE)J: Clifford Lee AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 7/1
04 Nov 26 Nottingham Naples (IRE)J: Clifford Lee Conference And Events At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes (Div I) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Soft · 9 ran 7th 33/1
31 Oct 26 Newmarket Wodao (FR)J: Kieran Shoemark Prestige Vehicles Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 9th 7/1
28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Gloriola (GB)J: Gina Mangan Unibet's New Var Goal Guarantee Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 6 ran 4th 33/1
27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Bold Return (IRE)J: Dougie Costello Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 33/1
27 Oct 26 Catterick Sweet Desire (GB)J: P. J. McDonald Celebrating Helen Mackinnon's LX Years Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Soft · 10 ran 10th 28/1
27 Oct 26 Catterick Stoneywell (GB)J: P. J. McDonald Celebrating Helen MacKinnon's LX Years Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Soft · 10 ran 6th 12/1
26 Oct 26 Leicester Wodao (FR)J: David Probert Jumping's Back At Leicester Tuesday 17th November Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 7 ran 4th 15/8F
26 Oct 26 Redcar Corduroy (GB)J: P. J. McDonald Market Cross Jewellers Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Heavy · 14 ran 14th 40/1
24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Alkaios (GB)J: Dougie Costello Join The Midnite Movement Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 9/1
23 Oct 26 Doncaster Naples (IRE)J: Kevin Stott William Hill Keep Your Raceday Positive Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10f · Heavy · 18 ran 15th 33/1
20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Wodao (FR)J: David Egan Brandford Restaurants & Bar Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Soft · 9 ran 1st 6/4F
20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Sir Chops (GB)J: David Egan Graham & Alison's 15th Wedding Aniversary Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 5f · Soft · 6 ran 4th 50/1
17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Lavender Bloom (IRE)J: Dougie Costello Winter Ladies Night Saturday 28th November Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 40/1
17 Oct 26 Catterick Heaven's Hope (GB)J: Jack Nicholls Every Race Live On Racing TV Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good · 7 ran 7th 200/1
17 Oct 26 Catterick She Is Mighty (GB)J: Joanna Mason EBF "Confined" Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D With No More Than Three Runs) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 33/1
16 Oct 26 Redcar Wodao (FR)J: Cieren Fallon Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 12 ran 1st 22/1
16 Oct 26 Redcar Dragon Spin (GB)J: Dougie Costello Sam Hall Memorial Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good · 10 ran 6th 18/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 7 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 4 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 4 runs (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 7 runs (won 0, 2 did not run) · to 5 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Steph Hollinshead's strike rate?
Steph Hollinshead has won 83 of 1,353 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Steph Hollinshead do best at?
Newmarket by strike rate: 7 wins from 31 runners (22.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Steph Hollinshead?
Dougie Costello, with 204 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (9.3%).
Is Steph Hollinshead in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Steph Hollinshead's Fair A/E?
0.95, from 1,343 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 9 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).