Skip to content
Trainer profile

Stephen Thorne

333 runners in the lifetime window · 47 individual horses
As at 30 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 2 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2024→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
46–333
Wins / Runs
13.8%
Strike rate
n=333
121 (36%)
Placed
1.03
Fair A/E
n=333 · 0.84 incl. margin
−65.96
£1 level stake
n=333 at SP · −19.8%
£948k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
9.1%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 14% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03). With a claiming rider up the record reads 16% (209 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 333 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 30 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance 34.7% when favourite Jack Kearney: 17% from 182 Claiming riders: 16.3% Sends off the favourite in 15% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Dundalk (AW) (21.4%, n=154), clear of the yard's 13.8% baseline. It is weakest at Curragh (5% over 40 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 5.6% (n=36, Fair A/E 0.46). Jack Kearney rides 55% of the entries and edges the yard's average (17% vs 13.8%, A/E 1.22) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Standard (AW) going (21%, n=157). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 5% over 60 runners, 8.8pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Hong Kong Jockey Club World Pool Autumn Fillies Handicap at Leopardstown (Sep 2025, £59,000).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.3%−6.5
n=41 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −23.87
New recruits · first run for the yard
5.6%−8.2
n=36 · A/E 0.46 · £1 −22.90
Debutants · first career start
25%+11.2
n=12 · A/E 2.18 · £1 +30.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−13.8
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
6.7%−7.1
n=15 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −9.50
When favourite
34.7%
n=49 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −6.87
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
16.3%+2.5
n=209 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −23.03
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
7.1%−6.7
n=14 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −9.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Dundalk (AW) 21.4% vs 13.8% · n=154
On last-time-out winners 23.8% vs 13.8% · n=42
On Standard (AW) going 21% vs 13.8% · n=157
On Soft going 5% vs 13.8% · n=60
At Curragh 5% vs 13.8% · n=40
With new recruits 5.6% vs 13.8% · n=36
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 157 33 21% +10.97
Good 78 6 7.7% −37.63
Soft 60 3 5% −37.90
Good to Soft 15 2 13.3% +16.00
Good to Firm 12 1 8.3% −8.50
Heavy 11 1 9.1% −8.90

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 154 33 21.4% +13.97
Curragh 40 2 5% −27.40
Leopardstown 28 2 7.1% +8.00
Naas 20 2 10% −5.88
Galway 17 0 0% −17.00
Gowran Park 12 2 16.7% −5.40
Cork 9 3 33.3% +5.25
Down Royal 7 0 0% −7.00
Navan 7 0 0% −7.00
Killarney 6 1 16.7% −1.50
Ascot 6 0 0% −6.00
Fairyhouse 5 0 0% −5.00
Limerick 5 0 0% −5.00
Listowel 4 0 0% −4.00
Roscommon 2 1 50% +9.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 14 1 7.1% −9.50
Class 2 11 0 0% −11.00
Class 5 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 62 21 33.9% 1.19 −4.12
2nd–3rd fav 102 12 11.8% 0.75 −47.34
4th–6th fav 92 10 10.9% 1.28 +4.00
7th+ in betting 77 3 3.9% 0.91 −18.50
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Pink Oxalis (IRE)from Joseph G Murphy 26 4 11 18 Oct 26
Perfect Judgement (IRE)from Jack W Davison · then P J F Murphy 17 3 3 13 Mar 26
Gleneagle Bay (IRE)from Jack W Davison 15 1 6 12 Sep 26
Never Shout Never (IRE)from Jack W Davison · then Andrew McNamara 15 1 8 15 Aug 25
Shoot To Kill (IRE)from Jack W Davison · then Denis Gerard Hogan 15 3 10 16 Jul 25
Sir Les Patterson (GB)from Harry Eustace 14 2 5 23 Oct 26
Far From Dandy (IRE)from George Boughey 14 2 6 28 Jul 26
Hightimeyouwon (GB)from Jack W Davison 14 4 8 7 Nov 25
Inishfallen (IRE)from Brian Meehan 12 0 2 7 Aug 26
Independent Expert (IRE)from Andrew Slattery · then Denis Gerard Hogan 11 2 3 3 Dec 25
Kerdos (IRE)from Clive Cox 10 2 2 23 Oct 26
Ocean Manifest (IRE)from M D O'Callaghan 10 2 5 25 Jul 26
All 47 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 47 horses listed, 35 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Jack W Davison (13); 12 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard, most often for Denis Gerard Hogan (2); 39 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 8
Only 8 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
29212012173114472421
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJack Kearney
55% of all rides
17% SR · A/E 1.22
RiderRWSR£1
Jack Kearney 182 31 17% −17.61
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2024→
46
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£948k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 30 wins
Pink Oxalis (IRE) — Hong Kong Jockey Club World Pool Autumn Fillies Handicap (Premier Handicap) Leopardstown · Sep 2025
£59,000
Gleneagle Bay (IRE) — Mallow Handicap (Premier Handicap) Cork · Jun 2026
£58,900
Jagged Edge (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Vincent O'Brien Ruby Stakes (Listed) Killarney (IRE) · Aug 2026 · Listed
£30,000
Notable horses
Pink Oxalis (IRE) Hightimeyouwon (GB) Perfect Judgement (IRE) Shoot To Kill (IRE) Instant Appeal (GB) Far From Dandy (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Caravaggio (USA) 15.4% · 4–26
Progeny have won 11.7% of 1,771 runs since 2008 (201 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.3% from 166.
Inns Of Court (IRE) 18.2% · 4–22
Progeny have won 9.3% of 2,240 runs since 2008 (232 horses).
Exceed and Excel (AUS) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,030 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.
Dandy Man (IRE) 17.6% · 3–17
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,953 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
Gleneagles (IRE) 5.9% · 1–17
Progeny have won 11.4% of 4,561 runs since 2008 (445 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17.3% from 283.
Ardad (IRE) 6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,533 runs since 2008 (351 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 30 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 333 · newest first

The latest 50 of 333 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 17 October 2024 to 28 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Crayons In The Sky (GB)J: Jack Kearney Irish Stallion Farms EBF Auction Maiden6f · Standard · 13 ran 1st 1/2F
23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Trustmore (IRE)J: Dylan Browne McMonagle Des Byrne Memorial Maiden10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 4/1
23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Kerdos (IRE)J: Reese Holohan BAR 1 Betting Mercury Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 5f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 14/1
23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Sir Les Patterson (GB)J: Jack Kearney BAR 1 Betting Mercury Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 5f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 3/1
18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Son Of Beauty (IRE)J: Jack Kearney Nord Anglia International School Dublin Foxrock Cup Handicap8.5f · Good · 16 ran 5th 18/1
18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Pink Oxalis (IRE)J: Patrick McGettigan Nord Anglia International School Dublin Foxrock Cup Handicap8.5f · Good · 16 ran 4th 9/1
17 Oct 26 Ascot Excellent Believe (GB)J: Colin Keane Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing)Class 2 · 8f · Good · 20 ran 10th 9/1
17 Oct 26 Ascot Jagged Edge (IRE)J: Jack Kearney Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing)Class 2 · 8f · Good · 20 ran 5th 25/1
10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Thunderbear (IRE)J: Jack Kearney RFL Steels Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 6f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 9/2
10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) All Talk (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Irish EBF Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Soft · 18 ran 9th 33/1
09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Alissam (IRE)J: Jack Kearney BAR 1 Betting 'First For Football' Handicap8f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 20/1
07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Pink Oxalis (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap8f · Yielding · 9 ran 5th 6/1
02 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Someday Somewhere (IRE)J: Jack Kearney Michael And Esther Cooney Memorial Nursery Handicap7f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 9/2
02 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Sir Les Patterson (GB)J: Jack Kearney BAR 1 Casino 'Slot Games & Live Casino' Race5f · Standard · 8 ran 2nd 3/1F
02 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Kerdos (IRE)J: Reese Holohan BAR 1 Casino 'Slot Games & Live Casino' Race5f · Standard · 8 ran 1st 11/1
26 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Excellent Believe (GB)J: Colin Keane Izuzu Ireland Handicap7f · Yielding · 10 ran 3rd 2/1F
25 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Crayons In The Sky (GB)J: Jack Kearney Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden7f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 100/30
22 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Jagged Edge (IRE)J: Jack Kearney Edmund & Josie Whelan Memorial Listowel Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 8f · Yielding · 11 ran 3rd 9/4J
22 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) All Talk (IRE)J: Rory Cleary SIS Irish EBF Maiden7f · Yielding · 6 ran 4th 11/2
18 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Trustmore (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Maiden10.5f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 4/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 7 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 1) · to 28 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Stephen Thorne's strike rate?
Stephen Thorne has won 46 of 333 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.8% (as at 30 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Stephen Thorne do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 33 wins from 154 runners (21.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Stephen Thorne?
Jack Kearney, with 182 runners since 2008 — 55% of the total. That pairing has won 31 (17%).
Is Stephen Thorne in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Stephen Thorne's Fair A/E?
1.03, from 333 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 30 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).