What is Stuart Kittow's strike rate?

Stuart Kittow has won 223 of 2,369 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.4% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Stuart Kittow do best at?

Epsom Downs by strike rate: 9 wins from 51 runners (17.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Stuart Kittow?

Fergus Sweeney, with 249 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 29 (11.6%).

What is Stuart Kittow's Fair A/E?

0.98, from 2,359 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Stuart Kittow

2,369 runners in the lifetime window · 206 individual horses

As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 217 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

223–2,369

Wins / Runs

9.4%

Strike rate

n=2,369

639 (27%)

Placed

0.98

Fair A/E

n=2,359 · 0.84 incl. margin

−552.45

£1 level stake

n=2,369 at SP · −23.3%

£1.69m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

16.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 120 runners a season, winning with 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.98).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,369 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 2 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 10.2% 25.5% when favourite Fergus Sweeney: 11.6% from 249 Sends off the favourite in 9% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Epsom Downs (17.6%, n=51), clear of the yard's 9.4% baseline. It is weakest at Ascot (0% over 30 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 3.6% (n=140, Fair A/E 0.89). Fergus Sweeney rides 11% of the entries and edges the yard's average (11.6% vs 9.4%, A/E 1.16) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Heavy going (17%, n=88). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Investec Wealth & Investment Handicap at Epsom Downs (May 2013, £31,125). The stable star of the record: Guilded Warrior (GB) — 9 wins from 51 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

10.2%+0.8

n=453 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −84.65

New recruits · first run for the yard

4%−5.4

n=50 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −39.00

Debutants · first career start

3.6%−5.8

n=140 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −53.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4.3%−5.1

n=94 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −62.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

8.2%−1.2

n=85 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −26.42

When favourite

25.5%

n=208 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −33.99

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9.3%−0.1

n=313 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −132.88

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.1%−2.3

n=14 · A/E 1.36 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Tom Scudamore 20% vs 9.4% · n=40

With Neil Callan 19.4% vs 9.4% · n=36

With Martin Lane 18.9% vs 9.4% · n=37

On Heavy going 17% vs 9.4% · n=88

At Epsom Downs 17.6% vs 9.4% · n=51

At Ascot 0% vs 9.4% · n=30

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,999 190 9.5% −492.19

Hurdle 282 23 8.2% −88.42

NH Flat 59 9 15.3% +52.83

Chase 29 1 3.4% −24.67

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 632 59 9.3% −204.15

Good to Firm 485 43 8.9% −159.73

Standard (AW) 445 38 8.5% −113.80

Good to Soft 341 28 8.2% +18.91

Soft 328 35 10.7% −64.59

Heavy 88 15 17% −3.59

Firm 50 5 10% −25.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chepstow 220 13 5.9% −130.51

Bath 191 14 7.3% −112.50

Kempton (AW) 180 14 7.8% −48.00

Windsor 179 17 9.5% −32.25

Salisbury 157 15 9.6% −38.26

Wolverhampton (AW) 129 12 9.3% −39.25

Goodwood 100 8 8% −34.50

Leicester 92 9 9.8% −21.25

Ffos Las 84 12 14.3% +3.28

Lingfield (AW) 82 5 6.1% −20.75

Newbury 80 6 7.5% −29.25

Sandown 78 8 10.3% −24.12

Newton Abbot 65 5 7.7% −19.50

Epsom Downs 51 9 17.6% +4.00

Warwick 50 5 10% −21.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 880 89 10.1% −116.61

Class 4 672 61 9.1% −174.01

Class 6 555 54 9.7% −146.79

Class 3 177 14 7.9% −68.92

Class 2 69 4 5.8% −43.12

Class 1 16 1 6.3% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 241 61 25.3% 0.96 −29.61

2nd–3rd fav 489 77 15.7% 1.02 −27.34

4th–6th fav 747 64 8.6% 1.08 −22.50

7th+ in betting 892 21 2.4% 0.72 −473.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 742 71 9.6% −192.27

1m2f – 1m4f 463 44 9.5% −151.56

1m – 1m1f 323 31 9.6% −61.88

1m5f – 2m 317 27 8.5% −90.28

Under 6f 264 25 9.5% +8.88

2m1f – 2m4f 182 20 11% −23.17

2m5f – 3m 68 4 5.9% −47.17

Over 3m 10 1 10% +5.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 152 14 9.2% −51.17

2009 202 11 5.4% −130.80

2010 163 17 10.4% +12.33

2011 140 15 10.7% −48.50

2012 126 12 9.5% −33.74

2013 122 15 12.3% −14.50

2014 119 8 6.7% −23.50

2015 109 15 13.8% −0.25

2016 137 14 10.2% −45.75

2017 138 16 11.6% −4.86

2018 130 9 6.9% −70.24

2019 122 7 5.7% −53.50

2020 113 6 5.3% −59.30

2021 112 11 9.8% +61.75

2022 105 9 8.6% +9.31

2023 117 14 12% −0.29

2024 141 20 14.2% −27.52

2025 115 9 7.8% −72.42

2026 6 1 16.7% +0.50

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,743 186 10.7% −370.84

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 816 89 10.9% −115.01

11-13 runners 774 58 7.5% −248.84

5-7 runners 348 51 14.7% −5.73

14-16 runners 329 15 4.6% −190.50

17+ runners 82 6 7.3% +1.00

2-4 runners 20 4 20% +6.63

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Beyond Equal (GB) 68 7 24 16 Nov 24

Our Folly (GB) 56 6 20 17 Oct 18

Gherkin (GB) 53 5 22 30 Oct 25

Macdillon (GB) 53 5 17 19 Oct 15

Resurge (IRE)from Jeremy Noseda 50 6 13 28 Jul 14

May Be Some Time (GB) 44 5 16 29 Apr 16

Mad Endeavour (GB) 43 4 13 10 Sep 20

Coup De Force (GB) 39 9 19 23 Aug 25

Ken's Girl (GB) 39 5 14 23 Jul 12

Hawridge King (GB) 37 4 10 29 Nov 12

Notre Maison (GB) 36 3 11 25 Aug 25

Kleitomachos (IRE) 35 4 11 11 Sep 16

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 206 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 13 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive; 51 had their first archived run for this yard.

15 have since run for another yard, most often for Zoe Hawkins (4); 45 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

10861710109798133

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderFergus Sweeney

11% of all rides
11.6% SR · A/E 1.16

RiderRWSR£1

Fergus Sweeney 249 29 11.6% −35.75

Rob Hornby 172 15 8.7% −70.37

Liam Keniry 128 10 7.8% +3.25

Ian Mongan 91 9 9.9% −33.87

David Noonan 86 5 5.8% −53.84

Tom Queally 57 4 7% −25.62

Martin Dwyer 54 5 9.3% −10.50

Oisin Murphy 52 5 9.6% −27.75

Shane Kelly 51 6 11.8% +24.20

Kieran O'Neill 46 4 8.7% −28.60

Kieran Shoemark 44 3 6.8% −22.50

Tom Scudamore 40 8 20% +31.83

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

254

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.89m

Prize money

2024

Best season · 20 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Resurge (IRE) — Investec Wealth & Investment Handicap Epsom Downs · May 2013 · Class 2

£31,125

Resurge (IRE) — Investec Investment Stakes (handicap) Epsom Downs · Jun 2011 · Class 2

£28,040

Noble Protector (GB) — Newsells Park Stud Stakes (Registered As The Aphrodite Stakes) (Fillies' Listed) Newmarket · Jul 2014 · Listed

£22,684

Notable horses

Guilded Warrior (GB) Coup De Force (GB) Beyond Equal (GB) Hawridge King (GB) Our Folly (GB) Dove Cottage (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Coach House (IRE) 10% · 12–120

Progeny have won 8.6% of 2,478 runs since 2018 (145 horses).

Kheleyf (USA) 11.7% · 11–94

Progeny have won 8.7% of 10,547 runs since 2008 (676 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 12.2% from 131. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 880.

Piccolo (GB) 5% · 4–80

Progeny have won 7.8% of 6,904 runs since 2008 (393 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.6% from 164. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.5% from 258.

Iceman (GB) 12% · 9–75

Progeny have won 8.1% of 2,215 runs since 2010 (119 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 12.1% from 206. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 4.4% from 137.

Ishiguru (USA) 14.1% · 10–71

Progeny have won 10.4% of 3,199 runs since 2008 (156 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.5% from 155.

Acclamation (GB) 7.4% · 5–68

Progeny have won 10% of 19,704 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 194.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,680 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,680 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 12 January 2005 to 30 March 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 Mar 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Gris De Chine (GB)J: Marco Ghiani Make The Move To Midnite Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 12/1

22 Mar 26 Exeter Henriettaredheart (GB)J: Mr Zac Baker Greendale Farm Shop Point-To-Point Bumper Maiden NH Flat Race (Amateur Jockeys) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 7/2

20 Mar 26 Newbury Cornish Storm (GB)J: Ben Jones BetVictor Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 5th 9/2

10 Mar 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Gris De Chine (GB)J: Marco Ghiani Bet 10 Get 40 With BetMGM Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 40/1

07 Feb 26 Warwick Cornish Storm (GB)J: Ben Jones Oddschecker Cheltenham Free Bets Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Heavy · 8 ran 1st 11/2

02 Feb 26 Kempton Inishbofin (IRE)J: Rian Corcoran Safer Gambling With CopyBet Maiden NH Flat Race (Conditional & Amateurs) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 2nd 11/2

30 Dec 25 Taunton Cornish Storm (GB)J: Oscar Palmer Musgrove Park Hospital League Of Friends Conditional Jockeys' Training Series Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19f · Good · 8 ran 1st 6/1

16 Dec 25 Wincanton Cornish Storm (GB)J: Jay Tidball PricedUp.Bet Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 15f · Soft · 13 ran 9th 5/1

13 Dec 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Enternal Moonlight (GB)J: Rob Hornby Bet 10 Get 40 With BetMGM Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 5 ran 2nd 28/1

24 Nov 25 Kempton Cornish Storm (GB)J: Jay Tidball BOG Today For Tomorrow With CopyBet Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 40/1

20 Nov 25 Wincanton Adaay Dancing (GB)J: Robert Dunne pricedup.bet Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 15f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 40/1

07 Nov 25 Exeter Cornish Storm (GB)J: Rian Corcoran Oddschecker Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 17 ran 12th 16/1

05 Nov 25 Kempton (AW) Havana Tobouggaloo (GB)J: Kieran Shoemark Bet At racingtv.com HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 11th 28/1

30 Oct 25 Bath Gherkin (GB)J: Callum Hutchinson Lambert Smith Hampton Bath Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 5.5f · Heavy · 11 ran 7th 25/1

23 Oct 25 Southwell (AW) Liosa (IRE)J: Joe Leavy Make The Move To Midnite HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 8/1

20 Oct 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Jimmy Mark (IRE)J: Callum Hutchinson Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 15/2

18 Oct 25 Newton Abbot Cornish Storm (GB)J: Robert Dunne Wollens Full Spectrum Law Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 17f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 6th 18/1

14 Oct 25 Leicester Havana Tobouggaloo (GB)J: Kieran Shoemark racingtv.com HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good · 15 ran 8th 18/1

12 Oct 25 Goodwood Spiced Rum (GB)J: Robert Dunne Alderbrook Handicap (Professional Jump Jockeys) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 11/4F

09 Oct 25 Bath Papabella (GB)J: Rob Hornby BetWright Bangers N'Cash Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 5.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 8th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Stuart Kittow's strike rate?: Stuart Kittow has won 223 of 2,369 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.4% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Stuart Kittow do best at?: Epsom Downs by strike rate: 9 wins from 51 runners (17.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Stuart Kittow?: Fergus Sweeney, with 249 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 29 (11.6%).
What is Stuart Kittow's Fair A/E?: 0.98, from 2,359 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.