What is Tom Lacey's strike rate?

Tom Lacey has won 360 of 2,089 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 17.2% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Tom Lacey do best at?

Huntingdon by strike rate: 21 wins from 81 runners (25.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Tom Lacey?

Stan Sheppard, with 866 runners since 2008 — 41% of the total. That pairing has won 148 (17.1%).

Is Tom Lacey in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Tom Lacey's Fair A/E?

1.11, from 2,088 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Tom Lacey

2,089 runners in the lifetime window · 283 individual horses

As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 12.2% of 229 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 1 Nov 2026.

Last runner yesterday 98% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

360–2,089

Wins / Runs

17.2%

Strike rate

n=2,089

800 (38%)

Placed

1.11

Fair A/E

n=2,088 · 0.95 incl. margin

+42.11

£1 level stake

n=2,089 at SP · +2.0%

£4.27m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 110 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 17% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.11). New recruits from other yards win at 25% first time out (93 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,089 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 1 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–May 36.4% when favourite Stan Sheppard: 17.1% from 866 New recruits: 24.7% Claiming riders: 17.6% Sends off the favourite in 18% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Huntingdon (25.9%, n=81) and Plumpton (28.1%, n=32) — all clear of the yard's 17.2% baseline. It is weakest at Cheltenham (3.9% over 51 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 24.7% (n=93, Fair A/E 1.68), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 11.9% (n=118, Fair A/E 1.14). Stan Sheppard rides 41% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (17.1%, A/E 1.09) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 14 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Betfair Hurdle at Newbury (Feb 2022, £87,219). The stable star of the record: Flashing Glance (GB) — 8 wins from 40 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 17.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

16.2%−1.0

n=518 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −12.49

New recruits · first run for the yard

24.7%+7.5

n=93 · A/E 1.68 · £1 +24.56

Debutants · first career start

13.5%−3.7

n=193 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −35.93

First-time headgear · true-first definition

12.7%−4.5

n=126 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −34.81

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

17%−0.2

n=53 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −10.54

When favourite

36.4%

n=374 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −15.67

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

17.6%+0.4

n=380 · A/E 1.07 · £1 +0.44

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

11.9%−5.3

n=118 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −2.41

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 17.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Cheltenham 3.9% vs 17.2% · n=51

On last-time-out winners 25.2% vs 17.2% · n=353

At Aintree 7.5% vs 17.2% · n=67

With Richard Johnson 24.6% vs 17.2% · n=179

At Huntingdon 25.9% vs 17.2% · n=81

At Plumpton 28.1% vs 17.2% · n=32

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,322 239 18.1% +178.78

Chase 479 82 17.1% −63.74

NH Flat 249 36 14.5% −49.93

Flat 39 3 7.7% −23.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 822 151 18.4% −96.56

Soft 507 88 17.4% −16.75

Good to Soft 496 68 13.7% −25.20

Heavy 174 34 19.5% +191.59

Good to Firm 65 14 21.5% −18.59

Standard (AW) 25 5 20% +7.62

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Uttoxeter 176 29 16.5% −2.80

Chepstow 143 26 18.2% +38.82

Southwell 106 20 18.9% +30.24

Warwick 93 20 21.5% +30.79

Huntingdon 81 21 25.9% +31.60

Hereford 81 10 12.3% −35.00

Exeter 78 11 14.1% +182.36

Market Rasen 75 15 20% −16.28

Worcester 71 11 15.5% −22.20

Doncaster 69 14 20.3% +4.28

Taunton 68 12 17.6% −5.08

Aintree 67 5 7.5% −15.00

Ffos Las 64 7 10.9% −29.38

Newbury 61 9 14.8% +23.25

Kempton 61 10 16.4% −25.08

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 852 137 16.1% −167.78

Class 5 496 99 20% −30.79

Class 3 339 68 20.1% +39.40

Class 2 173 27 15.6% +186.11

Class 1 152 17 11.2% −11.08

Class 6 73 11 15.1% +13.25

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 436 150 34.4% 1.08 −24.79

2nd–3rd fav 709 138 19.5% 1.10 −31.60

4th–6th fav 563 54 9.6% 1.13 −44.50

7th+ in betting 381 18 4.7% 1.36 +143.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

89.1% completed · 1,801 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 479 80.6% 19 7 64 1 2

Hurdle 1,322 92.1% 15 11 78 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Flashing Glance (GB)from Richard Price 40 8 14 4 Jun 22

Nocte Volatus (GB) 36 7 15 14 Oct 26

Glory And Fortune (IRE) 31 6 11 18 Jun 25

Sebastopol (IRE) 31 8 16 2 Dec 23

Neville's Cross (IRE) 31 7 10 5 Jul 23

Pounding Poet (IRE)from Dai Burchell 28 6 12 18 Apr 26

Tea Clipper (IRE) 28 5 14 8 Nov 24

Dorking Boy (GB) 28 7 11 26 Nov 22

Imperial Alex (IRE)from Miss Elizabeth Anne Lalor 27 7 14 31 Oct 26

Luttrell Lad (IRE)from Philip Hobbs 26 3 8 15 May 26

Vado Forte (FR)then Gordon Elliott 25 4 9 5 Apr 21

Triopas (IRE)then Fergal O'Brien 25 4 6 9 Apr 19

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 283 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 11 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive; 48 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard; 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 6

Only 6 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

171719202012182017131717

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderStan Sheppard

41% of all rides
17.1% SR · A/E 1.09

RiderRWSR£1

Stan Sheppard 866 148 17.1% +90.86

Richard Johnson 179 44 24.6% +32.51

Robert Dunne 143 22 15.4% +18.25

Jonathan Burke 133 21 15.8% −45.57

Mr Tommie M O'Brien 116 20 17.2% +35.50

Cameron Iles 92 19 20.7% −19.79

Nico de Boinville 49 8 16.3% +5.45

Tom Scudamore 41 7 17.1% −1.75

Alan Johns 35 8 22.9% −0.08

Aidan Coleman 33 6 18.2% −12.47

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

360

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.27m

Prize money

2018

Best season · 44 wins

Glory And Fortune (IRE) — Betfair Hurdle (Grade 3 Handicap) (GBB Race) Newbury · Feb 2022 · Grade 3

£87,219

Montregard (FR) — Betfair Swinley Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Ascot · Feb 2026 · Class 1

£56,950

Cruz Control (FR) — William Hill Handicap Chase (Registered As The Freebooter Handicap Chase) (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Aintree · Apr 2025 · Class 1

£56,270

Notable horses

Flashing Glance (GB) Sebastopol (IRE) Nocte Volatus (GB) Neville's Cross (IRE) Dorking Boy (GB) Imperial Alex (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Stowaway (GB) 20.7% · 23–111

Progeny have won 11.3% of 7,190 runs since 2008 (561 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 124.

Fame And Glory (GB) 21.3% · 20–94

Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,209 runs since 2016 (504 horses).

Getaway (GER) 19.4% · 13–67

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,962 runs since 2016 (1,029 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Black Sam Bellamy (IRE) 15.9% · 10–63

Progeny have won 10.3% of 4,684 runs since 2008 (466 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 145.

Walk In The Park (IRE) 12.7% · 8–63

Progeny have won 13.3% of 7,001 runs since 2011 (699 horses).

Kayf Tara (GB) 10% · 6–60

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,748 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,089 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,089 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 February 2013 to 31 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

31 Oct 26 Ascot Gibbs Island (GB)J: Stan Sheppard Lavazza Handicap Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 2 · 15.5f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 13th 14/1

31 Oct 26 Ascot Imperial Alex (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard Sodexo Live! Regal Encore Handicap Steeple Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 24f · Good · 10 ran 9th 33/1

30 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Crazy Alice (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard Support The Royal British Legion Poppy Appeal Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (Herring Queen Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 8th 9/1

30 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Seven Kites (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard Quinnbet Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 5/1

28 Oct 26 Nottingham Wolf's Gallop (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Racedays For £9 At Nottingham Racecourse Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 5/2J

23 Oct 26 Cheltenham Eternal Angel (FR)J: Stan Sheppard Oddschecker Novices' Hurdle Race(grade 2) (registered As The Sharp Novices' Hurdle Race) (gbb Race)Class 1 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 12/1

17 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Myrighthandman (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard Bet With The On Course Bookies Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 5 ran 5th 4/1

14 Oct 26 Ffos Las Cruz Control (FR)J: Stan Sheppard Adept GRP Cabinets Native River Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24f · Soft · 6 ran PU 8/1

14 Oct 26 Ffos Las Nocte Volatus (GB)J: Stan Sheppard RWK Goodman Veterans' Handicap Steeple Chase (Leg 6 Of The Stayers' Veterans' Chase Series)Class 2 · 24f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 15/2

14 Oct 26 Ffos Las Wannabe (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard Ethical Packaging Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 10 ran UR 4/1

11 Oct 26 Chepstow Tune In A Box (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard Dragonbet Cefnogi Rasio Ceffylau Cymreig Handicap Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 2 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 5th 13/2

11 Oct 26 Chepstow One Cool Kid (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard Dragonbet / Ebf 'national Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 3rd 6/1

09 Oct 26 Chepstow Marlacoo (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard LSL Racing Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 5th 5/2F

09 Oct 26 Chepstow Unjeu Royal (FR)J: Stan Sheppard Dragonbet Daily Dragonboosts Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 15 ran UR 11/2

09 Oct 26 Chepstow Gibbs Island (GB)J: Stan Sheppard DragonBet 'Welsh Champion' Hurdle Race (A Limited Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 16f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 7th 11/1

09 Oct 26 Chepstow Seven Kites (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard Good Intents Marquee Hire Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 4th 2/1F

09 Oct 26 Chepstow Hive Runner (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard Wasdell Group Novices' Hurdle Race (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 3rd 5/1

09 Oct 26 Chepstow Herbies Sock (IRE)J: Stan Sheppard Wasdell Group Novices' Hurdle Race (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 2nd 9/2

29 Sep 26 Bath Courseyoudo (FR)J: Charles Bishop Power Logistics Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5.5f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 11th 50/1

27 Sep 26 Ffos Las Wolf's Gallop (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Bridge, The Home Of The Carvery Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 2nd 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 9 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0) · to 28 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Tom Lacey's strike rate?: Tom Lacey has won 360 of 2,089 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 17.2% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tom Lacey do best at?: Huntingdon by strike rate: 21 wins from 81 runners (25.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Tom Lacey?: Stan Sheppard, with 866 runners since 2008 — 41% of the total. That pairing has won 148 (17.1%).
Is Tom Lacey in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Tom Lacey's Fair A/E?: 1.11, from 2,088 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.