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Trainer profile

V C Ward

448 runners in the lifetime window · 58 individual horses
As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 31 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
20–448
Wins / Runs
4.5%
Strike rate
n=448
71 (16%)
Placed
0.92
Fair A/E
n=448 · 0.71 incl. margin
−243.25
£1 level stake
n=448 at SP · −54.3%
£281k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.92).

Deterministic profile computed from 448 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 1 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Sep
The read

The record is strongest at Down Royal (11.8%, n=34) and Dundalk (AW) (8.6%, n=70) — all clear of the yard's 4.5% baseline. The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 3.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.79 and −154.50 to a £1 stake over 257 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The yard also reads well on Good to Soft going (11.1%, n=36) and on Standard (AW) going (8.6%, n=70). The record reads poorly in Chase races — 0% over 40 runners, 4.5pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Irish Field St Leger Trial Stakes at Curragh (Aug 2011, £26,000). The stable star of the record: End Of The Affair (IRE) — 6 wins from 36 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3%−1.5
n=101 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −67.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
2.7%−1.8
n=37 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −26.00
Debutants · first career start
5%+0.5
n=20 · A/E 1.97 · £1 +21.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.5
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.5
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
When favourite
36.4%
n=11 · A/E 1.68 · £1 +5.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.5%−1.0
n=257 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −154.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
14.3%+9.8
n=14 · A/E 2.35 · £1 +18.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Down Royal 11.8% vs 4.5% · n=34
On Good to Soft going 11.1% vs 4.5% · n=36
At Dundalk (AW) 8.6% vs 4.5% · n=70
On Standard (AW) going 8.6% vs 4.5% · n=70
In Chase races 0% vs 4.5% · n=40
With Robbie Colgan 0% vs 4.5% · n=36
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 242 17 7% −73.25
Hurdle 132 3 2.3% −96.00
Chase 40 0 0% −40.00
NH Flat 34 0 0% −34.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 126 2 1.6% −103.00
Good 120 4 3.3% −85.50
Standard (AW) 70 6 8.6% −33.50
Heavy 61 1 1.6% −56.50
Good to Soft 36 4 11.1% +45.00
Good to Firm 34 2 5.9% −13.75
Firm 1 1 100% +4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 70 6 8.6% −33.50
Leopardstown 44 1 2.3% −27.00
Navan 38 1 2.6% −21.00
Fairyhouse 38 2 5.3% +20.00
Down Royal 34 4 11.8% −17.75
Gowran Park 28 2 7.1% −12.50
Bellewstown 20 0 0% −20.00
Punchestown 19 0 0% −19.00
Galway 17 0 0% −17.00
Roscommon 16 0 0% −16.00
Kilbeggan 13 0 0% −13.00
Limerick 12 0 0% −12.00
Curragh 12 1 8.3% +3.00
Naas 11 0 0% −11.00
Tramore 11 0 0% −11.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 14 2 14.3% +18.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 15 5 33.3% 1.59 +6.00
2nd–3rd fav 43 7 16.3% 1.23 +6.25
4th–6th fav 93 4 4.3% 0.65 −50.50
7th+ in betting 297 4 1.3% 0.60 −205.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Striking Force (IRE)from D Broad 45 5 15 9 Sep 11
End Of The Affair (IRE)from D K Weld 36 6 16 22 Sep 11
Golden Silence (IRE)from Kevin Prendergast 23 0 1 23 Aug 22
Regal Tramp (USA)from D K Weld 23 2 10 28 Sep 12
Is She Now (IRE)then Daragh Bourke 22 0 3 4 May 26
Absolute One Right (IRE) 22 0 1 26 Dec 21
Western Goose (IRE)from Keith Henry Clarke 17 1 3 10 Jul 18
Fictional Account (IRE)from D K Weld 17 5 5 22 Sep 11
Nailed Down (IRE)from Michael Mulvany 14 0 1 25 Feb 23
Wonderwalk (IRE)from Andrew McNamara 13 0 0 3 Jul 26
Caminel (IRE)from Keith Henry Clarke 13 0 2 8 Aug 18
Another Affair (IRE) 11 0 0 2 Sep 22
All 58 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 58 horses listed, 38 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from D K Weld (6) and D Broad (4); 20 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard; 45 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
3091192566000
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderRobbie Colgan
8% of all rides
0% SR · A/E 0.00
RiderRWSR£1
Robbie Colgan 36 0 0% −36.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
20
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£281k
Prize money
2008
Best season · 6 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Fictional Account (IRE) — Irish Field St Leger Trial Stakes (Listed) Curragh · Aug 2011 · Listed
£26,000
Fictional Account (IRE) — SIS Live Fenwolf Stakes (Listed) Ascot · Sep 2010 · Listed
£22,708
End Of The Affair (IRE) — Boylesports.com Handicap Dundalk (AW) · Jul 2011
£14,625
Notable horses
End Of The Affair (IRE) Striking Force (IRE) Fictional Account (IRE) Regal Tramp (USA) Western Goose (IRE) Mary's Pride (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Danehill (USA) 11.1% · 5–45
Progeny have won 11.6% of 831 runs since 2008 (63 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 15.4% from 298. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 20.7% from 217. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.5% from 168.
Indian Ridge (IRE) 16.7% · 6–36
Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,484 runs since 2008 (142 horses).
Shirocco (GER) 0% · 0–23
Progeny have won 11.2% of 9,179 runs since 2010 (921 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.
Street Cry (IRE) 8.7% · 2–23
Progeny have won 12.7% of 4,258 runs since 2008 (373 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 15.8% from 1,577. Weakest on Heavy going: 6.9% from 131.
Prince Of Lir (IRE) 0% · 0–22
Progeny have won 8.9% of 1,383 runs since 2020 (104 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15% from 200.
Requinto (IRE) 0% · 0–22
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,459 runs since 2016 (162 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.5% from 223.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 451 · newest first

The latest 50 of 451 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 January 2007 to 1 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
01 Oct 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Haughty (GB)J: Jack Cleary BOYLE Sports Handicap (Div I)12.5f · Soft To Heavy · 11 ran 9th 50/1
19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Movie King (IRE)J: Mr B M Coonan Millbrook Food Group 100 Years Celebration Handicap Hurdle (Div II)19f · Good · 16 ran 9th 100/1
26 Aug 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Movie King (IRE)J: Mr B M Coonan Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Claiming Hurdle20.5f · Good · 13 ran 8th 250/1
04 Aug 26 Roscommon (IRE) Haughty (GB)J: Mr B M Coonan James Lohan Engineering Excellence Maiden Hurdle15.5f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran PU 300/1
25 Jul 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Haughty (GB)J: Jessica O'Gorman Tote Apprentice Handicap9.5f · Good · 13 ran 12th 33/1
24 Jul 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Movie King (IRE)J: Mr B M Coonan Massey Ferguson Johnston Farm Equipment Longford Handicap Hurdle (Div I)19f · Good · 16 ran 13th 50/1
11 Jul 26 Navan Haughty (GB)J: Killian Leonard Navan Racing Festival 14th & 15th November Handicap (0-60)10f · Good · 12 ran 8th 66/1
06 Jul 26 Roscommon Any News For Me (IRE)J: Miss Georgie Benson Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good · 16 ran 10th 16/1
03 Jul 26 Bellewstown Wonderwalk (IRE)J: Killian Leonard Meath Farm Machinery Claiming Race8f · Good · 15 ran 14th 100/1
18 Jun 26 Leopardstown Wonderwalk (IRE)J: Mr E P O'Brien BOYLE Sports Squad Builder (Q.R.) Maiden15f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 14th 300/1
07 Jun 26 Punchestown Any News For Me (IRE)J: Mr B M Coonan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race16.5f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 5th 80/1
04 May 26 Down Royal Michael's Jet (IRE)J: Ben Kennedy Club Lemon Handicap Hurdle (0-100)17.5f · Good · 20 ran PU 80/1
04 May 26 Down Royal Is She Now (IRE)J: Niall Moore Club Lemon Handicap Hurdle (0-100)17.5f · Good · 20 ran 18th 50/1
03 May 26 Sligo Haughty (GB)J: Alan Casey Tote.ie Apprentice Handicap (0-60)14f · Yielding To Soft · 14 ran 13th 50/1
24 Apr 26 Kilbeggan Michael's Jet (IRE)J: Mr B M Coonan William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)19f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran PU 50/1
22 Feb 26 Naas Michael's Jet (IRE)J: Mr B M Coonan William Hill Ireland Bet10 Get5 Maiden Hurdle15.5f · Heavy · 21 ran 14th 300/1
11 Feb 26 Dundalk (AW) Is She Now (IRE)J: Siobhan Rutledge Floodlit Fridays At Dundalk Handicap (0-60)12f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 80/1
17 Jan 26 Navan Any News For Me (IRE)J: Mr B M Coonan Racing Again February 8th (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Soft To Heavy · 8 ran 8th 50/1
12 Jan 26 Punchestown Michael's Jet (IRE)J: Mr R W Barron Matchbook 50:50 Graduation Series Maiden Hurdle19.5f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran PU 200/1
28 Dec 25 Leopardstown Any News For Me (IRE)J: Mr B M Coonan Forest Fest Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 8th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is V C Ward's strike rate?
V C Ward has won 20 of 448 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.5% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does V C Ward do best at?
Down Royal by strike rate: 4 wins from 34 runners (11.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is V C Ward's Fair A/E?
0.92, from 448 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 1 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).