A. J. Martin
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 300 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.97).
The record is strongest at Bellewstown (22.2%, n=90), clear of the yard's 9% baseline. Debutants struggle at 2.9% (n=244, Fair A/E 0.53). The market has consistently overbet new recruits from other stables on their first run: 3.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.59 and −177.75 to a £1 stake over 242 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. R Walsh rides 7% of the entries and beats the yard's average (21.4% vs 9%, A/E 1.23) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 50 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Guinness Galway Hurdle Handicap at Galway (IRE) (Jul 2015, £180,500). The stable star of the record: Ted Veale (IRE) — 11 wins from 56 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Aug.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 6,640 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 6,640 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 January 2005 to 8 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 9 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 5 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0, 1 did not run) · to 3 Nov 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is A. J. Martin's strike rate?
- A. J. Martin has won 510 of 5,696 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does A. J. Martin do best at?
- Galway by strike rate: 37 wins from 329 runners (11.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for A. J. Martin?
- R Walsh, with 421 runners since 2008 — 7% of the total. That pairing has won 90 (21.4%).
- Is A. J. Martin in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is A. J. Martin's Fair A/E?
- 0.97, from 5,688 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.