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Trainer profile

Barry Murphy

301 runners in the lifetime window · 57 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 3 days ago
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
8–301
Wins / Runs
2.7%
Strike rate
n=301
40 (13%)
Placed
0.50
n=301 · 0.41 incl. margin
−227.25
£1 level stake
n=301 at SP · −75.5%
£195k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.1%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.50). New recruits from other yards win at 6% first time out (36 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 301 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance New recruits: 5.6%
The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 2.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.65 and −87.50 to a £1 stake over 116 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The yard also reads well in Class 5 (6.3%, n=63). The market has consistently overbet the yard over 2m1f – 2m4f: Fair A/E 0.80 across 90 runners (5.6% strike, −54.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Tim Duggan Memorial Handicap Chase at Limerick (Dec 2015, £30,000).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−2.7
n=49 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −49.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
5.6%+2.9
n=36 · A/E 1.29 · £1 −19.50
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.7
n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
6.7%+4.0
n=15 · A/E 1.68 · £1 −8.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.7
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
When favourite
0%
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.6%−0.1
n=116 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −87.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
7.1%+4.4
n=14 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −7.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Callum Pritchard 11.6% vs 2.7% · n=43
In Class 5 6.3% vs 2.7% · n=63
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 5.6% vs 2.7% · n=90
Off a 15-30-day break 5.4% vs 2.7% · n=92
With new recruits 5.6% vs 2.7% · n=36
On Good going 4.7% vs 2.7% · n=128
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 112 4 3.6% −84.25
Flat 107 2 1.9% −88.50
Chase 54 2 3.7% −26.50
NH Flat 28 0 0% −28.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 128 6 4.7% −70.75
Soft 52 1 1.9% −42.00
Good to Firm 35 0 0% −35.00
Good to Soft 31 0 0% −31.00
Heavy 29 1 3.4% −22.50
Standard (AW) 23 0 0% −23.00
Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Ffos Las 32 1 3.1% −22.00
Newton Abbot 23 2 8.7% −9.25
Bath 14 1 7.1% −8.50
Punchestown 14 0 0% −14.00
Chepstow 14 1 7.1% −1.00
Sedgefield 13 1 7.7% +8.00
Dundalk (AW) 13 0 0% −13.00
Tramore 12 0 0% −12.00
Leopardstown 11 0 0% −11.00
Curragh 10 0 0% −10.00
Navan 10 0 0% −10.00
Cork 10 0 0% −10.00
Stratford 8 0 0% −8.00
Fairyhouse 8 0 0% −8.00
Naas 7 0 0% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 63 4 6.3% −24.25
Class 6 40 2 5% −21.50
Class 4 31 1 3.2% −21.00
Class 1 14 1 7.1% −7.50
Class 3 8 0 0% −8.00
Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 0 0% 0.00 −7.00
2nd–3rd fav 32 4 12.5% 0.78 −12.25
4th–6th fav 85 2 2.4% 0.39 −65.00
7th+ in betting 177 2 1.1% 0.47 −143.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Fast Kar (IRE)from Matthieu Palussiere 16 0 0 30 Nov 17
Bobby Dassler (IRE)from Alison Thorpe 15 1 2 19 Oct 26
Yanka Blue (IRE)from John & Rhys Flint 13 0 2 3 Nov 26
Pairofbrowneyes (IRE)from L Byrne · then W P Mullins 13 1 8 26 Dec 17
Chillhi (IRE)from Alison Thorpe 12 0 0 26 Oct 26
Thekingofconnemara (IRE)from L Byrne · then John G Carr 12 0 3 22 Dec 18
Prophet Squeeze (IRE)from Alison Thorpe 11 0 1 13 Oct 26
Applejack Poet (IRE)from Liz Doyle 10 1 2 3 Nov 26
Makinbecon (GB)from John & Rhys Flint 10 2 3 11 Oct 26
Night Law (GB)from Richard Fahey · then Katie Scott 10 0 1 3 Sep 18
Hitchcock (GB)from Kevin Ryan · then R Donohoe 9 0 0 9 Nov 18
Thekingofrocknroll (IRE)from Liz Doyle 9 0 2 4 Mar 17
All 57 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 57 horses listed, 32 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Alison Thorpe (7) and L Byrne (4); 25 had their first archived run for this yard.

15 have since run for another yard, most often for John G Carr (2) and Olly Murphy (2); 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 10
Only 10 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
004039300077
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderCallum Pritchard
14% of all rides
11.6% SR · A/E 1.35
RiderRWSR£1
Callum Pritchard 43 5 11.6% +5.75
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→
8
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£195k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 7 wins
Pairofbrowneyes (IRE) — Tim Duggan Memorial Handicap Chase (0-145) (Grade B) Limerick · Dec 2015 · Grade B
£30,000
Bobby Dassler (IRE) — opx.io Operating System For Continuous Improvement Handicap (Div 1) Chepstow · Jun 2026 · Class 6
£4,711
Jack's Jury (IRE) — William Hill Handicap Hurdle Newton Abbot · Jun 2026 · Class 5
£4,489

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Walk In The Park (IRE) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 13.4% of 7,041 runs since 2011 (707 horses).
Churchill (IRE) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 11% of 4,842 runs since 2021 (462 horses).
Fast Company (IRE) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 9.4% of 7,602 runs since 2014 (492 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.7% from 558. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.8% from 109.
Awtaad (IRE) 6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 11.5% of 2,885 runs since 2020 (210 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.7% from 104. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.1% from 115.
Blue Bresil (FR) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 12.1% of 3,540 runs since 2013 (463 horses).
Luso (GB) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 6.7% of 3,516 runs since 2008 (389 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 301 · newest first

The latest 50 of 301 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 19 December 2015 to 3 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 Oct 26 Bath Bobby Dassler (IRE)J: William Cox Elite Racing Club Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 14th 40/1
19 Oct 26 Bath Chillhi (IRE)J: Miss Imogen Mathias Sw Hire Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 6 · 17f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 7th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 6 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 17 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Barry Murphy's strike rate?
Barry Murphy has won 8 of 301 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Barry Murphy do best at?
Ffos Las by strike rate: 1 wins from 32 runners (3.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Barry Murphy in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 10 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Barry Murphy's Fair A/E?
0.50, from 301 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).