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Trainer profile

Brian Toomey

207 runners in the lifetime window · 29 individual horses
As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Won yesterday Last runner yesterday 99% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2023→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
24–207
Wins / Runs
11.6%
Strike rate
n=207
60 (29%)
Placed
1.17
Fair A/E
n=207 · 1.00 incl. margin
−31.17
£1 level stake
n=207 at SP · −15.1%
£186k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
16.1%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.17).

Deterministic profile computed from 207 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 8 Nov 2026
The read

The yard also reads well in Class 6 (16.8%, n=101) and on Good to Firm going (15.6%, n=45). The market has also underrated the yard off a 31-60-day break: Fair A/E 1.36 across 68 runners (14.7% strike, +6.83 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly in Class 5 — 6.3% over 64 runners, 5.3pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Silky Robin (IRE) — 7 wins from 25 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.4%−8.2
n=29 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −20.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
5.3%−6.3
n=19 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −10.50
Debutants · first career start
10%−1.6
n=10 · A/E 2.69 · £1 +16.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
16.7%+5.1
n=6 · A/E 1.99 · £1 −1.67
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
22.2%+10.6
n=18 · A/E 2.66 · £1 +21.50
When favourite
22.2%
n=18 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −6.12
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−11.6
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−11.6
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Class 6 16.8% vs 11.6% · n=101
In Class 5 6.3% vs 11.6% · n=64
On Good to Firm going 15.6% vs 11.6% · n=45
Off a 15-30-day break 14.7% vs 11.6% · n=68
Off a 31-60-day break 14.7% vs 11.6% · n=68
With a new jockey booking 9.2% vs 11.6% · n=131
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 1% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 205 24 11.7% −29.17
Hurdle 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 104 10 9.6% −36.29
Good to Firm 45 7 15.6% +17.50
Good 30 3 10% −14.00
Good to Soft 15 1 6.7% −12.38
Soft 10 3 30% +17.00
Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 29 3 10.3% −0.12
Kempton (AW) 26 4 15.4% −5.17
Chelmsford City (AW) 21 1 4.8% −12.50
Lingfield (AW) 17 2 11.8% −7.50
Brighton 12 5 41.7% +14.50
Southwell (AW) 10 0 0% −10.00
Windsor 10 1 10% −4.50
Doncaster 8 1 12.5% −5.38
Yarmouth 8 0 0% −8.00
Leicester 6 0 0% −6.00
Newmarket 6 0 0% −6.00
Newbury 6 1 16.7% +20.00
Lingfield 5 2 40% +7.00
Salisbury 5 1 20% +3.50
Bath 5 1 20% +3.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 101 17 16.8% +1.71
Class 5 64 4 6.3% −28.00
Class 4 30 3 10% +7.12
Class 2 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 3 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 21 5 23.8% 0.88 −6.50
2nd–3rd fav 44 9 20.5% 1.33 +8.33
4th–6th fav 68 9 13.2% 1.62 +28.00
7th+ in betting 74 1 1.4% 0.41 −61.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Valadero (IRE)from George Boughey 28 1 10 15 Oct 26
Flag Carrier (IRE)from Harry Eustace 27 2 8 30 Oct 26
Silky Robin (IRE)from Paul Midgley 25 7 10 12 Oct 26
Classic Speed (IRE)from Clive Cox 18 2 3 24 Jan 26
Electrical (GB) 10 2 2 28 Oct 26
Wake Up Harry (GB)from Simon Dow 9 2 6 19 Jul 24
Cuban Girl (GB)from Andrew Balding 8 0 1 21 Sep 26
Burdett Estate (IRE) 7 1 1 29 Oct 26
Kraken Diamond (IRE)from John C McConnell · then Jim Goldie 7 0 1 13 Apr 24
Black Falcon (GB) 6 0 0 27 Jun 25
Inanna (IRE)from S Woods · then Jim Goldie 6 0 2 13 Jul 24
My Boo Boo (GB) 5 2 4 7 Nov 26
All 29 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 29 horses listed, 19 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from George Scott (2) and Mark Fahey (2); 10 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for Jim Goldie (3); 20 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
2 from 5
Only 5 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0913810141079152525
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Callum Shepherd 24 4 16.7% +4.71
Sean D Bowen 20 2 10% −3.00
Jason Watson 17 4 23.5% +24.50
Joe Leavy 11 0 0% −11.00
Kieran Shoemark 9 0 0% −9.00
Oisin Murphy 9 5 55.6% +15.62
Tom Marquand 8 2 25% +2.00
J F Egan 7 0 0% −7.00
Sean Levey 5 0 0% −5.00
David Probert 5 0 0% −5.00
Rossa Ryan 5 0 0% −5.00
William Cox 5 0 0% −5.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2023→
24
Archived wins
£186k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 11 wins
Electrical (GB) — Fidelity Energy Green Future Novice Stakes Newbury · Jul 2025 · Class 4
£6,480
The Quiet Gent (IRE) — PKF Francis Clark Handicap Stakes Salisbury · Sep 2026 · Class 4
£5,888
My Boo Boo (GB) — Virgin Bet Supports Safer Gambling Nursery Handicap Stakes Doncaster · Nov 2026 · Class 4
£5,653
Notable horses
Silky Robin (IRE) Flag Carrier (IRE) Classic Speed (IRE) Electrical (GB) Wake Up Harry (GB) My Boo Boo (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Starspangledbanner (AUS) 5.5% · 3–55
Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,222 runs since 2014 (664 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.6% from 1,199.
Exceed and Excel (AUS) 28% · 7–25
Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,038 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.
Kodiac (GB) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,603 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.
Acclamation (GB) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 10% of 19,714 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.
Nathaniel (IRE) 20% · 2–10
Progeny have won 11.7% of 7,110 runs since 2016 (641 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 326.
Le Havre (IRE) 22.2% · 2–9
Progeny have won 12.4% of 5,886 runs since 2013 (750 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.5% from 296.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 207 · newest first

The latest 50 of 207 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 18 November 2023 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
07 Nov 26 Doncaster Tina's Indian (IRE)J: Hollie Doyle Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Handicap StakesClass 2 · 6f · Good To Soft · 22 ran 10th 16/1
07 Nov 26 Doncaster My Boo Boo (GB)J: Oisin Murphy Virgin Bet Supports Safer Gambling Nursery Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 1st 13/8J
30 Oct 26 Newmarket Flag Carrier (IRE)J: Neil Callan German G1 Racecourses Thank World Pool Handicap StakesClass 5 · 9f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 6th 33/1
29 Oct 26 Bath Burdett Estate (IRE)J: Jack Callan Oakenson Ltd Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5.5f · Soft · 12 ran 12th 25/1
28 Oct 26 Nottingham Electrical (GB)J: Mr Henry Callan AJA Championships Finale Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Soft · 15 ran 1st 9/1
22 Oct 26 Newmarket The Quiet Gent (IRE)J: James Doyle CopyBet Follow Us On X Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Soft · 12 ran 8th 7/1
16 Oct 26 Haydock Tina's Indian (IRE)J: Tom Marquand M6Toll Road To Victory Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 3 · 8f · Heavy · 10 ran 4th 25/1
15 Oct 26 Brighton My Boo Boo (GB)J: Tom Marquand Each Way Extra At bet365 EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good · 6 ran 1st 1/2F
15 Oct 26 Brighton Valadero (IRE)J: Tom Marquand Racing Value At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good · 9 ran 4th 3/1J
12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Silky Robin (IRE)J: Oisin Murphy Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 1st 7/2
06 Oct 26 Brighton Valadero (IRE)J: Liam Wright Play Your Multiples At matchbook.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 5th 13/2
05 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Electrical (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 15/2
21 Sep 26 Leicester Cuban Girl (GB)J: Charlie Maggs Visit racingtv.com Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 14 ran 14th 16/1
21 Sep 26 Leicester Burdett Estate (IRE)J: Duran Fentiman Fireworks Festival 7th November 2026 - Book Now Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Good · 13 ran 12th 125/1
14 Sep 26 Windsor Silky Robin (IRE)J: Tom Marquand Ivor Laws Memorial Race Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 12th 16/1
13 Sep 26 Bath Flag Carrier (IRE)J: Jason Watson Loud Hire Supporting Bath Racecourse Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 10th 12/1
11 Sep 26 Salisbury The Quiet Gent (IRE)J: Callum Rodriguez PKF Francis Clark Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Soft · 8 ran 1st 15/2
07 Sep 26 Windsor Burdett Estate (IRE)J: Jack Callan Follow Matchbook On X Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Good · 9 ran 9th 125/1
31 Aug 26 Ripon My Boo Boo (GB)J: Tom Marquand Squadron Flyer At Aldwark Manor Estate Ebf Restricted Maiden Stakes (for Horses In Bands C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 2nd 7/2
30 Aug 26 Yarmouth Cuban Girl (GB)J: Jack Callan Bodhi Solutions - Commercial Fit-out Challenge Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 8th 6/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 6 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 3 runs (won 2) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 1) · to 22 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Brian Toomey's strike rate?
Brian Toomey has won 24 of 207 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.6% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Brian Toomey in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Brian Toomey's Fair A/E?
1.17, from 207 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 8 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).