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Trainer profile

Camilla Poulton

260 runners in the lifetime window · 43 individual horses
As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 40 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2019→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
13–260
Wins / Runs
5%
Strike rate
n=260
32 (12%)
Placed
1.25
Fair A/E
n=259 · 1.07 incl. margin
−81.50
£1 level stake
n=260 at SP · −31.3%
£120k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 5% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.25).

Deterministic profile computed from 260 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026
The read

It is weakest at Lingfield (AW) (0% over 56 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 0% (n=30, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also reads well on Soft going (10%, n=30). The record reads poorly on Good going — 1.8% over 55 runners, 3.2pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
1.3%−3.7
n=79 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −45.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.0
n=30 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −30.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.0
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.0
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
20%+15.0
n=10 · A/E 6.58 · £1 +24.00
When favourite
40%
n=5 · A/E 1.28 · £1 +1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.1%−0.9
n=73 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −41.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Lingfield (AW) 0% vs 5% · n=56
On Soft going 10% vs 5% · n=30
With new recruits 0% vs 5% · n=30
On Good going 1.8% vs 5% · n=55
Off a 61-180-day break 1.9% vs 5% · n=53
Over 1m5f – 2m 7.4% vs 5% · n=81
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 188 11 5.9% −72.50
Hurdle 58 2 3.4% +5.00
NH Flat 14 0 0% −14.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 119 7 5.9% −71.50
Good 55 1 1.8% −42.00
Soft 30 3 10% +49.00
Good to Soft 24 1 4.2% −19.00
Good to Firm 21 1 4.8% +13.00
Heavy 11 0 0% −11.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW) 56 0 0% −56.00
Kempton (AW) 43 2 4.7% −35.75
Fontwell 20 1 5% +14.00
Lingfield 18 0 0% −18.00
Plumpton 14 0 0% −14.00
Sandown 10 1 10% +19.00
Newbury 9 1 11.1% +0.00
Epsom Downs 8 0 0% −8.00
Windsor 8 0 0% −8.00
Goodwood 7 0 0% −7.00
Brighton 7 0 0% −7.00
Bath 7 2 28.6% +39.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 6 1 16.7% +9.00
Southwell (AW) 6 4 66.7% +19.25
Kempton 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 97 5 5.2% −26.25
Class 5 81 4 4.9% −52.75
Class 4 54 3 5.6% −3.50
Class 3 16 0 0% −16.00
Class 2 11 1 9.1% +18.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 2 28.6% 1.05 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 14 3 21.4% 1.74 +28.50
4th–6th fav 57 6 10.5% 1.55 +3.00
7th+ in betting 182 2 1.1% 0.69 −112.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Militry Decoration (IRE)from Dr Jon Scargill 37 4 15 9 Oct 24
Aced It (IRE)from Joseph Patrick O'Brien 22 3 8 2 Feb 25
Izakaya (GER) 14 2 2 21 Apr 26
Blenheim Lad (IRE)from A Oliver 14 2 3 4 Sep 25
Noble Glance (GB)from Mark Hoad 14 1 1 1 Sep 21
Dizziwizzbang (GB)from Phil McEntee 8 0 0 3 Dec 25
Penna Rossa (IRE)from Marco Botti · then Helen Nelmes 8 1 1 28 May 23
Mickey Drippin (IRE)from Noel Williams 8 0 0 19 Sep 21
Touch Of Thunder (IRE) 7 0 0 24 Mar 24
Gokotta (IRE) 7 0 0 3 May 23
Born To Finish (IRE)from Ed de Giles 7 0 0 17 Dec 21
Into Debt (GB) 7 0 0 14 Nov 20
All 43 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 43 horses listed, 30 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John E Long (2) and Robyn Brisland (2); 13 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard; 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
441060065713011
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Kieran O'Neill 23 2 8.7% −7.50
Charlie Price 22 1 4.5% +7.00
J F Egan 19 1 5.3% +22.00
Mattie Batchelor 18 1 5.6% +16.00
Jack Mitchell 18 2 11.1% −1.25
James Davies 9 0 0% −9.00
Christian Howarth 9 0 0% −9.00
Joey Haynes 9 0 0% −9.00
Ray Dawson 8 1 12.5% +7.00
Gina Mangan 8 0 0% −8.00
Jack Enright 7 1 14.3% +0.50
James Best 6 0 0% −6.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→
13
Archived wins
£120k
Prize money
2024
Best season · 3 wins
Penna Rossa (IRE) — Pinsent Masons Introductory Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race) Sandown · Dec 2022 · Class 2
£10,406
Militry Decoration (IRE) — Boost Your Acca With BetUK Apprentice Handicap Southwell (AW) · Mar 2024 · Class 5
£6,595
Aced It (IRE) — Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap Kempton (AW) · Jan 2023 · Class 4
£6,281
Notable horses
Militry Decoration (IRE) Aced It (IRE) Izakaya (GER) Blenheim Lad (IRE) Noble Glance (GB) Penna Rossa (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Epaulette (AUS) 10.8% · 4–37
Progeny have won 9.1% of 3,067 runs since 2017 (221 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4% from 173. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 222.
Lope De Vega (IRE) 13.6% · 3–22
Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,249 runs since 2014 (1,110 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 962.
Belardo (IRE) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,751 runs since 2020 (279 horses).
Adlerflug (GER) 14.3% · 2–14
Progeny have won 14.5% of 587 runs since 2013 (108 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 18.6% from 172. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 10.7% from 103.
Churchill (IRE) 14.3% · 2–14
Progeny have won 11% of 4,855 runs since 2021 (462 horses).
Schiaparelli (GER) 7.1% · 1–14
Progeny have won 12.1% of 1,845 runs since 2015 (203 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 260 · newest first

The latest 50 of 260 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 May 2019 to 5 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Lost In Wonder (GB)J: Alistair Rawlinson Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 10th 200/1
12 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Lost In Wonder (GB)J: Alistair Rawlinson Alan Rae Smith Errant Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 12f · Standard · 5 ran 5th 50/1
01 Jul 26 Epsom Downs High Favour (IRE)J: Rose Dawes Betfred 'Follow Us On X' Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 12f · Good · 8 ran 6th 125/1
10 Jun 26 Yarmouth Harry Don't Bite (GB)J: Gina Mangan attheraces.com/ascot Classified StakesClass 6 · 8f · Soft · 10 ran 10th 40/1
10 Jun 26 Yarmouth High Favour (IRE)J: Rose Dawes quinnbet.com HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Soft · 9 ran 9th 80/1
04 May 26 Windsor Lost In Wonder (GB)J: Alistair Rawlinson Daily Prize Wheel At betwright.com Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8th 50/1
21 Apr 26 Pontefract Izakaya (GER)J: J F Egan Into The Sky Pontefract Marathon HandicapClass 6 · 21.5f · Good · 7 ran 4th 9/2
27 Mar 26 Lingfield (AW) High Favour (IRE)J: Tyler Heard Make The Move To Midnite HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 66/1
27 Mar 26 Lingfield (AW) Izakaya (GER)J: J F Egan Make The Move To Midnite HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 40/1
25 Mar 26 Kempton (AW) Harry Don't Bite (GB)J: Jack Mitchell Virgin Bet Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 7th 40/1
25 Feb 26 Lingfield (AW) Fitzmaurice (IRE)J: Gina Mangan Win 250,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 40/1
25 Feb 26 Lingfield (AW) Harry Don't Bite (GB)J: J F Egan Win 250,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 40/1
10 Feb 26 Lingfield (AW) High Favour (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Make The Move To Midnite HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 50/1
07 Feb 26 Lingfield (AW) Harry Don't Bite (GB)J: J F Egan Win 250,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 250/1
21 Jan 26 Lingfield (AW) Harry Don't Bite (GB)J: Gina Mangan Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 125/1
20 Jan 26 Southwell (AW) Manny Oh (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Midnite Aint Your Grandad's Bookie Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 14f · Standard · 9 ran PU 80/1
17 Jan 26 Lingfield (AW) Fitzmaurice (IRE)J: Tyler Heard Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 80/1
14 Jan 26 Kempton (AW) High Favour (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 10th 11/1
07 Jan 26 Lingfield (AW) Harry Don't Bite (GB)J: J F Egan Bet 10 Get 40 With BetMGM Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 200/1
07 Jan 26 Lingfield (AW) Fitzmaurice (IRE)J: Dylan Hogan Create Your Bet Builders At Midnite HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 5 ran 5th 80/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Camilla Poulton's strike rate?
Camilla Poulton has won 13 of 260 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Camilla Poulton do best at?
Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 2 wins from 43 runners (4.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Camilla Poulton's Fair A/E?
1.25, from 259 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 14 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).