What is Conor O'Dwyer's strike rate?

Conor O'Dwyer has won 126 of 1,983 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.4% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Conor O'Dwyer do best at?

Kilbeggan by strike rate: 9 wins from 73 runners (12.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Conor O'Dwyer?

Charlie O'Dwyer, with 326 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 23 (7.1%).

Is Conor O'Dwyer in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Conor O'Dwyer's Fair A/E?

0.96, from 1,980 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Conor O'Dwyer

1,983 runners in the lifetime window · 193 individual horses

As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 6 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

126–1,983

Wins / Runs

6.4%

Strike rate

n=1,983

433 (22%)

Placed

0.96

Fair A/E

n=1,980 · 0.75 incl. margin

−702.00

£1 level stake

n=1,983 at SP · −35.4%

£1.67m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

13.2%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 100 runners a season, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.96). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 10% (51 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,983 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 7 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jul 22.8% when favourite Charlie O'Dwyer: 7.1% from 326 Headgear returns: 9.8% Sends off the favourite in 5% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Wexford (14.6%, n=41) and Kilbeggan (12.3%, n=73) — all clear of the yard's 6.4% baseline. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 9.8% (n=51, Fair A/E 1.70), but a horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 0% (n=74, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet debutants: 0.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.23 and −121.50 to a £1 stake over 125 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Charlie O'Dwyer rides 16% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.1%, A/E 1.26) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well beyond 3m (16.4%, n=61). 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Nas Na Riogh Novice Handicap Chase at Naas (Feb 2024, £26,550). The stable star of the record: Jon Ess (IRE) — 8 wins from 49 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

2.9%−3.5

n=409 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −296.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

3.1%−3.3

n=65 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −48.75

Debutants · first career start

0.8%−5.6

n=125 · A/E 0.23 · £1 −121.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−6.4

n=74 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −74.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

9.8%+3.4

n=51 · A/E 1.70 · £1 −16.67

When favourite

22.8%

n=92 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −23.28

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.9%−0.5

n=1,198 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −289.48

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.1%+0.7

n=56 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −30.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With W J Lee 17.2% vs 6.4% · n=87

Beyond 3m 16.4% vs 6.4% · n=61

At Wexford 14.6% vs 6.4% · n=41

With first-time headgear 0% vs 6.4% · n=74

With debutants 0.8% vs 6.4% · n=125

At Kilbeggan 12.3% vs 6.4% · n=73

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,003 60 6% −265.54

Flat 474 31 6.5% −219.70

Chase 403 26 6.5% −179.51

NH Flat 103 9 8.7% −37.25

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 677 40 5.9% −351.51

Good 524 29 5.5% −9.34

Heavy 332 24 7.2% −186.53

Good to Soft 185 16 8.6% −18.42

Standard (AW) 157 13 8.3% −65.20

Good to Firm 102 3 2.9% −71.00

Firm 6 1 16.7% +0.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Punchestown 181 8 4.4% +205.70

Fairyhouse 161 8 5% −86.00

Dundalk (AW) 153 13 8.5% −61.20

Gowran Park 122 12 9.8% −22.38

Limerick 115 7 6.1% −81.85

Navan 111 5 4.5% −66.75

Cork 100 9 9% −29.46

Clonmel 88 6 6.8% −50.67

Down Royal 78 1 1.3% −66.00

Leopardstown 76 3 3.9% −51.17

Kilbeggan 73 9 12.3% +16.00

Naas 72 3 4.2% −54.00

Sligo 60 7 11.7% −19.30

Wexford 60 7 11.7% −6.50

Thurles 59 4 6.8% −43.08

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 48 3 6.3% −30.50

Class 2 6 0 0% −6.00

Class 5 5 0 0% −5.00

Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 6 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 111 27 24.3% 1.06 −15.20

2nd–3rd fav 290 46 15.9% 1.21 −36.80

4th–6th fav 513 33 6.4% 0.93 −168.50

7th+ in betting 1,069 20 1.9% 0.63 −481.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 611 35 5.7% −332.60

1m5f – 2m 564 34 6% −20.36

2m5f – 3m 342 20 5.8% −190.75

1m2f – 1m4f 153 12 7.8% −52.00

1m – 1m1f 135 9 6.7% −59.70

6f – 7f 111 6 5.4% −70.50

Over 3m 61 10 16.4% +29.91

Under 6f 6 0 0% −6.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 91 5 5.5% −45.25

2009 144 14 9.7% −26.50

2010 117 7 6% −41.50

2011 154 10 6.5% −91.60

2012 138 6 4.3% −100.55

2013 120 9 7.5% −71.92

2014 72 4 5.6% −30.38

2015 67 0 0% −67.00

2016 78 2 2.6% −72.09

2017 83 10 12% −17.75

2018 125 8 6.4% −62.70

2019 101 6 5.9% −57.25

2020 131 8 6.1% −79.13

2021 155 7 4.5% −81.00

2022 128 8 6.3% +229.83

2023 97 5 5.2% −68.71

2024 68 5 7.4% −16.50

2025 61 5 8.2% −9.50

2026 53 7 13.2% +7.50

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,037 73 7% −407.42

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 663 42 6.3% −318.32

17+ runners 528 23 4.4% −12.38

11-13 runners 456 33 7.2% −189.26

8-10 runners 233 19 8.2% −123.00

5-7 runners 98 9 9.2% −54.04

2-4 runners 5 0 0% −5.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

86.2% completed · 1,406 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 403 77.7% 16 13 55 3 3

Hurdle 1,003 89.6% 11 8 76 7 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Trump Card (IRE) 75 5 19 12 May 22

Barretstown (IRE) 60 5 18 16 Oct 26

Prosperity Square (IRE) 57 6 18 28 Jul 17

Jon Ess (IRE) 49 8 22 25 Aug 21

Uncle Tom Cobley (IRE)then Michael Scudamore 45 3 20 4 Aug 13

Lady Arwen (GB)from James M Barrett 33 5 11 29 Oct 26

Pulsating (IRE)from Jamie Osborne 33 3 6 25 Nov 22

I'm Not Alone (IRE) 33 3 7 2 Oct 22

Sunrise Lady (IRE) 32 3 6 1 Apr 22

Mac Tigue (IRE) 30 0 3 21 Jul 16

Hangover (IRE) 30 5 9 29 Jul 11

Competitive Edge (IRE)from Mrs Audra Busteed 29 4 10 21 Feb 16

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 193 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 11 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 18 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Gearoid O'Loughlin (2); 42 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard; 46 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 3

Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

7106688875832

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderCharlie O'Dwyer

16% of all rides
7.1% SR · A/E 1.26

RiderRWSR£1

Charlie O'Dwyer 326 23 7.1% +170.12

Ricky Doyle 312 16 5.1% −204.13

Ben Dalton 220 8 3.6% −146.10

Niki O'Shea 142 15 10.6% −1.50

W J Lee 87 15 17.2% +20.30

Davy Russell 73 6 8.2% −47.84

Mark Walsh 64 7 10.9% −25.43

Mr P Roche 39 3 7.7% −7.00

Alan Crowe 38 0 0% −38.00

Tom Madden 36 4 11.1% −4.00

D J Casey 36 0 0% −36.00

Ian McCarthy 31 0 0% −31.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→

126

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.67m

Prize money

2009

Best season · 14 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Battle It Out (IRE) — Nas Na Riogh Novice Handicap Chase (Listed) Naas · Feb 2024 · Listed

£26,550

Competitive Edge (IRE) — Shamrock Handicap Chase (grade B) Gowran Park · Mar 2013 · Grade B

£24,375

Folsom Blue (IRE) — Claim Your One Month Free Trial At Racinguk.com Grand National Trial Handicap Chase (grade C) Punchestown · Feb 2014 · Grade C

£20,800

Notable horses

Jon Ess (IRE) Prosperity Square (IRE) Trump Card (IRE) Barretstown (IRE) Lady Arwen (GB) Hangover (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Presenting (GB) 11.4% · 13–114

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Dragon Pulse (IRE) 13.4% · 11–82

Progeny have won 8.9% of 4,272 runs since 2016 (320 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.3% from 572. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 363.

Lilbourne Lad (IRE) 6.7% · 5–75

Progeny have won 8.1% of 2,553 runs since 2015 (174 horses).

Anshan (GB) 9.5% · 6–63

Progeny have won 9.6% of 4,216 runs since 2008 (387 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 520.

King's Theatre (IRE) 4.8% · 3–63

Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.

Red Jazz (USA) 8.3% · 5–60

Progeny have won 7.7% of 1,870 runs since 2017 (130 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 11.1% from 171.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,998 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,998 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 18 September 2007 to 1 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) In For The Night (IRE)J: Charlie O'Dwyer Paddy Power 'I Still Call It Twitter' Handicap Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 6th 11/1

29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Lady Arwen (GB)J: Jack Cleary Punchestown Premiere Weekend Sat 21 & Sun 22 November Handicap8f · Yielding · 14 ran 7th 14/1

25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Luimneach (IRE)J: Charlie O'Dwyer Jim And Kay Whitty Memorial Handicap Steeplechase19.5f · Soft · 10 ran 6th 9/2

16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Barretstown (IRE)J: Terry Casey Irishinjuredjockeys.com Apprentice Optional Claiming Race10.5f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 100/1

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Lady Arwen (GB)J: W. J. Lee DNG Excellence Handicap9f · Yielding To Soft · 19 ran 15th 11/1

09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Barretstown (IRE)J: Terry Casey View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 40/1

04 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Lady Arwen (GB)J: Keithen Kennedy 1xBet.ie Proud Partners Of Irish Sport Apprentice Handicap8f · Soft · 16 ran 3rd 25/1

03 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Luimneach (IRE)J: Charlie O'Dwyer Sign up to – GavinLynchRacing.com Handicap Steeplechase20f · Good To Yielding · 6 ran 1st 7/2

02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) In For The Night (IRE)J: Charlie O'Dwyer Paddy Monaghan 90th Birthday Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 9/1

15 Sep 26 Punchestown (IRE) Lady Arwen (GB)J: W. M. Lordan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap9f · Good · 14 ran 8th 22/1

10 Sep 26 Laytown (IRE) Barretstown (IRE)J: W J Lee O'NEILLS.COM Handicap7f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 33/1

08 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Lady Arwen (GB)J: W J Lee Donnellys Of Barna Rated Race8.5f · Soft · 7 ran 2nd 7/2J

28 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Luimneach (IRE)J: Charlie O'Dwyer Dan & Breda Byrne Memorial Handicap Steeplechase19.5f · Yielding · 9 ran 2nd 15/2

15 Aug 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Barretstown (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse Friday Night Lights Return Weekly From 18th September Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 28/1

14 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Mila Ballerina (IRE)J: Charlie O'Dwyer Walsh Butler Electrical Mares Maiden Hurdle21f · Good · 15 ran PU 18/1

08 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Solsbury Hill (IRE)J: Charlie O'Dwyer BOYLE Sports Handicap Steeplechase15.5f · Good · 6 ran 6th 8/1

08 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Teenage Kiss (IRE)J: Charlie O'Dwyer Poolcourt Engineering Handicap Steeplechase25f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 7/2

28 Jul 26 Galway (IRE) Lady Arwen (GB)J: W J Lee Caulfield Industrial Handicap8.5f · Yielding · 17 ran 1st 12/1

25 Jul 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Stiorra (IRE)J: Jack Cleary O'Driscolls Irish Whiskey Handicap (Div I)7f · Good · 14 ran 14th 40/1

24 Jul 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Luimneach (IRE)J: Charlie O'Dwyer Racing Again On 8th August Handicap Steeplechase20.5f · Good · 14 ran 1st 15/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 15 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · to 15 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Conor O'Dwyer's strike rate?: Conor O'Dwyer has won 126 of 1,983 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.4% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Conor O'Dwyer do best at?: Kilbeggan by strike rate: 9 wins from 73 runners (12.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Conor O'Dwyer?: Charlie O'Dwyer, with 326 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 23 (7.1%).
Is Conor O'Dwyer in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Conor O'Dwyer's Fair A/E?: 0.96, from 1,980 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.