What is David Marnane's strike rate?

David Marnane has won 309 of 3,741 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does David Marnane do best at?

Tipperary by strike rate: 27 wins from 191 runners (14.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for David Marnane?

Colm O'Donoghue, with 584 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 54 (9.2%).

Is David Marnane in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 11 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is David Marnane's Fair A/E?

0.98, from 3,731 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

David Marnane

3,741 runners in the lifetime window · 350 individual horses

As at 31 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 7.3% of 260 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 31 Oct 2026.

Last runner yesterday 98% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

309–3,741

Wins / Runs

8.3%

Strike rate

n=3,741

961 (26%)

Placed

0.98

Fair A/E

n=3,731 · 0.78 incl. margin

−1,056.64

£1 level stake

n=3,741 at SP · −28.2%

£5.33m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 200 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.98).

Deterministic profile computed from 3,741 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 31 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Dec 25.8% when favourite Colm O'Donoghue: 9.2% from 584 Sends off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Tipperary (14.1%, n=191), clear of the yard's 8.3% baseline. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 1.9% (n=209, Fair A/E 0.27). The market has consistently overbet a horse in first-time headgear: 4.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.65 and −67.25 to a £1 stake over 145 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Colm O'Donoghue rides 16% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.2%, A/E 1.11) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 1.9% over 210 runners, 6.4pts below the baseline. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Royal Hunt Cup at Ascot (Jun 2018, £108,938). The stable star of the record: Jered Maddox (GB) — 13 wins from 89 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Nov–Dec.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6%−2.3

n=517 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −152.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

7.5%−0.8

n=67 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −6.00

Debutants · first career start

3%−5.3

n=269 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −110.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4.1%−4.2

n=145 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −67.25

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

6.6%−1.7

n=122 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −51.00

When favourite

25.8%

n=217 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −31.82

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.7%−0.6

n=928 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −362.61

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

1.9%−6.4

n=209 · A/E 0.27 · £1 −179.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Class 1 1.9% vs 8.3% · n=210

In Group / Graded races 1.9% vs 8.3% · n=209

At Tipperary 14.1% vs 8.3% · n=191

On last-time-out winners 13.6% vs 8.3% · n=302

With debutants 3% vs 8.3% · n=269

With Conor Hoban 0% vs 8.3% · n=30

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 3,664 303 8.3% −1,050.64

Hurdle 46 2 4.3% −35.00

NH Flat 17 2 11.8% +21.00

Chase 14 2 14.3% +8.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,311 135 10.3% −271.28

Good 871 53 6.1% −344.37

Soft 615 42 6.8% −184.80

Good to Firm 572 48 8.4% −146.62

Good to Soft 215 15 7% −81.90

Heavy 133 13 9.8% −36.00

Firm 24 3 12.5% +8.33

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk 1,270 129 10.2% −271.28

Leopardstown 371 16 4.3% −216.50

Curragh 286 11 3.8% −200.00

Cork 224 15 6.7% −85.17

Naas 199 11 5.5% −110.00

Tipperary 191 27 14.1% +35.23

Killarney 155 14 9% −64.68

Gowran Park 115 6 5.2% −48.80

Limerick 107 9 8.4% −28.00

Galway 107 5 4.7% −33.50

Navan 99 5 5.1% +8.00

Fairyhouse 95 10 10.5% +22.00

Listowel 76 10 13.2% +36.25

Roscommon 73 5 6.8% −23.00

Down Royal 72 6 8.3% −42.29

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 210 4 1.9% −180.00

Class 2 44 6 13.6% +59.50

Class 3 8 0 0% −8.00

Class 4 7 0 0% −7.00

Class 5 5 2 40% +4.50

Class 6 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 285 70 24.6% 1.11 −28.69

2nd–3rd fav 745 119 16% 1.13 −81.05

4th–6th fav 1,153 65 5.6% 0.74 −511.50

7th+ in betting 1,558 55 3.5% 0.96 −435.40

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 1,732 154 8.9% −299.79

1m – 1m1f 1,140 92 8.1% −416.94

Under 6f 436 38 8.7% −131.66

1m2f – 1m4f 335 18 5.4% −191.25

1m5f – 2m 72 4 5.6% −47.00

2m1f – 2m4f 22 2 9.1% +25.00

2m5f – 3m 3 1 33.3% +6.00

Over 3m 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 249 23 9.2% −55.42

2009 342 24 7% −138.20

2010 366 33 9% −68.12

2011 282 18 6.4% −88.00

2012 246 16 6.5% −84.81

2013 227 21 9.3% −100.62

2014 195 14 7.2% −75.25

2015 185 23 12.4% −1.50

2016 169 7 4.1% −120.25

2017 152 17 11.2% −27.19

2018 136 14 10.3% −35.99

2019 99 8 8.1% −35.50

2020 98 4 4.1% −72.50

2021 121 9 7.4% −37.42

2022 93 7 7.5% −14.00

2023 172 14 8.1% −50.27

2024 166 18 10.8% −9.13

2025 223 22 9.9% −8.85

2026 220 17 7.7% −33.62

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 2,361 211 8.9% −647.06

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 1,273 110 8.6% −160.00

11-13 runners 934 66 7.1% −364.73

8-10 runners 750 84 11.2% −199.06

17+ runners 456 18 3.9% −171.00

5-7 runners 306 29 9.5% −148.35

2-4 runners 22 2 9.1% −13.50

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

He's Got Rhythm (IRE) 90 8 30 12 Dec 14

Jered Maddox (GB) 89 13 32 26 May 26

Almadaa (GB)from Ed Dunlop 86 10 31 11 Aug 16

Tynamite (IRE)from P F McEnery 82 5 20 10 Jun 26

Maal (IRE) 80 7 21 29 Sep 14

Maundy Money (GB)from Mark Johnston 75 8 22 4 May 14

Seanie (IRE)then Karl Thornton 67 7 21 11 Apr 18

Jamesie (IRE) 59 7 26 18 Aug 17

Cool Athlete (IRE) 53 6 15 30 Jul 14

Amemri (GB) 49 10 14 14 Jul 26

Alfredo Arcano (IRE) 49 9 19 27 Jun 21

Poet's Pride (GB)from David Barron 48 3 11 31 Jan 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 350 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 16 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 16 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Marcus Tregoning (2) and Mark Johnston (2); 44 had their first archived run for this yard.

20 have since run for another yard; 40 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 11

Only 11 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

99159788787915

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderColm O'Donoghue

16% of all rides
9.2% SR · A/E 1.11

RiderRWSR£1

Colm O'Donoghue 584 54 9.2% −102.42

Luke McAteer 454 55 12.1% −49.10

Fergal Lynch 315 26 8.3% −123.43

Connor King 285 35 12.3% −20.77

Oisin Orr 217 23 10.6% −27.12

Shane Foley 123 8 6.5% −50.50

Fran Berry 122 12 9.8% −23.42

Donagh O'Connor 114 10 8.8% −45.71

Declan McDonogh 98 7 7.1% −31.50

W J Lee 97 10 10.3% −25.25

Nathan Crosse 86 5 5.8% +81.00

Pat Smullen 72 8 11.1% −8.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

332

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.62m

Prize money

2010

Best season · 33 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Settle For Bay (FR) — Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) (Str) Ascot · Jun 2018 · Class 2

£108,938

Dandy Boy (ITY) — Wokingham Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Ascot · Jun 2012 · Class 2

£77,813

Seanie (IRE) — Tattersalls Ireland Super Auction Sale Stakes Fairyhouse · Sep 2011

£73,500

Notable horses

Jered Maddox (GB) Maundy Money (GB) Almadaa (GB) Amemri (GB) Alfredo Arcano (IRE) He's Got Rhythm (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kodiac (GB) 8.5% · 28–329

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,580 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 5.9% · 8–135

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,851 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 843.

Elnadim (USA) 7.9% · 10–126

Progeny have won 9.8% of 3,353 runs since 2008 (216 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.5% from 108. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.3% from 152.

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 9.9% · 12–121

Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,030 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.

Arcano (IRE) 12.4% · 12–97

Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,647 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.8% from 147.

Lawman (FR) 14.6% · 14–96

Progeny have won 8.9% of 9,424 runs since 2008 (730 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 31 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,062 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,062 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 March 2005 to 30 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Golddream (FR)J: Robbie Colgan Happy Halloween Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 7/1

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Gavoo (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Happy Halloween Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 15/2

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Smart Aleck (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 80/1

29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Movin And Groovin (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse See You At The GR1 Double Header 21 & 22 November Handicap (0-60) (Div 1)7f · Yielding · 12 ran 8th 11/2

28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Normanton (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Auction Maiden6f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 7/2

28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Jacob's Journey (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden7f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 16/1

28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Sonic Sabiha (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Irishinjuredjockeys.com Fillies Maiden7f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 9/2

28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Coasting (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Halloween Mid-Term Racing At Dundalk Handicap8f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 7/2

28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Gavoo (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Halloween Mid-Term Racing At Dundalk Handicap8f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 9/4F

23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Astroway (FR)J: W. J. Lee Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 11/4

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Jasmine Affanalis (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Always Gambling Responsibly With 1xBet.ie Handicap8f · Yielding · 23 ran 12th 28/1

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Smart Aleck (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden7f · Good · 12 ran 12th 100/1

16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Slieve Binnian (IRE)J: Dylan Browne McMonagle Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Book Now Handicap10.5f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 4/1

16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Lamberella (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 33/1

12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Movin And Groovin (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse Roscommon Racecourse On Facebook Handicap (Div II)7.5f · Soft · 13 ran 3rd 9/1

12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Airborne Ranger (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse Roscommon Racecourse (C & G) Maiden7.5f · Soft · 11 ran 11th 150/1

11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Letmeentertainyou (FR)J: Nathan Crosse Irish EBF Auction Series Race Final7f · Soft · 12 ran 3rd 10/1

10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Allsortz (IRE)J: Luke McAteer Naas Farm Machinery Handicap5f · Soft · 11 ran 10th 10/1

10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Astroway (FR)J: Luke McAteer Irish EBF Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Soft · 18 ran 5th 66/1

09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Golddream (FR)J: Luke McAteer BAR 1 Betting 'First For Football' Handicap8f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 3/1F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 5 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 23 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is David Marnane's strike rate?: David Marnane has won 309 of 3,741 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does David Marnane do best at?: Tipperary by strike rate: 27 wins from 191 runners (14.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for David Marnane?: Colm O'Donoghue, with 584 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 54 (9.2%).
Is David Marnane in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 11 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is David Marnane's Fair A/E?: 0.98, from 3,731 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.