Skip to content
Trainer profile

Denis Leahy

306 runners in the lifetime window · 62 individual horses
As at 10 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 47 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
9–306
Wins / Runs
2.9%
Strike rate
n=306
34 (11%)
Placed
0.78
Fair A/E
n=306 · 0.60 incl. margin
+39.50
£1 level stake
n=306 at SP · +12.9%
£113k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.78). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 6% off breaks of two months or more (89 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 306 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 10 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 5.6% Claiming riders: 4.3%
The read

The yard also reads well off a 61-180-day break (9.8%, n=41) and over 2m5f – 3m (7.1%, n=42). The market has consistently overbet the yard in Flat races: Fair A/E 0.00 across 77 runners (0% strike, −77.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.6%+2.7
n=89 · A/E 1.82 · £1 +20.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.9
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.9
n=49 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −49.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.9
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.9
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.3%+1.4
n=164 · A/E 1.09 · £1 +163.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.9
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 61-180-day break 9.8% vs 2.9% · n=41
With Pierce Gallagher 8.6% vs 2.9% · n=35
Over 2m5f – 3m 7.1% vs 2.9% · n=42
In Flat races 0% vs 2.9% · n=77
On Good to Soft going 6.5% vs 2.9% · n=31
Off a 31-60-day break 0% vs 2.9% · n=63
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 170 8 4.7% +164.50
Flat 77 0 0% −77.00
Chase 30 1 3.3% −19.00
NH Flat 29 0 0% −29.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 94 1 1.1% −83.00
Good 92 3 3.3% −43.50
Heavy 47 1 2.1% −39.00
Good to Firm 32 0 0% −32.00
Good to Soft 31 2 6.5% +204.00
Firm 5 2 40% +38.00
Standard (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Clonmel 45 2 4.4% −21.00
Limerick 42 1 2.4% −34.00
Killarney 35 1 2.9% −1.00
Cork 32 0 0% −32.00
Listowel 30 0 0% −30.00
Tipperary 23 0 0% −23.00
Thurles 21 1 4.8% −13.50
Tramore 15 2 13.3% +30.00
Gowran Park 11 0 0% −11.00
Galway 9 0 0% −9.00
Kilbeggan 7 2 28.6% +220.00
Dundalk (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00
Fairyhouse 5 0 0% −5.00
Downpatrick 4 0 0% −4.00
Leopardstown 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
2nd–3rd fav 19 1 5.3% 0.43 −12.00
4th–6th fav 59 3 5.1% 0.89 −26.50
7th+ in betting 226 5 2.2% 0.91 +80.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
85.5% completed · 200 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 30 80% 2 0 4 0 0
Hurdle 170 86.5% 2 3 16 1 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Blackberry Jack (IRE) 24 0 3 19 Sep 25
Desertmore Dreamer (FR) 18 1 3 3 Oct 19
Handsome Dan (IRE)then Andrew Hollinshead 16 1 2 13 Oct 13
Saxon Wing (IRE) 13 0 0 5 May 12
She's A Staker (IRE) 13 0 3 9 Jul 11
Garryduff East (IRE)from John F Gleeson 12 1 3 18 Feb 10
Unklipped (IRE) 11 2 2 21 Dec 24
Arthropod (IRE) 11 0 1 17 Jul 17
Sparkee Sakhee (GB) 11 0 0 7 Aug 15
Piercetown Kit (IRE) 11 0 0 18 Sep 10
Currig's Girl (IRE) 9 1 1 30 Jan 20
Boots Or No Boots (IRE) 9 0 0 12 Sep 10
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 62 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John F Gleeson (2); 52 had their first archived run for this yard.

16 have since run for another yard; 44 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
700563233040
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderPierce Gallagher
11% of all rides
8.6% SR · A/E 2.14
RiderRWSR£1
Pierce Gallagher 35 3 8.6% +42.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→
10
Archived wins
£132k
Prize money
2023
Best season · 2 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Orpen Guama (IRE) — RFL Steel Hurdle Punchestown · Apr 2007
£11,056
Orpen Guama (IRE) — Dawn Milk Run Handicap Hurdle (81-130) Killarney · Jul 2009
£10,711
Desertmore Dreamer (FR) — Marthas Bar Maiden Hurdle Tramore · Aug 2016
£6,765
Notable horses
Orpen Guama (IRE) Unklipped (IRE) Desertmore Dreamer (FR) Handsome Dan (IRE) Garryduff East (IRE) Currig's Girl (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Mull Of Kintyre (USA) 2.8% · 1–36
Progeny have won 9% of 2,100 runs since 2008 (160 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.2% from 409. Weakest on Soft going: 4.6% from 306.
Sir Percy (GB) 0% · 0–24
Progeny have won 11.2% of 7,154 runs since 2011 (473 horses).
Enrique (GB) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 10.7% of 2,601 runs since 2008 (289 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.9% from 370. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15.8% from 462. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.6% from 347.
Busy Flight (GB) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 11.3% of 337 runs since 2008 (40 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.8% from 115.
Hawk Wing (USA) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 8.5% of 4,330 runs since 2008 (330 horses).
Presenting (GB) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 10 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 342 · newest first

The latest 50 of 342 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 16 April 2006 to 24 September 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
24 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Catalunya (IRE)J: Mr J C Barry Kevin McManus Bookmaker Flat Race16f · Good · 9 ran 5th 125/1
30 May 26 Listowel Desertmore Charm (IRE)J: G B Noonan Join The Listowel Races Supporters Club Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 17 ran 15th 250/1
20 Apr 26 Tramore Castle Croiuil (IRE)J: Mr J C Barry O'Driscolls Irish Whiskey Handicap Chase (0-100)21.5f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 8th 22/1
10 Feb 26 Limerick Shallow Bowles (IRE)J: Niall Moore Conference & Banqueting Facilities At Limerick Mares Maiden Hurdle15.5f · Heavy · 11 ran 6th 5/1
29 Jan 26 Thurles Shallow Bowles (IRE)J: Niall Moore ThurlesRaces.ie Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 18 ran 4th 66/1
01 Jan 26 Tramore Castle Croiuil (IRE)J: Mr J C Barry Tom Carroll Memorial Handicap Chase (0-100)23f · Soft · 14 ran 7th 18/1
27 Dec 25 Limerick Shallow Bowles (IRE)J: Niall Moore Earl Of Harrington Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Heavy · 18 ran 8th 80/1
27 Nov 25 Thurles Desertmore Charm (IRE)J: G B Noonan Book Your Christmas Party Here On December 20th Maiden Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 13th 200/1
20 Nov 25 Thurles Desertmore Charm (IRE)J: Mr J C Barry Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com (Q.R.) Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran 10th 125/1
18 Nov 25 Limerick Shallow Bowles (IRE)J: Niall Moore Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 14 ran 4th 125/1
18 Nov 25 Limerick Castle Croiuil (IRE)J: Patrick M O'Brien Conference & Banqueting Facilities At Limerick Racecourse Maiden Hurdle18.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 2nd 15/2
02 Oct 25 Clonmel Castle Croiuil (IRE)J: Mr J C Barry Tickincor Handicap Chase (0-100)18.5f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 11th 12/1
19 Sep 25 Downpatrick Desertmore Charm (IRE)J: Mr J C Barry J Murdoch Contracts Flat Race18f · Yielding · 7 ran 7th 40/1
19 Sep 25 Downpatrick Blackberry Jack (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford Tennents NI Handicap Hurdle (0-100)18f · Yielding · 15 ran 6th 10/1
09 Sep 25 Galway Blackberry Jack (IRE)J: Wayne Hassett Galway Apprentice Handicap12f · Soft · 18 ran 14th 20/1
16 Aug 25 Tramore Blackberry Jack (IRE)J: Wayne Hassett Perennial Freight Handicap12f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 3rd 33/1
01 Jul 25 Tipperary Castle Croiuil (IRE)J: Daniel King Tipperary Races Beginners Chase16.5f · Yielding · 7 ran 6th 150/1
02 Jun 25 Listowel Castle Croiuil (IRE)J: Mr B Barry Beasley Engineering Hunters Chase24f · Good · 15 ran 7th 100/1
15 Jan 25 Clonmel Castle Croiuil (IRE)J: Mr J C Barry Rathronan Maiden Hunters Chase20f · Yielding To Soft · 14 ran 7th 25/1
21 Dec 24 Thurles La Conquiere (FR)J: Mr J C Barry Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race16f · Good · 18 ran 2nd 80/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Denis Leahy's strike rate?
Denis Leahy has won 9 of 306 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.9% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Denis Leahy do best at?
Clonmel by strike rate: 2 wins from 45 runners (4.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Denis Leahy's Fair A/E?
0.78, from 306 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 10 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).