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Trainer profile

E J O'Grady

3,362 runners in the lifetime window · 308 individual horses
As at 9 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jul 2025
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
327–3,362
Wins / Runs
9.7%
Strike rate
n=3,362
941 (28%)
Placed
0.97
Fair A/E
n=3,357 · 0.76 incl. margin
−1,385.83
£1 level stake
n=3,361 at SP · −41.2%
£5.98m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.1%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 180 runners a season, winning with 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.97). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 16% (109 runs, true-first definition).

Deterministic profile computed from 3,362 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 9 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Oct–Nov 35.2% when favourite Andrew J McNamara: 13.4% from 798 New recruits: 14.3% Sends off the favourite in 10% of races
The read

A horse in first-time headgear has been a positive signal at 15.6% (n=109, Fair A/E 1.65), but debutants struggle at 6.3% (n=192, Fair A/E 1.06). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 6.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.84 and −428.85 to a £1 stake over 798 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Andrew J McNamara rides 24% of the entries and edges the yard's average (13.4% vs 9.7%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Firm going (20%, n=45). 45 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Paddy Power Gold Cup Chase Grade 3 at Cheltenham (Nov 2009, £85,515). The stable star of the record: Catch Me (GER) — 11 wins from 53 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Oct–Nov.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
9.1%−0.6
n=700 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −215.62
New recruits · first run for the yard
14.3%+4.6
n=70 · A/E 1.39 · £1 −10.25
Debutants · first career start
6.3%−3.4
n=192 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −61.45
First-time headgear · true-first definition
15.6%+5.9
n=109 · A/E 1.65 · £1 +2.58
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
9%−0.7
n=100 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −22.00
When favourite
35.2%
n=349 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −22.24
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.3%−3.4
n=798 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −428.85
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
10.5%+0.8
n=382 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −191.76

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Paul Townend 23.2% vs 9.7% · n=69
With Mr J T Carroll 25% vs 9.7% · n=32
On last-time-out winners 17.8% vs 9.7% · n=342
With Barry Geraghty 17.6% vs 9.7% · n=188
On Firm going 20% vs 9.7% · n=45
With Stephen Gray 2% vs 9.7% · n=102
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 68.3% of the archive so far (as at 9 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 1,623 180 11.1% −578.22
Chase 1,035 98 9.5% −469.50
Flat 514 30 5.8% −264.04
NH Flat 190 19 10% −74.07

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 1,152 104 9% −510.31
Good 804 89 11.1% −258.88
Heavy 774 79 10.2% −365.59
Good to Soft 302 20 6.6% −165.50
Good to Firm 199 23 11.6% −57.34
Standard (AW) 86 3 3.5% −65.88
Firm 45 9 20% +37.67

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Fairyhouse 266 16 6% −147.45
Limerick 255 29 11.4% −125.72
Punchestown 247 14 5.7% −120.88
Clonmel 229 28 12.2% −90.11
Leopardstown 225 18 8% −124.81
Cork 186 15 8.1% −65.53
Navan 158 18 11.4% −56.19
Tramore 157 26 16.6% −37.57
Killarney 142 17 12% −44.75
Tipperary 138 13 9.4% −57.96
Gowran Park 137 18 13.1% −7.89
Thurles 124 9 7.3% −48.19
Naas 123 12 9.8% −76.00
Listowel 113 11 9.7% −30.75
Galway 99 4 4% −68.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 354 36 10.2% −199.01
Class 2 8 0 0% −8.00
Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 419 140 33.4% 1.19 −28.49
2nd–3rd fav 745 103 13.8% 0.95 −171.84
4th–6th fav 940 58 6.2% 0.86 −384.50
7th+ in betting 1,257 26 2.1% 0.60 −801.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
86.8% completed · 2,658 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 1,035 81.2% 67 22 99 5 2
Hurdle 1,623 90.3% 39 15 85 9 9
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Time For Mabel (FR)from F-H Graffard 64 5 13 11 Oct 20
Fair Game (IRE) 49 2 12 19 Oct 20
Allardyce (GB)then Paul Henderson 44 4 19 4 Sep 21
Top Line Tommy (IRE)from G M Lyons 43 2 13 31 Aug 24
The West's Awake (IRE) 43 6 17 1 Apr 24
Catch Me (GER)from D K Richardson 42 6 12 28 Dec 13
Le Vagabond (FR)from J-C Rouget 41 4 13 23 Jul 20
Slieveardagh (IRE)then Sally Randell 41 9 15 25 Aug 15
Great Khan (IRE)then Paul Henderson 40 2 20 15 Sep 21
Roconga (IRE) 39 6 20 25 Jan 20
Sailors Warn (IRE)from Timothy Doyle · then Ronald Thompson 38 4 10 10 Jun 15
Bouquet Garni (IRE) 36 1 14 9 Nov 18
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 308 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 18 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 19 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from A Fabre (2) and J-C Rouget (2); 41 had their first archived run for this yard.

28 have since run for another yard, most often for Andrew Slattery (4) and Gary Moore (3); 32 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
91066138915911129
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderAndrew J McNamara
24% of all rides
13.4% SR · A/E 1.08
RiderRWSR£1
Andrew J McNamara 798 107 13.4% −258.95
Patrick Mangan 273 16 5.9% −176.30
Mark Walsh 231 22 9.5% −117.30
Barry Geraghty 188 33 17.6% −14.13
Phillip Enright 153 16 10.5% −26.75
Stephen Gray 102 2 2% −88.00
A E Lynch 80 13 16.3% −11.72
Mark McDonagh 75 6 8% −41.62
Paul Townend 69 16 23.2% +11.77
W J Lee 67 6 9% −21.50
Darragh O'Keeffe 55 6 10.9% −30.67
S J Hassett 44 1 2.3% −23.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
443
Archived wins
45
Pattern / graded wins
£8.01m
Prize money
2009
Best season · 59 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Tranquil Sea I (IRE) — Paddy Power Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) Grade 3 Cheltenham · Nov 2009 · Class 1
£85,515
Sky's The Limit (FR) — Durkan New Homes Novice Chase (Grade 1) Leopardstown · Dec 2007 · Grade 1
£82,800
Jumbo Rio (IRE) — Ballymore Champion Four Year Old Hurdle Punchestown (IRE) · May 2009 · Grade 1
£80,600
Notable horses
Catch Me (GER) Tranquil Sea (IRE) The Real Article (IRE) Slieveardagh (IRE) Bernabeu (USA) Prickly (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Definite Article (GB) 17.2% · 33–192
Progeny have won 10.5% of 5,617 runs since 2008 (527 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.1% from 138. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 211.
Bob Back (USA) 15.3% · 15–98
Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,724 runs since 2008 (338 horses).
Flemensfirth (USA) 8.5% · 8–94
Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,292 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).
Presenting (GB) 8.1% · 7–86
Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 9.2% · 7–76
Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,893 runs since 2013 (686 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.
Lawman (FR) 4.1% · 3–73
Progeny have won 8.9% of 9,430 runs since 2011 (730 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 9 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,348 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,348 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 25 July 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
25 Jul 25 Cork Sovereign Banter (IRE)J: Ben Coen Follow Us On Social Media Handicap (0-60)6f · Good To Firm · 21 ran 19th 33/1
23 Jul 25 Wexford Ceroc (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Support The Irish Injured Jockeys Fund Handicap Chase25.5f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 5/1
21 Jul 25 Ballinrobe Stormie Outlook (IRE)J: Shane Foley Tote Guarantee Available On-Course & At Tote.ie Handicap9.5f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 4th 3/1
19 Jul 25 Curragh Queen Aethelflaed (IRE)J: N G McCullagh Cavalor 'Bronchix Pulmo' Irish European Breeders Fund Fillies Maiden7f · Good · 21 ran 13th 125/1
18 Jul 25 Down Royal Sovereign Banter (IRE)J: Shane Foley Ampion Testing Across UK And Ireland Handicap (0-60)5f · Good · 12 ran 10th 33/1
18 Jul 25 Killarney St Faz (FR)J: Danny Mullins BoyleSports Daily Money Back Meeting Handicap Chase17f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran 5th 11/4F
15 Jul 25 Downpatrick Order Of The Dance (IRE)J: Mr M J Kenneally Denvir's Of Downpatrick (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle22f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 9/2
14 Jul 25 Downpatrick Betty Dutton (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe C. Russell Auto Sales Beginners Chase23.5f · Good · 9 ran 2nd EvensF
05 Jul 25 Bellewstown Our Soldier (IRE)J: Mr H C Swan Johnny's Race Day Handicap Hurdle24.5f · Good · 15 ran 1st 9/2
03 Jul 25 Bellewstown Sovereign Banter (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Champion Lettings Handicap (0-60)8f · Good · 15 ran 9th 14/1
01 Jul 25 Roscommon Stormie Outlook (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Sean Cleary Memorial Handicap10.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 2nd 8/1
01 Jul 25 Tipperary Betty Dutton (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Baileys Hotel Cashel Beginners Chase19.5f · Yielding · 16 ran 2nd 16/1
01 Jul 25 Tipperary Priory Park (IRE)J: Tiernan Power Roche Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Chase (Div 2)23f · Yielding · 13 ran PU 14/1
01 Jul 25 Tipperary St Faz (FR)J: Phillip Enright Tipperary Town Plate Handicap Chase16.5f · Yielding · 15 ran 2nd 7/1
01 Jul 25 Tipperary Any Road (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Tipperary Races Beginners Chase16.5f · Yielding · 7 ran 3rd 22/1
25 Jun 25 Naas Queen Aethelflaed (IRE)J: J M Sheridan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden8f · Good · 11 ran 8th 50/1
21 Jun 25 Limerick Stormie Outlook (IRE)J: Paddy Harnett Ballyduane Stud Fillies Handicap8f · Good · 11 ran 4th 11/1
11 Jun 25 Limerick Sovereign Banter (IRE)J: Shane Foley Follow Limerick On Instagram Handicap (0-60) (Div 2)7f · Good · 15 ran 4th 18/1
07 Jun 25 Navan St Faz (FR)J: Seamie Heffernan Balreask Bar, Catering At Navan Racecourse Handicap14f · Good · 21 ran 14th 17/2
07 Jun 25 Navan Queen Aethelflaed (IRE)J: J M Sheridan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Fillies Maiden10f · Good · 14 ran 8th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is E J O'Grady's strike rate?
E J O'Grady has won 327 of 3,362 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.7% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does E J O'Grady do best at?
Tramore by strike rate: 26 wins from 157 runners (16.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for E J O'Grady?
Andrew J McNamara, with 798 runners since 2008 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 107 (13.4%).
What is E J O'Grady's Fair A/E?
0.97, from 3,357 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 9 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).