What is Gerard Butler's strike rate?

Gerard Butler has won 112 of 888 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.6% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Gerard Butler do best at?

Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 30 wins from 120 runners (25%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Gerard Butler?

Hayley Turner, with 77 runners since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (10.4%).

What is Gerard Butler's Fair A/E?

1.03, from 883 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Gerard Butler

888 runners in the lifetime window · 116 individual horses

As at 9 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Nov 2013 99% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

112–888

Wins / Runs

12.6%

Strike rate

n=888

304 (34%)

Placed

1.03

Fair A/E

n=883 · 0.87 incl. margin

−158.19

£1 level stake

n=888 at SP · −17.8%

£1.24m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

17.2%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 150 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 15% off breaks of two months or more (137 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 888 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 9 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 14.6% 25.9% when favourite Hayley Turner: 10.4% from 77 Sent off the favourite in 12% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Wolverhampton (AW) (25%, n=120), clear of the yard's 12.6% baseline. It is weakest at Newmarket (2.6% over 39 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 7.4% (n=68, Fair A/E 0.75). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 14.6% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.26 and +14.38 to a £1 stake over 137 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Hayley Turner rode 9% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (10.4% vs 12.6%, A/E 0.83). The yard also read well off a break of 180+ days (20.3%, n=59). The record read poorly in Class 4 — 7.4% over 242 runners, 5.2pts below the baseline. 21 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Vodafone Diomed Stakes at Epsom Downs (Jun 2006, £42,585). The stable star of the record was Dansant (GB) — 9 wins from 24 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

14.6%+2.0

n=137 · A/E 1.26 · £1 +14.38

New recruits · first run for the yard

6.7%−5.9

n=15 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −11.25

Debutants · first career start

7.7%−4.9

n=78 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −26.25

First-time headgear · true-first definition

7.4%−5.2

n=68 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −33.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

11.1%−1.5

n=36 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −17.25

When favourite

25.9%

n=108 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −22.36

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

10.5%−2.1

n=86 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −28.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

13.6%+1.0

n=81 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −18.44

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Wolverhampton (AW) 25% vs 12.6% · n=120

At Newmarket 2.6% vs 12.6% · n=39

With Neil Callan 20% vs 12.6% · n=75

With Shane Kelly 3.3% vs 12.6% · n=30

Off a break of 180+ days 20.3% vs 12.6% · n=59

In Class 4 7.4% vs 12.6% · n=242

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 76.4% of the archive so far (as at 9 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 876 111 12.7% −154.19

Hurdle 9 1 11.1% −1.00

NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 443 68 15.3% −35.36

Good to Firm 201 25 12.4% −36.58

Good 142 12 8.5% −31.00

Soft 49 3 6.1% −26.75

Good to Soft 43 4 9.3% −18.50

Heavy 6 0 0% −6.00

Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 160 18 11.3% −18.40

Wolverhampton (AW) 120 30 25% +59.42

Lingfield (AW) 108 15 13.9% −52.40

Newmarket 51 3 5.9% −23.50

Newmarket 39 1 2.6% −31.00

Goodwood 29 4 13.8% +20.50

Yarmouth 27 1 3.7% −25.17

Southwell (AW) 26 3 11.5% −7.38

Ascot 26 4 15.4% +2.38

Newbury 25 2 8% −15.00

Windsor 24 5 20.8% −2.80

Epsom Downs 23 3 13% −10.12

Doncaster 20 2 10% −1.50

Sandown 18 2 11.1% +4.00

Leicester 18 1 5.6% −13.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 267 44 16.5% +24.26

Class 4 242 18 7.4% −98.25

Class 3 103 11 10.7% −43.00

Class 6 99 16 16.2% −19.54

Class 2 91 11 12.1% −2.62

Class 1 81 11 13.6% −18.44

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 128 35 27.3% 0.99 −14.86

2nd–3rd fav 257 47 18.3% 1.13 −5.33

4th–6th fav 282 24 8.5% 1.03 −21.00

7th+ in betting 221 6 2.7% 0.69 −117.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Beauchamp Viceroy (GB) 30 4 7 12 Mar 11

Beauchamp Xerxes (GB)then Hans Adielsson 21 2 5 30 Jun 11

Good Again (GB) 20 4 7 12 Feb 11

Bint Alzain (IRE)then Pat Phelan 19 3 7 24 Mar 13

Swiss Cross (GB)then Phil McEntee 19 4 9 24 Jul 11

Mount Hadley (USA)from Saeed bin Suroor · then David Pipe 19 2 4 23 Jun 10

Getaway Car (GB) 18 4 6 11 Oct 13

Little Black Book (IRE) 18 2 9 10 Oct 12

Pachattack (USA) 18 3 9 1 May 11

Stef And Stelio (GB)then David Pipe 18 1 5 2 Feb 11

Sing Sweetly (GB) 17 1 8 2 Jul 11

Elliptical (USA) 17 3 8 2 Oct 10

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 116 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive; 53 had their first archived run for this yard.

25 have since run for another yard, most often for David Pipe (3) and Robert Cowell (3); 35 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

192322138813168122014

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderHayley Turner

9% of all rides
10.4% SR · A/E 0.83

RiderRWSR£1

Hayley Turner 77 8 10.4% −48.27

Neil Callan 75 15 20% +9.51

Luke Morris 68 7 10.3% −34.50

Eddie Ahern 65 7 10.8% −34.67

Nicky Mackay 50 6 12% −12.04

Dane O'Neill 42 6 14.3% +41.00

Shane Kelly 30 1 3.3% −22.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

198

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.46m

Prize money

2007

Best season · 35 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Nayyir (GB) — Vodafone Diomed Stakes (Group 3) Epsom Downs · Jun 2006 · Group 3

£42,585

Dansant (GB) — Ladbrokes Mallard Handicap Doncaster · Sep 2007 · Class 2

£32,385

Tinaar (USA) — StanJames.com Handicap Newmarket · May 2010 · Class 2

£31,155

Notable horses

Dansant (GB) Beauchamp Viceroy (GB) Bonus (IRE) All The Good (IRE) Prince Alzain (USA) Baharah (USA)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Compton Admiral (GB) 9.6% · 7–73

Progeny have won 7.7% of 418 runs since 2008 (34 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.2% from 106. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 12.6% from 103.

Elusive Quality (USA) 14.9% · 7–47

Progeny have won 12.3% of 3,387 runs since 2008 (333 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.9% from 280. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16% from 319.

Medicean (GB) 17.5% · 7–40

Progeny have won 10.4% of 9,890 runs since 2008 (682 horses).

Cape Cross (IRE) 22.2% · 8–36

Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.

Dansili (GB) 26.5% · 9–34

Progeny have won 13.7% of 11,842 runs since 2008 (983 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 428. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.1% from 209.

Giant's Causeway (USA) 21.9% · 7–32

Progeny have won 11.6% of 3,018 runs since 2008 (320 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.1% from 394. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 8.3% from 422.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 9 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,615 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,615 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 28 November 2013.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

28 Nov 13 Kempton (AW) La Belle Epoque (USA)J: Joey Haynes 175 Cash Bonus At Victor's Live Casino HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 25/1

18 Nov 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Flemish School (GB)J: William Twiston-Davies 32red HandicapClass 5 · 16.5f · Standard · 8 ran 1st 7/2J

16 Nov 13 Lingfield (AW) Prince Alzain (USA)J: Oisin Murphy coral.co.uk Churchill Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 10f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 5/2F

15 Nov 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Zain Eagle (GB)J: Ben Curtis Coral App Download From The App Store HandicapClass 3 · 9.5f · Standard · 8 ran 2nd 5/4F

15 Nov 13 Lingfield (AW) Rainbow Beauty (GB)J: Oisin Murphy 32Red/E.B.F. Fillies' HandicapClass 3 · 10f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 4/1

15 Nov 13 Lingfield (AW) Flemish School (GB)J: William Twiston-Davies Coral App Download From The App Store Maiden StakesClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 4/1

07 Nov 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Prince Alzain (USA)J: Oisin Murphy Coral App Download From The App Store HandicapClass 2 · 9.5f · Standard · 7 ran 1st 4/1

07 Nov 13 Lingfield (AW) Rainbow Beauty (GB)J: Adam Kirby Coral App Download From The App Store HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 6/1

01 Nov 13 Wolverhampton (AW) La Belle Epoque (USA)J: Joey Haynes 32Red Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 4/1

26 Oct 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Azrag (USA)J: Frederik Tylicki 32red HandicapClass 2 · 14f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 9/2

25 Oct 13 Doncaster Zain Eagle (GB)J: Adam Kirby Artsign HandicapClass 3 · 10f · Soft · 8 ran 7th 7/2

24 Oct 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Jowhara (GB)J: Dane O'Neill 32Red.com Maiden StakesClass 5 · 14f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 66/1

24 Oct 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Flemish School (GB)J: Luke Morris 32Red.com Maiden StakesClass 5 · 14f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 7/4F

23 Oct 13 Newmarket Rainbow Beauty (GB)J: Joey Haynes Thoroughbred Breeders' Association Fillies' HandicapClass 2 · 8f · Soft · 9 ran 6th 7/1

17 Oct 13 Kempton (AW) Zain Spirit (USA)J: Neil Callan Jump Racing Here On Sunday Claiming StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 8/1

14 Oct 13 Windsor Rainbow Beauty (GB)J: James Doyle Ladbrokes Odds On! Fillies' HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Soft · 9 ran 2nd 11/4F

13 Oct 13 Goodwood Nordic Quest (IRE)J: Mr Simon Walker JRL Group Gentleman Amateur Handicap (Gentleman Amateur Riders)Class 5 · 12f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 7/2

11 Oct 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Getaway Car (GB)J: Neil Callan Betfred New Rooster Booster Lotto Bet HandicapClass 5 · 14f · Standard · 7 ran 1st 2/1F

08 Oct 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Azrag (USA)J: Frederik Tylicki Quicksilverslots Play Your Favourite 500 Jackpot HandicapClass 4 · 12f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 8/1

04 Oct 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Zain Spirit (USA)J: Neil Callan Betfred Mobile Sports HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Gerard Butler's strike rate?: Gerard Butler has won 112 of 888 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.6% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Gerard Butler do best at?: Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 30 wins from 120 runners (25%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Gerard Butler?: Hayley Turner, with 77 runners since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (10.4%).
What is Gerard Butler's Fair A/E?: 1.03, from 883 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.