What is Gerard Keane's strike rate?

Gerard Keane has won 100 of 1,747 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.7% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Gerard Keane do best at?

Ballinrobe by strike rate: 6 wins from 45 runners (13.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Gerard Keane?

Colin Keane, with 367 runners since 2008 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 38 (10.4%).

Is Gerard Keane in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Gerard Keane's Fair A/E?

0.88, from 1,745 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Gerard Keane

1,747 runners in the lifetime window · 195 individual horses

As at 27 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 4 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

100–1,747

Wins / Runs

5.7%

Strike rate

n=1,747

356 (20%)

Placed

0.88

Fair A/E

n=1,745 · 0.69 incl. margin

−828.65

£1 level stake

n=1,747 at SP · −47.4%

£1.53m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.88). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 14% (81 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,747 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 27 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Sep 16.1% when favourite Colin Keane: 10.4% from 367 Headgear returns: 13.6% Sends off the favourite in 5% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Ballinrobe (13.3%, n=45) and Downpatrick (11%, n=73) — all clear of the yard's 5.7% baseline. It is weakest at Down Royal (0% over 49 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 13.6% (n=81, Fair A/E 1.82), but a horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 1.3% (n=77, Fair A/E 0.26). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 2.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.53 and −249.09 to a £1 stake over 339 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Colin Keane rides 21% of the entries and edges the yard's average (10.4% vs 5.7%, A/E 0.98) — the market has that partnership priced right. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund 'Northfields' Handicap at Curragh (Sep 2023, £88,500). The stable star of the record: Monahullan Prince (GB) — 9 wins from 93 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

2.7%−3.0

n=339 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −249.09

New recruits · first run for the yard

1.6%−4.1

n=62 · A/E 0.46 · £1 −49.00

Debutants · first career start

2.7%−3.0

n=111 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −83.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

1.3%−4.4

n=77 · A/E 0.26 · £1 −73.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

13.6%+7.9

n=81 · A/E 1.82 · £1 +20.00

When favourite

16.1%

n=87 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −39.39

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

4.8%−0.9

n=830 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −460.92

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

3.8%−1.9

n=26 · A/E 0.34 · £1 −23.90

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With headgear back on 13.6% vs 5.7% · n=81

At Ballinrobe 13.3% vs 5.7% · n=45

With Colin Keane 10.4% vs 5.7% · n=367

On last-time-out winners 11.2% vs 5.7% · n=98

At Downpatrick 11% vs 5.7% · n=73

At Down Royal 0% vs 5.7% · n=49

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,071 71 6.6% −442.56

Hurdle 509 22 4.3% −348.59

Chase 111 6 5.4% −15.50

NH Flat 56 1 1.8% −22.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 505 23 4.6% −304.75

Good 414 28 6.8% −166.14

Standard (AW) 323 16 5% −190.09

Heavy 214 11 5.1% −117.50

Good to Soft 164 15 9.1% −8.17

Good to Firm 112 7 6.3% −27.00

Firm 15 0 0% −15.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk 294 12 4.1% −186.59

Navan 130 5 3.8% −99.50

Fairyhouse 122 6 4.9% −82.50

Curragh 110 9 8.2% −7.00

Leopardstown 91 6 6.6% −25.40

Gowran Park 82 3 3.7% −69.75

Punchestown 80 3 3.8% −50.25

Downpatrick 73 8 11% +50.50

Naas 72 3 4.2% −53.00

Sligo 65 3 4.6% −47.67

Roscommon 65 4 6.2% −9.00

Galway 62 6 9.7% −17.00

Bellewstown 54 4 7.4% −24.00

Down Royal 49 0 0% −49.00

Ballinrobe 45 6 13.3% +23.83

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 26 1 3.8% −23.90

Class 6 16 2 12.5% −2.00

Class 5 5 0 0% −5.00

Class 2 2 1 50% +10.00

Class 4 2 1 50% +4.00

Class 7 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 110 18 16.4% 0.78 −43.14

2nd–3rd fav 242 40 16.5% 1.21 −2.01

4th–6th fav 380 19 5% 0.71 −187.50

7th+ in betting 1,015 23 2.3% 0.77 −596.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m5f – 2m 410 21 5.1% −243.75

1m – 1m1f 299 22 7.4% −102.75

1m2f – 1m4f 291 15 5.2% −186.16

6f – 7f 291 18 6.2% −95.25

2m1f – 2m4f 287 14 4.9% −123.57

2m5f – 3m 99 6 6.1% −51.17

Under 6f 64 4 6.3% −20.00

Over 3m 6 0 0% −6.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 149 5 3.4% −94.00

2009 146 10 6.8% −62.50

2010 99 3 3% −56.50

2011 98 4 4.1% −71.75

2012 71 3 4.2% −47.67

2013 80 4 5% −36.50

2014 69 4 5.8% −24.00

2015 38 1 2.6% −27.00

2016 73 5 6.8% −31.50

2017 70 3 4.3% −34.50

2018 52 2 3.8% −31.50

2019 85 8 9.4% −8.50

2020 83 5 6% −38.00

2021 98 3 3.1% −81.00

2022 88 4 4.5% +39.00

2023 98 11 11.2% −26.42

2024 112 6 5.4% −72.15

2025 130 10 7.7% −72.51

2026 108 9 8.3% −51.65

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,147 84 7.3% −355.18

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 647 35 5.4% −269.42

17+ runners 445 18 4% −274.50

11-13 runners 411 27 6.6% −170.67

8-10 runners 190 16 8.4% −77.41

5-7 runners 51 2 3.9% −41.75

2-4 runners 3 2 66.7% +5.10

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Mephisto (IRE)from Ralph Beckett 68 5 12 21 Oct 26

Monahullan Prince (GB) 59 4 19 9 Oct 14

The Fox Tully (IRE) 54 2 16 10 Oct 16

Red All Star (IRE)from Patrick Martin 48 3 13 25 Jun 20

Effernock Lad (IRE) 48 7 18 5 Jan 20

Franno (IRE) 42 3 12 23 Jan 24

Laughifuwant (IRE) 41 5 15 19 Sep 23

No Trimmings (IRE) 40 5 8 9 Nov 12

Captain Cullen (IRE)then Joseph Anthony Murray 34 5 11 22 Oct 14

Loveisthedrug (IRE) 34 1 4 16 Jun 12

Treble Cone (GB)from G M Lyons 32 2 6 13 Jul 23

Ragmans Corner (IRE) 31 6 14 25 Sep 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 195 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 9 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 13 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from D K Weld (3); 47 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard, most often for John G Carr (2); 47 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

2 from 9

Only 9 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

5052676108453

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderColin Keane

21% of all rides
10.4% SR · A/E 0.98

RiderRWSR£1

Colin Keane 367 38 10.4% −70.66

Mark Flanagan 103 8 7.8% −40.00

Ricky Doyle 80 4 5% −5.50

Jack Kearney 77 5 6.5% −40.75

Andrew P Thornton 69 1 1.4% −65.75

Stephen Gray 61 3 4.9% −22.00

Seamie Heffernan 57 4 7% −18.00

G. F. Carroll 43 2 4.7% −29.50

Rory Cleary 35 1 2.9% −27.00

Eoghan Finegan 31 3 9.7% −11.25

Sean Davis 30 1 3.3% −13.00

James Ryan 30 0 0% −30.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

124

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.85m

Prize money

2023

Best season · 11 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Crystal Black (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund 'Northfields' Handicap (Premier Handicap) Curragh · Sep 2023

£88,500

Laughifuwant (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF 'Ahonoora' Handicap (Premier Handicap) Galway · Aug 2019

£70,800

Crystal Black (IRE) — Duke Of Edinburgh Stakes (Handicap) Ascot · Jun 2024 · Class 2

£56,694

Notable horses

Monahullan Prince (GB) Effernock Lad (IRE) Ragmans Corner (IRE) Crystal Black (IRE) Mephisto (IRE) Laughifuwant (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Free Eagle (IRE) 10% · 7–70

Progeny have won 10.6% of 2,403 runs since 2008 (189 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.1% from 131.

Kendargent (FR) 7.4% · 5–68

Progeny have won 9.6% of 5,227 runs since 2008 (580 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 253.

Pyramus (USA) 6.8% · 4–59

Progeny have won 8.6% of 162 runs since 2008 (15 horses).

Monashee Mountain (USA) 3.7% · 2–54

Progeny have won 8.4% of 998 runs since 2008 (75 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 11.7% from 291. Weakest on Good to Soft going: 4.9% from 103. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 11.7% from 120.

Camacho (GB) 4% · 2–50

Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,321 runs since 2008 (596 horses).

Generous (IRE) 14.6% · 7–48

Progeny have won 10.7% of 3,332 runs since 2008 (251 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 27 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,327 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,327 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 23 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Magic Hands Noel (IRE)J: Brian Hayes End Of An Era Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran PU 10/1

23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Grennanstown Lady (IRE)J: Eoghan Finegan Callan Tansey Handicap Hurdle (Div II)17.5f · Yielding · 13 ran 3rd 12/1

23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Ragstoriches (IRE)J: Eoghan Finegan Sligo Fillies Maiden Hurdle17.5f · Yielding · 13 ran 9th 200/1

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Mephisto (IRE)J: G. F. Carroll Navan Racecourse Handicap14f · Yielding · 23 ran 19th 40/1

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Thegooseiscooked (IRE)J: Jack Kearney Navan Racecourse Handicap14f · Yielding · 23 ran 14th 50/1

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Grecian Pearl (IRE)J: Nicola Burns 1xBet.ie Supporting October Racing Irish EBF Maiden6f · Yielding · 13 ran 8th 300/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Lethimfly (IRE)J: Oisin Orr Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 4/1

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Givehertilxmas (IRE)J: Jack Kearney Feel The Rush With 1xBet.ie Handicap7f · Soft · 20 ran 1st 11/1

14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Ragstoriches (IRE)J: Eoghan Finegan Matchbook €50,000 Graduation Series Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 15 ran 11th 80/1

12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Thegooseiscooked (IRE)J: Jack Kearney Thank You For Your Support Handicap12f · Soft · 16 ran 13th 25/1

10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Freddiesadienray (IRE)J: Nicola Burns M.L.A Engineering Ltd. Supporting Ardclough GAA Maiden8f · Soft · 13 ran 6th 200/1

10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Grecian Pearl (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Irish EBF Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Soft · 18 ran 15th 150/1

07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Verified (IRE)J: G. F. Carroll Book Your Discounted Tickets On NavanRacecourse.ie Handicap6f · Yielding · 22 ran 12th 8/1

05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Mephisto (IRE)J: Eoghan Finegan Winter Festival November 28th & 29th Handicap Hurdle24f · Good · 13 ran 10th 18/1

30 Sep 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Givehertilxmas (IRE)J: Jack Kearney Rathbarry & Glenview Studs Handicap8f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 1st 9/1

29 Sep 26 Cork (IRE) Verified (IRE)J: G. F. Carroll WTW Willis Handicap6f · Soft · 19 ran 1st 9/2F

28 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Thegooseiscooked (IRE)J: Jack Kearney Pravha Handicap (Div II)11f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 4th 22/1

28 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Freddiesadienray (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Madrí Excepcional Maiden7f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 7th 500/1

28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Grennanstown Lady (IRE)J: Eoghan Finegan Gary's Gardening Services Handicap Hurdle15.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran BD 33/1

25 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Ragmans Corner (IRE)J: Eoghan Finegan Ballymore Handicap Hurdle (Listed)Class 1 · 16f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 7th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Gerard Keane's strike rate?: Gerard Keane has won 100 of 1,747 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.7% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Gerard Keane do best at?: Ballinrobe by strike rate: 6 wins from 45 runners (13.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Gerard Keane?: Colin Keane, with 367 runners since 2008 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 38 (10.4%).
Is Gerard Keane in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Gerard Keane's Fair A/E?: 0.88, from 1,745 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.