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Trainer profile

Heather Dalton

396 runners in the lifetime window · 85 individual horses
As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jul 2016
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
24–396
Wins / Runs
6.1%
Strike rate
n=396
82 (21%)
Placed
0.79
Fair A/E
n=394 · 0.67 incl. margin
−168.75
£1 level stake
n=396 at SP · −42.6%
£149k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
2.5%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 40 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.79).

Deterministic profile computed from 396 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 8 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 6.6% Stephen Craine: 6.5% from 124 Claiming riders: 6.2%
The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 6.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.76 and −37.25 to a £1 stake over 113 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Stephen Craine rode 31% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (6.5%, A/E 0.95). The yard also read well in Chase races (11.4%, n=79) and at trips under 6f (10.6%, n=47). The record read poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 0% over 52 runners, 6.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 0.51 across 120 runners (2.5% strike, −80.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. The stable star of the record was Victor Daly (IRE) — 5 wins from 16 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
6.6%+0.5
n=91 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −43.25
New recruits · first run for the yard
4.4%−1.7
n=45 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −26.50
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.1
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
4.5%−1.6
n=22 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −15.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.1
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
When favourite
10.5%
n=19 · A/E 0.42 · £1 −12.75
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.2%+0.1
n=113 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −37.25
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.1
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 6.1% · n=52
In Chase races 11.4% vs 6.1% · n=79
On Soft going 0% vs 6.1% · n=34
At trips under 6f 10.6% vs 6.1% · n=47
In Hurdle races 2.5% vs 6.1% · n=120
On Good going 9.6% vs 6.1% · n=104
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 8.4% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 181 12 6.6% −51.75
Hurdle 120 3 2.5% −80.00
Chase 79 9 11.4% −21.00
NH Flat 16 0 0% −16.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 128 7 5.5% −65.25
Good 104 10 9.6% −4.50
Good to Soft 65 2 3.1% −55.00
Good to Firm 48 4 8.3% −14.00
Soft 34 0 0% −34.00
Heavy 15 1 6.7% +6.00
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Southwell (AW) 48 3 6.3% −14.50
Chelmsford City (AW) 32 3 9.4% −8.75
Wolverhampton (AW) 23 0 0% −23.00
Uttoxeter 21 0 0% −21.00
Bangor-on-Dee 20 0 0% −20.00
Southwell 19 7 36.8% +26.00
Worcester 17 1 5.9% −7.00
Huntingdon 14 0 0% −14.00
Chepstow 13 0 0% −13.00
Kempton (AW) 13 0 0% −13.00
Lingfield (AW) 12 1 8.3% −6.00
Taunton 9 1 11.1% −4.50
Aintree 9 2 22.2% +21.00
Hereford 8 0 0% −8.00
Hamilton 8 1 12.5% +9.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 127 6 4.7% −69.25
Class 6 116 9 7.8% −26.25
Class 5 113 7 6.2% −46.00
Class 3 26 2 7.7% −13.25
Class 7 11 0 0% −11.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 23 5 21.7% 0.91 −2.50
2nd–3rd fav 59 6 10.2% 0.62 −24.25
4th–6th fav 134 9 6.7% 0.94 −34.00
7th+ in betting 180 4 2.2% 0.69 −108.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Pabusar (GB)from Richard Guest · then Micky Hammond 20 3 6 15 Dec 15
Morenito (FR)then Tom George 18 2 3 15 Aug 09
Pull The Pin (IRE)from Ann Stokell · then Mandy Rowland 17 0 4 10 Mar 16
Go West (IRE)from T J Taaffe · then Nigel Twiston-Davies 14 1 5 11 Jun 09
Le Deluge (FR)from Ann Stokell · then Micky Hammond 13 2 4 14 Jan 16
Special Code (IRE)from John Gosden · then Paddy Butler 12 1 1 14 Feb 16
Mr Mcgregor (IRE) 12 0 4 4 Feb 16
Ciaras Cookie (IRE)from Jo Crowley · then Mandy Rowland 11 1 1 10 Mar 16
Marufo (IRE)then Philip Hobbs 11 3 4 24 Jul 09
Emily Davison (IRE)from Ann Stokell 10 1 4 4 Aug 15
Victor Daly (IRE)then Martin Keighley 9 3 4 13 Jul 09
What About Molly (IRE) 8 0 0 21 Jul 16
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 85 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 38 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Ann Stokell (10) and John Gosden (2); 22 had their first archived run for this yard.

32 have since run for another yard, most often for Barry Brennan (5) and Michael Appleby (4); 28 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00761677613560
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderStephen Craine
31% of all rides
6.5% SR · A/E 0.95
RiderRWSR£1
Stephen Craine 124 8 6.5% −59.50
Charles Bishop 40 1 2.5% −23.00
Shirley Teasdale 36 1 2.8% −33.25
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
77
Archived wins
£442k
Prize money
2005
Best season · 29 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Jorobaden (FR) — Digital Prints From Bonusprint.com Handicap Hurdle Aintree · Oct 2005 · Class 3
£9,568
Terre De Java (FR) — Kingston Veterinary Group Handicap Chase Taunton · Apr 2006 · Class 3
£7,807
Victor Daly (IRE) — Aintree International Equestrian Centre Handicap Chase Aintree · May 2008 · Class 3
£7,806
Notable horses
Victor Daly (IRE) Zonic Boom (FR) Pabusar (GB) Hehasalife (IRE) Broke Road (IRE) Hi Humpfree (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Oasis Dream (GB) 12.5% · 3–24
Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,047 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 485. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 792.
Presenting (GB) 15% · 3–20
Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Kheleyf (USA) 0% · 0–19
Progeny have won 8.7% of 10,551 runs since 2008 (676 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 12.2% from 131. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 880.
Nononito (FR) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 8.1% of 247 runs since 2008 (42 horses).
Flemensfirth (USA) 7.1% · 1–14
Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,290 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).
Oratorio (IRE) 15.4% · 2–13
Progeny have won 10.6% of 5,063 runs since 2009 (370 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.3% from 455.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 971 · newest first

The latest 50 of 971 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 22 July 2016.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
22 Jul 16 Uttoxeter Soldier Boy (IRE)J: Harry Cobden Derby Telegraph Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 3rd 50/1
21 Jul 16 Worcester What About Molly (IRE)J: Richie McLernon Ivor Banks 70th Birthday Handicap Chase (Div 2)Class 4 · 23f · Good · 10 ran PU 100/1
21 Jul 16 Worcester Artiste Du Gouet (FR)J: William Kennedy Ivor Banks 70th Birthday Handicap Chase (Div 1)Class 4 · 23f · Good · 12 ran 6th 33/1
05 Jul 16 Uttoxeter Artiste Du Gouet (FR)J: Richie McLernon Betfred 'greater Value Every Day' Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 13 ran PU 20/1
22 Jun 16 Worcester Oscar Bravo (IRE)J: Daryl Jacob Allelys General Haulage Standard Open NH Flat Race (Div 2)Class 6 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 8th 20/1
20 Jun 16 Southwell What About Molly (IRE)J: Richie McLernon Cash Out On Your App With Ladbrokes Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Soft · 9 ran PU 33/1
31 May 16 Towcester Artiste Du Gouet (FR)J: Richie McLernon Syresham 'national Hunt' Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 3rd 20/1
17 May 16 Nottingham Hyperlink (IRE)J: Tony Hamilton BetVictor Million Pound Goal HandicapClass 5 · 16f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 9th 33/1
15 May 16 Stratford Oscar Bravo (IRE)J: Daryl Jacob Rayford Caravan Park Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 3rd 20/1
29 Mar 16 Wolverhampton (AW) Hyperlink (IRE)J: Charles Bishop Business Venue 365 Days A Year HandicapClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 16/1
10 Mar 16 Southwell (AW) Pull The Pin (IRE)J: Paddy Bradley Daily Price Boosts At Unibet HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 8th 11/4F
10 Mar 16 Southwell (AW) Ciaras Cookie (IRE)J: Danny Brock Daily Price Boosts At Unibet HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 1st 16/1
03 Mar 16 Chelmsford City (AW) Ciaras Cookie (IRE)J: Danny Brock Crawfords & Massey Ferguson HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 6 ran 6th 12/1
03 Mar 16 Ludlow Artiste Du Gouet (FR)J: Harry Challoner Three Counties Equine Hospital Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Soft · 16 ran 12th 100/1
02 Mar 16 Wolverhampton (AW) Hyperlink (IRE)J: Charles Bishop 32red.com HandicapClass 5 · 16.5f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 33/1
16 Feb 16 Southwell (AW) Ciaras Cookie (IRE)J: Danny Brock Unibet Offer Daily Jockey/Trainer Specials HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 8/1
14 Feb 16 Southwell (AW) Special Code (IRE)J: Danny Brock Daily Price Boosts At Unibet Classified Claiming StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 5 ran 4th 14/1
10 Feb 16 Southwell (AW) Ciaras Cookie (IRE)J: Dougie Costello Bet Now With The Ladbrokes App HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 16/1
04 Feb 16 Chelmsford City (AW) Pull The Pin (IRE)J: Danny Brock Bet Scoop6soccer At Betfred Shops HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 14/1
04 Feb 16 Chelmsford City (AW) Royal Rettie (GB)J: Paddy Bradley Bet Scoop6soccer At Betfred Shops HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 10/3F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Heather Dalton's strike rate?
Heather Dalton has won 24 of 396 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Heather Dalton do best at?
Chelmsford City (AW) by strike rate: 3 wins from 32 runners (9.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Heather Dalton?
Stephen Craine, with 124 runners since 2008 — 31% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (6.5%).
What is Heather Dalton's Fair A/E?
0.79, from 394 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 8 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).