What is John Wainwright's strike rate?

John Wainwright has won 79 of 2,016 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.9% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does John Wainwright do best at?

Ayr by strike rate: 5 wins from 45 runners (11.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for John Wainwright?

Paddy Aspell, with 247 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (0.8%).

Is John Wainwright in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is John Wainwright's Fair A/E?

0.77, from 2,005 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

John Wainwright

2,016 runners in the lifetime window · 180 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 2 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

79–2,016

Wins / Runs

3.9%

Strike rate

n=2,016

311 (15%)

Placed

0.77

Fair A/E

n=2,005 · 0.66 incl. margin

−1,025.89

£1 level stake

n=2,016 at SP · −50.9%

£612k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 110 runners a season, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.77).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,016 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Aug 12.5% when favourite Paddy Aspell: 0.8% from 247 Claiming riders: 4% Sends off the favourite in 2% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Ayr (11.1%, n=45), clear of the yard's 3.9% baseline. The market has consistently overbet a horse having headgear put back on after a bare run: 3.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.74 and −51.00 to a £1 stake over 116 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Paddy Aspell rides 12% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (0.8% vs 3.9%, A/E 0.16). The yard also reads well beyond 3m (10.6%, n=47). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Hilary Needler Trophy at Beverley (May 2007, £14,195). The stable star of the record: Dandy's Angel (IRE) — 11 wins from 98 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

2.6%−1.3

n=308 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −127.25

New recruits · first run for the yard

3.9%+0.0

n=103 · A/E 0.91 · £1 +3.75

Debutants · first career start

1.5%−2.4

n=66 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −43.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

3.3%−0.6

n=60 · A/E 1.25 · £1 −16.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

3.4%−0.5

n=116 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −51.00

When favourite

12.5%

n=32 · A/E 0.46 · £1 −19.75

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

4%+0.1

n=722 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −393.92

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−3.9

n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 12.2% vs 3.9% · n=82

With Barry McHugh 10.1% vs 3.9% · n=89

At Ayr 11.1% vs 3.9% · n=45

With Zak Wheatley 10.3% vs 3.9% · n=58

Beyond 3m 10.6% vs 3.9% · n=47

With C&D winners 8% vs 3.9% · n=249

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,598 65 4.1% −809.59

Hurdle 308 7 2.3% −170.00

Chase 67 6 9% −26.30

NH Flat 43 1 2.3% −20.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 553 22 4% −324.25

Good 528 19 3.6% −205.67

Good to Firm 460 15 3.3% −276.00

Good to Soft 213 8 3.8% −103.22

Soft 208 11 5.3% −97.00

Heavy 46 4 8.7% −11.75

Firm 8 0 0% −8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Beverley 262 9 3.4% −166.75

Newcastle (AW) 179 12 6.7% −55.50

Redcar 167 7 4.2% −76.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 165 3 1.8% −108.00

Southwell (AW) 145 4 2.8% −116.00

Market Rasen 136 5 3.7% −67.50

Thirsk 79 1 1.3% −64.00

Wetherby 77 2 2.6% −62.00

Doncaster 72 1 1.4% −55.00

Carlisle 69 5 7.2% −5.67

Sedgefield 62 5 8.1% −39.80

Catterick 59 3 5.1% +60.00

Hamilton 54 5 9.3% +17.50

Pontefract 52 3 5.8% −19.00

Ayr 45 5 11.1% +6.08

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 973 46 4.7% −402.92

Class 5 665 23 3.5% −426.97

Class 4 275 8 2.9% −135.00

Class 3 49 0 0% −49.00

Class 7 33 2 6.1% +9.00

Class 1 11 0 0% −11.00

Class 2 10 0 0% −10.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 44 6 13.6% 0.55 −22.05

2nd–3rd fav 171 28 16.4% 1.05 −21.84

4th–6th fav 511 26 5.1% 0.76 −171.00

7th+ in betting 1,290 19 1.5% 0.61 −811.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 597 22 3.7% −268.92

1m – 1m1f 359 12 3.3% −261.42

1m2f – 1m4f 342 11 3.2% −262.00

Under 6f 239 17 7.1% −5.25

2m1f – 2m4f 172 5 2.9% −42.50

1m5f – 2m 170 3 1.8% −121.00

2m5f – 3m 90 4 4.4% −40.00

Over 3m 47 5 10.6% −24.80

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 162 3 1.9% −119.00

2009 109 2 1.8% −69.00

2010 111 2 1.8% −87.00

2011 103 4 3.9% +10.00

2012 144 1 0.7% −140.00

2013 110 2 1.8% −61.00

2014 91 5 5.5% −49.25

2015 86 3 3.5% −52.00

2016 69 2 2.9% −37.00

2017 115 3 2.6% −75.00

2018 131 0 0% −131.00

2019 120 0 0% −120.00

2020 84 6 7.1% +5.50

2021 105 6 5.7% +10.50

2022 104 8 7.7% −1.17

2023 121 13 10.7% −46.22

2024 89 5 5.6% −37.25

2025 89 6 6.7% −41.75

2026 73 8 11% +14.75

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,445 70 4.8% −609.39

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 740 35 4.7% −473.22

11-13 runners 711 13 1.8% −406.50

14-16 runners 265 8 3% −134.00

5-7 runners 243 21 8.6% −19.17

17+ runners 44 2 4.5% +20.00

2-4 runners 13 0 0% −13.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Dandy's Angel (IRE) 98 11 33 26 Oct 26

Oniz Tiptoes (IRE) 74 4 18 24 Apr 13

Biplane (USA)from F-H Graffard 59 7 20 23 Oct 25

Knockamany Bends (IRE) 57 4 12 29 Oct 18

Muatadel (GB)from Roger Fell 54 3 16 13 Feb 24

Exit To Freedom (GB) 53 1 6 18 Aug 18

Elettaria (IRE)from Clive Cox 49 4 14 16 Sep 26

Media Jury (GB) 41 2 6 7 May 13

Henrietta's Dream (GB)then Robyn Brisland 39 0 4 14 Aug 19

Clayton Hall (IRE)from Brian Ellison 38 0 2 5 Aug 22

Blue Noodles (GB)from Jim Best 38 1 11 16 Jan 14

Just Heather (IRE) 37 0 0 2 Oct 20

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 180 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 9 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 30 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Brian Ellison (3) and David O'Meara (3); 30 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for Alan McCabe (2); 51 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 5

Only 5 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

732313664630

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderPaddy Aspell

12% of all rides
0.8% SR · A/E 0.16

RiderRWSR£1

Paddy Aspell 247 2 0.8% −215.00

Tom Eaves 99 1 1% −95.25

Paul Mulrennan 98 5 5.1% −56.00

Barry McHugh 89 9 10.1% +39.50

James Sullivan 61 2 3.3% −29.00

Cam Hardie 59 1 1.7% −47.00

Zak Wheatley 58 6 10.3% +75.50

Adam Carter 40 0 0% −40.00

Andrew Mullen 39 3 7.7% +22.00

Mr A French 36 0 0% −36.00

Mark Winn 35 1 2.9% −31.25

P J McDonald 31 2 6.5% +0.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

118

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£869k

Prize money

2007

Best season · 18 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Loch Jipp (USA) — Hilary Needler Trophy (Fillies' Listed) Beverley · May 2007 · Listed

£14,195

Oniz Tiptoes (IRE) — WBX Handicap Chase Kempton · Oct 2007 · Class 3

£9,395

Onestepatatime (IRE) — Vickers.bet Proud To Support British Racing Handicap Chase Sedgefield · Jan 2023 · Class 4

£7,393

Notable horses

Dandy's Angel (IRE) Oniz Tiptoes (IRE) Biplane (USA) Knockamany Bends (IRE) Elettaria (IRE) Riquewihr (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dandy Man (IRE) 8.8% · 12–136

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,946 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Fast Company (IRE) 2.6% · 2–78

Progeny have won 9.4% of 7,594 runs since 2008 (492 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.7% from 558. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.8% from 109.

Russian Revival (USA) 5.4% · 4–74

Progeny have won 5.8% of 104 runs since 2008 (4 horses).

Majestic Missile (IRE) 6% · 4–67

Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,897 runs since 2008 (110 horses).

Noble Mission (GB) 11.9% · 7–59

Progeny have won 10.4% of 788 runs since 2008 (53 horses). Strongest on Good going: 14.4% from 167.

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 5.6% · 3–54

Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,030 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,697 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,697 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 26 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

26 Oct 26 Redcar Ninety Nine (IRE)J: Barry McHugh Thanks And See You Next Season Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Heavy · 14 ran 14th 100/1

26 Oct 26 Redcar Dandy's Angel (IRE)J: Joanna Mason Market Cross Jewellers Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Heavy · 14 ran 2nd 12/1

19 Oct 26 Pontefract Startling (GB)J: Cieren Fallon William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Heavy · 9 ran 8th 16/1

16 Oct 26 Redcar Eeetee (IRE)J: Mr Matt Brown Watch Racing Replays At racingtv.com Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good · 14 ran 13th 25/1

16 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Slaney Opera (IRE)J: Jamie Hamilton Insurance Connections Best Bet Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good · 8 ran 1st 12/1

01 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Truly Special (GB)J: Jason Hart Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 28/1

30 Sep 26 Musselburgh Startling (GB)J: Jason Hart Weatherbys Stallion Book Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 10th 18/1

24 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Renewable Dream (GB)J: Gianluca Sanna Weekend Winners On At The Races Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 10/1

20 Sep 26 Hamilton Dandy's Angel (IRE)J: Jason Hart Hampton By Hilton Hamilton Park Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Heavy · 6 ran 6th 10/1

16 Sep 26 Beverley Elettaria (IRE)J: Cam Hardie Hurn Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8.5f · Good · 10 ran 5th 11/1

15 Sep 26 Redcar Startling (GB)J: Jason Hart Try RacingTV Free Now At racingtv.com/freetrial Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good · 5 ran 1st 11/4

09 Sep 26 Redcar Eeetee (IRE)J: Cam Hardie Watch Race Replays On Racing Tv Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good · 19 ran 8th 25/1

09 Sep 26 Redcar Ninety Nine (IRE)J: Jason Hart Visit Racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good · 16 ran 16th 50/1

03 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Startling (GB)J: Jason Hart Bettingsites.co.uk Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 6 ran 1st 1/1F

02 Sep 26 Hamilton Dandy's Angel (IRE)J: Connor Beasley Book Your Christmas Party Hamilton Park Handicap StakesClass 6 · 11f · Soft · 8 ran 2nd 7/1

02 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Elettaria (IRE)J: Cam Hardie Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 16/1

01 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Renewable Dream (GB)J: Gianluca Sanna Book Hotel & Conferencing At Wolverhampton Racecourse Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 16/1

28 Aug 26 Thirsk Dandy's Angel (IRE)J: Mr Freddie Robson AJA Novice Flat Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes (For Riders With 3 Wins Or Fewer At Start Of Season)Class 6 · 8f · Good · 11 ran 6th 33/1

27 Aug 26 Carlisle Crafty Spirit (IRE)J: Barry McHugh Ladies Night 2027 On Sale Now Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good · 11 ran 8th 13/2

19 Aug 26 Carlisle Renewable Dream (GB)J: Gianluca Sanna North Lakes Energy - Harry Doyle Memorial Maiden Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 3rd 15/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John Wainwright's strike rate?: John Wainwright has won 79 of 2,016 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.9% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John Wainwright do best at?: Ayr by strike rate: 5 wins from 45 runners (11.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for John Wainwright?: Paddy Aspell, with 247 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (0.8%).
Is John Wainwright in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is John Wainwright's Fair A/E?: 0.77, from 2,005 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.