Karen McLintock
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 70 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.18).
The record is strongest at Wolverhampton (AW) (30%, n=30), Hexham (27.3%, n=44) and Kelso (25.8%, n=31) — all clear of the yard's 13% baseline. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 9.4% (n=32, Fair A/E 1.07). Graham Lee rode 12% of the entries and beats the yard's average (19.4% vs 13%, A/E 1.53) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The stable star of the record was Bygones of Brid (IRE) — 9 wins from 34 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Mar–May.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 13% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 13% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,107 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,107 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 February 2005 to 23 June 2020.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Karen McLintock's strike rate?
- Karen McLintock has won 114 of 876 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Karen McLintock do best at?
- Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 9 wins from 30 runners (30%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Karen McLintock?
- Graham Lee, with 108 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 21 (19.4%).
- What is Karen McLintock's Fair A/E?
- 1.18, from 874 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.