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Trainer profile

Michael Blake

1,458 runners in the lifetime window · 131 individual horses
As at 24 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 7 days ago
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
156–1,458
Wins / Runs
10.7%
Strike rate
n=1,458
401 (28%)
Placed
1.06
n=1,452 · 0.91 incl. margin
−279.49
£1 level stake
n=1,458 at SP · −19.2%
£943k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
18.9%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.06). With a claiming rider up the record reads 12% (477 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,458 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 24 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Apr 35.6% when favourite Nick Scholfield: 7.7% from 130 Claiming riders: 12.2% Sends off the favourite in 8% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Newton Abbot (18.3%, n=104), clear of the yard's 10.7% baseline. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 5.1% (n=39, Fair A/E 0.83). Nick Scholfield rides 9% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (7.7% vs 10.7%, A/E 0.80). The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (22.7%, n=44). The stable star of the record: Pick A Little (GB) — 9 wins from 72 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.1%−3.6
n=252 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −83.34
New recruits · first run for the yard
7.6%−3.1
n=105 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −25.25
Debutants · first career start
0%−10.7
n=29 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −29.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
5.1%−5.6
n=39 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −32.17
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
8.2%−2.5
n=73 · A/E 1.07 · £1 +13.00
When favourite
35.6%
n=118 · A/E 1.22 · £1 +4.13
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
12.2%+1.5
n=477 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −52.54
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−10.7
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 23% vs 10.7% · n=165
With Richard Kingscote 25.6% vs 10.7% · n=43
Off a 0-7-day break 22.7% vs 10.7% · n=44
At Newton Abbot 18.3% vs 10.7% · n=104
With Harry Cobden 18.5% vs 10.7% · n=65
With C&D winners 16.1% vs 10.7% · n=286
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 684 71 10.4% −21.32
Hurdle 555 63 11.4% −170.31
Chase 202 21 10.4% −96.86
NH Flat 17 1 5.9% +9.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 387 41 10.6% −98.34
Standard (AW) 357 36 10.1% +5.56
Good to Firm 218 28 12.8% −19.87
Soft 189 22 11.6% −32.95
Good to Soft 184 18 9.8% −76.19
Heavy 102 9 8.8% −56.70
Firm 21 2 9.5% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW) 143 16 11.2% +27.73
Wolverhampton (AW) 114 11 9.6% −9.17
Newton Abbot 104 19 18.3% +4.07
Uttoxeter 72 5 6.9% −58.80
Bath 70 4 5.7% −31.50
Chepstow 63 7 11.1% −19.75
Wincanton 63 8 12.7% −6.27
Worcester 61 7 11.5% −1.25
Ffos Las 52 3 5.8% −43.45
Windsor 49 9 18.4% +28.75
Leicester 41 7 17.1% −4.75
Salisbury 39 5 12.8% +15.00
Brighton 38 6 15.8% +29.62
Taunton 38 5 13.2% −14.83
Chelmsford City (AW) 36 2 5.6% −22.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 517 67 13% −91.63
Class 4 450 35 7.8% −211.26
Class 6 352 41 11.6% +31.35
Class 3 101 10 9.9% −18.95
Class 2 17 0 0% −17.00
Class 1 13 0 0% −13.00
Class 7 8 3 37.5% +41.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 146 45 30.8% 1.11 −14.37
2nd–3rd fav 319 45 14.1% 0.87 −92.12
4th–6th fav 471 42 8.9% 1.12 −85.00
7th+ in betting 522 24 4.6% 1.36 −88.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Pick A Little (GB)from Hughie Morrison 72 9 20 13 Oct 18
Bounty Pursuit (GB)from Michael Appleby 53 7 20 18 Nov 22
Mr Zee (IRE) 52 8 16 1 Feb 26
Sadler's Star (GER)from Alan King 42 5 17 7 Jul 14
Under The Twilight (GB)from Tom Ward 39 7 14 1 Oct 26
We're Reunited (IRE)from Ronald Harris 38 2 11 2 Sep 25
Clearance (GB)from Iain Jardine 34 6 9 7 May 25
Hassadin (GB)from Andrew Haynes 33 3 13 4 Feb 16
Captain George (IRE)from James Fanshawe 32 4 8 1 Nov 18
Love Dreams (IRE)from Jamie Osborne 30 3 11 21 Dec 22
Royal Chatelier (FR)from Charlie Longsdon · then N W Alexander 29 5 12 10 Mar 14
Doubly Clever (IRE)from Charles Hills · then Johnny Farrelly 28 6 10 21 Jul 19
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 131 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 49 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Andrew Haynes (6) and Alan King (2); 11 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard, most often for Johnny Farrelly (2); 50 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
912151481311128999
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderNick Scholfield
9% of all rides
7.7% SR · A/E 0.80
RiderRWSR£1
Nick Scholfield 130 10 7.7% −63.88
Tom Cannon 120 14 11.7% −31.87
Marco Ghiani 75 13 17.3% +29.83
Harry Cobden 65 12 18.5% −13.66
Mitch Godwin 55 8 14.5% +39.12
Richard Kingscote 43 11 25.6% +36.73
Micheal Nolan 41 6 14.6% −6.12
Harry Reed 38 5 13.2% +12.03
Thomas Greatrex 34 3 8.8% +10.00
Dominic Elsworth 31 1 3.2% −25.50
Megan Nicholls 31 4 12.9% +27.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→
157
Archived wins
£945k
Prize money
2013
Best season · 17 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Coole Cody (IRE) — Martin & Co Jewellers Intermediate Handicap Hurdle Cheltenham · Nov 2017 · Class 3
£12,512
Clearance (GB) — Don't Miss The Newton Abbot Country Show Handicap Hurdle Newton Abbot · Jun 2024 · Class 3
£9,849
Arctic Voyage (GB) — Gordon Rowe Memorial Handicap Hurdle Newton Abbot · Jul 2026 · Class 3
£7,922

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Piccolo (GB) 11% · 9–82
Progeny have won 7.8% of 6,904 runs since 2008 (393 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.6% from 164. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.5% from 258.
Zebedee (GB) 12.5% · 9–72
Progeny have won 9% of 7,139 runs since 2008 (435 horses).
Pastoral Pursuits (GB) 13.2% · 7–53
Progeny have won 9.5% of 7,217 runs since 2008 (437 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.4% from 109. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1.5% from 133.
Authorized (IRE) 13.3% · 6–45
Progeny have won 13.5% of 7,024 runs since 2008 (543 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.3% from 1,043. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 19.8% from 126. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 267.
Alwuhush (USA) 11.9% · 5–42
Progeny have won 12.8% of 125 runs since 2008 (3 horses).
Reset (AUS) 12.2% · 5–41
Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,388 runs since 2008 (99 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 12% from 208.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 24 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,467 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,467 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 February 2006 to 17 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
29 Jul 26 Goodwood Under The Twilight (GB)J: Harry Davies Coral Charlton Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 26 ran 2nd 13/2
23 Jun 26 Newbury Forever My Prince (GB)J: Charles Bishop Jebel Ali Racecourse HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 6th 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael Blake's strike rate?
Michael Blake has won 156 of 1,458 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.7% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Michael Blake do best at?
Windsor by strike rate: 9 wins from 49 runners (18.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Michael Blake?
Nick Scholfield, with 130 runners since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (7.7%).
Is Michael Blake in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Michael Blake's Fair A/E?
1.06, from 1,452 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 24 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).