What is Michael John O'Connor's strike rate?

Michael John O'Connor has won 19 of 254 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.5% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Who rides most for Michael John O'Connor?

Mr M J O'Connor, with 113 runners since 2008 — 44% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (8.8%).

What is Michael John O'Connor's Fair A/E?

1.04, from 254 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Michael John O'Connor

254 runners in the lifetime window · 56 individual horses

As at 31 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Sep 2025 90% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

19–254

Wins / Runs

7.5%

Strike rate

n=254

61 (24%)

Placed

1.04

Fair A/E

n=254 · 0.81 incl. margin

−75.50

£1 level stake

n=254 at SP · −29.7%

£180k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04).

Deterministic profile computed from 254 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 31 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 7.7% Mr M J O'Connor: 8.8% from 113

The read

Mr M J O'Connor rides 44% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.8%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well on Heavy going (13.3%, n=30) and in Chase races (12.2%, n=41). The market has also underrated the yard over 2m1f – 2m4f: Fair A/E 1.44 across 98 runners (10.2% strike, +4.25 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 4.4% over 91 runners, 3.1pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.7%+0.2

n=65 · A/E 1.25 · £1 −32.35

New recruits · first run for the yard

9.5%+2.0

n=21 · A/E 1.66 · £1 −7.10

Debutants · first career start

6.1%−1.4

n=33 · A/E 1.29 · £1 −19.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8.3%+0.8

n=12 · A/E 1.48 · £1 −3.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−7.5

n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00

When favourite

26.7%

n=15 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −6.00

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.3%−0.2

n=96 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −36.40

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.5

n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Heavy going 13.3% vs 7.5% · n=30

In Chase races 12.2% vs 7.5% · n=41

With a new jockey booking 4.4% vs 7.5% · n=114

On Soft going 4.4% vs 7.5% · n=91

Over 2m1f – 2m4f 10.2% vs 7.5% · n=98

With horses switching code 10.6% vs 7.5% · n=47

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 144 9 6.3% −39.00

NH Flat 43 3 7% −28.50

Chase 41 5 12.2% −3.00

Flat 26 2 7.7% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 91 4 4.4% −51.50

Good 79 6 7.6% −15.35

Good to Soft 34 2 5.9% −22.90

Heavy 30 4 13.3% +13.00

Good to Firm 12 3 25% +9.25

Standard (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00

Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Listowel 29 1 3.4% −26.90

Cork 27 2 7.4% −16.10

Limerick 23 2 8.7% −12.00

Thurles 21 2 9.5% +33.00

Killarney 20 1 5% −11.00

Tramore 19 0 0% −19.00

Clonmel 16 2 12.5% +20.00

Downpatrick 14 4 28.6% +9.50

Ballinrobe 12 1 8.3% −5.50

Galway 12 1 8.3% −6.50

Tipperary 9 0 0% −9.00

Roscommon 8 0 0% −8.00

Punchestown 8 1 12.5% −4.00

Kilbeggan 6 0 0% −6.00

Gowran Park 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 6 0 0% −6.00

Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 17 6 35.3% 1.53 +2.00

2nd–3rd fav 40 4 10% 0.71 −20.00

4th–6th fav 75 5 6.7% 0.94 +2.50

7th+ in betting 122 4 3.3% 1.20 −60.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

90.8% completed · 185 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 41 85.4% 4 0 2 0 0

Hurdle 144 92.4% 2 0 8 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Island Peak (IRE)then James Joseph Mangan 23 2 10 18 Aug 13

Smiler (IRE) 17 3 7 4 Jun 16

For Dylan (IRE) 16 0 5 1 Sep 12

Lily Of Dromard (IRE)then P J Rothwell 13 1 2 2 Jun 23

Therellbguddaysyet (IRE)then Paul O'Flynn 12 1 5 14 Apr 25

Der Mc (IRE)from P A Fahy 11 1 1 19 Jul 23

Mercury Mission (GB)from W McCreery · then P J Rothwell 10 0 4 18 Jul 24

Buster Dan Dan (IRE)from Mrs Audra Busteed · then Terence O'Brien 9 3 6 29 Jul 15

High Rebel (IRE) 9 0 0 25 Aug 14

Quenzo Pierji (FR)from Paul Nicholls 9 0 2 19 Aug 11

Nice To Meet (IRE)from L Byrne 8 1 3 3 Jun 24

Make It Better (IRE) 7 1 1 20 Aug 13

All 56 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 56 horses listed, 22 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from J F Levins (2) and S J Mahon (2); 34 had their first archived run for this yard.

20 have since run for another yard, most often for Henry De Bromhead (2) and James Joseph Mangan (2); 36 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

0170516836315139

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderMr M J O'Connor

44% of all rides
8.8% SR · A/E 1.02

RiderRWSR£1

Mr M J O'Connor 113 10 8.8% −56.10

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→

Archived wins

£230k

Prize money

2014

Best season · 4 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Smiler (IRE) — Faber Audiovisuals Handicap Hurdle Galway · Oct 2014

£15,600

Phelans Fancy (IRE) — Bruce Shaw Handicap Chase (0-116) Limerick · Jul 2007

£9,329

Buster Dan Dan (IRE) — Dawn Omega Milk Handicap Hurdle (80-116) Killarney · Jul 2015

£7,935

Notable horses

Phelans Fancy (IRE) Smiler (IRE) Buster Dan Dan (IRE) Island Peak (IRE) Awbeg Prince (IRE) Clonbanan Lad (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Beneficial (GB) 8.8% · 3–34

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,045 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Vinnie Roe (IRE) 22.7% · 5–22

Progeny have won 11.3% of 3,061 runs since 2008 (236 horses). Weakest on Good to Firm going: 7.8% from 166.

Zagreb (USA) 0% · 0–16

Progeny have won 7.3% of 1,455 runs since 2008 (150 horses).

Sir Prancealot (IRE) 7.1% · 1–14

Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,687 runs since 2008 (216 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.6% from 627. Weakest on Heavy going: 5.3% from 171.

Urban Poet (USA) 7.7% · 1–13

Progeny have won 4.8% of 518 runs since 2008 (38 horses).

Leading Light (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12

Progeny have won 8.2% of 2,205 runs since 2008 (225 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.6% from 241.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 31 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 299 · newest first

The latest 50 of 299 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 April 2006 to 5 September 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

05 Sep 25 Kilbeggan No Pockets (GB)J: Calum Hogan WTW Willis Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 4th 16/1

17 Jul 25 Killarney No Pockets (GB)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Laurels Pub Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Yielding To Soft · 15 ran 8th 20/1

16 Jul 25 Killarney Men Of Dreams (IRE)J: Dylan O'Connor Start Your Free Month Trial At racingtv.com Handicap (0-60)11.5f · Soft · 14 ran 14th 50/1

16 Jul 25 Killarney Seven Eleven (GB)J: Dylan O'Connor Rose Hotel Handicap (0-60)8f · Soft · 12 ran 12th 150/1

02 Jun 25 Listowel No Pockets (GB)J: Mr M J O'Connor Bryan MacMahon (Pro/Am) Flat Race20f · Good · 9 ran 5th 25/1

01 Jun 25 Listowel Seven Eleven (GB)J: Dylan O'Connor James Collins Memorial Handicap (0-60)7f · Good · 14 ran 14th 125/1

30 May 25 Tramore Men Of Dreams (IRE)J: Mr M J O'Connor QuinnBet Beginners Chase15.5f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 6th 50/1

07 May 25 Gowran Park Seven Eleven (GB)J: Dylan O'Connor Save 33% Buying Tickets Online Handicap (0-60) (Div 2)8f · Good · 15 ran 15th 66/1

14 Apr 25 Tramore Therellbguddaysyet (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Tramore Promenade Beginners Chase22f · Yielding · 13 ran 6th 12/1

04 Apr 25 Wexford Therellbguddaysyet (IRE)J: Paddy Hanlon Wexford Racecourse Supporters Club Rated Novice Hurdle24.5f · Yielding · 11 ran 7th 12/1

15 Mar 25 Thurles Therellbguddaysyet (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Leugh Handicap Hurdle22f · Good · 15 ran 3rd 9/1

15 Feb 25 Gowran Park Therellbguddaysyet (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Albert Bartlett Triple Crown Series At Punchestown Festival 2025 Qualifier Handicap Hurdle20f · Soft · 20 ran 17th 17/2

27 Jan 25 Dundalk (AW) Men Of Dreams (IRE)J: Dylan O'Connor View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Maiden7f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 80/1

23 Jan 25 Gowran Park Therellbguddaysyet (IRE)J: Jack G Gilligan Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle24.5f · Soft To Heavy · 18 ran 3rd 25/1

17 Jan 25 Cork Rookery Woods (IRE)J: Mr M J O'Connor Mallow Maiden Hurdle24f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 8th 200/1

15 Jan 25 Clonmel Rookery Woods (IRE)J: Mr M J O'Connor Monroe Maiden Hurdle17f · Soft · 17 ran 10th 150/1

28 Dec 24 Limerick Therellbguddaysyet (IRE)J: Jack G Gilligan Infinity Lifts Handicap Hurdle24f · Yielding To Soft · 17 ran 4th 16/1

28 Dec 24 Limerick Rookery Woods (IRE)J: Mr M J O'Connor Keith Lynch Memorial Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding To Soft · 17 ran 16th 200/1

27 Dec 24 Limerick Therellbguddaysyet (IRE)J: Jack G Gilligan Whitebox Property Group Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran 8th 22/1

08 Dec 24 Cork Therellbguddaysyet (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Singletons Supervalu Stayers Novice Hurdle (Grade 3)24.5f · Soft · 6 ran 4th 80/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael John O'Connor's strike rate?: Michael John O'Connor has won 19 of 254 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.5% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Who rides most for Michael John O'Connor?: Mr M J O'Connor, with 113 runners since 2008 — 44% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (8.8%).
What is Michael John O'Connor's Fair A/E?: 1.04, from 254 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.