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Trainer profile

Paul Cashman

417 runners in the lifetime window · 66 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 5 days ago
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
26–417
Wins / Runs
6.2%
Strike rate
n=417
93 (22%)
Placed
1.06
n=417 · 0.80 incl. margin
−100.53
£1 level stake
n=417 at SP · −24.1%
£411k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.06).

Deterministic profile computed from 417 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Aug John Allen: 6.8% from 59 Claiming riders: 7.4%
The read

The record is strongest at Limerick (11.8%, n=34), clear of the yard's 6.2% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 1.7% (n=59, Fair A/E 0.34). John Allen rides 14% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (6.8%, A/E 1.20) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well over 1m – 1m1f (13.5%, n=37) and off a 15-30-day break (10%, n=150). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Dan Moore Memorial Handicap Chase at Fairyhouse (Apr 2011, £48,750). Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
1.7%−4.5
n=59 · A/E 0.34 · £1 −44.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
5.3%−0.9
n=19 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −13.50
Debutants · first career start
2.4%−3.8
n=41 · A/E 0.44 · £1 −28.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.2
n=23 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −23.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
13.3%+7.1
n=15 · A/E 1.99 · £1 +0.00
When favourite
27.3%
n=11 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −3.03
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.4%+1.2
n=203 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −26.63
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
5.9%−0.3
n=17 · A/E 0.97 · £1 +9.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 1m – 1m1f 13.5% vs 6.2% · n=37
At Limerick 11.8% vs 6.2% · n=34
Off a 15-30-day break 10% vs 6.2% · n=150
On Good to Firm going 10.8% vs 6.2% · n=37
With debutants 2.4% vs 6.2% · n=41
With a new jockey booking 3.9% vs 6.2% · n=179
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 163 8 4.9% −70.50
Flat 132 11 8.3% −1.38
Chase 72 4 5.6% −24.90
NH Flat 50 3 6% −3.75

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 119 9 7.6% −7.90
Good 114 6 5.3% −34.88
Heavy 70 3 4.3% −24.00
Good to Soft 44 2 4.5% −24.00
Good to Firm 37 4 10.8% +4.25
Standard (AW) 19 1 5.3% −13.00
Firm 14 1 7.1% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cork 45 4 8.9% +23.10
Limerick 34 4 11.8% +6.00
Galway 23 2 8.7% +11.00
Dundalk (AW) 19 1 5.3% −13.00
Fairyhouse 19 1 5.3% +7.00
Tramore 18 1 5.6% −5.00
Curragh 18 0 0% −18.00
Kilbeggan 17 1 5.9% −4.00
Ballinrobe 17 1 5.9% −10.00
Naas 17 2 11.8% +3.00
Killarney 16 0 0% −16.00
Punchestown 16 0 0% −16.00
Gowran Park 16 1 6.3% +1.00
Clonmel 16 1 6.3% −10.00
Leopardstown 15 0 0% −15.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 17 1 5.9% +9.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 15 4 26.7% 1.36 −1.03
2nd–3rd fav 56 5 8.9% 0.74 −26.50
4th–6th fav 97 6 6.2% 0.93 −30.00
7th+ in betting 249 11 4.4% 1.29 −43.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Canitellyou (IRE) 29 1 8 6 Oct 11
Glitter Baby (IRE)from Michael Quinlan 25 2 3 30 Apr 10
Brotenstown (IRE) 22 3 6 17 Jun 10
Idarah (USA)from Michael Quinlan · then Venetia Williams 19 2 7 10 May 12
Brookville (IRE) 18 0 6 19 Apr 12
Rebel Dream (IRE) 18 0 3 11 Sep 09
Miss Eze (GB)from Michael Bell 17 2 3 6 Jun 11
Rebel Aclaim (IRE)from Michael Quinlan 17 3 7 19 Sep 09
Indian Love (FR)from Michael Jarvis 17 1 5 8 Aug 09
Extra Steps (IRE) 16 1 5 24 Sep 11
Glens Ruby (IRE) 15 0 0 18 Nov 10
Spiriton (GER)from Gerard Cully 12 2 2 13 Jun 09
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 66 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 19 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Michael Quinlan (8); 41 had their first archived run for this yard.

22 have since run for another yard, most often for Donald McCain (2); 38 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
78774410104806
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJohn Allen
14% of all rides
6.8% SR · A/E 1.20
RiderRWSR£1
John Allen 59 4 6.8% −14.90
Michael Hussey 34 1 2.9% −21.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
33
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£493k
Prize money
2008
Best season · 12 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Idarah (USA) — Dan Moore Memorial Handicap Chase (Grade A) Fairyhouse · Apr 2011 · Grade A
£48,750
Glitter Baby (IRE) — Guinness Handicap (Premier) Galway · Aug 2008
£45,570
Rebel Aclaim (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Fillies Handicap (60-90) Listowel · Sep 2009
£15,299

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Presenting (GB) 5.9% · 6–101
Progeny have won 11% of 20,053 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Danehill Dancer (IRE) 9.5% · 4–42
Progeny have won 11.2% of 10,094 runs since 2008 (783 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 130.
Acclamation (GB) 9.4% · 3–32
Progeny have won 10% of 19,719 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.
Barathea (IRE) 7.1% · 2–28
Progeny have won 8.5% of 4,143 runs since 2008 (315 horses).
Aljabr (USA) 10.5% · 2–19
Progeny have won 12.5% of 417 runs since 2008 (26 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 15.8% from 114. Weakest on Good going: 8.3% from 108. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.9% from 118.
Definite Article (GB) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 10.5% of 5,617 runs since 2008 (527 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.1% from 138. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 211.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 535 · newest first

The latest 50 of 535 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 January 2005 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Paul Cashman's strike rate?
Paul Cashman has won 26 of 417 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.2% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Paul Cashman do best at?
Limerick by strike rate: 4 wins from 34 runners (11.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Paul Cashman?
John Allen, with 59 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (6.8%).
Is Paul Cashman in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Paul Cashman's Fair A/E?
1.06, from 417 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).