What is Paul & Oliver Cole's strike rate?

Paul & Oliver Cole has won 111 of 855 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Paul & Oliver Cole do best at?

Windsor by strike rate: 15 wins from 73 runners (20.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Paul & Oliver Cole?

Mohammed Tabti, with 152 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 15 (9.9%).

What is Paul & Oliver Cole's Fair A/E?

0.99, from 854 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Paul & Oliver Cole

855 runners in the lifetime window · 116 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Aug 2025 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2020→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

111–855

Wins / Runs

13%

Strike rate

n=855

321 (38%)

Placed

0.99

Fair A/E

n=854 · 0.86 incl. margin

−51.28

£1 level stake

n=855 at SP · −6.0%

£2.60m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

19.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 13% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.99).

Deterministic profile computed from 855 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 31% when favourite Mohammed Tabti: 9.9% from 152 Sends off the favourite in 12% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Windsor (20.5%, n=73) and Goodwood (18.8%, n=69) — all clear of the yard's 13% baseline. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 7.8% (n=77, Fair A/E 0.72). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 7.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.70 and −76.60 to a £1 stake over 165 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Mohammed Tabti rides 18% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (9.9% vs 13%, A/E 0.84). The yard also reads well on Soft going (23.9%, n=67). 6 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Qatar Lillie Langtry Stakes at Goodwood (Aug 2023, £170,130). The stable star of the record: Leap Abroad (IRE) — 5 wins from 23 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.9%−5.1

n=165 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −76.60

New recruits · first run for the yard

9.7%−3.3

n=31 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −3.63

Debutants · first career start

14%+1.0

n=86 · A/E 1.42 · £1 +30.25

First-time headgear · true-first definition

11.6%−1.4

n=69 · A/E 1.10 · £1 +26.70

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

13.5%+0.5

n=37 · A/E 1.50 · £1 +36.00

When favourite

31%

n=100 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −17.34

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

10.6%−2.4

n=188 · A/E 0.91 · £1 +8.83

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.8%−5.2

n=77 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −18.87

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Soft going 23.9% vs 13% · n=67

With Rossa Ryan 24.4% vs 13% · n=45

With Tom Marquand 22.4% vs 13% · n=49

With Luke Morris 5.1% vs 13% · n=79

At Windsor 20.5% vs 13% · n=73

At Goodwood 18.8% vs 13% · n=69

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 316 34 10.8% −108.24

Good 184 31 16.8% +49.60

Good to Firm 175 20 11.4% −3.41

Good to Soft 81 9 11.1% −28.48

Soft 67 16 23.9% +45.25

Heavy 28 1 3.6% −2.00

Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 117 12 10.3% −29.85

Windsor 73 15 20.5% +31.50

Goodwood 69 13 18.8% +19.80

Lingfield (AW) 62 5 8.1% −31.93

Newmarket 58 11 19% +63.12

Newbury 53 7 13.2% −5.32

Wolverhampton (AW) 51 4 7.8% −19.17

Chelmsford City (AW) 46 6 13% −17.67

Ascot 30 3 10% −4.17

Salisbury 24 4 16.7% +4.38

Chepstow 23 1 4.3% −19.75

Newcastle (AW) 23 6 26.1% +3.88

Nottingham 23 4 17.4% −6.12

Leicester 21 3 14.3% −8.88

Epsom Downs 21 1 4.8% −11.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 263 33 12.5% −70.08

Class 4 238 39 16.4% −4.58

Class 6 103 11 10.7% −18.13

Class 3 84 14 16.7% +54.85

Class 2 79 8 10.1% +16.53

Class 1 77 6 7.8% −18.87

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 120 34 28.3% 0.89 −22.34

2nd–3rd fav 240 46 19.2% 1.11 −16.74

4th–6th fav 303 21 6.9% 0.83 −60.20

7th+ in betting 192 10 5.2% 1.33 +48.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Geelong (FR) 28 3 13 11 May 24

Deacs Delight (GB) 25 1 7 4 Sep 23

Leap Abroad (IRE) 23 5 12 13 May 24

Zhang Fei (FR)then John Gallagher 23 1 10 18 Apr 23

Hurtle (IRE) 21 1 7 16 Jun 25

Thunder Ball (GB)then Brian Toomey 20 2 10 25 Sep 24

Ernie's Valentine (GB)then David Loughnane 19 3 8 2 Sep 23

Splendent (IRE) 17 3 8 23 Apr 24

Maverick Style (GB) 16 1 2 19 Sep 24

Hurricane Power (IRE) 15 1 5 24 Oct 24

Great Chieftain (IRE)then Oliver Cole 14 5 9 24 May 25

Jack Darcy (IRE) 14 3 6 15 Oct 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 116 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 17 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Paul Cole (14); 43 had their first archived run for this yard.

22 have since run for another yard, most often for Oliver Cole (6); 38 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

081481913121316121013

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderMohammed Tabti

18% of all rides
9.9% SR · A/E 0.84

RiderRWSR£1

Mohammed Tabti 152 15 9.9% −46.17

Luke Morris 79 4 5.1% −37.25

David Probert 71 10 14.1% −22.25

Tom Marquand 49 11 22.4% +25.85

Rossa Ryan 45 11 24.4% +35.33

Cieren Fallon 41 8 19.5% +46.83

Sean Levey 30 3 10% −12.30

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→

111

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.60m

Prize money

2024

Best season · 24 wins

Sumo Sam (GB) — Qatar Lillie Langtry Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Group 2) Goodwood · Aug 2023 · Group 2

£170,130

Jack Darcy (IRE) — Lucien Barriere Grand Prix de Deauville (3yo+) (Round Course) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2023 · Group 2

£100,885

Royal Scotsman (IRE) — Richmond Stakes (Group 2) Goodwood · Jul 2022 · Group 2

£85,065

Notable horses

Leap Abroad (IRE) Great Chieftain (IRE) Sanitiser (GB) Geelong (FR) Ernie's Valentine (GB) Splendent (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Gleneagles (IRE) 20.6% · 20–97

Progeny have won 11.4% of 4,568 runs since 2019 (446 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17.3% from 283.

Australia (GB) 12.2% · 5–41

Progeny have won 11.1% of 5,672 runs since 2018 (566 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.5% from 108.

Dawn Approach (IRE) 17.1% · 6–35

Progeny have won 8% of 3,578 runs since 2017 (359 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.6% from 333. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 125. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5% from 180.

Camelot (GB) 3.1% · 1–32

Progeny have won 11.7% of 7,721 runs since 2017 (758 horses).

Mastercraftsman (IRE) 3.1% · 1–32

Progeny have won 10.6% of 11,637 runs since 2013 (842 horses).

Lope De Vega (IRE) 7.4% · 2–27

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,214 runs since 2014 (1,108 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 960.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 855 · newest first

The latest 50 of 855 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 June 2020 to 4 August 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Aug 25 Naas Jel Pepper (IRE)J: Hector Crouch Irish EBF Ballyhane Stakes (Median Auction Race)6f · Good To Yielding · 21 ran 4th 6/4F

18 Jul 25 Haydock Insuspense (GB)J: Callum Rodriguez Old Boston Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 11/4F

14 Jul 25 Windsor Arran (IRE)J: Rossa Ryan Fitzdares Sprint Series HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 3rd 7/1

10 Jul 25 Epsom Downs Arinagour (GB)J: Luke Morris Betfred Play Fred's 5 Million HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good · 8 ran 8th 16/1

10 Jul 25 Epsom Downs Rockstar Icon (IRE)J: Luke Morris Betfred Nifty 50 HandicapClass 5 · 8.5f · Good · 10 ran 6th 13/2

10 Jul 25 Newbury Shotgun (GB)J: Ray Dawson Win Races With Jonathan Portman EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 10th 14/1

10 Jul 25 Newmarket Jel Pepper (IRE)J: Hector Crouch Kingdom Of Bahrain July Stakes (Group 2)Class 1 · 6f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 3rd 11/2

09 Jul 25 Ffos Las Whatcombe (IRE)J: David Probert WinningPost Bookmakers 40 Years In Racing Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 8f · Good · 13 ran 10th 11/1

04 Jul 25 Doncaster Insuspense (GB)J: Finley Marsh attheraces.com/marketmovers Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 4th 16/1

30 Jun 25 Windsor Cameron Highlander (GB)J: Jim Crowley Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 2 · 8f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 10th 50/1

19 Jun 25 Ascot Afentiko (IRE)J: Warren Fentiman Britannia Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (Str)Class 2 · 8f · Good To Firm · 30 ran 11th 28/1

17 Jun 25 Ascot American Gulf (GB)J: Oisin Murphy Coventry Stakes (Group 2)Class 1 · 6f · Good To Firm · 20 ran 13th 12/1

16 Jun 25 Chepstow Hurtle (IRE)J: Hector Crouch bettingsites.co.uk Best Betting Sites HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 11th 7/1

13 Jun 25 Goodwood Nagoya (GB)J: Cieren Fallon Sir Eric Parker Memorial EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good · 9 ran 5th 5/2

12 Jun 25 Newbury Twisting Physics (GB)J: William Buick Grosvenor Sport Win Rewards Everyday Handicap (Str)Class 3 · 7f · Good · 10 ran 1st 18/5

12 Jun 25 Nottingham Rockstar Icon (IRE)J: Luke Morris PricedUp Pushes HandicapClass 4 · 8.5f · Good · 8 ran 4th 7/2

12 Jun 25 Nottingham Cameron Highlander (GB)J: Luke Morris PricedUp Daily Sports Boosts Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 8.5f · Good · 8 ran 4th 4/1

10 Jun 25 Salisbury Dr Strangelove (GB)J: Tom Marquand Danny McNab Bookmakers Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 2nd 4/1

08 Jun 25 Goodwood Jel Pepper (IRE)J: Hector Crouch Elston Consulting / British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Soft · 7 ran 1st 2/1F

04 Jun 25 Nottingham Spanish Train (GB)J: Hector Crouch PricedUp.Bet Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 10f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 17/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Paul & Oliver Cole's strike rate?: Paul & Oliver Cole has won 111 of 855 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Paul & Oliver Cole do best at?: Windsor by strike rate: 15 wins from 73 runners (20.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Paul & Oliver Cole?: Mohammed Tabti, with 152 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 15 (9.9%).
What is Paul & Oliver Cole's Fair A/E?: 0.99, from 854 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.