What is Roger Teal's strike rate?

Roger Teal has won 331 of 3,414 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.7% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Roger Teal do best at?

Chelmsford (AW) by strike rate: 19 wins from 96 runners (19.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Roger Teal?

Jack Mitchell, with 299 runners since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 46 (15.4%).

Is Roger Teal in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 10 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Roger Teal's Fair A/E?

1.03, from 3,394 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Roger Teal

3,414 runners in the lifetime window · 271 individual horses

As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 2.4% of 252 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 1 Nov 2026.

Last runner 3 days ago 91% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

331–3,414

Wins / Runs

9.7%

Strike rate

n=3,414

918 (27%)

Placed

1.03

Fair A/E

n=3,394 · 0.88 incl. margin

−508.24

£1 level stake

n=3,414 at SP · −14.9%

£4.80m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 180 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03).

Deterministic profile computed from 3,414 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 1 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Jan 32.4% when favourite Jack Mitchell: 15.4% from 299 Sends off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Chelmsford (AW) (19.8%, n=96), clear of the yard's 9.7% baseline. It is weakest at Epsom (1.6% over 64 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 6.1% (n=82, Fair A/E 0.78). Debutants are the standout value angle: 6.8% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.41 and +82.00 to a £1 stake over 191 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Jack Mitchell rides 9% of the entries and beats the yard's average (15.4% vs 9.7%, A/E 1.32) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 11 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the King's Stand Stakes at Ascot (Jun 2021, £198,485). The stable star of the record: Alcazan (GB) — 11 wins from 59 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Nov–Jan.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8%−1.7

n=550 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −108.13

New recruits · first run for the yard

8.6%−1.1

n=70 · A/E 1.38 · £1 −21.00

Debutants · first career start

6.8%−2.9

n=191 · A/E 1.41 · £1 +82.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8.7%−1.0

n=126 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −55.10

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

6.1%−3.6

n=82 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −29.00

When favourite

32.4%

n=219 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −5.71

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.7%−2.0

n=985 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −317.94

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8.7%−1.0

n=127 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −36.25

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Chelmsford (AW) 19.8% vs 9.7% · n=96

On last-time-out winners 16.1% vs 9.7% · n=323

With Luke Morris 0% vs 9.7% · n=44

With horses switching code 1.9% vs 9.7% · n=107

With Cieren Fallon 18.2% vs 9.7% · n=66

At Epsom 1.6% vs 9.7% · n=64

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 3,116 312 10% −422.24

Hurdle 236 14 5.9% −79.50

NH Flat 40 2 5% −6.50

Chase 22 3 13.6% +0.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,469 166 11.3% −112.99

Good 646 52 8% −186.22

Good to Firm 628 44 7% −174.44

Good to Soft 280 33 11.8% −11.54

Soft 258 24 9.3% +29.37

Heavy 86 5 5.8% −47.78

Firm 47 7 14.9% −4.64

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Lingfield (AW) 520 60 11.5% −82.25

Kempton (AW) 499 44 8.8% +21.90

Wolverhampton (AW) 278 37 13.3% −56.72

Windsor 185 17 9.2% −45.23

Newbury 175 13 7.4% −50.50

Bath 147 15 10.2% −40.19

Sandown 139 14 10.1% −13.80

Goodwood 118 9 7.6% −42.50

Salisbury 112 13 11.6% +23.63

Lingfield 109 10 9.2% −17.12

Ascot 104 7 6.7% −21.00

Chelmsford (AW) 96 19 19.8% +16.46

Brighton 96 8 8.3% −50.87

Newmarket 91 6 6.6% −32.25

Chepstow 77 6 7.8% −45.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 1,253 116 9.3% −331.38

Class 6 788 89 11.3% −66.94

Class 4 754 63 8.4% −236.09

Class 3 250 27 10.8% +37.30

Class 2 228 23 10.1% +98.12

Class 1 130 11 8.5% −39.25

Class 7 11 2 18.2% +30.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 273 78 28.6% 1.07 −32.71

2nd–3rd fav 722 118 16.3% 1.03 −87.03

4th–6th fav 1,180 83 7% 0.91 −275.00

7th+ in betting 1,239 52 4.2% 1.19 −113.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 1,226 123 10% −260.23

1m – 1m1f 815 83 10.2% −1.68

1m2f – 1m4f 594 38 6.4% −285.83

Under 6f 319 48 15% +99.76

1m5f – 2m 288 24 8.3% −30.63

2m1f – 2m4f 94 9 9.6% −4.88

2m5f – 3m 70 6 8.6% −16.75

Over 3m 8 0 0% −8.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 128 8 6.3% −63.13

2009 160 12 7.5% +11.75

2010 141 15 10.6% +4.75

2011 126 4 3.2% −87.88

2012 134 14 10.4% −23.75

2013 138 13 9.4% −29.62

2014 140 11 7.9% −42.15

2015 112 8 7.1% −57.50

2016 153 20 13.1% +11.00

2017 131 15 11.5% +26.00

2018 155 11 7.1% −36.25

2019 175 21 12% +62.13

2020 194 19 9.8% −74.17

2021 302 38 12.6% −13.29

2022 284 32 11.3% −57.64

2023 275 28 10.2% +60.67

2024 220 15 6.8% −82.12

2025 239 26 10.9% −39.56

2026 207 21 10.1% −77.48

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 2,482 254 10.2% −290.60

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 1,282 129 10.1% −223.37

11-13 runners 1,027 87 8.5% −38.24

5-7 runners 625 80 12.8% −156.07

14-16 runners 349 27 7.7% −56.88

17+ runners 91 3 3.3% −8.00

2-4 runners 40 5 12.5% −25.68

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Jack Of Diamonds (IRE) 88 9 31 13 May 19

Langley Vale (GB) 60 8 15 25 Nov 19

Johnny Splash (IRE) 60 6 18 13 Jul 16

Alcazan (GB) 59 11 22 3 Jul 25

Swiss Pride (IRE)from Richard Hughes 58 6 22 31 Aug 24

Rosie Royale (IRE) 47 6 9 2 Sep 20

Whenthedealinsdone (GB) 46 7 15 18 May 26

Marion's Boy (IRE)then Damien Wingrove 44 6 14 20 Jun 24

Tigers Tale (IRE) 43 6 19 15 Jul 15

Highly Regal (IRE)then Chris Gordon 42 7 14 30 May 11

Gert Lush (IRE) 41 5 15 13 Sep 26

Pucon (GB)then Simon Dow 41 7 19 21 Aug 16

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 271 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 19 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 17 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Gary Moore (2); 43 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard; 51 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 10

Only 10 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1210129898111161212

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJack Mitchell

9% of all rides
15.4% SR · A/E 1.32

RiderRWSR£1

Jack Mitchell 299 46 15.4% +70.78

Rossa Ryan 113 12 10.6% −70.34

Robert Winston 107 16 15% +31.00

Harry Teal 105 7 6.7% −23.50

Lewis Edmunds 96 12 12.5% −16.92

Liam Keniry 91 12 13.2% +69.75

George Rooke 91 10 11% +48.85

David Probert 78 6 7.7% +50.33

Joe Leavy 78 7 9% −37.42

Jason Watson 76 13 17.1% +61.26

Dane O'Neill 69 7 10.1% −29.00

Cieren Fallon 66 12 18.2% +18.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→

338

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.85m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 38 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Oxted (GB) — King's Stand Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Ascot · Jun 2021 · Group 1

£198,485

Oxted (GB) — Darley July Cup Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Newmarket · Jul 2020 · Group 1

£141,775

Dancing Gemini (IRE) — bet365 Mile (Group 2) Sandown · Apr 2025 · Group 2

£70,888

Notable horses

Alcazan (GB) Jack Of Diamonds (IRE) Langley Vale (GB) Chipstead (GB) Whenthedealinsdone (GB) Highly Regal (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dark Angel (IRE) 12.7% · 27–212

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,921 runs since 2011 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Red Clubs (IRE) 10.5% · 11–105

Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,131 runs since 2011 (143 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.5% from 127.

Swiss Spirit (GB) 12.2% · 12–98

Progeny have won 9.5% of 3,646 runs since 2017 (243 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.5% from 244. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 3.7% from 136.

Kyllachy (GB) 12.4% · 12–97

Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.

Mayson (GB) 13.4% · 13–97

Progeny have won 10.7% of 7,384 runs since 2016 (442 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.7% from 1,731. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 106.

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 6.3% · 4–64

Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,031 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,478 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,478 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 May 2007 to 29 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

29 Oct 26 Bath Dancing Gold (IRE)J: Joe Leavy David Cole Memorial EBF Novice Stakes (Div II) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Soft · 10 ran 5th 14/1

28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Whitesnake (GB)J: Jason Watson Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 3rd 5/2F

28 Oct 26 Nottingham Dancing Tiger (IRE)J: Lewis Edmunds Racing TV Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 14f · Soft · 13 ran 9th 50/1

26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Cracking Beauty (GB)J: Marco Ghiani Awc Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Maiden Fillies' Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 11f · Standard · 6 ran 2nd 9/4

24 Oct 26 Doncaster Rosario (IRE)J: Cam Hardie Richard James Hone Memorial Handicap StakesClass 2 · 5f · Heavy · 10 ran 7th 16/1

23 Oct 26 Doncaster Pilu (IRE)J: Joe Leavy William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap StakesClass 2 · 6f · Soft · 15 ran 6th 11/1

22 Oct 26 Newmarket Solar Invincible (IRE)J: Billy Loughnane CopyBet BOG Now For Cheltenham Tomorrow Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 28/1

22 Oct 26 Newmarket Distant Rumble (GB)J: Lewis Edmunds CopyBet Follow Us On X Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Soft · 12 ran 5th 14/1

22 Oct 26 Newmarket Freddie's Star (IRE)J: Lewis Edmunds CopyBet Proudly Backs UK Horse Racing Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 5th 7/1

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Highland Grey (GB)J: Callum Hutchinson Unibet/british Stallion Studs Ebf Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 10th 200/1

17 Oct 26 Ascot Dancing Gemini (IRE)J: Dylan Browne McMonagle Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Sponsored By Qatar Racing) (Group 1)Class 1 · 8f · Good · 11 ran 9th 100/1

17 Oct 26 Ascot Oakford (IRE)J: Lewis Edmunds Qatar Racing British Champions Day Two-Year-Old Conditions Stakes (GBB Race)Class 2 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 8th 25/1

15 Oct 26 Brighton Dakota Power (GB)J: Owen Lewis Position Payout At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 13 ran 6th 14/1

12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Freshie (GB)J: Joe Leavy Juddmonte EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 4th 28/1

12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Shellyandback (IRE)J: Joe Leavy Racing TV EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 2nd 3/1

11 Oct 26 Goodwood At My Expense (GB)J: George Wood Virgin Bet / British Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands A, B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 8th 22/1

11 Oct 26 Goodwood Rogue Empire (GB)J: Tom Cannon Alderbrook Handicap Stakes (For Professional Jump Jockeys) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 3rd 13/2

09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) The Hare Rail (IRE)J: Joe Leavy Try Unibet's Superboosts Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div II)Class 5 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 2nd 11/1

09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Threelittleangels (IRE)J: Joe Leavy Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 8 ran 2nd 11/2

08 Oct 26 Bath Pangbourne (GB)J: Jack Dace Find My Hospitality Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 10f · Good · 9 ran 5th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Roger Teal's strike rate?: Roger Teal has won 331 of 3,414 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.7% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Roger Teal do best at?: Chelmsford (AW) by strike rate: 19 wins from 96 runners (19.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Roger Teal?: Jack Mitchell, with 299 runners since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 46 (15.4%).
Is Roger Teal in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 10 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Roger Teal's Fair A/E?: 1.03, from 3,394 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.