What is Ruth Carr's strike rate?

Ruth Carr has won 719 of 7,990 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ruth Carr do best at?

Ripon by strike rate: 47 wins from 379 runners (12.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Ruth Carr?

James Sullivan, with 3,981 runners since 2008 — 50% of the total. That pairing has won 345 (8.7%).

Is Ruth Carr in form?

In the last 14 days: 15 runners, 1 winner, a strike rate of 6.7%. That is in line with the baseline of 9% since 2008.

What is Ruth Carr's Fair A/E?

0.99, from 7,952 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Ruth Carr

7,990 runners in the lifetime window · 383 individual horses

As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 2.1% of 559 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 4 Nov 2026.

Won yesterday Last runner yesterday 99% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

719–7,990

Wins / Runs

Strike rate

n=7,990

2,076 (26%)

Placed

0.99

Fair A/E

n=7,952 · 0.85 incl. margin

−1,991.19

£1 level stake

n=7,990 at SP · −24.9%

£6.11m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 420 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.99).

Deterministic profile computed from 7,990 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Dec–Jan 27.8% when favourite James Sullivan: 8.7% from 3,981 Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

Debutants struggle at 1.8% (n=55, Fair A/E 0.74). The market has consistently overbet a horse in first-time headgear: 4.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.58 and −61.50 to a £1 stake over 112 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. James Sullivan rides 50% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.7%, A/E 0.99) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (15.4%, n=1,002). 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Sunbets All-weather Mile Championships Conditions Stakes at Lingfield (AW) (Apr 2017, £93,375). The stable star of the record: Red Cape (FR) — 17 wins from 148 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Jan.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.9%−3.1

n=790 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −179.25

New recruits · first run for the yard

5.7%−3.3

n=331 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −79.50

Debutants · first career start

1.8%−7.2

n=55 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −21.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4.5%−4.5

n=112 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −61.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

8.3%−0.7

n=217 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −2.75

When favourite

27.8%

n=540 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −6.03

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.7%−0.3

n=1,120 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −353.97

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

15%+6.0

n=20 · A/E 1.63 · £1 −3.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 15.4% vs 9% · n=1,002

With Miss Serena Brotherton 20.5% vs 9% · n=39

On last-time-out winners 15.2% vs 9% · n=737

With Andrew Mullen 0.9% vs 9% · n=108

With Kaiya Fraser 18.5% vs 9% · n=54

With Kevin Stott 19.4% vs 9% · n=31

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 7,922 713 9% −1,969.77

Hurdle 60 5 8.3% −17.17

NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Chase 3 1 33.3% +0.75

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 2,568 226 8.8% −554.44

Good to Firm 1,935 189 9.8% −461.95

Good 1,787 150 8.4% −574.23

Good to Soft 806 73 9.1% −213.97

Soft 721 68 9.4% −140.60

Heavy 142 12 8.5% −25.00

Firm 31 1 3.2% −21.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 883 88 10% −31.38

Newcastle (AW) 737 65 8.8% −143.54

Southwell (AW) 718 52 7.2% −307.60

Thirsk 566 44 7.8% −164.42

Catterick 496 61 12.3% −18.93

Redcar 473 32 6.8% −208.12

Beverley 436 39 8.9% −167.91

Ayr 406 41 10.1% −129.30

Ripon 379 47 12.4% +43.60

Doncaster 353 19 5.4% −214.17

Pontefract 314 32 10.2% −71.59

Musselburgh 294 28 9.5% −102.92

Hamilton 257 29 11.3% +26.75

Carlisle 202 14 6.9% −85.67

Newcastle 197 21 10.7% −16.90

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 3,005 283 9.4% −729.90

Class 5 2,301 201 8.7% −618.61

Class 4 1,644 162 9.9% −381.88

Class 3 597 51 8.5% −70.30

Class 2 397 15 3.8% −201.50

Class 7 25 4 16% +15.50

Class 1 20 3 15% −3.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 688 180 26.2% 1.10 −11.20

2nd–3rd fav 1,491 228 15.3% 0.99 −226.49

4th–6th fav 2,446 211 8.6% 1.01 −381.50

7th+ in betting 3,365 100 3% 0.80 −1,372.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 3,875 340 8.8% −978.92

1m – 1m1f 1,652 136 8.2% −525.79

Under 6f 1,482 169 11.4% −172.39

1m2f – 1m4f 801 61 7.6% −228.42

1m5f – 2m 147 9 6.1% −85.25

2m1f – 2m4f 32 4 12.5% +0.58

2m5f – 3m 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 222 12 5.4% −32.75

2009 335 39 11.6% −46.12

2010 418 27 6.5% −208.79

2011 386 40 10.4% −84.79

2012 328 30 9.1% −91.12

2013 445 41 9.2% −119.50

2014 433 42 9.7% −110.52

2015 423 45 10.6% −77.15

2016 415 42 10.1% −89.60

2017 487 49 10.1% −39.75

2018 584 40 6.8% −245.92

2019 523 37 7.1% −184.37

2020 319 17 5.3% −135.75

2021 351 17 4.8% −140.67

2022 357 32 9% −33.71

2023 400 45 11.3% −87.88

2024 504 52 10.3% −78.22

2025 558 63 11.3% +1.03

2026 502 49 9.8% −185.61

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 7,381 671 9.1% −1,703.31

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 2,805 267 9.5% −757.15

11-13 runners 2,739 235 8.6% −542.49

14-16 runners 1,080 74 6.9% −301.92

5-7 runners 940 126 13.4% −113.38

17+ runners 391 10 2.6% −266.00

2-4 runners 35 7 20% −10.25

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Red Cape (FR)from Jane Chapple-Hyam 148 17 51 25 Sep 15

Dubai Dynamo (GB)from Paul Cole 143 14 40 1 May 17

Amazing Blue Sky (GB)from E J O'Neill 128 11 34 23 Feb 16

Bobby Joe Leg (GB) 123 17 43 20 Oct 26

Magical Effect (IRE)from Charlie Appleby 86 8 32 31 Oct 23

Ellaal (GB)from Charles Hills 85 11 24 20 Oct 17

Klynch (GB)from Brian Meehan 83 11 22 29 Sep 14

Hostelry (GB)from Michael Dods 82 11 39 21 Sep 26

Be Perfect (USA)from David Nicholls 80 11 23 22 Sep 20

Dhhamaan (IRE)from Clive Brittain 80 10 21 21 Sep 13

Hab Reeh (GB)from Clive Brittain 79 9 24 1 Jun 17

San Cassiano (IRE)from Ralph Beckett 79 12 22 21 Sep 16

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 383 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 41 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 57 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Brian Meehan (3) and Clive Brittain (3); 3 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 57 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

1 from 15 6.7% · −2.3pts vs baseline

Last 14 days6.7%

Lifetime base9%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

126810101011965910

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJames Sullivan

50% of all rides
8.7% SR · A/E 0.99

RiderRWSR£1

James Sullivan 3,981 345 8.7% −1,112.28

P J McDonald 480 43 9% −154.62

Joanna Mason 280 37 13.2% +23.66

Jack Garritty 271 25 9.2% −33.25

Andrew Elliott 178 11 6.2% −51.00

Tom Eaves 167 8 4.8% −49.25

Paul Mulrennan 145 17 11.7% −29.67

Luke Morris 110 8 7.3% −51.00

Andrew Mullen 108 1 0.9% −104.75

Jason Hart 102 10 9.8% −14.25

Dale Swift 97 11 11.3% −3.75

Silvestre De Sousa 94 14 14.9% −4.45

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→

719

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£6.11m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 63 wins

Sovereign Debt (IRE) — Sunbets All-weather Mile Championships Conditions Stakes Lingfield (AW) · Apr 2017 · Class 2

£93,375

Sovereign Debt (IRE) — Bet365 Mile (group 2) Sandown · Apr 2017 · Group 2

£53,875

Poyle Vinnie (GB) — Qatar Stewards' Sprint Handicap Goodwood · Aug 2019 · Class 2

£46,688

Notable horses

Red Cape (FR) Bobby Joe Leg (GB) Dubai Dynamo (GB) San Cassiano (IRE) Amazing Blue Sky (GB) Ellaal (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kyllachy (GB) 9.1% · 40–439

Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.

Pastoral Pursuits (GB) 9.9% · 32–322

Progeny have won 9.5% of 7,219 runs since 2009 (437 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.4% from 109. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1.5% from 133.

Acclamation (GB) 8.6% · 15–174

Progeny have won 10% of 19,709 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.

Profitable (IRE) 17.1% · 27–158

Progeny have won 9.5% of 4,441 runs since 2021 (358 horses).

Cape Cross (IRE) 11.5% · 17–148

Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.

Street Cry (IRE) 13.1% · 19–145

Progeny have won 12.7% of 4,258 runs since 2008 (373 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 15.8% from 1,577. Weakest on Heavy going: 6.9% from 131.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 7,990 · newest first

The latest 50 of 7,990 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 February 2008 to 3 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Pureis King (FR)J: Joanna Mason Midnite Built Different Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 14/1

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Magic Runner (GER)J: Taryn Langley Midnite Built Different Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 16/1

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Woodstock (GB)J: Joanna Mason Midnite Aint Your Grandads Bookie Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 10/1

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Daytona Lady (IRE)J: James Sullivan Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 4/1

31 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Mali Star (IRE)J: James Sullivan Arc All Weather Bonus Is Back Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 50/1

31 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Dumfries (GB)J: James Sullivan ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 18/1

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Alligator Alley (GB)J: Paul Mulrennan Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap StakesClass 3 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 50/1

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Light Speed (IRE)J: James Sullivan Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 18/1

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Bad Habits (IRE)J: James Sullivan AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 25/1

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Brother Dave (GB)J: James Sullivan AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 33/1

28 Oct 26 Nottingham Star Start (IRE)J: Miss Charli Parker AJA Championships Finale Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Soft · 15 ran 3rd 20/1

26 Oct 26 Redcar Wise Crack (IRE)J: James Sullivan Thanks And See You Next Season Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Heavy · 14 ran 3rd 13/2

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Dumfries (GB)J: William Pyle Aw Trails Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 12/1

23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Fools Rush In (IRE)J: William Pyle AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd January 2027 Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 33/1

23 Oct 26 Doncaster Rousing Encore (IRE)J: James Sullivan William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap StakesClass 2 · 6f · Soft · 15 ran 11th 12/1

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Bobby Joe Leg (GB)J: James Sullivan All-Weather Championships Is Back Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 25/1

20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Kinetic Force (GB)J: Rossa Ryan Infobond Turnkey & Personnel Services Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 5/2F

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Magic Runner (GER)J: Taryn Langley bettingsites.co.uk Handicap StakesClass 6 · 11f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 16/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Invincible Crown (IRE)J: James Sullivan Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 3/1J

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Daytona Lady (IRE)J: Jason Hart bettingsites.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 4 runs (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 9 runs (won 2) · fastest on KTB Speed in 4 runs (won 1) · to 3 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Ruth Carr's strike rate?: Ruth Carr has won 719 of 7,990 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ruth Carr do best at?: Ripon by strike rate: 47 wins from 379 runners (12.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Ruth Carr?: James Sullivan, with 3,981 runners since 2008 — 50% of the total. That pairing has won 345 (8.7%).
Is Ruth Carr in form?: In the last 14 days: 15 runners, 1 winner, a strike rate of 6.7%. That is in line with the baseline of 9% since 2008.
What is Ruth Carr's Fair A/E?: 0.99, from 7,952 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.