What is Sarah Humphrey's strike rate?

Sarah Humphrey has won 126 of 1,214 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.4% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Sarah Humphrey do best at?

Plumpton by strike rate: 12 wins from 74 runners (16.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Sarah Humphrey?

Jack Quinlan, with 168 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (6%).

Is Sarah Humphrey in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Sarah Humphrey's Fair A/E?

1.10, from 1,213 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Sarah Humphrey

1,214 runners in the lifetime window · 185 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 3 days ago 91% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

126–1,214

Wins / Runs

10.4%

Strike rate

n=1,214

288 (24%)

Placed

1.10

Fair A/E

n=1,213 · 0.96 incl. margin

−222.68

£1 level stake

n=1,214 at SP · −18.3%

£1.04m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.10).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,214 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Apr–May 33.9% when favourite Jack Quinlan: 6% from 168 New recruits: 11.2% Sends off the favourite in 5% of races

The read

It is weakest at Lingfield (AW) (0% over 30 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 3.5% (n=57, Fair A/E 0.65). New recruits from other stables on their first run are the standout value angle: 11.2% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.42 and +25.21 to a £1 stake over 125 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Jack Quinlan rides 14% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (6% vs 10.4%, A/E 0.73). The record reads poorly on Standard (AW) going — 3.5% over 86 runners, 6.9pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Virgin Bet Scilly Isles Novices' Chase at Sandown (Feb 2024, £57,620). The stable star of the record: Glimpse Of Gold (GB) — 7 wins from 37 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9.3%−1.1

n=323 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −26.16

New recruits · first run for the yard

11.2%+0.8

n=125 · A/E 1.42 · £1 +25.21

Debutants · first career start

3.5%−6.9

n=57 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −36.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

10.3%−0.1

n=39 · A/E 1.43 · £1 +45.25

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

5.9%−4.5

n=34 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −20.00

When favourite

33.9%

n=56 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −5.56

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.6%−1.8

n=477 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −120.39

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.7%−2.7

n=13 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Charlie Huxley 23.9% vs 10.4% · n=46

On last-time-out winners 18.8% vs 10.4% · n=133

At Lingfield (AW) 0% vs 10.4% · n=30

With Aidan Coleman 18.6% vs 10.4% · n=70

With Sean Bowen 19.5% vs 10.4% · n=41

On Standard (AW) going 3.5% vs 10.4% · n=86

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 595 52 8.7% −106.71

Chase 434 64 14.7% −46.35

Flat 109 6 5.5% −24.00

NH Flat 76 4 5.3% −45.62

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 548 69 12.6% −0.85

Good to Soft 252 18 7.1% −58.20

Soft 196 17 8.7% −61.22

Standard (AW) 86 3 3.5% −52.00

Good to Firm 80 13 16.3% −25.62

Heavy 51 6 11.8% −23.79

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Fakenham 171 21 12.3% −27.98

Huntingdon 163 19 11.7% −32.18

Market Rasen 83 9 10.8% −13.38

Uttoxeter 80 6 7.5% −35.12

Plumpton 74 12 16.2% +33.58

Fontwell 72 8 11.1% −19.02

Southwell 72 9 12.5% +78.50

Stratford 49 7 14.3% −14.95

Worcester 38 3 7.9% −23.25

Sedgefield 35 4 11.4% −10.40

Warwick 31 1 3.2% −24.50

Lingfield (AW) 30 0 0% −30.00

Lingfield 25 1 4% −6.00

Bangor-on-Dee 21 1 4.8% −15.50

Kempton (AW) 20 0 0% −20.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 556 56 10.1% −102.35

Class 5 345 40 11.6% −23.57

Class 3 156 18 11.5% −64.14

Class 6 97 7 7.2% −8.62

Class 2 37 4 10.8% −12.00

Class 1 19 1 5.3% −8.00

Class 7 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 71 22 31% 1.02 −6.96

2nd–3rd fav 276 53 19.2% 1.12 −15.72

4th–6th fav 478 41 8.6% 1.18 −47.00

7th+ in betting 389 10 2.6% 0.91 −153.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 391 33 8.4% −80.26

2m5f – 3m 311 28 9% −153.36

1m5f – 2m 281 36 12.8% −12.20

Over 3m 149 24 16.1% +37.14

1m2f – 1m4f 59 4 6.8% +0.00

1m – 1m1f 17 1 5.9% −8.00

6f – 7f 6 0 0% −6.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 44 2 4.5% −28.50

2009 59 7 11.9% −26.25

2010 47 7 14.9% +3.22

2011 105 22 21% +13.58

2012 101 12 11.9% −39.98

2013 62 1 1.6% −59.12

2014 81 5 6.2% −44.75

2015 72 7 9.7% +6.00

2016 64 1 1.6% −47.00

2017 41 3 7.3% −10.12

2018 62 3 4.8% −3.00

2019 55 4 7.3% −39.15

2020 56 4 7.1% −28.00

2021 62 8 12.9% +87.83

2022 48 8 16.7% −2.00

2023 66 13 19.7% +21.13

2024 58 5 8.6% −18.25

2025 84 10 11.9% +21.10

2026 47 4 8.5% −29.42

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 838 96 11.5% −21.00

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

5-7 runners 395 48 12.2% −69.72

8-10 runners 389 39 10% −77.55

11-13 runners 236 18 7.6% −46.97

14-16 runners 109 7 6.4% +6.00

2-4 runners 57 14 24.6% −6.44

17+ runners 28 0 0% −28.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

81.4% completed · 1,029 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 434 80.4% 16 8 60 1 0

Hurdle 595 82.2% 8 6 91 1 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Flemi Two Toes (IRE)from Rebecca Curtis · then L J Morgan 40 5 12 22 Apr 16

Larteta (FR)from G Macaire 39 1 8 17 Apr 17

Glimpse Of Gold (GB)from Tim Vaughan 37 7 12 16 Jun 23

The Happy Chappy (IRE)from Paul Nicholls 25 4 10 30 Nov 20

Stonebrigg Legend (GB) 25 2 11 11 Mar 20

Carpincho (FR) 25 5 7 16 Apr 14

Knight's Parade (IRE)from Gordon Elliott 23 1 3 29 Nov 17

The Wise Traveller (IRE)from Charlie Longsdon 22 4 5 6 Oct 26

Gloire D'athon (FR)from Henry De Bromhead 22 5 7 14 Mar 25

Call At Midnight (GB)from Alan King 21 3 8 13 Dec 15

Knight Legend (IRE)from Philip Hobbs 18 4 8 27 May 12

Jacks Touch (IRE)from Leonard Whitmore 17 3 6 13 Feb 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 185 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 49 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Neil King (2) and Paul Nicholls (2); 11 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard; 47 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 4

Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

8981412911121711136

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJack Quinlan

14% of all rides
6% SR · A/E 0.73

RiderRWSR£1

Jack Quinlan 168 10 6% −80.87

Jack Doyle 102 12 11.8% −26.14

Nick Scholfield 78 10 12.8% +69.16

Aidan Coleman 70 13 18.6% −13.27

James Best 62 6 9.7% −11.20

Charlie Huxley 46 11 23.9% +19.13

Sean Bowen 41 8 19.5% +17.83

Jamie Gambin 39 5 12.8% +19.75

Tom Cannon 33 5 15.2% +6.83

Alexander Thorne 33 3 9.1% +2.50

Jay Tidball 30 2 6.7% −22.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

129

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.06m

Prize money

2011

Best season · 22 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Nickle Back (IRE) — Virgin Bet Scilly Isles Novices' Chase (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Sandown · Feb 2024 · Grade 1

£57,620

Gloire D'athon (FR) — Bet365 Josh Gifford Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Sandown · Apr 2023 · Class 2

£21,260

Gloire D'athon (FR) — Clarke Chase (Handicap Chase) (For The Sir Stanley And Lady Clarke Challenge Trophy) (GBB Race) Uttoxeter · May 2023 · Class 2

£20,812

Notable horses

Glimpse Of Gold (GB) Flemi Two Toes (IRE) Carpincho (FR) Gloire D'athon (FR) Zorro De La Vega (FR) The Happy Chappy (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Flemensfirth (USA) 13.5% · 13–96

Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,295 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Midnight Legend (GB) 6.8% · 5–74

Progeny have won 14.2% of 8,311 runs since 2008 (494 horses).

Enrique (GB) 2.6% · 1–39

Progeny have won 10.7% of 2,601 runs since 2008 (289 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.9% from 370. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15.8% from 462. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.6% from 347.

Passing Glance (GB) 18.9% · 7–37

Progeny have won 12.4% of 3,580 runs since 2008 (296 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.8% from 222. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.2% from 290. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.8% from 171.

Getaway (GER) 19.4% · 6–31

Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,028 runs since 2016 (1,034 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Oscar (IRE) 7.7% · 2–26

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,280 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,280 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 9 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

09 Nov 26 Stratford Lounge Lizard (GB)J: Tom Cannon Jumps Look Better On Racing TV Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 22.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 6th 50/1

02 Nov 26 Southwell Synchronist (IRE)J: Sean Bowen Dance Through The Decades Christmas Parties Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Good · 5 ran 1st 5/2

01 Nov 26 Huntingdon Park Annonciade (FR)J: Tom Cannon CopyBet Pay First Past The Post Macer Gifford Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 4/1

01 Nov 26 Huntingdon Dartan (GB)J: Tom Cannon CopyBet Proudly Backs UK Horse Racing Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 23.5f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 40/1

29 Oct 26 Stratford Lounge Lizard (GB)J: Tom Cannon Happy Birthday Penny Tyacke Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 8th 100/1

28 Oct 26 Huntingdon Caelan (IRE)J: Tom Cannon Host Your Conference At Huntingdon Racecourse Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 6/1

25 Oct 26 Market Rasen Mars Harper (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley Unibet Middle Distance Chase Series Veterans' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 2 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 4th 33/1

17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Synchronist (IRE)J: Sean Bowen Pertemps Network Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 19f · Good · 5 ran 5th 7/1

17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Caelan (IRE)J: James Bowen Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 14/1

12 Oct 26 Worcester Park Annonciade (FR)J: Tom Cannon PJ Nicholls KGM Korea Genuinely Made Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 4th 10/1

07 Oct 26 Worcester Dartan (GB)J: Sean Bowen Copybet Follow Us On X Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 23f · Good · 6 ran PU 33/1

06 Oct 26 Huntingdon The Wise Traveller (IRE)J: Jamie Gambin Agri Day At Huntingdon Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 25f · Good · 5 ran 5th 11/2

04 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Another Mystery (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley Quinnbet Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 7 ran PU 25/1

09 Jun 26 Southwell Another Mystery (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley Ladies Day Sunday 16th August Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24.5f · Good · 7 ran 5th 9/1

30 May 26 Stratford Noble Miss (GB)J: Jamie Gambin Happy 70th Birthday Rich Wilding Mares' Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran F 18/1

25 May 26 Huntingdon The Wise Traveller (IRE)J: Jamie Gambin Oddschecker Free Bets Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 25f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 1st 11/4

23 May 26 Bangor-on-Dee Lounge Lizard (GB)J: James Best Bangor-On-Dee Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24f · Good · 7 ran 7th 50/1

23 May 26 Bangor-on-Dee Mars Harper (GB)J: Jamie Gambin Bangor-On-Dee Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24f · Good · 7 ran 6th 16/1

16 May 26 Bangor-on-Dee Park Annonciade (FR)J: Richie McLernon Ladies Day On Saturday 23rd May Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17.5f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 9/2

04 May 26 Fakenham Mars Harper (GB)J: Jamie Gambin Norfolk Community Foundation David Keith Memorial Veterans' Handicap ChaseClass 2 · 24f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 7 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 0) · to 1 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Sarah Humphrey's strike rate?: Sarah Humphrey has won 126 of 1,214 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.4% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Sarah Humphrey do best at?: Plumpton by strike rate: 12 wins from 74 runners (16.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Sarah Humphrey?: Jack Quinlan, with 168 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (6%).
Is Sarah Humphrey in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Sarah Humphrey's Fair A/E?: 1.10, from 1,213 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.