What is Sue Smith's strike rate?

Sue Smith has won 569 of 4,906 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.6% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Sue Smith do best at?

Catterick by strike rate: 57 wins from 342 runners (16.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Sue Smith?

Danny Cook, with 816 runners since 2008 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 140 (17.2%).

What is Sue Smith's Fair A/E?

0.98, from 4,901 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Sue Smith

4,906 runners in the lifetime window · 400 individual horses

As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Oct 2024 99% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

569–4,906

Wins / Runs

11.6%

Strike rate

n=4,906

1,518 (31%)

Placed

0.98

Fair A/E

n=4,901 · 0.86 incl. margin

−671.44

£1 level stake

n=4,906 at SP · −13.7%

£6.87m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 260 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 12% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.98). New recruits from other yards win at 13% first time out (107 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 4,906 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 2 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Mar 30.4% when favourite Danny Cook: 17.2% from 816 New recruits: 13.1% Sends off the favourite in 10% of races

The read

Debutants struggle at 4.1% (n=218, Fair A/E 0.71). In Group and Graded company the record are the standout value angle: 9.5% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.36 and +94.50 to a £1 stake over 201 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 8.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.84 and −271.57 to a £1 stake over 1,037 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Danny Cook rides 17% of the entries and beats the yard's average (17.2% vs 11.6%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (18.6%, n=97). 22 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the John Smith's Grand National Chase at Aintree (Apr 2013, £547,268). The stable star of the record: No Planning (GB) — 11 wins from 48 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8.5%−3.1

n=1,037 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −271.57

New recruits · first run for the yard

13.1%+1.5

n=107 · A/E 1.29 · £1 +54.75

Debutants · first career start

4.1%−7.5

n=218 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −113.62

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4.5%−7.1

n=44 · A/E 0.45 · £1 −8.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

15.4%+3.8

n=26 · A/E 2.05 · £1 +4.25

When favourite

30.4%

n=506 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −54.49

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

10.4%−1.2

n=1,821 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −216.15

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9.5%−2.1

n=201 · A/E 1.36 · £1 +94.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Sam Coltherd 0.9% vs 11.6% · n=109

With debutants 4.1% vs 11.6% · n=218

With Tom Midgley 1.8% vs 11.6% · n=55

With Danny Cook 17.2% vs 11.6% · n=816

With Ross Chapman 4.7% vs 11.6% · n=129

Off a 0-7-day break 18.6% vs 11.6% · n=97

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Chase 2,515 336 13.4% −278.40

Hurdle 2,060 209 10.1% −286.99

NH Flat 306 23 7.5% −102.05

Flat 25 1 4% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 1,548 162 10.5% −52.91

Soft 1,396 171 12.2% −379.11

Good to Soft 1,157 116 10% −217.39

Heavy 605 96 15.9% +21.57

Good to Firm 197 24 12.2% −40.60

Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wetherby 616 58 9.4% −304.04

Sedgefield 550 72 13.1% −137.26

Hexham 404 53 13.1% +20.41

Carlisle 398 52 13.1% −83.04

Newcastle 381 54 14.2% −43.78

Catterick 342 57 16.7% +58.96

Haydock 331 40 12.1% −6.20

Market Rasen 316 32 10.1% −73.66

Uttoxeter 272 35 12.9% +69.02

Southwell 211 21 10% −54.40

Doncaster 178 15 8.4% −55.75

Kelso 166 21 12.7% −13.74

Aintree 123 8 6.5% +89.58

Ayr 123 8 6.5% −63.13

Bangor-on-Dee 99 11 11.1% −15.22

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 2,142 262 12.2% −363.85

Class 3 1,119 146 13% −188.40

Class 5 794 84 10.6% −180.71

Class 2 409 39 9.5% −38.43

Class 1 262 21 8% +117.50

Class 6 180 17 9.4% −17.55

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 626 182 29.1% 1.04 −60.59

2nd–3rd fav 1,293 204 15.8% 0.94 −234.85

4th–6th fav 1,656 125 7.5% 0.91 −425.00

7th+ in betting 1,331 58 4.4% 1.18 +49.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 1,840 222 12.1% −111.65

2m5f – 3m 1,293 150 11.6% −223.27

1m5f – 2m 1,142 126 11% −289.71

Over 3m 608 70 11.5% −44.81

6f – 7f 12 0 0% −12.00

Under 6f 5 1 20% +16.00

1m2f – 1m4f 3 0 0% −3.00

1m – 1m1f 3 0 0% −3.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 414 48 11.6% +121.23

2009 423 44 10.4% −111.08

2010 343 32 9.3% −124.47

2011 367 46 12.5% −1.12

2012 288 35 12.2% −14.88

2013 368 49 13.3% −23.87

2014 372 44 11.8% −108.31

2015 323 42 13% −84.74

2016 274 32 11.7% −21.88

2017 283 43 15.2% −78.09

2018 284 33 11.6% −93.06

2019 225 26 11.6% −66.67

2020 174 18 10.3% −0.30

2021 216 28 13% +40.53

2022 197 21 10.7% +56.98

2023 208 19 9.1% −58.17

2024 147 9 6.1% −103.54

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 3,466 441 12.7% −179.36

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 1,640 183 11.2% −321.40

5-7 runners 1,237 211 17.1% −104.96

11-13 runners 1,134 85 7.5% −287.51

14-16 runners 543 43 7.9% +22.08

17+ runners 216 12 5.6% +38.25

2-4 runners 136 35 25.7% −17.90

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

85.1% completed · 4,575 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 2,515 81.8% 123 69 255 4 7

Hurdle 2,060 89.1% 42 25 145 5 7

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Dartford Warbler (IRE)from Oliver Sherwood 53 9 19 25 May 19

No Planning (GB) 48 11 18 12 Feb 18

Cloudy Too (IRE) 47 9 19 31 Mar 18

Brother Scott (GB)then Barbara Butterworth 47 4 20 22 Jul 17

Cracking Find (IRE)from Henry Daly 46 8 14 29 Jan 23

Lackamon (GB)then Mrs Z Hammond 46 8 18 5 May 16

The Paddy Pie (IRE)from John Paul Brennan · then Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith 44 5 17 20 Oct 24

Vintage Clouds (IRE) 44 6 24 2 Apr 22

Mr Moonshine (IRE) 42 7 17 12 Oct 16

Tahiti Pearl (IRE) 42 6 16 30 Apr 15

Stagecoach Pearl (GB) 42 9 20 26 Dec 14

Teenando (IRE)then C T Dawson 42 6 13 7 Apr 12

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 400 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 24 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 17 arrived from another yard in our archive; 43 had their first archived run for this yard.

20 have since run for another yard, most often for Joanne Foster (3) and Barbara Butterworth (2); 40 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

17131411128881371112

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDanny Cook

17% of all rides
17.2% SR · A/E 1.08

RiderRWSR£1

Danny Cook 816 140 17.2% +24.77

Ryan Mania 666 83 12.5% −15.41

Tjade Collier 499 51 10.2% −58.21

Shane Byrne 375 46 12.3% +46.33

Henry Oliver 364 41 11.3% −46.93

Sean Quinlan 339 35 10.3% −135.35

Jonathan England 330 44 13.3% −67.90

Thomas Willmott 151 19 12.6% +144.25

Ross Chapman 129 6 4.7% −71.00

Sam Coltherd 109 1 0.9% −92.00

Callum Bewley 92 10 10.9% −45.51

Nick Scholfield 71 8 11.3% −29.89

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

722

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£8.47m

Prize money

2006

Best season · 67 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Auroras Encore (IRE) — John Smith's Grand National Chase (Grade 3 Handicap) Aintree · Apr 2013 · Grade 3

£547,268

Midnight Shadow (GB) — Paddy Power Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Nov 2021 · Grade 3

£90,032

Midnight Shadow (GB) — QTS Scottish Champion Hurdle (Grade 2 Limited Handicap) Ayr · Apr 2018 · Grade 2

£59,798

Notable horses

No Planning (GB) Dartford Warbler (IRE) Flake (GB) Cloudy Too (IRE) Stagecoach Pearl (GB) Joke Dancer (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Alflora (IRE) 10.6% · 19–180

Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,312 runs since 2008 (535 horses).

Cloudings (IRE) 12.4% · 21–170

Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,886 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.6% from 411. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 815.

Presenting (GB) 12% · 20–166

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Westerner (GB) 12.6% · 19–151

Progeny have won 12.2% of 11,851 runs since 2009 (943 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.

Kayf Tara (GB) 13.3% · 18–135

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,751 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Robin Des Pres (FR) 14.3% · 19–133

Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,800 runs since 2008 (229 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 6,169 · newest first

The latest 50 of 6,169 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 24 October 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

24 Oct 24 Carlisle O'connell (IRE)J: Peter Kavanagh Hather Financial Services Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 8th 16/1

24 Oct 24 Carlisle Paddy O'mahler (IRE)J: Tom Midgley Atkinson Builders Penrith Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 6th 12/1

24 Oct 24 Carlisle Romeo Brown (GB)J: Tom Midgley Trade Copiers 22 Year Anniversary Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 17f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 7th 50/1

24 Oct 24 Carlisle The Big Breac (IRE)J: Tom Midgley You Can't Park There Sir Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 6th 150/1

24 Oct 24 Carlisle Grand Geste (IRE)J: Peter Kavanagh You Can't Park There Sir Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 2nd 200/1

20 Oct 24 Sedgefield Aire Spray (IRE)J: Tom Midgley bet365 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 9 ran 8th 18/1

20 Oct 24 Sedgefield The Paddy Pie (IRE)J: Peter Kavanagh bet365 Conditional Jockeys' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good · 8 ran 5th 16/1

16 Oct 24 Wetherby North Parade (IRE)J: William Maggs Visit racingtv.com Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 9th 20/1

16 Oct 24 Wetherby Hawkseye View (GB)J: Peter Kavanagh Watch Racing TV In HD Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 7th 50/1

16 Oct 24 Wetherby Prairie Wolf (IRE)J: Nick Scholfield Flipit Sell Your Car Better Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 6th 12/1

16 Oct 24 Wetherby Cerendipity (IRE)J: Nick Scholfield Bobby Renton Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 6th 13/2

16 Oct 24 Wetherby Grand Geste (IRE)J: Peter Kavanagh Quilter Cheviot Supporting Spinal Research Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 11th 250/1

15 Oct 24 Market Rasen Copper Beach (IRE)J: Nick Scholfield Book Hospitality Into Our Altior's Resturant Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19f · Good · 8 ran 5th 13/2

15 Oct 24 Market Rasen Taras Halls (IRE)J: Harry Cobden Book Boxing Day Hospitality Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 6 ran 5th 15/8F

15 Oct 24 Market Rasen Rialannah (IRE)J: Harry Cobden Scouting For Girls Friday 13th June Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran 4th 6/4F

12 Oct 24 Hexham Valence D'aumont (FR)J: Peter Kavanagh Falcons Event & Catering Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 15.5f · Soft · 10 ran 5th 40/1

12 Oct 24 Hexham Rich Spirit (GB)J: Ross Chapman Falcons Events Proudly Support Hexham Racecourse Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20f · Soft · 7 ran F 14/1

12 Oct 24 Hexham Heather Honey (GB)J: Peter Kavanagh L&R Pest Control Services Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 14 ran 8th 150/1

12 Oct 24 Hexham Walk In The Valley (IRE)J: Alan Doyle L&R Pest Control Services Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 14 ran 7th 100/1

06 Oct 24 Kelso Local Drama (IRE)J: James Turner Join Racing TV Now Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 21f · Good · 11 ran PU 22/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Sue Smith's strike rate?: Sue Smith has won 569 of 4,906 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.6% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Sue Smith do best at?: Catterick by strike rate: 57 wins from 342 runners (16.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Sue Smith?: Danny Cook, with 816 runners since 2008 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 140 (17.2%).
What is Sue Smith's Fair A/E?: 0.98, from 4,901 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.