Thomas Faulkner
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 20 runners a season, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.05).
The record is strongest at Wolverhampton (AW) (14.8%, n=149), clear of the yard's 9.5% baseline. Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 9.8% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.20 and +39.50 to a £1 stake over 123 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Robert Havlin rides 23% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.7%, A/E 0.98) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well over 1m – 1m1f (16.7%, n=108) and off a 31-60-day break (14.6%, n=82). The record reads poorly in Class 4 — 2.4% over 41 runners, 7.1pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Prince Ali (GB) — 5 wins from 21 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2024→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 370 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 370 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 August 2024 to 4 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 13 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 6 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 3 Nov 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Thomas Faulkner's strike rate?
- Thomas Faulkner has won 35 of 370 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.5% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Thomas Faulkner do best at?
- Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 22 wins from 149 runners (14.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Thomas Faulkner?
- Robert Havlin, with 84 runners since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (10.7%).
- Is Thomas Faulkner in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Thomas Faulkner's Fair A/E?
- 1.05, from 370 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.