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Trainer profile

Andrew Kinirons

519 runners in the lifetime window · 73 individual horses
As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 11 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2020→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
40–519
Wins / Runs
7.7%
Strike rate
n=519
115 (22%)
Placed
1.10
Fair A/E
n=519 · 0.88 incl. margin
−85.59
£1 level stake
n=519 at SP · −16.5%
£490k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.5%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.10).

Deterministic profile computed from 519 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 8 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Aug Fresh horses: 8.9% 22.6% when favourite Luke McAteer: 11.9% from 67 Claiming riders: 7.8% Sends off the favourite in 6% of races
The read

Debutants struggle at 2.6% (n=39, Fair A/E 0.76). Luke McAteer rides 13% of the entries and edges the yard's average (11.9% vs 7.7%, A/E 1.88) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well over 1m – 1m1f (13.3%, n=113) and off a 15-30-day break (12.5%, n=160). The record reads poorly on Heavy going — 0% over 54 runners, 7.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 6f – 7f: Fair A/E 0.55 across 128 runners (3.1% strike, −94.17 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Hidden Land (USA) — 7 wins from 51 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jun–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
8.9%+1.2
n=101 · A/E 1.40 · £1 −31.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
5.9%−1.8
n=34 · A/E 1.35 · £1 −21.50
Debutants · first career start
2.6%−5.1
n=39 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −5.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
3.6%−4.1
n=28 · A/E 0.75 · £1 +6.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−7.7
n=22 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −22.00
When favourite
22.6%
n=31 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −1.92
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.8%+0.1
n=154 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −67.84
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.7
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 16.7% vs 7.7% · n=36
On Heavy going 0% vs 7.7% · n=54
Over 1m – 1m1f 13.3% vs 7.7% · n=113
Off a 15-30-day break 12.5% vs 7.7% · n=160
With W J Lee 13.7% vs 7.7% · n=51
Over 6f – 7f 3.1% vs 7.7% · n=128
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 21.1% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 401 30 7.5% −94.67
Hurdle 95 10 10.5% +32.08
Chase 16 0 0% −16.00
NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 170 18 10.6% −26.34
Good 147 14 9.5% +47.75
Standard (AW) 93 3 3.2% −73.00
Heavy 54 0 0% −54.00
Good to Soft 48 5 10.4% +27.00
Good to Firm 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 88 3 3.4% −68.00
Curragh 62 2 3.2% −47.00
Gowran Park 38 4 10.5% +13.00
Galway 27 3 11.1% +30.50
Navan 22 0 0% −22.00
Cork 21 2 9.5% −6.00
Naas 21 1 4.8% −14.50
Killarney 20 2 10% −4.00
Sligo 20 0 0% −20.00
Roscommon 19 3 15.8% +5.83
Leopardstown 19 1 5.3% −8.00
Punchestown 18 2 11.1% +21.00
Downpatrick 17 6 35.3% +60.58
Listowel 17 5 29.4% +12.50
Fairyhouse 14 0 0% −14.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 16 1 6.3% +13.00
Class 6 6 1 16.7% +0.50
Class 4 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 47 9 19.1% 0.91 −9.09
2nd–3rd fav 70 8 11.4% 0.80 −25.00
4th–6th fav 129 14 10.9% 1.51 −6.50
7th+ in betting 273 9 3.3% 1.25 −45.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Hidden Land (USA)from P Bary 51 7 15 11 Aug 24
Mary Salome (IRE)from Madeleine Tylicki 33 4 9 1 Aug 23
Patrick Street (GB)from Patrick Martin 23 2 5 7 Oct 26
Morning Dew (FR)from N Caullery 20 0 4 9 Nov 22
Casheldale Lass (IRE) 16 2 5 23 Oct 26
Lagoon Nebula (GB)from W McCreery 16 1 4 15 Jul 26
Lips Freedom (GER)from Andreas Suborics 15 2 3 4 Oct 26
We'll Go Again (IRE)from Madeleine Tylicki · then Sam England 15 1 5 29 Dec 21
Blue Moon Boy (IRE) 13 3 4 14 Jun 26
Ukiyo (IRE)from Gavin Cromwell 12 0 3 28 Oct 26
Carmina Burana (IRE)from Jack W Davison 12 0 0 11 Feb 26
Nostringsattached (IRE) 12 3 6 13 Oct 24
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 73 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 31 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Madeleine Tylicki (7) and Gavin Cromwell (3); 29 had their first archived run for this yard.

21 have since run for another yard, most often for Gary Rutherford (2) and Sam England (2); 39 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0541061610149400
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderLuke McAteer
13% of all rides
11.9% SR · A/E 1.88
RiderRWSR£1
Luke McAteer 67 8 11.9% +35.50
W J Lee 51 7 13.7% −2.50
Robbie Colgan 49 5 10.2% +33.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→
40
Archived wins
£490k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 7 wins
Lagoon Nebula (GB) — KTDA Fillies' Juvenile Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Apr 2025 · Class 1
£22,780
Nostringsattached (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap Gowran Park · Jun 2024
£17,700
Nostringsattached (IRE) — Racing Again May 10th & 11th Handicap Cork · Apr 2024
£12,390
Notable horses
Hidden Land (USA) Mary Salome (IRE) Blue Moon Boy (IRE) Nostringsattached (IRE) Patrick Street (GB) Casheldale Lass (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Hard Spun (USA) 13.7% · 7–51
Progeny have won 12.2% of 1,389 runs since 2011 (120 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 8.2% from 147. Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 15.3% from 476. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 9.2% from 282.
Fast Company (IRE) 8.6% · 3–35
Progeny have won 9.4% of 7,602 runs since 2014 (492 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.7% from 558. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.8% from 109.
Zebedee (GB) 12.1% · 4–33
Progeny have won 9% of 7,139 runs since 2014 (435 horses).
Gustav Klimt (IRE) 10.3% · 3–29
Progeny have won 6.7% of 519 runs since 2022 (56 horses). Weakest on Good going: 3.3% from 151.
Heeraat (IRE) 8.7% · 2–23
Progeny have won 8% of 3,000 runs since 2018 (194 horses).
New Bay (GB) 9.5% · 2–21
Progeny have won 14.3% of 4,005 runs since 2020 (426 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 519 · newest first

The latest 50 of 519 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 August 2020 to 28 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Ukiyo (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div I)7f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 50/1
23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Casheldale Lass (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Sligo Fillies Maiden Hurdle17.5f · Yielding · 13 ran 11th 11/1
21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Ukiyo (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Christmas Parties At Navan Racecourse 5th & 13th December Handicap6f · Yielding · 21 ran 18th 25/1
19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Emmas Glory (IRE)J: J M Sheridan Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden (Smullen Series)8.5f · Soft · 15 ran PU 6/1
19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Tina Tereshkova (IRE)J: Jamie Powell Golf At Gowran Park Nursery Handicap7f · Yielding · 12 ran 7th 22/1
17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Shannon Bank (IRE)J: Conor Smithers Master Chefs Handicap Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 14th 50/1
08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Desert Swing (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan BOYLE Sports Handicap (Div II)8.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 14th 50/1
07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Patrick Street (GB)J: Jack Kearney Racing Again 21st October Handicap (Div II)10f · Yielding · 16 ran 13th 10/1
07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Casheldale Lass (IRE)J: J M Sheridan Racing Again 21st October Handicap (Div I)10f · Yielding · 16 ran 4th 8/1
04 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Lips Freedom (GER)J: Donagh Meyler Charlie Foley's Rated Novice Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran F 11/8F
30 Sep 26 Sligo (IRE) Western Model (IRE)J: Conor Smithers Sligo Races Handicap Steeplechase26f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 3/1
28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Shannon Bank (IRE)J: Daniel King Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Handicap Steeplechase21.5f · Yielding · 10 ran 6th 10/1
28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Patrick Street (GB)J: Daniel King Gary's Gardening Services Handicap Hurdle15.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 11th 4/1
27 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Casheldale Lass (IRE)J: Mr J C Barry Kwiff Supercharged Betting (Q.R.) Handicap10f · Heavy · 18 ran 14th 20/1
26 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Desert Swing (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Grá Chocolates Maiden10f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 15th 200/1
19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) C Pas Possible (FR)J: Donagh Meyler Meath Farm Machinery Maiden Hurdle21f · Good · 15 ran 2nd 13/2
19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Lips Freedom (GER)J: Donagh Meyler SIS, Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 13 ran 2nd 9/2
18 Sep 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Western Model (IRE)J: Conor Smithers Vianstown Handicap Steeplechase23.5f · Good · 15 ran 2nd 4/1J
17 Sep 26 Naas (IRE) Tina Tereshkova (IRE)J: Julian Pietropaolo Care At Home Nursery Handicap8f · Yielding · 13 ran 11th 40/1
16 Sep 26 Clonmel (IRE) Desert Swing (IRE)J: Shane Foley Slievenamon Maiden10f · Yielding · 7 ran 5th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 7 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · to 14 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Andrew Kinirons's strike rate?
Andrew Kinirons has won 40 of 519 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.7% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Andrew Kinirons do best at?
Gowran Park by strike rate: 4 wins from 38 runners (10.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Andrew Kinirons?
Luke McAteer, with 67 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (11.9%).
Is Andrew Kinirons in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Andrew Kinirons's Fair A/E?
1.10, from 519 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 8 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).