What is Ann Duffield's strike rate?

Ann Duffield has won 306 of 3,590 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.5% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ann Duffield do best at?

Hamilton by strike rate: 29 wins from 211 runners (13.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Ann Duffield?

P J McDonald, with 650 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 72 (11.1%).

Is Ann Duffield in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Ann Duffield's Fair A/E?

0.92, from 3,551 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Ann Duffield

3,590 runners in the lifetime window · 418 individual horses

As at 31 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 4 days ago 96% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

306–3,590

Wins / Runs

8.5%

Strike rate

n=3,590

901 (25%)

Placed

0.92

Fair A/E

n=3,551 · 0.80 incl. margin

−903.00

£1 level stake

n=3,590 at SP · −25.2%

£2.21m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 190 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.92). In Group and Graded company the record reads 12% (43 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 3,590 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 31 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 29.2% when favourite P J McDonald: 11.1% from 650 Group/Graded: 11.6% Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Hamilton (13.7%, n=211), clear of the yard's 8.5% baseline. In Group and Graded company the record reads well at 11.6% (n=43, Fair A/E 1.43), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 4.1% (n=518, Fair A/E 0.63). The market has consistently overbet a horse having headgear put back on after a bare run: 4.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.59 and −67.00 to a £1 stake over 102 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. P J McDonald rides 18% of the entries and edges the yard's average (11.1% vs 8.5%, A/E 1.00) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well on Heavy going (16.4%, n=55). 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Watership Down Stud Sales Race at Ascot (Sep 2007, £134,354). The stable star of the record: Just Lille (IRE) — 18 wins from 65 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.1%−4.4

n=518 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −289.36

New recruits · first run for the yard

4.7%−3.8

n=64 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −23.50

Debutants · first career start

6.3%−2.2

n=334 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −57.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

7.7%−0.8

n=207 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −106.33

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

4.9%−3.6

n=102 · A/E 0.59 · £1 −67.00

When favourite

29.2%

n=250 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −29.36

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.1%−1.4

n=575 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −177.42

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

11.6%+3.1

n=43 · A/E 1.43 · £1 +35.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 16.1% vs 8.5% · n=299

With Silvestre De Sousa 15.4% vs 8.5% · n=130

With C&D winners 14.1% vs 8.5% · n=326

With Paul Hanagan 15.2% vs 8.5% · n=125

On Heavy going 16.4% vs 8.5% · n=55

At Hamilton 13.7% vs 8.5% · n=211

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 3,461 293 8.5% −934.13

Hurdle 109 9 8.3% +32.00

Chase 15 4 26.7% +4.13

NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Firm 1,008 93 9.2% −273.90

Good 933 82 8.8% +82.26

Standard (AW) 820 64 7.8% −369.65

Good to Soft 432 31 7.2% −184.54

Soft 319 25 7.8% −147.75

Heavy 55 9 16.4% +2.75

Firm 23 2 8.7% −12.17

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Catterick 386 36 9.3% −100.47

Beverley 319 29 9.1% −73.54

Newcastle (AW) 303 18 5.9% −127.92

Wolverhampton (AW) 277 21 7.6% −158.83

Redcar 274 14 5.1% +23.63

Thirsk 224 19 8.5% −34.75

Ripon 211 19 9% −58.04

Hamilton 211 29 13.7% −34.62

Carlisle 178 22 12.4% +70.73

Southwell (AW) 168 18 10.7% −50.15

Pontefract 156 12 7.7% −26.25

Musselburgh 139 14 10.1% −46.73

Newcastle 109 6 5.5% −55.43

Ayr 106 8 7.5% −35.05

York 70 5 7.1% −32.38

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 1,392 128 9.2% −391.53

Class 5 1,333 110 8.3% −278.54

Class 4 573 48 8.4% −122.55

Class 3 149 12 8.1% −60.88

Class 2 82 2 2.4% −72.50

Class 1 43 5 11.6% +35.50

Class 7 18 1 5.6% −12.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 305 86 28.2% 1.02 −28.73

2nd–3rd fav 698 103 14.8% 0.91 −128.77

4th–6th fav 1,177 87 7.4% 0.98 −195.50

7th+ in betting 1,410 30 2.1% 0.64 −550.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 1,759 135 7.7% −385.11

Under 6f 780 74 9.5% −274.00

1m – 1m1f 520 52 10% −159.36

1m2f – 1m4f 337 29 8.6% −62.41

1m5f – 2m 127 6 4.7% −29.25

2m1f – 2m4f 41 4 9.8% −11.75

2m5f – 3m 19 3 15.8% −2.87

Over 3m 7 3 42.9% +21.75

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 249 13 5.2% −129.75

2009 252 28 11.1% −18.73

2010 297 32 10.8% −29.23

2011 316 31 9.8% −101.43

2012 242 26 10.7% −101.99

2013 193 20 10.4% −29.82

2014 203 15 7.4% −77.25

2015 286 31 10.8% −45.80

2016 312 24 7.7% −126.33

2017 244 13 5.3% −72.75

2018 177 15 8.5% −47.00

2019 120 4 3.3% −95.50

2020 87 3 3.4% −61.00

2021 150 12 8% +197.50

2022 190 21 11.1% −36.67

2023 105 5 4.8% −70.50

2024 84 5 6% −38.00

2025 70 7 10% −18.75

2026 13 1 7.7% +0.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 2,149 193 9% −673.10

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 1,270 112 8.8% −352.45

11-13 runners 1,163 83 7.1% −176.54

5-7 runners 603 83 13.8% −67.67

14-16 runners 402 15 3.7% −228.67

17+ runners 104 3 2.9% −67.00

2-4 runners 48 10 20.8% −10.67

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Quercus (IRE) 54 9 20 27 Oct 26

Red Charmer (IRE)then Marjorie Fife 54 5 18 1 Aug 18

Clotherholme (IRE) 51 3 17 1 Nov 24

Arnold (GB) 49 5 20 22 Sep 22

Sharp Shoes (GB)then Christopher Wilson 49 5 12 28 Jul 12

Mr Trevor (IRE) 48 5 13 22 Oct 24

Cuppacoco (GB) 48 4 14 23 Sep 22

Just Lille (IRE) 47 12 20 7 Sep 13

Chant (IRE) 44 5 15 6 Sep 19

Master Richard (GB) 43 5 12 26 Oct 26

Salerosa (IRE) 43 9 17 3 Jan 12

Bibbidibobbidiboo (IRE) 41 2 14 18 Sep 21

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 418 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 14 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 3 arrived from another yard in our archive; 57 had their first archived run for this yard.

22 have since run for another yard, most often for Donald McCain (2) and Lynn Siddall (2); 38 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 3

Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

8611291291085109

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderP J McDonald

18% of all rides
11.1% SR · A/E 1.00

RiderRWSR£1

P J McDonald 650 72 11.1% −176.20

Shane Gray 216 18 8.3% +23.00

Rowan Scott 205 10 4.9% −62.50

Paul Mulrennan 174 17 9.8% −77.50

Royston Ffrench 157 9 5.7% −58.92

Joe Fanning 143 15 10.5% −50.00

Graham Lee 140 16 11.4% −33.95

Andrew Mullen 136 4 2.9% −101.00

Silvestre De Sousa 130 20 15.4% +16.59

Paul Hanagan 125 19 15.2% −12.68

Tom Eaves 89 4 4.5% −62.25

Franny Norton 86 5 5.8% −11.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

387

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.82m

Prize money

2010

Best season · 32 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Lady Rangali (IRE) — Watership Down Stud Sales Race (Fillies) Ascot · Sep 2007 · Class 2

£134,354

N'golo (IRE) — Pertemps Network Swinton Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Haydock · May 2022 · Grade 3

£56,950

Dark Reckoning (GB) — William Hill Firth Of Clyde Stakes (Fillies' Group 3) Ayr · Sep 2014 · Group 3

£34,026

Notable horses

Just Lille (IRE) Quercus (IRE) Salerosa (IRE) Whispering Spirit (IRE) Prairie Sun (GER) Runninwild (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Zebedee (GB) 8% · 12–150

Progeny have won 9% of 7,139 runs since 2008 (435 horses).

Equiano (FR) 12.4% · 13–105

Progeny have won 9.1% of 7,539 runs since 2008 (549 horses).

Red Clubs (IRE) 8.2% · 7–85

Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,131 runs since 2008 (143 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.5% from 127.

Stimulation (IRE) 9.5% · 8–84

Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,723 runs since 2008 (100 horses). Strongest on Good going: 11.4% from 368. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 12.4% from 145.

Kodiac (GB) 14.6% · 12–82

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,580 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Fountain Of Youth (IRE) 10.4% · 7–67

Progeny have won 7.3% of 1,075 runs since 2008 (104 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 10.9% from 201. Weakest on Soft going: 3.9% from 103. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 11.3% from 124. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.8% from 158.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 31 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,232 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,232 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 February 2005 to 27 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

27 Oct 26 Catterick Quercus (IRE)J: Shane Gray Remembering Kevin Lumb AKA Burnley Kevin Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Soft · 8 ran 8th 33/1

26 Oct 26 Redcar Master Richard (GB)J: Cian Horgan Jumps Looks Better On Racing Tv Handicap StakesClass 3 · 8f · Heavy · 10 ran 7th 50/1

26 Oct 26 Redcar Lady Mombasa (IRE)J: Tom Eaves racingtv.com/Freetrial British Ebf Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 3 · 7f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 200/1

17 Oct 26 Catterick Quercus (IRE)J: Rhys Elliott William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Veterans' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good · 10 ran 10th 66/1

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Jaydee's Dream (IRE)J: David Egan Free Tips On attheraces.com EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 250/1

08 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Jaydee's Dream (IRE)J: David Egan Free Bets On Attheraces.com Ebf Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 125/1

30 Sep 26 Musselburgh Brandenburg (GB)J: Paul Mulrennan Dropkicks Split The G Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4th 4/1

06 Sep 26 York Master Richard (GB)J: Alexandra Egan Coopers Marquees Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 19 ran 19th 40/1

27 Aug 26 Southwell (AW) Master Richard (GB)J: Shane Gray Free Digital Racecard At Raceday-ready.com Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 12/1

19 Aug 26 York Brandenburg (GB)J: Luke Morris Sky Bet Nursery Handicap StakesClass 2 · 6f · Good · 18 ran 12th 25/1

17 Aug 26 Catterick Quercus (IRE)J: Shane Gray Chapman Milestones Celebration, Thank You NHS Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good · 9 ran 1st 12/1

09 Jan 26 Newcastle (AW) Esque Elegance (IRE)J: Lauren Young Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Classified StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 18/1

09 Jan 26 Newcastle (AW) Red House (GB)J: Cam Hardie Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8f · Standard · 5 ran 4th 100/1

20 Dec 25 Newcastle (AW) Runninman (IRE)J: Paul Mulrennan Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk NurseryClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 4/1

19 Dec 25 Newcastle (AW) Azucena (IRE)J: Oliver Stammers Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 5f · Standard · 7 ran 4th 7/1

19 Dec 25 Newcastle (AW) Populus (IRE)J: Dylan Hogan Bet 10 Get 40 With BetMGM EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 25/1

16 Dec 25 Newcastle (AW) Front Gunner (IRE)J: Tom Eaves Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 10/1

13 Dec 25 Newcastle (AW) Red House (GB)J: Tom Eaves Bet 10 Get 40 With BetMGM EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 6 ran 6th 80/1

09 Dec 25 Newcastle (AW) Nanyuki (IRE)J: Joanna Mason Win 250,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 66/1

05 Dec 25 Newcastle (AW) Master Harry (USA)J: Paul Mulrennan Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM NurseryClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ann Duffield's strike rate?: Ann Duffield has won 306 of 3,590 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.5% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ann Duffield do best at?: Hamilton by strike rate: 29 wins from 211 runners (13.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Ann Duffield?: P J McDonald, with 650 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 72 (11.1%).
Is Ann Duffield in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Ann Duffield's Fair A/E?: 0.92, from 3,551 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.